scholarly journals Permafrost distribution modelling in the semi-arid Chilean Andes

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 877-890 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guillermo F. Azócar ◽  
Alexander Brenning ◽  
Xavier Bodin
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Mining Industry ◽  
Ground Truth ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Temperature Records ◽  
Semi Arid

Abstract. Mountain permafrost and rock glaciers in the dry Andes are of growing interest due to the increase in mining industry and infrastructure development in this remote area. Empirical models of mountain permafrost distribution based on rock glacier activity status and temperature data have been established as a tool for regional-scale assessments of its distribution; this kind of model approach has never been applied for a large portion of the Andes. In the present study, this methodology is applied to map permafrost favourability throughout the semi-arid Andes of central Chile (29–32° S), excluding areas of exposed bedrock. After spatially modelling of the mean annual air temperature distribution from scarce temperature records (116 station years) using a linear mixed-effects model, a generalized additive model was built to model the activity status of 3524 rock glaciers. A permafrost favourability index (PFI) was obtained by adjusting model predictions for conceptual differences between permafrost and rock glacier distribution. The results indicate that the model has an acceptable performance (median AUROC: 0.76). Conditions highly favourable to permafrost presence (PFI  ≥  0.75) are predicted for 1051 km2 of mountain terrain, or 2.7 % of the total area of the watersheds studied. Favourable conditions are expected to occur in 2636 km2, or 6.8 % of the area. Substantial portions of the Elqui and Huasco watersheds are considered to be favourable for permafrost presence (11.8 % each), while in the Limarí and Choapa watersheds permafrost is expected to be mostly limited to specific sub-watersheds. In the future, local ground-truth observations will be required to confirm permafrost presence in favourable areas and to monitor permafrost evolution under the influence of climate change.

scholarly journals Permafrost Distribution Modeling in the Semi-Arid Chilean Andes

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guillermo F. Azócar ◽  
Alexander Brenning ◽  
Xavier Bodin
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Ground Truth ◽  
Mountain Ranges ◽  
Northern Half ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Temperature Records ◽  
Favorable Conditions ◽  
Semi Arid

Abstract. Mountain permafrost and rock glaciers in the dry Andes are of growing interest due to the increase in human activities in this remote area. Empirical models of mountain permafrost distribution based on the spatial analysis of intact and relict rock glaciers and mean annual air temperature (MAAT) have been established as a tool for regional-scale assessments of permafrost favorability across entire mountain ranges; however, this kind of model approach has never been applied for a large portion of the Andes. In the present study, this methodology is applied to map permafrost favorability throughout the semi-arid Andes of central Chile (29° S–32° S), excluding areas of exposed bedrock. After spatially modeling MAAT distribution from scarce temperature records (116 station-years) using a linear mixed-effects model (LMEM), a generalized additive model (GAM) was built to model the activity status of 3524 rock glaciers. A Permafrost Favorability Index (PFI) was obtained by adjusting model predictions for conceptual differences between permafrost and rock glacier distribution. The results indicate that model has an acceptable performance (median AUROC: 0.76). Conditions highly favorable to permafrost presence (PFI ≥ 0.75) are predicted for 1051 km2 of mountain terrain, or 2.7 % of the total area of the watersheds studied. Favorable conditions are expected to occur in 2636 km2, or 6.8 % of the area. Especially in the Elqui and Huasco watersheds in the northern half of the study area, where a substantial surface portion (11.8 % each) was considered to be favorable for permafrost presence, while predicted favorable areas in the southern Limarí and Choapa watersheds are mostly limited to specific sub-watersheds. In the future, local ground-truth observations will be required to confirm permafrost presence in favorable areas, and to monitor permafrost evolution under the influence of climate change.

scholarly journals Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 141-155 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Marcer ◽  
Charlie Serrano ◽  
Alexander Brenning ◽  
Xavier Bodin ◽  
Jason Goetz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Deformation ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
French Alps ◽  
Terrain Attributes ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Steep Terrain ◽  
Geomorphological Features

Abstract. In this study, we propose a methodology to estimate the spatial distribution of destabilizing rock glaciers, with a focus on the French Alps. We mapped geomorphological features that can be typically found in cases of rock glacier destabilization (e.g. crevasses and scarps) using orthoimages taken from 2000 to 2013. A destabilization rating was assigned by taking into account the evolution of these mapped destabilization geomorphological features and by observing the surface deformation patterns of the rock glacier, also using the available orthoimages. This destabilization rating then served as input to model the occurrence of rock glacier destabilization in relation to terrain attributes and to spatially predict the susceptibility to destabilization at a regional scale. Significant evidence of destabilization could be observed in 46 rock glaciers, i.e. 10 % of the total active rock glaciers in the region. Based on our susceptibility model of destabilization occurrence, it was found that this phenomenon is more likely to occur in elevations around the 0 ∘C isotherm (2700–2900 m a.s.l.), on north-facing slopes, steep terrain (25 to 30∘) and flat to slightly convex topographies. Model performance was good (AUROC = 0.76), and the susceptibility map also performed well at reproducing observable patterns of destabilization. About 3 km2 of creeping permafrost, or 10 % of the surface occupied by active rock glaciers, had a high susceptibility to destabilization. Considering we observed that only half of these areas of creep are currently showing destabilization evidence, we suspect there is a high potential for future rock glacier destabilization within the French Alps.

scholarly journals Towards a palaeoclimatic model of rock-glacier formation in the Swiss Alps

2000 ◽  
Vol 31 ◽  
pp. 281-286 ◽  
Author(s):  
Regula Frauenfelder ◽  
Andreas Kääb
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Thermal Conditions ◽  
Late Glacial ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Inventory Analysis ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Altitudinal Distribution ◽  
Polymorphic Type ◽  
Rock Glaciers

AbstractClimate and its long-term variability govern ground thermal conditions, and for this reason represent one of the most important impacts on creeping mountain permafrost. The decoding and better understanding of the present-day morphology and distribution of rock glaciers opens up a variety of insights into past and present environmental, especially climatic, conditions on a local to regional scale. The present study was carried out in the Swiss Alps using two different approaches: (1) kinematic analysis of specific active rock glaciers, and (2) description of the altitudinal distribution of relict rock glaciers. Two theoretical shape concepts of active rock-glacier morphology were derived’ a"monomorphic" type, representing presumably undisturbed, continuous development over several millennia and a ˚polymorphic" type, reflecting a system of (possibly climatically affected) individual creep streams several centuries old. The topoclimatic-based inventory analysis indicated an average temperature increase at relict rock-glacier fronts of approximately +2°C since the time of their decay, which is a sign of rock-glacier ages reaching back to the Alpine Late Glacial. The temperature difference of some tenths of a degree Celsius found for active/inactive rock glaciers is typical for the bandwidth of Holocene climate variations. These results confirm the importance of Alpine rock glaciers as highly sensitive indicators of past temperature evolution.

Frozen soils characterization by the use of ERT and EMI methods: cases in the Dolomites (Italy)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirko Pavoni ◽  
Jacopo Boaga
Keyword(s):  
Electrical Resistivity ◽  
Natural Hazards ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Frozen Soils ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
The Alps ◽  
2D Resistivity

<p>Nowadays, tourism and sport activities make the Alps high mountain environment widely populated. As example, the Dolomites (UNCESCO site, North-East Italy) host millions of tourists every year. Consequently, many infrastructures (e.g. roads, cable cars and hotels) have been built in these areas, and are subject to instabilities hazards as landslide, avalanches or frozen soils problems.  Mountain permafrost is in fact one of the many aspects to be considered for the natural hazards and risk management in high mountains environment. Due to the atmospheric warming trend, mountain permafrost is thawing and its degradation is influencing the triggering and the evolvement of natural hazards processes such as rockfalls, landslides, debris flows and floods. We have nearly 5000 rock glaciers in the alps, as highlighted in the inventory of the PermaNET project (2011), therefore the study and monitoring of these periglacial forms has both a scientific and economic importance. Geophysical surveys have been historically applied in this kind of environment, in particular the Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT) for the characterization of the active layer thickness (ALT). The technique exploits the high electrical resistivity contrast between frozen and non-frozen debris, and, over the last years, has allowed the researchers to achieve very relevant results. However, performing these measurements is expensive both in terms of time and equipment, particularly considering that the rock glaciers are often very difficult to reach. Thus, usually we are not able to perform many investigation lines and, as the results are 2D resistivity sections, it is very difficult to obtain enough information to completely characterize a heterogeneous environment such as a rock glacier. For this reason, we tried to apply the EMI method (in the frequency domain) for the characterization of the ALT. EMI method, in fact,  theoretically allows us to define the distribution of electrical resistivity in the first subsoil in a very quick way, simply by transporting the device over the interested area. Compared to ERT, it is potentially able to characterize much larger areas of a rock glacier, albeit with a lower resolution and penetration. On the other hand, because the high resistivities of the frozen ground, EMI do not guarantee an optimal working and rigorous acquisition protocol must be adopted. We tested ERT and EMI measurements along the same investigation lines, in two different sites of the Dolomites area (the Murfreit and Biz Boè rock glaciers). Finally, we discussed the advantages and disadvantages of both the techniques.</p>

scholarly journals An Unsupervised Method to Detect Rock Glacier Activity by Using Sentinel-1 SAR Interferometric Coherence: A Regional-Scale Study in the Eastern European Alps

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 1711 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aldo Bertone ◽  
Francesco Zucca ◽  
Carlo Marin ◽  
Claudia Notarnicola ◽  
Giovanni Cuozzo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Independent Set ◽  
Unsupervised Classification ◽  
Mountainous Area ◽  
European Alps ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Subjective Analysis ◽  
Regular Kernel ◽  
Rock Glaciers

Rock glaciers are widespread periglacial landforms in mountain regions like the European Alps. Depending on their ice content, they are characterized by slow downslope displacement due to permafrost creep. These landforms are usually mapped within inventories, but understand their activity is a very difficult task, which is frequently accomplished using geomorphological field evidences, direct measurements, or remote sensing approaches. In this work, a powerful method to analyze the rock glaciers’ activity was developed exploiting the synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellite data. In detail, the interferometric coherence estimated from Sentinel-1 data was used as key indicator of displacement, developing an unsupervised classification method to distinguish moving (i.e., characterized by detectable displacement) from no-moving (i.e., without detectable displacement) rock glaciers. The original application of interferometric coherence, estimated here using the rock glacier outlines as boundaries instead of regular kernel windows, allows describing the activity of rock glaciers at a regional-scale. The method was developed and tested over a large mountainous area located in the Eastern European Alps (South Tyrol and western part of Trentino, Italy) and takes into account all the factors that may limit the effectiveness of the coherence in describing the rock glaciers’ activity. The activity status of more than 1600 rock glaciers was classified by our method, identifying more than 290 rock glaciers as moving. The method was validated using an independent set of rock glaciers whose activity is well-known, obtaining an accuracy of 88%. Our method is replicable over any large mountainous area where rock glaciers are already mapped and makes it possible to compensate for the drawbacks of time-consuming and subjective analysis based on geomorphological evidences or other SAR approaches.

scholarly journals Inferring the destabilization susceptibility of mountain permafrost in the French Alps using an inventory of destabilized rock glaciers

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Marcer ◽  
Charlie Serrano ◽  
Alexander Brenning ◽  
Xavier Bodin ◽  
Jason Goetz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Deformation ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Study Region ◽  
Support Tool ◽  
French Alps ◽  
Terrain Attributes ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Deformation Patterns

Abstract. Knowing the extent of degrading permafrost is a key issue in the context of emerging risks linked to climate change. In the present study we propose a methodology to estimate the spatial distribution of this phenomenon, focusing on the French Alps. At first, using recent orthoimages (2000 to 2013) covering the study region, we mapped the geomorphological features that can be typically found in cases of rock glacier destabilization (e.g. crevasses and scarps). This database was then used as support tool to rate rock glaciers destabilization. The destabilization rating was assigned also taking into account the surface deformation patterns of the rock glacier, observable by comparing the orthoimages. The destabilization rating served as database to model the occurrence of destabilization in relation to terrain attributes and to predict the susceptibility to destabilization at the regional scale. Potential destabilization could be observed in 58 rock glaciers, i.e. 12  of the total active rock glaciers in the region. Potentially destabilized rock glaciers were found to be more prone to strong acceleration than stable rock glaciers within the period 2000–2013. Modelling the occurrence of destabilization suggested that this phenomenon is more likely to occur in elevations around the 0 °C isotherm (2700–2900 m.s.l.), on north-exposed, steep (up to 30°) and flat to slightly convex topographies. Model performances were good (AUROC: 0.76) and the susceptibility map reproduced well the observable patterns. About 3 km2 of creeping permafrost, i.e. 10 % of the surface occupied by active rock glaciers, had a high susceptibility to destabilization. Only half of this surface is currently showing destabilization evidence, suggesting that a significant amount of rock glaciers are candidates for future destabilization.

scholarly journals Monitoring Rock Glacier Kinematics with Satellite Synthetic Aperture Radar

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 559 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tazio Strozzi ◽  
Rafael Caduff ◽  
Nina Jones ◽  
Chloé Barboux ◽  
Reynald Delaloye ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Swiss Alps ◽  
European Alps ◽  
Remotely Sensed Data ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Sar Images ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Satellite Radar ◽  
Offset Tracking

Active rock glaciers represent the best visual expression of mountain permafrost that can be mapped and monitored directly using remotely sensed data. Active rock glaciers are bodies that consist of a perennially frozen ice/rock mixture and express a distinct flow-like morphology indicating downslope permafrost creep movement. Annual rates of motion have ranged from a few millimeters to several meters per year, varying within the annual cycle, from year to year, as well as at the decennial time scale. During the last decade, in situ observations in the European Alps have shown that active rock glaciers are responding almost synchronously to inter-annual and decennial changes in ground temperature, suggesting that the relative changes of their kinematics are a general indicator of the evolution of mountain permafrost conditions. Here, we used satellite radar interferometry (InSAR) to monitor the rate of motion of various active rock glaciers in the Swiss Alps, Qeqertarsuaq (Western Greenland), and the semiarid Andes of South America. Velocity time series computed with Sentinel-1 SAR images, regularly acquired since 2014, every six days over Europe and Greenland and every 12 days over the Andes, show annual fluctuations, with higher velocities at the end of the summer. A JERS-1 image pair of 1996 and stacks of very high-resolution SAR images from TerraSAR-X and Cosmo-SkyMed from 2008 to 2017 were analyzed using InSAR and offset tracking over the Western Swiss Alps in order to extend the main observation period of our study. A quantitative assessment of the accuracy of InSAR and offset tracking was performed by comparison with in situ methods. Our results for the three different study regions demonstrate that Sentinel-1 InSAR can complement worldwide in situ measurements of active rock glacier kinematics.

A complementary kinematic approach to inventory rock glaciers applied to case studies of the Swiss and Italian Alps

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aldo Bertone ◽  
Chloé Barboux ◽  
Francesco Brardinoni ◽  
Reynald Delaloye ◽  
Volkmar Mair ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Research Network ◽  
Italian Alps ◽  
The South ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Climatic Forcing ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Kinematic Information ◽  
Velocity Class

<p>Rock glaciers are the best visual expression of creeping mountain permafrost. Their dynamics, which largely depend on climatic forcing, provide information about the mountain permafrost and may locally pose risk to infrastructures.</p><p>The International Permafrost Association (IPA) Action Group on Rock glacier inventories and kinematics, launched in 2018, fosters the activities of a research network focused on the definition of standardized guidelines for inventorying rock glaciers, including information on rock-glacier displacement rate. The ESA Permafrost_CCI project further sustains this initiative, and proposes a standardized method to implement kinematics-based rock glacier inventories.</p><p>The proposed method exploits interferometric data from spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) to derive the kinematic information of existing or newly-compiled rock glacier inventories. In particular, areas identified as slope movements within rock glacier polygons are delineated on interferograms as “moving areas”, and are assigned a velocity class. Subsequently, a specific kinematic class is assigned to each rock glacier unit according to the velocity class and extension of the relevant moving areas.</p><p>This method is applied on two regions: the Western part of the Swiss Alps and the South-Western part of the South Tyrol (Italian Alps). Both are located at the same latitude, with rock glaciers in the Swiss part lying at slightly higher altitudes, and experiencing higher mean annual precipitation. Rock glacier polygons were drawn from existing inventories, the kinematic information was extracted exploiting InSAR data acquired between 2018 and 2019 from the Sentinel-1 constellation.</p><p>In the Swiss and Italian parts, we inventoried 660 and 783 moving areas (1443 in total). Collectively, it was possible to assign a kinematic attribute to 913 rock glaciers, providing a more objective and quantitative activity classification (compared to the qualitative active, inactive, and relict categories). In the Swiss part, 14% of the rock glaciers are moving in the magnitude order of a meter/year or faster, 43% in the magnitude order of one to several dm/yr, 36% from one to several cm/yr, the others are with unreliable movements (7%). In the Italian part, these percentages are 1% (meter/year or faster), 42% (one to several dm/yr), 39% (one to several cm/yr) and 18% (no reliable), respectively. Preliminary analyses on the Italian part are conducted on 467 additional rock glaciers recognized as geomorphologically relict: 68% are not moving or not moving fast enough to be detected, 9% have sectors moving up to several cm/yr, and the remaining 23% of relict rock glaciers have no reliable information on movement.</p><p>Preliminary results show how this approach allows to provide complementary kinematic information to the geomorphological approach, improving the knowledge on the activity status in a given time and in a given region. Since several studies have reported trends towards displacement acceleration, applying this approach over long periods will allow assessing the response of a wide selection of landforms to (warmer) climatic forcing. Furthermore, this approach is a very useful tool to help select representative rock glaciers of a region, on which to apply more accurate monitoring approaches.</p>

scholarly journals Observations on a Debris-Covered Polar Glacier “Whisky Glacier”, James Ross Island, Antarctic Peninsula, Antarctica

1987 ◽  
Vol 33 (115) ◽  
pp. 300-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
T.J.H. Chinn ◽  
A. Dillon
Keyword(s):  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Freezing Front ◽  
Extensive Area ◽  
Free Zone ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
James Ross Island ◽  
Polythermal Glacier ◽  
Powerful Mechanism

Abstract“Whisky Glacier” on James Ross Island, Antarctic Peninsula, comprises anévéand clean ice trunk surrounded by an extensive area of debris-covered ice resembling a rock glacier. The debris-free trunk of the glacier abuts abruptly against the broad, totally debris-covered tongue at a number of concentric zones where debris-laden beds crop out at the surface in a manner similar to the “inner moraine” formations of many polar glaciers.Ice structures and foliation suggest that “Whisky Glacier” is a polythermal glacier which is wet-based under the debris-free zone, and dry-based under the debris-covered zone. It is surmised that the glacier sole crosses the freezing front close to where the basal debris beds are upwarped towards the surface. Here, basal water is confined, and freezes to the under side of the glacier in thick beds of regelation ice which are uplifted to the surface along with the debris-laden beds. Ablation losses effectively cease beneath the blanket of debris covering the tongue.The transition from wet-based to dry-based conditions at the glacier sole is a powerful mechanism for entraining debris into a glacier and, in the case of “Whisky Glacier”, for lifting debris to the surface. It is suggested that this may be a mechanism for forming some polar rock glaciers.

Schmidt-hammer exposure-age dating (SHD) of rock glaciers in the Schöderkogel-Eisenhut area, Schladminger Tauern Range, Austria

The Holocene ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 22 (7) ◽  
pp. 761-771 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthias Rode ◽  
Andreas Kellerer-Pirklbauer
Keyword(s):  
Root Zone ◽  
Age Dating ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Schmidt Hammer ◽  
Rock Glacier ◽  
Relative Age ◽  
Exposure Age ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Glacier Length ◽  
Eastern Austria

Schmidt-hammer rebound values ( R-values) enable relative-age dating of landforms, with R-values relating to degree of weathering and therefore length of exposure. This method – recently termed as Schmidt-hammer exposure-age dating (SHD) – was applied to date five rock glaciers (size range, 0.01–0.12 km2) and one recent rockfall deposit at the study area Schöderkogel-Eisenhut, in the Schladminger Tauern Range (14°03′E, 47°15′N), Austria. The rock glaciers consist of gneiss or high metamorphic series of mica-schist that are comparable in their R-values. Four of them are relict (permafrost absent) and one is intact (containing patches of permafrost). On each of the five rock glaciers, SHD was carried out at 4–6 sites (50 measurements per site) along a longitudinal transect from the frontal ridge to the root zone. Results at all five rock glaciers are generally consistent with each other sharing statistically significant R-values along transects. The range between the highest and the lowest mean R-value at each of the five rock glaciers is 9.9–5.2. Using rock glacier length and surface velocity data from nearby sites, the rock glacier development must have lasted for several thousand years. Furthermore, by using SHD results from rock glaciers of known age from other sites in the region with comparable geology, approximate surface ages of 6.7–11.4 ka were estimated. This indicates long formation periods for all five rock glaciers. Our results suggest that many of the 1300 relict rock glaciers in central and eastern Austria were formed over a long period during the Lateglacial and Holocene period.

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