scholarly journals Snow instability evaluation: calculating the skier-induced stress in a multi-layered snowpack

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 775-788 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabiano Monti ◽  
Johan Gaume ◽  
Alec van Herwijnen ◽  
Jürg Schweizer

Abstract. The process of dry-snow slab avalanche formation can be divided into two phases: failure initiation and crack propagation. Several approaches tried to quantify slab avalanche release probability in terms of failure initiation based on shear stress and strength. Though it is known that both the properties of the weak layer and the slab play a major role in avalanche release, most previous approaches only considered slab properties in terms of slab depth, average density and skier penetration. For example, for the skier stability index, the additional stress (e.g. due to a skier) at the depth of the weak layer is calculated by assuming that the snow cover can be considered a semi-infinite, elastic, half-space. We suggest a new approach based on a simplification of the multi-layered elasticity theory in order to easily compute the additional stress due to a skier at the depth of the weak layer, taking into account the layering of the snow slab and the substratum. We first tested the proposed approach on simplified snow profiles, then on manually observed snow profiles including a stability test and, finally, on simulated snow profiles. Our simple approach reproduced the additional stress obtained by finite element simulations for the simplified profiles well – except that the sequence of layering in the slab cannot be replicated. Once implemented into the classical skier stability index and applied to manually observed snow profiles classified into different stability classes, the classification accuracy improved with the new approach. Finally, we implemented the refined skier stability index into the 1–D snow cover model SNOWPACK. The two study cases presented in this paper showed promising results even though further verification is still needed. In the future, we intend to implement the proposed approach for describing skier-induced stress within a multi-layered snowpack into more complex models which take into account not only failure initiation but also crack propagation.

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (8) ◽  
pp. 4833-4869
Author(s):  
F. Monti ◽  
J. Gaume ◽  
A. van Herwijnen ◽  
J. Schweizer

Abstract. The process of dry-snow slab avalanche formation can be divided into two phases: failure initiation and crack propagation. Several approaches tried to quantify slab avalanche release probability in terms of failure initiation based on shear stress and strength. Though it is known that both the properties of the weak layer and the slab play a major role in avalanche release, most previous approaches only considered slab properties in terms of slab depth, average density and skier penetration. For example, for the skier stability index, the additional stress (e.g. due to a skier) at the depth of the weak layer is calculated by assuming that the snow cover can be considered a semi-infinite, elastic half-space. We suggest a new approach based on a simplification of the multi-layered elasticity theory in order to easily compute the additional stress due to a skier at the depth of the weak layer taking into account the layering of the snow slab and the substratum. We first tested the proposed approach on simplified snow profiles, then on manually observed snow profiles including a stability test and, finally, on simulated snow profiles. Our simple approach well reproduced the additional stress obtained by finite element simulations for the simplified profiles – except that the sequence of layering in the slab cannot be replicated. Once implemented into the classical skier stability index and applied to manually observed snow profiles classified into different stability classes, the classification accuracy improved with the new approach. Finally, we implemented the refined skier stability index into the 1-D snow cover model SNOWPACK. For the two study cases presented in this paper, this approach showed promising results even though further verification is still needed. In the future, we intend to implement the proposed approach for describing skier-induced stress within a multi-layered snowpack into more complex models which take into account not only failure initiation but also crack propagation.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bastian Bergfeld ◽  
Alec van Herwijnen ◽  
Gregoire Bobillier ◽  
Jürg Schweizer

<p>For a snow avalanche to release, a weak layer has to be buried below a cohesive snow slab. The slab-weak layer configuration must not only allow failure initiation but also crack propagation across a slope. While in the past failure initiation was extensively studied, research focusing on the onset and dynamics of crack propagation only started with the introduction of the Propagation Saw Test (PST), a meter scale fracture mechanical field test. Since then, various studies used particle tracking analysis of high-speed video recordings of PST experiments to gain insight into crack propagation processes and to measure crack propagation speeds. At the slope scale, a few crack speed estimates have been obtained from seismic sensors, videos or visual observation. However, due to experimental limitations, these latter studies can only provide rather crude crack speed estimates and direct comparisons to PST measurements are still missing. Sure, performing experiments in avalanche terrain is challenging and limited for security reasons, but crack propagation occurs also in slopes not sufficiently steep to release an avalanche. This phenomena is called a whumpf. Since crack propagation in whumpfs is presumably similar to that in avalanches, we developed instrumentation to measure crack speeds on artificially triggered whumpfs. We designed small wireless time synchronized accelerometers with a sampling rate of 400 Hz that can be placed on the snowpack. These measure the downward acceleration of the slab when a crack in the weak layer below passes by. Though triggering whumpfs is difficult and unpredictable, we performed a successful experiment with seven sensors placed over a distance of 25 m. Our experiment revealed a crack speed around 50 ms<sup>-1</sup>. In addition, we obtained very similar crack speed measurements from a 5.3 m long PST carried out close-by (42 ms<sup>-1</sup>) and a video-based speed estimate of an avalanche triggered two days later (42 – 55 ms<sup>-1</sup>). Our unique whumpf measurement is the first slope scale speed value that can be directly compared to results obtained with other speed measurement techniques. The similarity between the measured speeds suggests that the one-dimensional crack propagation in PSTs is also similar to the 2-dimensional crack propagation in Whumpfs and real avalanches. PSTs are therefore well suited to investigate crack propagation processes of dry snow slab avalanches.</p>


1998 ◽  
Vol 26 ◽  
pp. 296-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.B. Jamieson ◽  
C.D. Johnston

Stability indices for skier-triggering of slab avalanches are discussed in terms of an adjustment to the skier-induced stress to allow for ski penetration and an adjustment to shear strength (measured with a shear frame) to allow for normal load due to the slab overlying the weak layer. The proposed adjustment to shear strength depends on the microstructure of the weak layer. These adjustments are incorporated into a refinement of the previously established Swiss stability index for skier-triggering. The percentage of correct predictions for the Swiss and refined indices are evaluated using data from 115 weak layers on skier-tested avalanche slopes, 83 of which were classified as persistent weak layers of surface hoar, faceted crystals or depth hoar and 32 as non-persistent weak layers. The refined index reduces the number of incorrectly predicted slab avalanches for the persistent weak layers.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 3353-3366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bettina Richter ◽  
Jürg Schweizer ◽  
Mathias W. Rotach ◽  
Alec van Herwijnen

Abstract. Observed snow stratigraphy and snow stability are of key importance for avalanche forecasting. Such observations are rare and snow cover models can improve the spatial and temporal resolution. To evaluate snow stability, failure initiation and crack propagation have to be considered. Recently, a new stability criterion relating to crack propagation, namely the critical crack length, was implemented into the snow cover model SNOWPACK. The critical crack length can also be measured in the field with a propagation saw test, which allows for an unambiguous comparison. To validate and improve the parameterization for the critical crack length, we used data from 3 years of field experiments performed close to two automatic weather stations above Davos, Switzerland. We monitored seven distinct weak layers and performed in total 157 propagation saw tests on a weekly basis. Comparing modeled to measured critical crack length showed some discrepancies stemming from model assumption. Hence, we replaced two variables of the original parameterization, namely the weak layer shear modulus and thickness, with a fit factor depending on weak layer density and grain size. With these adjustments, the normalized root-mean-square error between modeled and observed critical crack lengths decreased from 1.80 to 0.28. As the improved parameterization accounts for grain size, values of critical crack lengths for snow layers consisting of small grains, which in general are not weak layers, become larger. In turn, critical weak layers appear more prominently in the vertical profile of critical crack length simulated with SNOWPACK. Hence, minimal values in modeled critical crack length better match observed weak layers. The improved parameterization of critical crack length may be useful for both weak layer detection in simulated snow stratigraphy and also providing more realistic snow stability information – and hence may improve avalanche forecasting.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jürg Schweizer ◽  
Benjamin Reuter ◽  
Alec van Herwijnen ◽  
Bettina Richter ◽  
Johan Gaume

Abstract. If a weak snow layer below a cohesive slab is present in the snow cover, unstable snow conditions can prevail for days or even weeks. We monitored the temporal evolution of a weak layer of faceted crystals as well as the overlaying slab layers at the location of an automatic weather station in the Steintälli field site above Davos (Eastern Swiss Alps). We focussed on the crack propagation propensity and performed propagation saw tests on seven sampling days during a two-month period from early January to early March 2015. Based on video images taken during the tests we determined the mechanical properties of the slab and the weak layer and compared them to the results derived from concurrently performed measurements of penetration resistance using the snow micro-penetrometer (SMP). The critical cut length, observed in PSTs, showed a distinct pattern of temporal evolution that differed from the trend of other mechanical properties suggesting that it is not possible to assess crack propagation propensity by simply monitoring some of the relevant mechanical properties. A simple sensitivity study showed the complex interplay between these properties. Traditional and newly-developed metrics of snow instability describing either the failure initiation or the crack propagation propensity, calculated from simulated snow stratigraphy (SNOWPACK) or derived from the SMP signal, did partially reproduce the observed temporal pattern. Whereas our unique dataset of quantitative measures of snow instability provides new insights into the complex slab-weak layer interaction, it also showed some deficiencies of the modelled metrics of instability – calling for an improved representation of the mechanical properties.


1998 ◽  
Vol 26 ◽  
pp. 296-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.B. Jamieson ◽  
C.D. Johnston

Stability indices for skier-triggering of slab avalanches are discussed in terms of an adjustment to the skier-induced stress to allow for ski penetration and an adjustment to shear strength (measured with a shear frame) to allow for normal load due to the slab overlying the weak layer. The proposed adjustment to shear strength depends on the microstructure of the weak layer. These adjustments are incorporated into a refinement of the previously established Swiss stability index for skier-triggering. The percentage of correct predictions for the Swiss and refined indices are evaluated using data from 115 weak layers on skier-tested avalanche slopes, 83 of which were classified as persistent weak layers of surface hoar, faceted crystals or depth hoar and 32 as non-persistent weak layers. The refined index reduces the number of incorrectly predicted slab avalanches for the persistent weak layers.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 1915-1932 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Gaume ◽  
A. van Herwijnen ◽  
G. Chambon ◽  
K. W. Birkeland ◽  
J. Schweizer

Abstract. Dry-snow slab avalanches are generally caused by a sequence of fracture processes including (1) failure initiation in a weak snow layer underlying a cohesive slab, (2) crack propagation within the weak layer and (3) tensile fracture through the slab which leads to its detachment. During the past decades, theoretical and experimental work has gradually led to a better understanding of the fracture process in snow involving the collapse of the structure in the weak layer during fracture. This now allows us to better model failure initiation and the onset of crack propagation, i.e., to estimate the critical length required for crack propagation. On the other hand, our understanding of dynamic crack propagation and fracture arrest propensity is still very limited. To shed more light on this issue, we performed numerical propagation saw test (PST) experiments applying the discrete element (DE) method and compared the numerical results with field measurements based on particle tracking. The goal is to investigate the influence of weak layer failure and the mechanical properties of the slab on crack propagation and fracture arrest propensity. Crack propagation speeds and distances before fracture arrest were derived from the DE simulations for different snowpack configurations and mechanical properties. Then, in order to compare the numerical and experimental results, the slab mechanical properties (Young's modulus and strength) which are not measured in the field were derived from density. The simulations nicely reproduced the process of crack propagation observed in field PSTs. Finally, the mechanical processes at play were analyzed in depth which led to suggestions for minimum column length in field PSTs.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 2637-2653 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jürg Schweizer ◽  
Benjamin Reuter ◽  
Alec van Herwijnen ◽  
Bettina Richter ◽  
Johan Gaume

Abstract. If a weak snow layer below a cohesive slab is present in the snow cover, unstable snow conditions can prevail for days or even weeks. We monitored the temporal evolution of a weak layer of faceted crystals as well as the overlaying slab layers at the location of an automatic weather station in the Steintälli field site above Davos (Eastern Swiss Alps). We focussed on the crack propagation propensity and performed propagation saw tests (PSTs) on 7 sampling days during a 2-month period from early January to early March 2015. Based on video images taken during the tests we determined the mechanical properties of the slab and the weak layer and compared them to the results derived from concurrently performed measurements of penetration resistance using the snow micro-penetrometer (SMP). The critical cut length, observed in PSTs, increased overall during the measurement period. The increase was not steady and the lowest values of critical cut length were observed around the middle of the measurement period. The relevant mechanical properties, the slab effective elastic modulus and the weak layer specific fracture, overall increased as well. However, the changes with time differed, suggesting that the critical cut length cannot be assessed by simply monitoring a single mechanical property such as slab load, slab modulus or weak layer specific fracture energy. Instead, crack propagation propensity is the result of a complex interplay between the mechanical properties of the slab and the weak layer. We then compared our field observations to newly developed metrics of snow instability related to either failure initiation or crack propagation propensity. The metrics were either derived from the SMP signal or calculated from simulated snow stratigraphy (SNOWPACK). They partially reproduced the observed temporal evolution of critical cut length and instability test scores. Whereas our unique dataset of quantitative measures of snow instability provides new insights into the complex slab-weak layer interaction, it also showed some deficiencies of the modelled metrics of instability – calling for an improved representation of the mechanical properties.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 795-804 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Gaume ◽  
G. Chambon ◽  
N. Eckert ◽  
M. Naaim ◽  
J. Schweizer

Abstract. Dry-snow slab avalanches are generally caused by a sequence of fracture processes, including failure initiation in a weak snow layer underlying a cohesive slab followed by crack propagation within the weak layer (WL) and tensile fracture through the slab. During past decades, theoretical and experimental work has gradually increased our knowledge of the fracture process in snow. However, our limited understanding of crack propagation and fracture arrest propensity prevents the evaluation of avalanche release sizes and thus impedes hazard assessment. To address this issue, slab tensile failure propensity is examined using a mechanically based statistical model of the slab–WL system based on the finite element method. This model accounts for WL heterogeneity, stress redistribution by slab elasticity and possible tensile failure of the slab. Two types of avalanche release are distinguished in the simulations: (1) full-slope release if the heterogeneity is not sufficient to stop crack propagation and trigger a tensile failure within the slab; (2) partial-slope release if fracture arrest and slab tensile failure occur due to the WL heterogeneity. The probability of these two release types is presented as a function of the characteristics of WL heterogeneity and the slab. One of the main outcomes is that, for realistic values of the parameters, the tensile failure propensity is mainly influenced by slab properties. Hard and thick snow slabs are more prone to wide-scale crack propagation and thus lead to larger avalanches (full-slope release). In this case, the avalanche size is mainly influenced by topographical and morphological features such as rocks, trees, slope curvature and the spatial variability of the snow depth as often claimed in the literature.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 609-653 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Gaume ◽  
A. van Herwijnen ◽  
G. Chambon ◽  
J. Schweizer ◽  
K. W. Birkeland

Abstract. Dry-snow slab avalanches are generally caused by a sequence of fracture processes including (1) failure initiation in a weak snow layer underlying a cohesive slab, (2) crack propagation within the weak layer and (3) tensile fracture through the slab which leads to its detachment. During the past decades, theoretical and experimental work has gradually led to a better understanding of the fracture process in snow involving the collapse of the structure in the weak layer during fracture. This now allows us to better model failure initiation and the onset of crack propagation, i.e. to estimate the critical length required for crack propagation. On the other hand, our understanding of dynamic crack propagation and fracture arrest propensity is still very limited. For instance, it is not uncommon to perform field measurements with widespread crack propagation on one day, while a few days later, with very little changes to the snowpack, crack propagation does not occur anymore. Thus far, there is no clear theoretical framework to interpret such observations, and it is not clear how and which snowpack properties affect dynamic crack propagation. To shed more light on this issue, we performed numerical propagation saw test (PST) experiments applying the discrete element (DE) method and compared the numerical results with field measurements based on particle tracking. The goal is to investigate the influence of weak layer failure and the mechanical properties of the slab on crack propagation and fracture arrest propensity. Crack propagation speeds and distances before fracture arrest were derived from the DE simulations for different snowpack configurations and mechanical properties. Then, the relation between mechanical parameters of the snowpack was taken into account so as to compare numerical and experimental results, which were in good agreement, suggesting that the simulations can reproduce crack propagation in PSTs. Finally, an in-depth analysis of the mechanical processes at play was carried out which led to suggestions for minimum column length in field PSTs.


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