scholarly journals Physically-based distributed hydrological model calibration based on a short period of streamflow data: case studies in two Chinese basins

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenchao Sun ◽  
Yuanyuan Wang ◽  
Xingqi Cui ◽  
Jingshan Yu ◽  
Depeng Zuo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Analysis ◽  
Model Calibration ◽  
Calibration Data ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Daily Streamflow ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Analysis Scheme ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Streamflow Data ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Models

Abstract. Physically-based distributed hydrological models are widely used for hydrological simulations in various environments. However, as with conceptual models, they are limited in data-sparse basin by the lack of streamflow data for calibration. Short periods of observational data (less than 1 year) may be obtained from the fragmentary historical records of past-existed gauging stations or from temporary gauging during field surveys, which might be of values for model calibration. This study explored how the use of limited continuous daily streamflow data might support the application of a physically-based distributed model in data-sparse basins. The influence of the length of observation period on the calibration of the widely applied Soil and Water Assessment Tool model was evaluated in two Chinese basins with differing climatic and geophysical characteristics. The evaluations were conducted by comparing calibrations based on short periods of data with calibrations based on data from a 3-year period, which were treated as benchmark calibrations for the two basins. To ensure the differences in the model simulations solely come from differences in the calibration data, the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Analysis scheme was employed for the automatic calibration and uncertainty analysis. In both basins, contrary to the common understanding of the need for observations over a period of several years, data records with lengths of less than 1 year were shown to calibrate the model effectively, i.e. performances similar to the benchmark calibrations were achieved. The model of wet Jinjiang Basin could be effectively calibrated using a shorter data record (1 month), compared with the arid Heihe Basin (6 months). Even though the two basins are very different, the results demonstrated that data from the wet season and wetter years performed better that data from the dry season and drier year. The results of this study demonstrated that short periods of observations could be a promising solution to the problem of calibration of physically-based distributed hydrological models in data-sparse basins and further researches similar to this study are required to gain more general understandings about the optimum number of observations needed for calibration when such model are applied to real data-sparse basins.

scholarly journals Physically based distributed hydrological model calibration based on a short period of streamflow data: case studies in four Chinese basins

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 251-265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenchao Sun ◽  
Yuanyuan Wang ◽  
Guoqiang Wang ◽  
Xingqi Cui ◽  
Jingshan Yu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Analysis ◽  
Model Calibration ◽  
Conceptual Models ◽  
Calibration Data ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Analysis Scheme ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Streamflow Data ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Models

Abstract. Physically based distributed hydrological models are widely used for hydrological simulations in various environments. As with conceptual models, they are limited in data-sparse basins by the lack of streamflow data for calibration. Short periods of observational data (less than 1 year) may be obtained from fragmentary historical records of previously existing gauging stations or from temporary gauging during field surveys, which might be of value for model calibration. However, unlike lumped conceptual models, such an approach has not been explored sufficiently for physically based distributed models. This study explored how the use of limited continuous daily streamflow data might support the application of a physically based distributed model in data-sparse basins. The influence of the length of the observation period on the calibration of the widely applied soil and water assessment tool model was evaluated in four Chinese basins with differing climatic and geophysical characteristics. The evaluations were conducted by comparing calibrations based on short periods of data with calibrations based on data from a 3-year period, which were treated as benchmark calibrations of the four basins, respectively. To ensure the differences in the model simulations solely come from differences in the calibration data, the generalized likelihood uncertainty analysis scheme was employed for the automatic calibration and uncertainty analysis. In the four basins, contrary to the common understanding of the need for observations over a period of several years, data records with lengths of less than 1 year were shown to calibrate the model effectively, i.e., performances similar to the benchmark calibrations were achieved. The models of the wet Jinjiang and Donghe basins could be effectively calibrated using a shorter data record (1 month), compared with the dry Heihe and upstream Yalongjiang basins (6 months). Even though the four basins are very different, when using 1-year or 6-month (covering a whole dry season or rainy season) data, the results show that data from wet seasons and wet years are generally more reliable than data from dry seasons and dry years, especially for the two dry basins. The results demonstrated that this idea could be a promising approach to the problem of calibration of physically based distributed hydrological models in data-sparse basins, and findings from the discussion in this study are valuable for assessing the effectiveness of short-period data for model calibration in real-world applications.

scholarly journals How good are hydrological models for gap-filling streamflow data?

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (8) ◽  
pp. 4593-4604 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongqiang Zhang ◽  
David Post
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Hydrological Response ◽  
Gap Filling ◽  
Annual Streamflow ◽  
Response Variable ◽  
Benchmark Data ◽  
Streamflow Data ◽  
Streamflow Trend

Abstract. Gap-filling streamflow data is a critical step for most hydrological studies, such as streamflow trend, flood, and drought analysis and hydrological response variable estimates and predictions. However, there is a lack of quantitative evaluation of the gap-filled data accuracy in most hydrological studies. Here we show that when the missing data rate is less than 10 %, the gap-filled streamflow data obtained using calibrated hydrological models perform almost the same as the benchmark data (less than 1 % missing) when estimating annual trends for 217 unregulated catchments widely spread across Australia. Furthermore, the relative streamflow trend bias caused by the gap filling is not very large in very dry catchments where the hydrological model calibration is normally poor. Our results clearly demonstrate that the gap filling using hydrological modelling has little impact on the estimation of annual streamflow and its trends.

scholarly journals Model Uncertainty Analysis Methods for Semi-Arid Watersheds with Different Characteristics: A Comparative SWAT Case Study

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lufang Zhang ◽  
Baolin Xue ◽  
Yuhui Yan ◽  
Guoqiang Wang ◽  
Wenchao Sun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Analysis ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Models ◽  
Different Characteristics

Distributed hydrological models play a vital role in water resources management. With the rapid development of distributed hydrological models, research into model uncertainty has become a very important field. When studying traditional hydrological model uncertainty, it is very common to use multisite observation data to evaluate the performance of the model in the same watershed, but there are few studies on uncertainty in watersheds with different characteristics. This study is based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, and uses two common methods: Sequential Uncertainty Fitting Version 2 (SUFI-2) and Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) for uncertainty analysis. We compared these methods in terms of parameter uncertainty, model prediction uncertainty, and simulation effects. The Xiaoqing River basin and the Xinxue River basin, which have different characteristics, including watershed geography and scale, were used for the study areas. The results show that the GLUE method had better applicability in the Xiaoqing River basin, and that the SUFI-2 method provided more reasonable and accurate analysis results in the Xinxue River basin; thus, the applicability was higher. The uncertainty analysis method is affected to some extent by the characteristics of the watershed.

scholarly journals Performance of HEC-HMS and SWAT to simulate streamflow in the sub-humid tropical Hemavathi catchment

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. C. Sanjay Shekar ◽  
D. C. Vinay
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Daily Streamflow ◽  
Compensation Factor ◽  
Elevation Model

Abstract The present study was conducted to examine the accuracy and applicability of the hydrological models Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC)- Hydrologic Modeling System (HMS) to simulate streamflows. Models combined with the ArcGIS interface have been used for hydrological study in the humid tropical Hemavathi catchment (5,427 square kilometer). The critical focus of the streamflow analysis was to determine the efficiency of the models when the models were calibrated and optimized using observed flows in the simulation of streamflows. Daily weather gauge stations data were used as inputs for the models from 2014–2020 period. Other data inputs required to run the models included land use/land cover (LU/LC) classes resulting from remote sensing satellite imagery, soil map and digital elevation model (DEM). For evaluating the model performance and calibration, daily stream discharge from the catchment outlet data were used. For the SWAT model calibration, available water holding capacity by soil (SOL_AWC), curve number (CN) and soil evaporation compensation factor (ESCO) are identified as the sensitive parameters. Initial abstraction (Ia) and lag time (Tlag) are the significant parameters identified for the HEC-HMS model calibration. The models were subsequently adjusted by autocalibration for 2014–2017 to minimize the variations in simulated and observed streamflow values at the catchment outlet (Akkihebbal). The hydrological models were validated for the 2018–2020 period by using the calibrated models. For evaluating the simulating daily streamflows during calibration and validation phases, performances of the models were conducted by using the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) and coefficient of determination (R2). The SWAT model yielded high R2 and NSE values of 0.85 and 0.82 for daily streamflow comparisons for the catchment outlet at the validation time, suggesting that the SWAT model showed relatively good results than the HEC-HMS model. Also, under modified LU/LC and ungauged streamflow conditions, the calibrated models can be later used to simulate streamflows for future predictions. Overall, the SWAT model seems to have done well in streamflow analysis capably for hydrological studies.

scholarly journals Integrating remote sensing-derived evapotranspiration and ground-monitored discharge data for the improvement of hydrological modelling: A case study of the Sekong River Basin

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raksmey Ang ◽  
S. Shrestha ◽  
Salvatore Virdis ◽  
Saurav KC
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Model Calibration ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Streamflow Data ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Streamflow Simulation ◽  
Calibration Approach

This study analyses the efficiency of integrating remotely sensed evapotranspiration into the process of hydrological model calibration. A joint calibration approach, employing both remote sensing-derived evapotranspiration and ground-monitored streamflow data was compared with a conventional ground-monitored streamflow calibration approach through physically-based hydrological, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model setups. The efficacy of the two calibration schemes was investigated in two modelling setups: 1) a physically-based model with only the outlet gauge available for calibration, and 2) a physically-based model with multiple gauges available for calibration. Joint calibration was found to enhance the skill of hydrological models in streamflow simulation compared to ground-monitored streamflow-only calibration at the unsaturated zone in the upstream area, where essential information on evapotranspiration is also required. Additionally, the use of remote sensing-derived evapotranspiration can significantly improve high flow compared to low flow simulation. A more consistent model performance improvement, obtained from using remote sensing-derived evapotranspiration data was found at gauged sites not used in the calibration, due to additional information on spatial evapotranspiration in internal locations being enhanced into a process-based model. Eventually, satellite-based evapotranspiration with fine resolution was found to be competent for calibrating and validating the hydrological model for streamflow simulation in the absence of measured streamflow data for model calibration. Furthermore, the impact of using evapotranspiration for hydrologic model calibration tended to be stronger at the upstream and tributary sub-basins than at downstream sub-basins.

Uncertainty analysis of calibrated parameter values of an urban storm water quality model using metropolis monte carlo algorithm

1997 ◽  
Vol 36 (5) ◽  
pp. 141-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Mailhot ◽  
É. Gaume ◽  
J.-P. Villeneuve
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Uncertainty Analysis ◽  
Model Calibration ◽  
Monte Carlo Algorithm ◽  
Storm Water ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Calibration Data ◽  
Parameter Uncertainties ◽  
Metropolis Monte Carlo ◽  
Parameter Values

The Storm Water Management Model's quality module is calibrated for a section of Québec City's sewer system using data collected during five rain events. It is shown that even for this simple model, calibration can fail: similarly a good fit between recorded data and simulation results can be obtained with quite different sets of model parameters, leading to great uncertainty on calibrated parameter values. In order to further investigate the lack of data and data uncertainty impacts on calibration, we used a new methodology based on the Metropolis Monte Carlo algorithm. This analysis shows that for a large amount of calibration data generated by the model itself, small data uncertainties are necessary to significantly decrease calibrated parameter uncertainties. This also confirms the usefulness of the Metropolis algorithm as a tool for uncertainty analysis in the context of model calibration.

scholarly journals Objective functions used as performance metrics for hydrological models: state-of-the-art and critical analysis

RBRH ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paloma Mara de Lima Ferreira ◽  
Adriano Rolim da Paz ◽  
Juan Martín Bravo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Model Calibration ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Low Flow ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Objective Functions ◽  
Flow Rates ◽  
Daily Streamflow ◽  
Synthetic Time Series

ABSTRACT Hydrological models (HMs) can be applied for different purposes, and a key step is model calibration using objective functions (OF) to quantify the agreement between observed and calculated discharges. Fully understanding the OF is important to properly take advantage of model calibration and interpret the results. This study evaluates 36 OF proposed in the literature, considering two watersheds of different hydrological regimes. Daily simulated streamflow time-series, using a distributed hydrological model (MGB-IPH), and ten daily streamflow synthetic time-series, generated from the observed and calculated streamflows, were used in the analysis of each watershed. These synthetic data were used to evaluate how does each metric evaluate hypothetical cases that present isolated very well known error behaviors. Despite of all NSE-derived (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) metrics that use the square of the residuals in their formulation have shown higher sensitivity to errors in high flows, the ones that use daily and monthly averages of flow rates in absolute terms were more stringent than the others to assess HMs performance. Low flow errors were better evaluated by metrics that use the flow logarithm. The constant presence of zero flow rates deteriorate them significantly, with the exception of the metrics TRMSE (Transformed root mean square error) did not demonstrate this problem. An observed limitation of the formulations of some metrics was that the errors of overestimation or underestimation are compensated. Our results reassert that each metric should be interpreted specifically thinking about the aspects it has been proposed for, and simultaneously taking into account a set of metrics would lead to a broader evaluation of HM ability (e.g. multiobjective model evaluation). We recommend that the use of synthetic time series as those proposed in this work could be useful as an auxiliary step towards better understanding the evaluation of a calibrated hydrological model for each study case, taking into account model capabilities and observed hydrologic regime characteristics.

scholarly journals A physically-based distributed karst hydrological model (QMG model-V1.0) for flood simulations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji Li ◽  
Daoxian Yuan ◽  
Fuxi Zhang ◽  
Yongjun Jiang ◽  
Jiao Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Complex Model ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
Average Value ◽  
Distributed Models ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Flood Simulations ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Models ◽  
Hydrogeological Data

Abstract. Karst trough valleys are prone to flooding, primarily because of the unique hydrogeological features of karst landform, which are conducive to the spread of rapid runoff. Hydrological models that represent the complicated hydrological processes in karst regions are effective for predicting karst flooding, but their application has been hampered by their complex model structures and associated parameter set, especially so for distributed hydrological models, which require large amounts of hydrogeological data. Distributed hydrological models for predicting the Karst flooding is highly dependent on distributed structrues modeling, complicated boundary parameters setting, and tremendous hydrogeological data processing that is both time and computational power consuming. Proposed here is a distributed physically-based karst hydrological model, known as the QMG (Qingmuguan) model. The structural design of this model is relatively simple, and it is generally divided into surface and underground double-layered structures. The parameters that represent the structural functions of each layer have clear physical meanings, and the parameters are less than those of the current distributed models. This allows modeling in karst areas with only a small amount of necessary hydrogeological data. 18 flood processes across the karst underground river in the Qingmuguan karst trough valley are simulated by the QMG model, and the simulated values agree well with observations, for which the average value of Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient was 0.92. A sensitivity analysis shows that the infiltration coefficient, permeability coefficient, and rock porosity are the parameters that require the most attention in model calibration and optimization. The improved predictability of karst flooding by the proposed QMG model promotes a better mechanistic depicting of runoff generation and confluence in karst trough valleys.

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