scholarly journals Effects of finite source rupture on landslide triggering: The 2016 <i>M<sub>W</sub></i> 7.1 Kumamoto earthquake

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian von Specht ◽  
Ugur Ozturk ◽  
Georg Veh ◽  
Fabrice Cotton ◽  
Oliver Korup

Abstract. The propagation of a seismic rupture on a fault introduces spatial variations in the seismic wavefield surrounding the fault during an earthquake. This directivity effect results in larger shaking amplitudes in the rupture propagation direction. Its seismic radiation pattern also causes amplitude variations between the strike-normal and strike-parallel components of horizontal ground motion. We investigated the landslide response to these effects during the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake (MW 7.1) in central Kyūshū (Japan). Although the distribution of some 1,500 earthquake-triggered landslides as function of rupture distance is consistent with the observed Arias intensity, the landslides are more concentrated to the northeast of the southwest-northeast striking rupture. We examined several landslide susceptibility factors: hillslope inclination, median amplification factor (MAF) of ground shaking, lithology, land cover, and topographic wetness. None of these factors can sufficiently explain the landslide distribution or orientation (aspect), although the landslide headscarps coincide with elevated hillslope inclination and MAF. We propose a new physics-based ground motion model that accounts for the seismic rupture effects, and demonstrate that the low-frequency seismic radiation pattern consistent with the overall landslide distribution. The spatial landslide distribution is primarily influenced by the rupture directivity effect, whereas landslide aspect is influenced by amplitude variations between the fault-normal and fault-parallel motion at frequencies

Solid Earth ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 463-486 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian von Specht ◽  
Ugur Ozturk ◽  
Georg Veh ◽  
Fabrice Cotton ◽  
Oliver Korup

Abstract. The propagation of a seismic rupture on a fault introduces spatial variations in the seismic wave field surrounding the fault. This directivity effect results in larger shaking amplitudes in the rupture propagation direction. Its seismic radiation pattern also causes amplitude variations between the strike-normal and strike-parallel components of horizontal ground motion. We investigated the landslide response to these effects during the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake (Mw 7.1) in central Kyushu (Japan). Although the distribution of some 1500 earthquake-triggered landslides as a function of rupture distance is consistent with the observed Arias intensity, the landslides were more concentrated to the northeast of the southwest–northeast striking rupture. We examined several landslide susceptibility factors: hillslope inclination, the median amplification factor (MAF) of ground shaking, lithology, land cover, and topographic wetness. None of these factors sufficiently explains the landslide distribution or orientation (aspect), although the landslide head scarps have an elevated hillslope inclination and MAF. We propose a new physics-based ground-motion model (GMM) that accounts for the seismic rupture effects, and we demonstrate that the low-frequency seismic radiation pattern is consistent with the overall landslide distribution. Its spatial pattern is influenced by the rupture directivity effect, whereas landslide aspect is influenced by amplitude variations between the fault-normal and fault-parallel motion at frequencies <2 Hz. This azimuth dependence implies that comparable landslide concentrations can occur at different distances from the rupture. This quantitative link between the prevalent landslide aspect and the low-frequency seismic radiation pattern can improve coseismic landslide hazard assessment.


2006 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 887-907 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murat Dicleli

This paper investigates the performance of seismic-isolated bridges (SIBs) subjected to near-fault (NF) earthquakes with forward rupture directivity effect (FRDE) in relation to the isolator, substructure, and NF earthquake properties, and examines some critical design clauses in AASHTO's Guide Specifications for Seismic Isolation Design. It is found that the SIB response is a function of the number of velocity pulses, magnitude of the NF ground motion, and distance from the fault. Particularly, a reasonable estimation of the expected magnitude of the NF ground motion according to the characteristics of the bridge site is crucial for a correct design of the SIB. It is also found that the characteristic strength and post-elastic stiffness of the isolator may be chosen based on the characteristics of the NF earthquake. Furthermore, some of the AASHTO clauses are found to be not applicable to SIBs subjected to NF ground motions with FRDE.


2014 ◽  
Vol 580-583 ◽  
pp. 1499-1505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tian Yu ◽  
Ming Lu ◽  
Xiao Jun Li

Lushan earthquake on 20th April, 2013 was another thrust fault earthquake occurred at Longmen Mountain Fault Zone after 2008 Wenchuan Ms8.0 earthquake. Based on ground motion attenuation model, this paper has chosen 45 strong motion records with rupture distance less than 200km, to analyze the hanging wall effect, topographic effect and rupture directivity effect of Lushan earthquake. The results show that hanging wall effect in Lushan earthquake was not obvious as 2008 Wenchuan earthquake; ground motion in mountain areas attenuated with increasing rupture distance more quickly than that in plain areas; rupture directivity effect is obvious for two components of horizontal ground motion, which are fault-perpendicular and fault-parallel components. PGA in the forward rupture area is larger than those in the backward rupture area. With the period increased, the gap between backward and forward rupture area become small, and finally PGD in backward rupture area is greater than those in the forward rupture area.


2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (7) ◽  
pp. 1159-1175 ◽  
Author(s):  
Odin Marc ◽  
Patrick Meunier ◽  
Niels Hovius

Abstract. We present an analytical, seismologically consistent expression for the surface area of the region within which most landslides triggered by an earthquake are located (landslide distribution area). This expression is based on scaling laws relating seismic moment, source depth, and focal mechanism with ground shaking and fault rupture length and assumes a globally constant threshold of acceleration for onset of systematic mass wasting. The seismological assumptions are identical to those recently used to propose a seismologically consistent expression for the total volume and area of landslides triggered by an earthquake. To test the accuracy of the model we gathered geophysical information and estimates of the landslide distribution area for 83 earthquakes. To reduce uncertainties and inconsistencies in the estimation of the landslide distribution area, we propose an objective definition based on the shortest distance from the seismic wave emission line containing 95 % of the total landslide area. Without any empirical calibration the model explains 56 % of the variance in our dataset, and predicts 35 to 49 out of 83 cases within a factor of 2, depending on how we account for uncertainties on the seismic source depth. For most cases with comprehensive landslide inventories we show that our prediction compares well with the smallest region around the fault containing 95 % of the total landslide area. Aspects ignored by the model that could explain the residuals include local variations of the threshold of acceleration and processes modulating the surface ground shaking, such as the distribution of seismic energy release on the fault plane, the dynamic stress drop, and rupture directivity. Nevertheless, its simplicity and first-order accuracy suggest that the model can yield plausible and useful estimates of the landslide distribution area in near-real time, with earthquake parameters issued by standard detection routines.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Odin Marc ◽  
Patrick Meunier ◽  
Niels Hovius

Abstract. We present an analytical, seismologically consistent expression for the surface area of the region within which landslides induced by a given earthquake are distributed. The expression is based on scaling laws relating seismic moment, source depth and focal mechanism with ground shaking and fault rupture length and assumes a globally constant critical acceleration for onset of systematic mass wasting. The seismological assumptions are identical to those recently used to propose a seismologically consistent expression for total landslide volume and area. To test the accuracy of the model we gathered geophysical information and estimates of the landslide distribution area for 83 earthquakes. To reduce uncertainties and inconsistencies in the estimation of the landslide distribution area, we propose an objective definition based on the shortest distance from the seimsic wave emission line containing 95 % of the total landslide area. Without any empirical calibration the model explains 56 % of the variance in our dataset, and predicts 35 to 49 out of 83 cases within a factor two, depending on how we account for uncertainties on the seismic source depth. For most cases with comprehensive landslide inventories we show that our prediction compares well with the smallest region around the fault containing 95 % of the total landslide area. Aspects ignored by the model that could explain the residuals include, local variations of the critical acceleration and processes modulating the surface ground shaking, such as the distribution of seismic energy release on the fault plane, the dynamic stress drop or the rupture directivity. Nevertheless, its simplicity and first order accuracy suggest that the model can yield plausible and useful estimates of the landslide distribution area in near-real time, with earthquake parameters issued by standard detection routines.


2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (0) ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Zhao An ◽  
◽  
Jun-Ju Xie ◽  
Yong Zhang ◽  
Xiao-Jun Li ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Tianjia Wang ◽  
Xu Xie ◽  
Longfei Ji

ABSTRACT The stochastic finite-fault method (EXSIM) has been extensively used for simulating ground motion at high frequencies. However, its poor performance in low-frequency simulations is a limiting factor that restricts its engineering application. Refining the representation of the radiation pattern in the finite-fault method is an effective strategy to improve low-frequency simulations; to this end, a frequency-dependent radiation pattern has been considered by several researchers. However, this strategy fails to provide an accurate simulation of seismic-wave propagation at distances beyond the near-fault region. Researchers have proposed various approaches for characterizing the radiation pattern variation with distance. This study introduces frequency- and distance-dependent radiation patterns of S waves to the EXSIM. The near-field acceleration records in the east–west and north–south directions of the 2013 Ms 7.0 Lushan earthquake were reconstructed. The proposed method was verified by: (1) comparing broadband simulation results obtained by the improved method with observed results, (2) conducting a misfit analysis to compare the model bias between the improved and original methods, and (3) comparing the observed and simulated peak ground acceleration data with the predicted values of the ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) to verify the effectiveness of the GMPEs in describing the regional ground-motion attenuation. The results indicated that the 5%-damped pseudo spectral accelerations at high frequencies (1–20 Hz) and acceleration time history simulated by the improved method were consistent with the observed values. Furthermore, the improved method effectively optimizes the simulation effect at low frequencies (0.05–1 Hz) compared with the original method. Thus, the improvement in the representation of the radiation pattern in EXSIM can better estimate broadband ground motion in the study area.


2016 ◽  
Vol 59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Licia Faenza ◽  
Valentino Lauciani ◽  
Alberto Michelini

In this paper we describe the performance of the ShakeMap software package and the fully automatic procedure, based on manually revised location and magnitude, during the main event of the Amatrice sequence with special emphasis to the M6 main shock, that struck central Italy on the 24th August 2016 at 1:36:32 UTC. Our results show that the procedure we developed in the last years, with real-time data exchange among those institutions acquiring strong motion data, allows to provide a faithful description of the ground motion experienced throughout a large region in and around the epicentral  area. The prompt availability of the rupture fault model, within three hours after the earthquake occurrence, provided a better descriptions of the level of strong ground motion throughout the affected area.  Progressive addition of  station data and  manual verification of the data insures improvements in the description of the experienced ground motions.  In particular, comparison between the MCS intensity shakemaps and preliminary field macroseismic reports show favourable similarities.  Finally the overall  spatial pattern of the ground motion of the main shock is consistent with reported rupture directivity toward NW and reduced levels of ground shaking toward SW probably linked to the peculiar source effects of the earthquake.


1974 ◽  
Vol 64 (5) ◽  
pp. 1429-1454
Author(s):  
M. D. Trifunac ◽  
F. E. Udwadia

Abstract Accelerograms recorded at six stations in the metropolitan Los Angeles area during the Borrego Mountain, 1968, the Lytle Creek, 1970, and the San Fernando, 1971, earthquakes in southern California have been studied. In comparing the ground motions recorded during different earthquakes at each of the six stations and in correlations of these motions recorded at different stations during the same earthquake, those aspects of the analysis which emerge from this study and are relevant for seismic zoning have been emphasized. It has been found that the patterns of strong ground shaking in this area depend predominantly on the mechanism and the distance of an earthquake source from a recording station and that the local soil conditions played only a minor role in modifying the ground motion at this particular area. It has been shown that gross spectral characteristics of ground motion recorded at various stations can be approximately related by the seismic moment at the low-frequency end and by the stress drop at the high-frequency end.


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