Reconstructing Sea Surface Dynamics Using a Linear Koopman Kalman Filter

Author(s):  
Said Ouala ◽  
Ronan Fablet ◽  
Ananda Pascual Pascual ◽  
Bertrand Chapron ◽  
Fabrice Collard ◽  
...  

<p>Spatio-temporal interpolation applications are important in the context of ocean surface modeling. Current state-of-the-art techniques typically rely either on optimal interpolation or on model-based approaches which explicitly exploit a dynamical model. While the optimal interpolation suffers from smoothing issues making it unreliable in retrieving fine-scale variability, the selection and parametrization of a dynamical model, when considering model-based data assimilation strategies, remains a complex issue since several trade-offs between the model's complexity and its applicability in sea surface data assimilation need to be carefully addressed. For these reasons, deriving new data assimilation architectures that can perfectly exploit the observations and the current advances in signal processing, modeling and artificial intelligence is crucial.</p><p>In this work, we explore new advances in data-driven data assimilation to exploit the classical Kalman filter in the interpolation of spatio-temporal fields. The proposed algorithm is written in an end-to-end differentiable setting in order to allow for the learning of the linear dynamical model from a data assimilation cost. Furthermore, the linear model is formulated on a space of observables, rather than the space of observations, which allows for perfect replication of non-linear dynamics when considering periodic and quasi-periodic limit sets and providing a decent (short-term) forecast of chaotic ones. One of the main advantages of the proposed architecture is its simplicity since it utilises a linear representation coupled with a Kalman filter. Interestingly, our experiments show that exploiting such a linear representation leads to better data assimilation when compared to non-linear filtering techniques, on numerous applications, including the sea level anomaly reconstruction from satellite remote sensing observations.</p>

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1864 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said Ouala ◽  
Ronan Fablet ◽  
Cédric Herzet ◽  
Bertrand Chapron ◽  
Ananda Pascual ◽  
...  

The forecasting and reconstruction of oceanic dynamics is a crucial challenge. While model driven strategies are still the state-of-the-art approaches in the reconstruction of spatio-temporal dynamics. The ever increasing availability of data collections in oceanography raised the relevance of data-driven approaches as computationally efficient representations of spatio-temporal fields reconstruction. This tools proved to outperform classical state-of-the-art interpolation techniques such as optimal interpolation and DINEOF in the retrievement of fine scale structures while still been computationally efficient comparing to model based data assimilation schemes. However, coupling this data-driven priors to classical filtering schemes limits their potential representativity. From this point of view, the recent advances in machine learning and especially neural networks and deep learning can provide a new infrastructure for dynamical modeling and interpolation within a data-driven framework. In this work we adress this challenge and develop a novel Neural-Network-based (NN-based) Kalman filter for spatio-temporal interpolation of sea surface dynamics. Based on a data-driven probabilistic representation of spatio-temporal fields, our approach can be regarded as an alternative to classical filtering schemes such as the ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) in data assimilation. Overall, the key features of the proposed approach are two-fold: (i) we propose a novel architecture for the stochastic representation of two dimensional (2D) geophysical dynamics based on a neural networks, (ii) we derive the associated parametric Kalman-like filtering scheme for a computationally-efficient spatio-temporal interpolation of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) fields. We illustrate the relevance of our contribution for an OSSE (Observing System Simulation Experiment) in a case-study region off South Africa. Our numerical experiments report significant improvements in terms of reconstruction performance compared with operational and state-of-the-art schemes (e.g., optimal interpolation, Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) based interpolation and analog data assimilation).


2010 ◽  
Vol 34 (8) ◽  
pp. 1984-1999 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmadreza Zamani ◽  
Ahmadreza Azimian ◽  
Arnold Heemink ◽  
Dimitri Solomatine

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
pp. 3123-3139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasumasa Miyazawa ◽  
Hiroshi Murakami ◽  
Toru Miyama ◽  
Sergey Varlamov ◽  
Xinyu Guo ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 271 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonardo Nascimento Lima ◽  
Clemente Augusto Souza Tanajura

ABSTRACT. In this study, assimilation of Jason-1 and Jason-2 along-track sea level anomaly (SLA) data was conducted in a region of the tropical and South Atlantic (7◦N-36◦S, 20◦W up to the Brazilian coast) using an optimal interpolation method and the HYCOM (Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model). Four 24 h-forecast experiments were performed daily from January 1 until March 31, 2011 considering different SLA assimilation data windows (1 day and 2 days) and different coefficients in the parameterization of the SLA covariance matrix model. The model horizontal resolution was 1/12◦ and the number of vertical layers was 21. The SLA analyses added to the mean sea surface height were projected to the subsurface with the Cooper & Haines (1996) scheme. The results showed that the experiment with 2-day window of along-track data and with specific parameterizations of the model SLA covariance error for sub-regions of the METAREA V was the most accurate. It completely reconstructed the model sea surface height and important improvements in the circulation were produced. For instance, there was a substantial improvement in the representation of the Brazil Current and North Brazil Undercurrent. However, since no assimilation of vertical profiles of temperature and salinity and of sea surface temperature was performed, the methodology employed here should be considered only as a step towards a high quality analysis for operational forecasting systems.   Keywords: data assimilation, optimal interpolation, Cooper & Haines scheme, altimetry data.   RESUMO. Neste estudo, a assimilação de dados de anomalia da altura da superfície do mar (AASM) ao longo da trilha dos satélites Jason-1 e Jason-2 foi conduzida em uma região do Atlântico tropical e Sul (7◦N-36◦S, 20◦W até a costa do Brasil) com o método de interpolação ótima e o modelo oceânico HYCOM (Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model). Foram realizados quatro experimentos de previsão de 24 h entre 1 de janeiro e 31 de março de 2011, considerando diferentes janelas de assimilação de AASM (1 dia e 2 dias) e diferentes coeficientes na parametrização da matriz de covariância dos erros de AASM do modelo. A resolução horizontal empregada no HYCOM foi 1/12◦ para 21 camadas verticais. As correções de altura da superfície do mar devido à assimilação de AASM foram projetadas abaixo da camada de mistura através da técnica de Cooper & Haines (1996). Os resultados mostraram que o experimento com assimilação de dados ao longo da trilha dos satélites com a janela de 2 dias e com parametrizações da matriz de covariância específicas para sub-regiões da METAREA V foi o mais acurado. Ele reconstruiu completamente a altura da superfície do mar e também proporcionou melhorias na circulação oceânica reproduzida pelo modelo. Por exemplo, houve substancial melhoria da representação nos campos da Corrente do Brasil e Subcorrente Norte do Brasil. Entretanto, tendo em vista que não foi realizada a assimilação de perfis verticais de temperatura e de salinidade e da temperatura da superfície do mar, a metodologia apresentada deve ser considerada apenas como um passo na conquista de uma análise oceânica e de um sistema previsor de qualidade para fins operacionais.   Palavras-chave: assimilação de dados, interpolação ótima, técnica de Cooper & Haines, dados de altimetria.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. G. Demyshev ◽  
N. A. Evstigneeva ◽  
D. V. Alekseev ◽  
O. A. Dymova ◽  
N. A. Miklashevskaya ◽  
...  

Purpose. The study is aimed at evaluating effectiveness of the procedure of the observational data assimilation using the Kalman filter algorithm as compared to sequential analysis of the hydrophysical fields based on the optimal interpolation method, and at analyzing the mesoscale features of coastal circulation near the western Crimea coast and in the Sevastopol region. Methods and Results. Based on the hydrodynamic model adapted to the Black Sea coastal zone conditions including the open boundary and on the temperature and salinity data from the hydrological survey in 2007, the dynamic and energy characteristics of the Black Sea coastal circulation were calculated with high spatial resolution (horizontal grid is ~ 1.6 × 1.6 km and 30 vertical horizons). The hydrophysical fields were reconstructed using two algorithms of data assimilation: the sequential optimal interpolation and the modified Kalman filter. The kinetic energy changed mainly due to the wind action, vertical friction and the work of pressure forces; the potential energy – due to the potential energy advection and the horizontal turbulent diffusion. The following circulation features were reconstructed: the anticyclonic eddy with the radius about 15 km in the Kalamita Bay in the water upper layer, the anticyclonic eddy with the radius about 15 km between 32.2 and 32.6° E in the whole water layer, the intense current near Sevastopol and along the Crimea western coast directed to the north and northwest, and the submesoscale eddies of different signs of rotation in the upper layer. Conclusions. It is shown that having been taken into account, heterogeneity and non-isotropy of the error estimates of the temperature and salinity fields relative to the correlation function lead to qualitative and quantitative differences in the hydrodynamic fields (amplification of currents, change of the currents’ direction and eddy formations were better pronounced). At the same time, the mean square errors of the thermohaline fields’ estimates decreased. Formation of the anticyclonic eddy with the radius about 15 km in the Kalamita Bay could be related to the current shear instability. Submesoscale eddies with the diameters less than 5 km were formed when the current flowed around the coastline and the bottom topography inhomogeneities.


2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (2) ◽  
pp. 565-581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masaru Kunii ◽  
Kosuke Ito ◽  
Akiyoshi Wada

An ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) that uses a regional mesoscale atmosphere–ocean coupled model was preliminarily examined to provide realistic sea surface temperature (SST) estimates and to represent the uncertainties of SST in ensemble data assimilation strategies. The system was evaluated through data assimilation cycle experiments over a one-month period from July to August 2014, during which time a tropical cyclone (TC) as well as severe rainfall events occurred. The results showed that the data assimilation cycle with the coupled model reproduced SST distributions realistically even without assimilating SST and sea surface salinity observations, and atmospheric variables provided to ocean models can, therefore, control oceanic variables physically to some extent. The forecast error covariance calculated in the EnKF with the coupled model showed dependency on oceanic vertical mixing for near-surface atmospheric variables due to the difference of variability between the atmosphere and the ocean as well as the influence of SST variations on the atmospheric boundary layer. The EnKF with the coupled model reproduced the intensity change of Typhoon Halong (2014) during the mature phase more realistically than with an uncoupled atmosphere model, although there remained a degradation of the SST estimate, particularly around the Kuroshio region. This suggests that an atmosphere–ocean coupled data assimilation system should be developed that is able to physically control both atmospheric and oceanic variables.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 997-1024 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terence J. O’Kane ◽  
Paul A. Sandery ◽  
Didier P. Monselesan ◽  
Pavel Sakov ◽  
Matthew A. Chamberlain ◽  
...  

We develop and compare variants of coupled data assimilation (DA) systems based on ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) and ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) methods. The assimilation system is first tested on a small paradigm model of the coupled tropical–extratropical climate system, then implemented for a coupled general circulation model (GCM). Strongly coupled DA was employed specifically to assess the impact of assimilating ocean observations [sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface height (SSH), and sea surface salinity (SSS), Argo, XBT, CTD, moorings] on the atmospheric state analysis update via the cross-domain error covariances from the coupled-model background ensemble. We examine the relationship between ensemble spread, analysis increments, and forecast skill in multiyear ENSO prediction experiments with a particular focus on the atmospheric response to tropical ocean perturbations. Initial forecast perturbations generated from bred vectors (BVs) project onto disturbances at and below the thermocline with similar structures to ETKF perturbations. BV error growth leads ENSO SST phasing by 6 months whereupon the dominant mechanism communicating tropical ocean variability to the extratropical atmosphere is via tropical convection modulating the Hadley circulation. We find that bred vectors specific to tropical Pacific thermocline variability were the most effective choices for ensemble initialization and ENSO forecasting.


2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. G. Demyshev ◽  
N. A. Evstigneeva ◽  
D. V. Alekseev ◽  
O. A. Dymova ◽  
N. A. Miklashevskaya ◽  
...  

Purpose. The study is aimed at evaluating effectiveness of the procedure of the observational data assimilation using the Kalman filter algorithm as compared to sequential analysis of the hydrophysical fields based on the optimal interpolation method, and at analyzing the mesoscale features of coastal circulation near the western Crimea coast and in the Sevastopol region. Methods and Results. Based on the hydrodynamic model adapted to the Black Sea coastal zone conditions including the open boundary and on the temperature and salinity data from the hydrological survey in 2007, the dynamic and energy characteristics of the Black Sea coastal circulation were calculated with high spatial resolution (horizontal grid is ~1.6×1.6 km and 30 vertical horizons). The hydrophysical fields were reconstructed using two algorithms of data assimilation: the sequential optimal interpolation and the modified Kalman filter. The kinetic energy changed mainly due to the wind action, vertical friction and the work of pressure forces; the potential energy – due to the potential energy advection and the horizontal turbulent diffusion. The following circulation features were reconstructed: the anticyclonic eddy with the radius about 15 km in the Kalamitsky Bay in the water upper layer, the anticyclonic eddy with the radius about 15 km between 32.2 and 32.6° E in the whole water layer, the intense current near Sevastopol and along the Crimea western coast directed to the north and northwest, and the submesoscale eddies of different signs of rotation in the upper layer. Conclusions. It is shown that having been taken into account, heterogeneity and non-isotropy of the error estimates of the temperature and salinity fields relative to the correlation function lead to qualitative and quantitative differences in the hydrodynamic fields (amplification of currents, change of the currents’ direction and eddy formations were better pronounced). At the same time, the mean square errors of the thermohaline fields’ estimates decreased. Formation of the anticyclonic eddy with the radius about 15 km in the Kalamitsky Bay could be related to the current shear instability. Submesoscale eddies with the diameters less than 5 km were formed when the current flowed around the coastline and the bottom topography inhomogeneities


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