scholarly journals OSSE for a sustainable marine observing network in the Sea of Marmara

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 537-551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Aydoğdu ◽  
Timothy J. Hoar ◽  
Tomislava Vukicevic ◽  
Jeffrey L. Anderson ◽  
Nadia Pinardi ◽  
...  

Abstract. An observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) is presented in the Sea of Marmara. A high-resolution ocean circulation model (FESOM) and an ensemble data assimilation tool (DART) are coupled. The OSSE methodology is used to assess the possible impact of a FerryBox network in the eastern Sea of Marmara. A reference experiment without assimilation is performed. Then, synthetic temperature and salinity observations are assimilated along the track of the ferries in the second experiment. The results suggest that a FerryBox network in the Sea of Marmara has potential to improve the forecasts significantly. The salinity and temperature errors get smaller in the upper layer of the water column. The impact of the assimilation is negligible in the lower layer due to the strong stratification. The circulation in the Sea of Marmara, particularly the Bosphorus outflow, helps to propagate the error reduction towards the western basin where no assimilation is performed. Overall, the proposed FerryBox network can be a good start to designing an optimal sustained marine observing network in the Sea of Marmara for assimilation purposes.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Aydoğdu ◽  
Timothy J. Hoar ◽  
Tomislava Vukicevic ◽  
Jeffrey L. Anderson ◽  
Nadia Pinardi ◽  
...  

Abstract. An observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) is presented in the Marmara Sea. A high resolution ocean circulation model (FESOM) and an ensemble data assimilation tool (DART) are coupled. The OSSE methodology is used to assess the possible impact of a ferrybox network in the eastern Marmara Sea. A reference experiment without assimilation is performed. Then, synthetic temperature and salinity observations are assimilated along the track of the ferries in the second experiment. The results suggest that a ferrybox network in the Marmara Sea may improve the forecasts significantly. The salinity and temperature errors get smaller in the upper layer of the water column. The impact of the assimilation is negligible in the lower layer due to the strong stratification. The circulation in the Marmara Sea, particularly the Bosphorus outflow, helps to propagate the error reduction towards the western basin where no assimilation is performed. Overall, the proposed ferrybox network can be a good start to design an optimal sustained marine observing network in the Marmara Sea for assimilation purposes.


1997 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 111-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Achim Stössel

This paper investigates the long-term impact of sea ice on global climate using a global sea-ice–ocean general circulation model (OGCM). The sea-ice component involves state-of-the-art dynamics; the ocean component consists of a 3.5° × 3.5° × 11 layer primitive-equation model. Depending on the physical description of sea ice, significant changes are detected in the convective activity, in the hydrographic properties and in the thermohaline circulation of the ocean model. Most of these changes originate in the Southern Ocean, emphasizing the crucial role of sea ice in this marginally stably stratified region of the world's oceans. Specifically, if the effect of brine release is neglected, the deep layers of the Southern Ocean warm up considerably; this is associated with a weakening of the Southern Hemisphere overturning cell. The removal of the commonly used “salinity enhancement” leads to a similar effect. The deep-ocean salinity is almost unaffected in both experiments. Introducing explicit new-ice thickness growth in partially ice-covered gridcells leads to a substantial increase in convective activity, especially in the Southern Ocean, with a concomitant significant cooling and salinification of the deep ocean. Possible mechanisms for the resulting interactions between sea-ice processes and deep-ocean characteristics are suggested.


2007 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 1464-1478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Detlef Stammer ◽  
Armin Köhl ◽  
Carl Wunsch

Abstract The impact of new geoid height models on estimates of the ocean circulation, now available from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) spacecraft, is assessed, and the implications of far more accurate geoids, anticipated from the European Space Agency’s (ESA) Gravity and Ocean Circulation Explorer (GOCE) mission, are explored. The study is based on several circulation estimates obtained over the period 1992–2002 by combining most of the available ocean datasets with a global general circulation model on a 1° horizontal grid and by exchanging only the EGM96 geoid model with two different geoid models available from GRACE. As compared to the EGM96-based solution, the GRACE geoid leads to an estimate of the ocean circulation that is more consistent with the Levitus temperature and salinity climatology. While not a formal proof, this finding supports the inference of a substantially improved GRACE geoid skill. However, oceanographic implications of the GRACE model are only modest compared to what can be obtained from ocean observations alone. To understand the extent to which this is merely a consequence of a not-optimally converged solution or if a much more accurate geoid field could in principle play a profound role in the ocean estimation procedure, an additional experiment was performed in which the geoid error was artificially reduced relative to all other datasets. Adjustments occur then in all elements of the ocean circulation, including 10% changes in the meridional overturning circulation and the corresponding meridional heat transport in the Atlantic. For an optimal use of new geoid fields, improved error information is required. The error budget of existing time-mean dynamic topography estimates may now be dominated by residual errors in time-mean altimetric corrections. Both these and the model errors need to be better understood before improved geoid estimates can be fully exploited. As is commonly found, the Southern Ocean is of particular concern.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Romain Rainaud ◽  
Lotfi Aouf ◽  
Alice Dalphinet ◽  
Marcos Garcia Sotillo ◽  
Enrique Alvarez-Fanjul ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Iberian Biscay Ireland (IBI) wave system has the challenge to improve wave forecast and the coupling with ocean circulation model dedicated to western european coast. The momentum and heat fluxes at the sea surface are strongly controlled by the waves and there is a need of using accurate sea state from wave model. This work describes the more recent version of the IBI wave system and highlight the performance of system in comparison with satellite altimeters and buoys wave data. The validation process has been performed for 1-year run of the wave model MFWAM with boundary conditions provided by the global wave system. The results show on the one hand a slightly improvement on significant wave height and peak period, and on the other hand a better surface stress for high wind conditions. This latter is a consequence of using a tail wave spectrum shaped as the Philipps wave spectrum for high frequency waves.


1997 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 116-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Legutke ◽  
E. Maier-Reimkr ◽  
A. Stössel ◽  
A. Hellbach

A global ocean general circulation model has been coupled with a dynamic thermodynamic sea-ice model. This model has been spun-up in a 1000 year integration using daily atmosphere model data. Main water masses and currents are reproduced as well as the seasonal characteristics of the ice cover of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Model results for the Southern Ocean, however, show the ice cover as too thin, and there are large permanent polynyas in the Weddell and Ross Seas. These polynyas are due to a large upward oceanic heat flux caused by haline rejection during the freezing of sea ice. Sensitivity studies were performed to test several ways of treating the sea-surface salinity and the rejected brine. The impact on the ice cover, water-mass characteristics, and ocean circulation are described.


Ocean Science ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 461-473 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Oddo ◽  
M. Adani ◽  
N. Pinardi ◽  
C. Fratianni ◽  
M. Tonani ◽  
...  

Abstract. A new numerical general circulation ocean model for the Mediterranean Sea has been implemented nested within an Atlantic general circulation model within the framework of the Marine Environment and Security for the European Area project (MERSEA, Desaubies, 2006). A 4-year twin experiment was carried out from January 2004 to December 2007 with two different models to evaluate the impact on the Mediterranean Sea circulation of open lateral boundary conditions in the Atlantic Ocean. One model considers a closed lateral boundary in a large Atlantic box and the other is nested in the same box in a global ocean circulation model. Impact was observed comparing the two simulations with independent observations: ARGO for temperature and salinity profiles and tide gauges and along-track satellite observations for the sea surface height. The improvement in the nested Atlantic-Mediterranean model with respect to the closed one is particularly evident in the salinity characteristics of the Modified Atlantic Water and in the Mediterranean sea level seasonal variability.


Ocean Science ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 203-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. F. Postlethwaite ◽  
M. A. Morales Maqueda ◽  
V. le Fouest ◽  
G. R. Tattersall ◽  
J. Holt ◽  
...  

Abstract. Ocean tides are not explicitly included in many ocean general circulation models, which will therefore omit any interactions between tides and the cryosphere. We present model simulations of the wind and buoyancy driven circulation and tides of the Barents and Kara Seas, using a 25 km × 25 km 3-D ocean circulation model coupled to a dynamic and thermodynamic sea ice model. The modeled tidal amplitudes are compared with tide gauge data and sea ice extent is compared with satellite data. Including tides in the model is found to have little impact on overall sea ice extent but is found to delay freeze up and hasten the onset of melting in tidally active coastal regions. The impact that including tides in the model has on the salt budget is investigated and found to be regionally dependent. The vertically integrated salt budget is dominated by lateral advection. This increases significantly when tides are included in the model in the Pechora Sea and around Svalbard where tides are strong. Tides increase the salt flux from sea ice by 50% in the Pechora and White Seas but have little impact elsewhere. This study suggests that the interaction between ocean tides and sea ice should not be neglected when modeling the Arctic.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salvatore Causio ◽  
Piero Lionello ◽  
Stefania Angela Ciliberti ◽  
Giovanni Coppini

<p>This study analyzes wave-currents interactions in the Black Sea basin focusing on deep water processes by using a coupled two-ways off-line numerical system, based on the ocean circulation model NEMO v4.0 and the third-generation wave model WaveWatchIII v5.16. The coupling between wave and hydrodynamical models is carried out at hourly frequency. The physical processes taken in consideration are: Stokes-Coriolis force, sea-state dependent momentum flux, wave induced vertical mixing, Doppler shift, and the stability parameter for the computation of effective wind speed. </p><p>The hydrodynamical model is implemented over the Black Sea at the horizontal resolution of about 3km and 31 vertical levels, with closed boundary at the Bosporus Strait. The impact of the Bosporus Strait on the Black Sea dynamics is modeled using a surface boundary condition, taking into account the barotropic transport, which balances the freshwater fluxes on monthly basis (Stanev and Beckers, 1999; Peneva et al., 2001; Ciliberti et al., 2021). Additionally, Mediterranean waters inflow is represented by applying a local damping to high resolution temperature and salinity profiles (Aydogdu et al., 2018) at the Bosporus exit.</p><p>The wave model adopts the WW3 implementation of the WAM Cycle4 model physics, with Ultimate Quickest propagation scheme and GSE alleviation, over the same spatial grid as the hydrodynamical model Wind input and dissipation are based on Ardhuin et al. (2010), wave-wave interactions are based on Discrete Interaction Approximation. The wave spectrum is discretized using 24 directional sectors, and 30 frequencies, with 10% increment starting from 0.055Hz. Validation and statistical analysis of the results have been carried out to compare coupled and uncoupled runs, aiming to identify the model set-up to upgrade in the future the near real time operational system.</p><p>The evaluation of the coupling impact on significant wave height and temperature shows BIAS reduction, and even slight improvement of RMSE.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hakan Sert ◽  
Orkun Temel ◽  
Cem Berk Senel ◽  
Ozgur Karatekin

<p>In this study, we present a three-dimensional global circulation model (GCM) to investigate the environmental effects of an asteroid impact on the global Earth system. The model is applied to model the atmospheric response of the Cretaceous–Paleogene (K–Pg) extinction event which took place 66 million years ago and resulted in the mass extinction of various animal and plant species. The atmospheric model is developed based on the planetWRF model. First, the paleoclimate model is validated using the proxy data. Then, the sensitivity to atmospheric co2 concentration is investigated. The radiation parameterization scheme of the planetWRF model is modified to include the effect of various climate-active aerosols and gases released after the impact event. The model is also coupled both to a simple one-dimensional ocean mixed layer and a three-dimensional ocean circulation model. Both the atmospheric and oceanic response is investigated.</p>


Ocean Science ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 999-1019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Aydoğdu ◽  
Nadia Pinardi ◽  
Emin Özsoy ◽  
Gokhan Danabasoglu ◽  
Özgür Gürses ◽  
...  

Abstract. A simulation of the Turkish Straits System (TSS) using a high-resolution, three-dimensional, unstructured mesh ocean circulation model with realistic atmospheric forcing for the 2008–2013 period is presented. The depth of the pycnocline between the upper and lower layers remains stationary after 6 years of integration, indicating that despite the limitations of the modelling system, the simulation maintains its realism. The solutions capture important responses to high-frequency atmospheric events such as the reversal of the upper layer flow in the Bosphorus due to southerly severe storms, i.e. blocking events, to the extent that such storms are present in the forcing dataset. The annual average circulations show two distinct patterns in the Sea of Marmara. When the wind stress maximum is localised in the central basin, the Bosphorus jet flows to the south and turns west after reaching the Bozburun Peninsula. In contrast, when the wind stress maximum increases and expands in the north–south direction, the jet deviates to the west before reaching the southern coast and forms a cyclonic gyre in the central basin. In certain years, the mean kinetic energy in the northern Sea of Marmara is found to be comparable to that of the Bosphorus inflow.


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