scholarly journals Rainfall-runoff relationships at event scale in western Mediterranean ephemeral streams

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Serrano-Notivoli ◽  
Alberto Martínez-Salvador ◽  
Rafael García-Lorenzo ◽  
David Espín-Sánchez ◽  
Carmelo Conesa-García
Keyword(s):  
Western Mediterranean ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Ephemeral Streams ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Event Scale ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Flow Generation ◽  
Terrain Characteristics

Abstract. Ephemeral streams are highly dependent on rainfall and terrain characteristics and, therefore, very sensitive to minor changes in these environments. Western Mediterranean area exhibits a highly irregular precipitation regime with a great variety of rainfall events driving the flow generation on intermittent watercourses, and future climate change scenarios depict a lower magnitude and higher intensity of precipitation in this area, potentially leading to severe changes in flows. We explored the rainfall-runoff relationships in two semiarid watersheds in southern Spain (Algeciras and Upper Mula) to model the different types of rainfall events required to generate new flow in both intermittent streams. We used a nonlinear approach through Generalized Additive Models at event scale in terms of magnitude, duration, and intensity, contextualizing resulting thresholds in a long-term perspective through the calculation of return periods. Results showed that the average ~ 1.2-day and <1.5 mm event was not enough to create new flows. At least a 4-day event ranging from 4 to 20 mm, depending on the watershed was needed to ensure new flow at a high probability (95 %). While these thresholds represented low return periods (from 4 to 10 years), the great irregularity of annual precipitation and rainfall characteristics, makes prediction highly uncertain. Almost a third part of the rainfall events resulted in similar or lower flow than previous day, emphasizing the importance of lithological and terrain characteristics that lead to differences in flow generation between the watersheds.

scholarly journals Hillslope Contribution to the Clark Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph: Application to the Seolmacheon Basin, Korea

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 1707
Author(s):  
Chulsang Yoo ◽  
Huy Phuong Doan ◽  
Changhyun Jun ◽  
Wooyoung Na
Keyword(s):  
Peak Flow ◽  
Peak Time ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Maximum Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Storage Coefficient ◽  
Channel Velocity ◽  
Linear Reservoir ◽  
Mountainous Basin

In this study, the time–area curve of an ellipse is analytically derived by considering flow velocities within both channel and hillslope. The Clark IUH is also derived analytically by solving the continuity equation with the input of the derived time–area curve to the linear reservoir. The derived Clark IUH is then evaluated by application to the Seolmacheon basin, a small mountainous basin in Korea. The findings in this study are summarized as follows. (1) The time–area curve of a basin can more realistically be derived by considering both the channel and hillslope velocities. The role of the hillslope velocity can also be easily confirmed by analyzing the derived time–area curve. (2) The analytically derived Clark IUH shows the relative roles of the hillslope velocity and the storage coefficient. Under the condition that the channel velocity remains unchanged, the hillslope velocity controls the runoff peak flow and the concentration time. On the other hand, the effect of the storage coefficient can be found in the runoff peak flow and peak time, as well as in the falling limb of the runoff hydrograph. These findings are also confirmed in the analysis of rainfall–runoff events of the Seolmacheon basin. (3) The effect of the hillslope velocity varies considerably depending on the rainfall events, which is also found to be mostly dependent upon the maximum rainfall intensity.

scholarly journals Non-stationary flood frequency analysis in continental Spanish rivers, using climate and reservoir indices as external covariates

2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (8) ◽  
pp. 3189-3203 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. López ◽  
F. Francés
Keyword(s):  
Frequency Analysis ◽  
Western Mediterranean ◽  
Flood Frequency ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Stationary Time Series ◽  
Flood Frequency Analysis ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Flood Regime ◽  
Mediterranean Oscillation ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Recent evidences of the impact of persistent modes of regional climate variability, coupled with the intensification of human activities, have led hydrologists to study flood regime without applying the hypothesis of stationarity. In this study, a framework for flood frequency analysis is developed on the basis of a tool that enables us to address the modelling of non-stationary time series, namely, the "generalized additive models for location, scale and shape" (GAMLSS). Two approaches to non-stationary modelling in GAMLSS were applied to the annual maximum flood records of 20 continental Spanish rivers. The results of the first approach, in which the parameters of the selected distributions were modelled as a function of time only, show the presence of clear non-stationarities in the flood regime. In a second approach, the parameters of the flood distributions are modelled as functions of climate indices (Arctic Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, Mediterranean Oscillation and the Western Mediterranean Oscillation) and a reservoir index that is proposed in this paper. The results when incorporating external covariates in the study highlight the important role of interannual variability in low-frequency climate forcings when modelling the flood regime in continental Spanish rivers. Also, with this approach it is possible to properly introduce the impact on the flood regime of intensified reservoir regulation strategies. The inclusion of external covariates permits the use of these models as predictive tools. Finally, the application of non-stationary analysis shows that the differences between the non-stationary quantiles and their stationary equivalents may be important over long periods of time.

scholarly journals Rainfall Thresholds for Flow Generation in Desert Ephemeral Streams

2018 ◽  
Vol 54 (12) ◽  
pp. 9935-9950 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie K. Kampf ◽  
Joshua Faulconer ◽  
Jeremy R. Shaw ◽  
Michael Lefsky ◽  
Joseph W. Wagenbrenner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ephemeral Streams ◽  
Rainfall Thresholds ◽  
Flow Generation

scholarly journals Non-stationary flood frequency analysis in continental Spanish rivers, using climate and reservoir indices as external covariates

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 3103-3142 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. López ◽  
F. Francés
Keyword(s):  
Frequency Analysis ◽  
Western Mediterranean ◽  
Flood Frequency ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Stationary Time Series ◽  
Flood Frequency Analysis ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Flood Regime ◽  
Mediterranean Oscillation ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Recent evidences of the impact of persistent modes of regional climate variability, coupled with the intensification of human activities, have led hydrologists to study flood regime without applying the hypothesis of stationarity. In this study, a framework for flood frequency analysis is developed on the basis of a tool that enables us to address the modelling of non-stationary time series, namely, the "generalized additive models for location, scale and shape" (GAMLSS). Two approaches to non-stationary modelling in GAMLSS were applied to the annual maximum flood records of 20 continental Spanish rivers. The results of the first approach, in which the parameters of the selected distributions were modeled as a function of time only, show the presence of clear non-stationarities in the flood regime. In a second approach, the parameters of the distributions are modeled as functions of climate indices (Arctic Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, Mediterranean Oscillation and the Western Mediterranean Oscillation) and a reservoir index that is proposed in this paper. The results when incorporating external covariates in the study highlight the important role of interannual variability in low-frequency climate forcings when modelling the flood regime in continental Spanish rivers. Also, with this approach is possible to properly introduce the impact on the flood regime of intensified reservoir regulation strategies and to be used as predictive tools. Application of non-stationary analysis shows that the differences between the quantiles obtained and their stationary equivalents may be important over long periods of time.

Infiltration characteristics of two instrumented residual soil slopes

2003 ◽  
Vol 40 (5) ◽  
pp. 1012-1032 ◽  
Author(s):  
Illias Tsaparas ◽  
Harianto Rahardjo ◽  
David G Toll ◽  
Eng-Choon Leong
Keyword(s):  
Pore Water ◽  
Pore Water Pressure ◽  
Water Pressure ◽  
Field Measurements ◽  
Residual Soil ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Pore Water Pressures ◽  
Soil Slopes ◽  
Pressure Changes

This paper presents the analysis of a 12 month long field study of the infiltration characteristics of two residual soil slopes in Singapore. The field measurements consist of rainfall data, runoff data of natural and simulated rainfall events, and pore-water pressure changes during infiltration at several depths and at several locations on the two slopes. The analysis of the field measurements identifies the total rainfall and the initial pore-water pressures within the two slopes as the controlling parameters for the changes in the pore-water pressures within the slopes during infiltration.Key words: infiltration, rainfall, runoff, pore-water pressure, field measurements.

scholarly journals Climate and hydrological variability: the catchment filtering role

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 379-387 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Andrés-Doménech ◽  
R. García-Bartual ◽  
A. Montanari ◽  
J. B. Marco
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Peak Flow ◽  
Flood Frequency ◽  
Annual Maximum ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Maximum Peak ◽  
Hydrological Variability ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Measuring the impact of climate change on flood frequency is a complex and controversial task. Identifying hydrological changes is difficult given the factors, other than climate variability, which lead to significant variations in runoff series. The catchment filtering role is often overlooked and thus may hinder the correct identification of climate variability signatures on hydrological processes. Does climate variability necessarily imply hydrological variability? This research aims to analytically derive the flood frequency distribution based on realistic hypotheses about the rainfall process and the rainfall–runoff transformation. The annual maximum peak flow probability distribution is analytically derived to quantify the filtering effect of the rainfall–runoff process on climate change. A sensitivity analysis is performed according to typical semi-arid Mediterranean climatic and hydrological conditions, assuming a simple but common scheme for the rainfall–runoff transformation in small-size ungauged catchments, i.e. the CN-SCS model. Variability in annual maximum peak flows and its statistical significance are analysed when changes in the climatic input are introduced. Results show that depending on changes in the annual number of rainfall events, the catchment filtering role is particularly significant, especially when the event rainfall volume distribution is not strongly skewed. Results largely depend on the return period: for large return periods, peak flow variability is significantly affected by the climatic input, while for lower return periods, infiltration processes smooth out the impact of climate change.

Testing the impacts of wildfire on hydrological and sediment response using the OpenLISEM model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinfeng Wu ◽  
João Pedro Nunes ◽  
Jantiene E. M. Baartman
Keyword(s):  
Water Discharge ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Fire Occurrence ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Extreme Rainfall Events ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Erosion Risk ◽  
Sediment Yields ◽  
Splash Erosion ◽  
Event Based

&lt;p&gt;Wildfires have become a major concern to society in recent decades because increases in the number and severity of wildfires have negative effects on soil and water resources, especially in headwater areas. Models are typically applied to estimate the potential adverse effects of fire. However, few modeling studies have been conducted for meso-scale catchments, and only a fraction of these studies include transport and deposition of eroded material within the catchment or represent spatial erosion patterns. In this study, we firstly designed the procedure of event-based automatic calibration using PEST, parameters ensemble, and jack-knife cross-validation that is suitable for event-based OpenLISEM calibration and validation, especially in data-scarce burned areas. The calibrated and validated OpenLISEM proved capable of providing reasonable accurate predictions of hydrological responses and sediment yields in this burned catchment. Then the model was applied with design storms of six different return periods (0.2, 0.5, 1, 2, 5, and 10 years) to simulate and evaluate pre- and post-wildfire hydrological and erosion responses at the catchment scale. Our results show rainfall amount and intensity play a more important role than fire occurrence in the catchment water discharge and sediment yields, while fire occurrence is regarded as an important factor for peak water discharge, indicating that high post-fire hydro-sedimentary responses are frequently related to extreme rainfall events. The results also suggest a partial shift from flow to splash erosion after fire, especially for higher return periods, explained by a combination of higher splash erosion in burnt upstream areas with a limited sediment transport capacity of surface runoff, preventing flow erosion in downstream areas. In consequence, the pre-fire erosion risk in the croplands of this catchment is partly shifted to a post-fire erosion risk in upper slope forest and natural areas, especially for storms with lower return periods, although erosion risks in croplands are important both before and after fires. This is relevant, as a shift of sediment sources to burnt areas might lead to downstream contamination even if sediment yields remain small. These findings have significant implications to identify areas for post-wildfire stabilization and rehabilitation, which is particularly important given the predicted increase in the occurrence of fires and extreme rainfall events with climate change.&lt;/p&gt;

Probablistic analysis of runoff simulations in a small urban catchment

1997 ◽  
Vol 36 (8-9) ◽  
pp. 51-56
Author(s):  
F. Calomino ◽  
P. Veltri ◽  
P. Piro ◽  
J. Niemczynowicz
Keyword(s):  
Frequency Distribution ◽  
Basic Question ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Urban Catchment ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Frequency Distributions ◽  
The Common ◽  
Runoff Events ◽  
Peak Discharges ◽  
Good Agreement

In Urban Hydrology, a basic question is whether or not the common methods involving the use of design storms bring to the the some results obtained by those methods that make use of real storms. In general, one can say that different design storms give good results when used with the appropriate model, or, conversely, that good results can be achieved through careful model calibration. On the basis of 51 rainfall-runoff recordings obtained from the experimental catchment of Luzzi (Cosenza, Italy), the frequency distribution of the observed peak discharges was initially computed. Then the runoff events were simulated using Wallrus, a well known simulation model, taking as input the observed precipitations. The frequency distribution of the simulated peak discharges was compared to that of the observed ones, with the aim of calibrating the model on a statistical basis. After that, the rainfall events were analysed, obtaining the frequency distributions of the observed intensities over several durations and developing IDF curves of given frequencies and, then, the Chicago design storms. The plotting positions of the peak discharges simulated by this way show a good agreement with the distribution of both the observed peak discharges and the peak discharges simulated through the real storms.

scholarly journals Dependence Between Extreme Rainfall Events and the Seasonality and Bivariate Properties of Floods. A Continuous Distributed Physically-Based Approach

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1896 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel-Martin ◽  
Sordo-Ward ◽  
Garrote ◽  
García
Keyword(s):  
Peak Flow ◽  
Total Duration ◽  
Weather Generator ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Stochastic Weather Generator ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Annual Peak ◽  
Extreme Flood ◽  
Physically Based

This paper focuses on proposing the minimum number of storms necessary to derive the extreme flood hydrographs accurately through event-based modelling. To do so, we analyzed the results obtained by coupling a continuous stochastic weather generator (the Advanced WEather GENerator) with a continuous distributed physically-based hydrological model (the TIN-based real-time integrated basin simulator), and by simulating 5000 years of hourly flow at the basin outlet. We modelled the outflows in a basin named Peacheater Creek located in Oklahoma, USA. Afterwards, we separated the independent rainfall events within the 5000 years of hourly weather forcing, and obtained the flood event associated to each storm from the continuous hourly flow. We ranked all the rainfall events within each year according to three criteria: Total depth, maximum intensity, and total duration. Finally, we compared the flood events obtained from the continuous simulation to those considering the N highest storm events per year according to the three criteria and by focusing on four different aspects: Magnitude and recurrence of the maximum annual peak-flow and volume, seasonality of floods, dependence among maximum peak-flows and volumes, and bivariate return periods. The main results are: (a) Considering the five largest total depth storms per year generates the maximum annual peak-flow and volume, with a probability of 94% and 99%, respectively and, for return periods higher than 50 years, the probability increases to 99% in both cases; (b) considering the five largest total depth storms per year the seasonality of flood is reproduced with an error of less than 4% and (c) bivariate properties between the peak-flow and volume are preserved, with an error on the estimation of the copula fitted of less than 2%.

scholarly journals Rainfall-runoff modelling of ephemeral streams in the Valencia region (eastern Spain)

2002 ◽  
Vol 16 (17) ◽  
pp. 3329-3344 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana M. Camarasa ◽  
Kevin A. Tilford
Keyword(s):  
Ephemeral Streams ◽  
Rainfall Runoff
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