scholarly journals Simulation of the last glacial cycle with a coupled climate ice-sheet model of intermediate complexity

2010 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 229-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Ganopolski ◽  
R. Calov ◽  
M. Claussen
Keyword(s):  
Surface Energy ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Atmospheric Concentration ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Intermediate Complexity ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. A new version of the Earth system model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2, which includes the three-dimensional polythermal ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS, is used to simulate the last glacial cycle forced by variations of the Earth's orbital parameters and atmospheric concentration of major greenhouse gases. The climate and ice-sheet components of the model are coupled bi-directionally through a physically-based surface energy and mass balance interface. The model accounts for the time-dependent effect of aeolian dust on planetary and snow albedo. The model successfully simulates the temporal and spatial dynamics of the major Northern Hemisphere (NH) ice sheets, including rapid glacial inception and strong asymmetry between the ice-sheet growth phase and glacial termination. Spatial extent and elevation of the ice sheets during the last glacial maximum agree reasonably well with palaeoclimate reconstructions. A suite of sensitivity experiments demonstrates that simulated ice-sheet evolution during the last glacial cycle is very sensitive to some parameters of the surface energy and mass-balance interface and dust module. The possibility of a considerable acceleration of the climate ice-sheet model is discussed.

scholarly journals Simulation of the last glacial cycle with a coupled climate ice-sheet model of intermediate complexity

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 2269-2309 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Ganopolski ◽  
R. Calov ◽  
M. Claussen
Keyword(s):  
Surface Energy ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Atmospheric Concentration ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Intermediate Complexity ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. A new version of the Earth system model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2, which includes the three-dimensional polythermal ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS, is used to simulate the last glacial cycle forced by variations of the Earth's orbital parameters and atmospheric concentration of major greenhouse gases. The climate and ice-sheet components of the model are coupled bi-directionally through a physically based surface energy and mass-balance interface. The model accounts for the time-dependent effect of aeolian dust on planetary and snow albedo. The model successfully simulates the temporal and spatial dynamics of the major Northern Hemisphere (NH) ice sheets, including rapid glacial inception, strong asymmetry between the ice-sheet growth phase and glacial termination. Spatial extent and elevation of the ice sheets during the last glacial maximum agree reasonably well with palaeoclimate reconstructions. A suite of sensitivity experiments demonstrates that simulated ice-sheet evolution during the last glacial cycle is very sensitive to some parameters of the surface energy and mass-balance interface and dust module. The possibility of a considerable acceleration of the climate ice-sheet model is discussed.

scholarly journals Investigating the evolution of major Northern Hemisphere ice sheets during the last glacial-interglacial cycle

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 329-345 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Bonelli ◽  
S. Charbit ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
M.-N. Woillez ◽  
G. Ramstein ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Co2 Concentration ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 Concentration ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. A 2.5-dimensional climate model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2, fully coupled with the GREMLINS 3-D thermo-mechanical ice sheet model is used to simulate the evolution of major Northern Hemisphere ice sheets during the last glacial-interglacial cycle and to investigate the ice sheets responses to both insolation and atmospheric CO2 concentration. This model reproduces the main phases of advance and retreat of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets during the last glacial cycle, although the amplitude of these variations is less pronounced than those based on sea level reconstructions. At the last glacial maximum, the simulated ice volume is 52.5×1015 m3 and the spatial distribution of both the American and Eurasian ice complexes is in reasonable agreement with observations, with the exception of the marine parts of these former ice sheets. A set of sensitivity studies has also been performed to assess the sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets to both insolation and atmospheric CO2. Our results suggest that the decrease of summer insolation is the main factor responsible for the early build up of the North American ice sheet around 120 kyr BP, in agreement with benthic foraminifera δ18O signals. In contrast, low insolation and low atmospheric CO2 concentration are both necessary to trigger a long-lasting glaciation over Eurasia.

scholarly journals Influence of ablation-related processes in the built-up of simulated Northern Hemisphere ice sheets during the last glacial cycle

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 4897-4938 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Charbit ◽  
C. Dumas ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
D. M. Roche ◽  
C. Ritz
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Satisfactory Description ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Transient Simulations ◽  
Main Driver ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. Since the original formulation of the positive-degree-day (PDD) method, different PDD calibrations have been proposed in the literature in response to the increasing number of observations. Although these formulations provide a satisfactory description of the present-day Greenland geometry, they have not all been tested for paleo ice sheets. Using the climate-ice sheet model CLIMBER-GRISLI coupled with different PDD models, we evaluate how the parameterization of the ablation may affect the evolution of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets in the transient simulations of the last glacial cycle. Results from fully coupled simulations are compared to time-slice experiments carried out at different key periods of the last glacial period. We find large differences in the simulated ice sheets according to the chosen PDD model. These differences occur as soon as the onset of glaciation, therefore affecting the subsequent evolution of the ice system. To further investigate how the PDD method controls this evolution, special attention is given to the role of each PDD parameter. We show that glacial inception is critically dependent on the representation of the impact of the temperature variability from the daily to the inter-annual time scale, whose effect is modulated by the refreezing scheme. Finally, an additional set of sensitivity experiments has been carried out to assess the relative importance of melt processes with respect to initial ice sheet configuration in the construction and the evolution of past Northern Hemisphere ice sheets. Our analysis reveals that the impacts of the initial ice sheet condition may range from quite negligible to explaining about half of the LGM ice volume depending on the representation of stochastic temperature variations which remain the main driver of the evolution of the ice system.

Exploring the complex uncertainties in coupled climate-ice simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lauren Gregoire ◽  
Niall Gandy ◽  
Lachlan Astfalck ◽  
Robin Smith ◽  
Ruza Ivanovic ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Maximum ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
The Last Glacial

<p>Simulating the co-evolution of climate and ice-sheets during the Quaternary is key to understanding some of the major abrupt changes in climate, ice and sea level. Indeed, events such as the Meltwater pulse 1a rapid sea level rise and Heinrich, Dansgaard–Oeschger and the 8.2 kyr climatic events all involve the interplay between ice sheets, the atmosphere and the ocean. Unfortunately, it is challenging to simulate the coupled Climate-Ice sheet system because small biases, errors or uncertainties in parts of the models are strongly amplified by the powerful interactions between the atmosphere and ice (e.g. ice-albedo and height-mass balance feedbacks). This leads to inaccurate or even unrealistic simulations of ice sheet extent and surface climate. To overcome this issue we need some methods to effectively explore the uncertainty in the complex Climate-Ice sheet system and reduce model biases. Here we present our approach to produce ensemble of coupled Climate-Ice sheet simulations of the Last Glacial maximum that explore the uncertainties in climate and ice sheet processes.</p><p>We use the FAMOUS-ICE earth system model, which comprises a coarse-resolution and fast general circulation model coupled to the Glimmer-CISM ice sheet model. We prescribe sea surface temperature and sea ice concentrations in order to control and reduce biases in polar climate, which strongly affect the surface mass balance and simulated extent of the northern hemisphere ice sheets. We develop and apply a method to reconstruct and sample a range of realistic sea surface temperature and sea-ice concentration spatio-temporal field. These are created by merging information from PMIP3/4 climate simulations and proxy-data for sea surface temperatures at the Last Glacial Maximum with Bayes linear analysis. We then use these to generate ensembles of FAMOUS-ice simulations of the Last Glacial maximum following the PMIP4 protocol, with the Greenland and North American ice sheets interactively simulated. In addition to exploring a range of sea surface conditions, we also vary key parameters that control the surface mass balance and flow of ice sheets. We thus produce ensembles of simulations that will later be used to emulate ice sheet surface mass balance.  </p>

scholarly journals Ice-sheet models as tools for palaeoclimatic analysis: the example of the European ice sheet through the last glacial cycle

1995 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 103-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. S. Boulton ◽  
N. Hulton ◽  
M. Vautravers
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Model ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Early Holocene ◽  
Climate Forcing ◽  
Glacial Period ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Sheet Surface ◽  
The Last Glacial

A numerical model is used to simulate ice-sheet behaviour in Europe through the last glacial cycle. It is used in two modes: a forward mode, in which the model is driven by a proxy palaeoclimate record and the output compared with a geological reconstruction of ice-sheet fluctuation; and an inverse mode, in which we determine the climate function that would be required to simulate geologically reconstructed ice-sheet fluctuations. From these simulations it is concluded that extra-glacial climates may be poor predictors of ice-sheet surface climates, and that climatic transitions during the glacial period may have been much more rapid and the intensity of warming during the early Holocene much greater than hitherto supposed. Stronger climate forcing is required to drive ice-sheet expansion when sliding occurs at the bed compared with a non-sliding bed. Sliding ice sheets grow more slowly and decay more rapidly than non-sliding ice sheets with the same climate forcing.

scholarly journals The sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets to atmospheric forcing during the last glacial cycle using PMIP3 models

2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (252) ◽  
pp. 645-661 ◽  
Author(s):  
LU NIU ◽  
GERRIT LOHMANN ◽  
SEBASTIAN HINCK ◽  
EVAN J. GOWAN ◽  
UTA KREBS-KANZOW
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Climate Forcing ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Temperature Pattern ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Large Variability ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The Last Glacial

ABSTRACTThe evolution of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets through the last glacial cycle is simulated with the glacial index method by using the climate forcing from one General Circulation Model, COSMOS. By comparing the simulated results to geological reconstructions, we first show that the modelled climate is capable of capturing the main features of the ice-sheet evolution. However, large deviations exist, likely due to the absence of nonlinear interactions between ice sheet and other climate components. The model uncertainties of the climate forcing are examined using the output from nine climate models from the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase III. The results show a large variability in simulated ice sheets between the different models. We find that the ice-sheet extent pattern resembles summer surface air temperature pattern at the Last Glacial Maximum, confirming the dominant role of surface ablation process for high-latitude Northern Hemisphere ice sheets. This study shows the importance of the upper boundary condition for ice-sheet modelling, and implies that careful constraints on climate output is essential for simulating realistic glacial Northern Hemisphere ice sheets.

scholarly journals Evolution of the large-scale atmospheric circulation in response to changing ice sheets over the last glacial cycle

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1453-1471 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Löfverström ◽  
R. Caballero ◽  
J. Nilsson ◽  
J. Kleman
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Laurentide Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Geological Evidence ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. We present modelling results of the atmospheric circulation at the cold periods of marine isotope stage 5b (MIS 5b), MIS 4 and the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), as well as the interglacial. The palaeosimulations are forced by ice-sheet reconstructions consistent with geological evidence and by appropriate insolation and greenhouse gas concentrations. The results suggest that the large-scale atmospheric winter circulation remained largely similar to the interglacial for a significant part of the glacial cycle. The proposed explanation is that the ice sheets were located in areas where their interaction with the mean flow is limited. However, the LGM Laurentide Ice Sheet induces a much larger planetary wave that leads to a zonalisation of the Atlantic jet. In summer, the ice-sheet topography dynamically induces warm temperatures in Alaska and central Asia that inhibits the expansion of the ice sheets into these regions. The warm temperatures may also serve as an explanation for westward propagation of the Eurasian Ice Sheet from MIS 4 to the LGM.

scholarly journals Ice-sheet models as tools for palaeoclimatic analysis: the example of the European ice sheet through the last glacial cycle

1995 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 103-110
Author(s):  
G. S. Boulton ◽  
N. Hulton ◽  
M. Vautravers
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Model ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Early Holocene ◽  
Climate Forcing ◽  
Glacial Period ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Sheet Surface ◽  
The Last Glacial

A numerical model is used to simulate ice-sheet behaviour in Europe through the last glacial cycle. It is used in two modes: a forward mode, in which the model is driven by a proxy palaeoclimate record and the output compared with a geological reconstruction of ice-sheet fluctuation; and an inverse mode, in which we determine the climate function that would be required to simulate geologically reconstructed ice-sheet fluctuations.From these simulations it is concluded that extra-glacial climates may be poor predictors of ice-sheet surface climates, and that climatic transitions during the glacial period may have been much more rapid and the intensity of warming during the early Holocene much greater than hitherto supposed. Stronger climate forcing is required to drive ice-sheet expansion when sliding occurs at the bed compared with a non-sliding bed. Sliding ice sheets grow more slowly and decay more rapidly than non-sliding ice sheets with the same climate forcing.

scholarly journals The impact of the North American glacial topography on the evolution of the Eurasian ice sheet over the last glacial cycle

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1225-1241 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johan Liakka ◽  
Marcus Löfverström ◽  
Florence Colleoni
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The North ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. Modeling studies have shown that the continental-scale ice sheets in North America and Eurasia in the last glacial cycle had a large influence on the atmospheric circulation and thus yielded a climate distinctly different from the present. However, to what extent the two ice sheets influenced each others' growth trajectories remains largely unexplored. In this study we investigate how an ice sheet in North America influences the downstream evolution of the Eurasian ice sheet, using a thermomechanical ice-sheet model forced by climate data from atmospheric snapshot experiments of three distinctly different phases of the last glacial cycle: the Marine Isotope Stages 5b, 4, and 2 (Last Glacial Maximum – LGM). Owing to the large uncertainty associated with glacial changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, each atmospheric snapshot experiment was conducted using two distinctly different ocean heat transport representations. Our results suggest that changes in the North American paleo-topography may have largely controlled the zonal distribution of the Eurasian ice sheet. In the MIS4 and LGM experiments, the Eurasian ice sheet migrates westward towards the Atlantic sector – largely consistent with geological data and contemporary ice-sheet reconstructions – due to a low wave number stationary wave response, which yields a cooling in Europe and a warming in northeastern Siberia. The expansion of the North American ice sheet between MIS4 and the LGM amplifies the Siberian warm anomaly, which limits the glaciation there and may therefore help explain the progressive westward migration of the Eurasian ice sheet in this time period. The ocean heat transport only has a small influence on the stationary wave response to the North American glacial topography; however, because temperature anomalies have a smaller influence on an ice sheet's ablation in a colder climate than in a warmer one, the impact of the North American glacial topography on the Eurasian ice-sheet evolution is reduced for colder surface conditions in the North Atlantic. While the Eurasian ice sheet in the MIS4 and the LGM experiments appears to be in equilibrium with the simulated climate conditions, the MIS5b climate forcing is too warm to grow an ice sheet in Eurasia. First-order sensitivity experiments suggest that the MIS5b ice sheet was established during preceding colder stages.

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