Identifying areas prone to coastal hypoxia – the role of topography
Abstract. Hypoxia is an increasing problem in marine ecosystems around the world, and recent projections indicate that anoxic dead zones will be spreading in the forthcoming decades. While major advances have been made in our understanding of the drivers of hypoxia, it fundamentally hinges on patterns of water circulation that can be difficult to resolve in coastal regions. The complexity of many coastal areas and lack of detailed in situ data has hindered the development of models describing oxygen dynamics at a sufficient resolution for efficient management actions to take place. We hypothesized that the enclosed nature of seafloors facilitates hypoxia formation. We developed simple proxies of seafloor heterogeneity and modelled oxygen deficiency in complex coastal areas in the northern Baltic Sea. We discovered that topographically sheltered seafloors and sinkholes with stagnant water are prone to the development of hypoxia. Approximately half of the monitoring sites in Stockholm Archipelago and one third of sites in southern Finland experienced severe hypoxia (O2