scholarly journals Little Ice Age climate reconstruction from ensemble reanalysis of Alpine glacier fluctuations

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 639-650 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. P. Lüthi
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Macroscopic Model ◽  
Radiative Cooling ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Alpine Glacier ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Alps

Abstract. Mountain glaciers sample a combination of climate fields – temperature, precipitation and radiation – by accumulation and melting of ice. Flow dynamics acts as a transfer function that maps volume changes to a length response of the glacier terminus. Long histories of terminus positions have been assembled for several glaciers in the Alps. Here I analyze terminus position histories from an ensemble of seven glaciers in the Alps with a macroscopic model of glacier dynamics to derive a history of glacier equilibrium line altitude (ELA) for the time span 400–2010 C.E. The resulting climatic reconstruction depends only on records of glacier variations. The reconstructed ELA history is similar to recent reconstructions of Alpine summer temperature and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) index, but bears little resemblance to reconstructed precipitation variations. Most reconstructed low-ELA periods coincide with large explosive volcano eruptions, hinting at a direct effect of volcanic radiative cooling on mass balance. The glacier advances during the LIA, and the retreat after 1860, can thus be mainly attributed to temperature and volcanic radiative cooling.

scholarly journals Little Ice Age climate reconstruction from ensemble reanalysis of Alpine glacier fluctuations

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 5147-5175 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. P. Lüthi
Keyword(s):  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Macroscopic Model ◽  
Volume Changes ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Alpine Glacier ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Alps

Abstract. Mountain glaciers sample a combination of climate parameters – temperature, precipitation and radiation – by their rate of volume accumulation and loss. Flow dynamics acts as transfer function which maps volume changes to a length response of the glacier terminus. Long histories of terminus positions have been assembled for several glaciers in the Alps. Here I analyze terminus position histories from an ensemble of seven glaciers in the Alps with a macroscopic model of glacier dynamics to derive a history of glacier equilibrium line altitude (ELA) for the time span 400–2010 C.E. The resulting climatic reconstruction depends only on records of glacier variations. The reconstructed ELA history is similar to recent reconstructions of Alpine summer temperature and Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO) index. Most reconstructed low-ELA periods coincide with large explosive volcano eruptions, hinting to mass balance reduction by volcanic radiative cooling. The glacier advances during the LIA, and the retreat after 1860 are thus explained by temperature and volcanic cooling alone.

scholarly journals The Northeast Asia mountain glaciers in the near future by AOGCM scenarios

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 435-445 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. D. Ananicheva ◽  
A. N. Krenke ◽  
R. G. Barry
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Northeast Asia ◽  
Morphological Structure ◽  
Kamchatka Peninsula ◽  
Baseline Period ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Glacier System ◽  
Glacier Terminus

Abstract. We studied contrasting glacier systems in continental (Orulgan, Suntar-Khayata and Chersky) mountain ranges, located in the region of the lowest temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere at the boundary of Atlantic and Pacific influences – and maritime ones (Kamchatka Peninsula) – under Pacific influence. Our purpose is to present a simple projection method to assess the main parameters of these glacier regions under climate change. To achieve this, constructed vertical profiles of mass balance (accumulation and ablation) based both on meteorological data for the 1950–1990s (baseline period) and ECHAM4 for 2049–2060 (projected period) are used, the latter – as a climatic scenario. The observations and scenarios were used to define the recent and future equilibrium line altitude and glacier terminus altitude level for each glacier system as well as areas and balance components. The altitudinal distributions of ice areas were determined for present and future, and they were used for prediction of glacier extent versus altitude in the system taking into account the correlation between the ELA and glacier-terminus level change. We tested two hypotheses of ice distribution versus altitude in mountain (valley) glaciers – "linear" and "non-linear". The results are estimates of the possible changes of the areas and morphological structure of northeastern Asia glacier systems and their mass balance characteristics for 2049–2060. Glaciers in the southern parts of northeastern Siberia and those covering small ranges in Kamchatka will likely disappear under the ECHAM4 scenario; the best preservation of glaciers will be on the highest volcanic peaks of Kamchatka. Finally, we compare characteristics of the stability of continental and maritime glacier systems under global warming.

scholarly journals Climate reconstruction since the Little Ice Age by modelling Koryto glacier, Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia

2008 ◽  
Vol 54 (184) ◽  
pp. 125-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satoru Yamaguchi ◽  
Renji Naruse ◽  
Takayuki Shiraiwa
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Kamchatka Peninsula ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
Tree Ring Data

AbstractBased on the field data at Koryto glacier, Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia, we constructed a one-dimensional numerical glacier model which fits the behaviour of the glacier. The analysis of meteorological data from the nearby station suggests that the recent rapid retreat of the glacier since the mid-20th century is likely to be due to a decrease in winter precipitation. Using the geographical data of the glacier terminus variations from 1711 to 1930, we reconstructed the fluctuation in the equilibrium-line altitude by means of the glacier model. With summer temperatures inferred from tree-ring data, the model suggests that the winter precipitation from the mid-19th to the early 20th century was about 10% less than that at present. This trend is close to consistent with ice-core results from the nearby ice cap in the central Kamchatka Peninsula.

scholarly journals History of the Donguz-Orun Glacier from bioindication, historical, cartographic sources and remote sensing data

2018 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
pp. 448-461
Author(s):  
O. N. Solomina ◽  
I. S. Bushueva ◽  
P. D. Polumieva ◽  
E. A. Dolgova ◽  
M. D. Dokukin
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
The Caucasus ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Mountain Valley ◽  
The Past ◽  
History Of

On the basis of dendrochronological, lichenometric and historical data with the use of Earth remote sensing materials, the evolution of the Donguz-Orun Glacier has been reconstructed over the past centuries. In this work we used aerial photographs of 1957, 1965, 1981, 1987, satellite image of 2009, as well as descriptions, photographs, maps and plans of the glacier of the 19th and 20th centuries, data of instrumental measurements of the glacier end position in the second half of the 20th – early 21st centuries, dendrochronological dating of pine on the front part of the valley, and juniper to date coastal moraines, and the results of lichenometry studies. It has been established that the Donguz-Orun Glacier in the past had several clearly marked advances about 100, 200 and more than 350 years ago, which are expressed in relief in the form of uneven-aged coastal moraines. Despite the fact that the Donguz-Orun Glacier differs from many mountain-valley glaciers of the Caucasus primarily by its predominantly avalanche feeding and a moraine cover, almost entirely covering its surface, the main periods of its advances are consistent with the known large fluctuations of mountain glaciers during the Little Ice Age in the early 20th, early 19th, and, probably, in the middle of the 17th century. However, unlike most other Caucasian glaciers, the Donguz-Orun Glacier advanced in the 1970s–2000s. Te scale of its degradation from the end of the 19th to the beginning of the 21st century is also uncharacteristic for the Caucasus: the reduction in the length for longer than a century period is only about 100 m.

scholarly journals Vegetation dynamics in Alpine glacier forelands tackled from space

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Fischer ◽  
Thomas Fickert ◽  
Gabriele Schwaizer ◽  
Gernot Patzelt ◽  
Günther Groß
Keyword(s):  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Ground Cover ◽  
Plant Succession ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Hazard Management ◽  
Alpine Glacier ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
Vegetation Sampling

Abstract Monitoring of plant succession in glacier forelands has so far been restricted to field sampling. In this study, in situ vegetation sampling along a chronosequence between Little Ice Age (LIA) maximum extent and the recent glacier terminus at Jamtalferner in the Austrian Alps is compared to time series of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) calculated from 13 Landsat scenes (1985–2016). The glacier terminus positions at 16 dates between the LIA maximum and 2015 were analysed from historical maps, orthophotos and LiDAR images. We sampled plots of different ages since deglaciation, from very recent to approx. 150 years: after 100 years, roughly 80% of the ground is covered by plants and ground cover does not increase significantly thereafter. The number of species increases from 10–20 species on young sites to 40–50 species after 100 years. The NDVI increases with the time of exposure from a mean of 0.11 for 1985–1991 to 0.20 in 2009 and 0.27 in 2016. As the increase in ground cover is clearly reproduced by the NDVI (R² ground cover/NDVI 0.84) – even for sparsely vegetated areas –, we see a great potential of satellite-borne NDVI to perform regional characterizations of glacier forelands for hydrological, ecological and hazard management-related applications.

scholarly journals Common Patterns and Diverging Trajectories in Primary Succession of Plants in Eastern Alpine Glacier Forelands

Diversity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Fickert
Keyword(s):  
Primary Succession ◽  
Ground Cover ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Central Alps ◽  
Successional Stage ◽  
Vegetation Development ◽  
Alpine Glacier ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
Ground Cover Plant ◽  
Study Sites

This paper deals with the vegetation development in four glacier forelands, aligned along a distance of 250 km from West to East in the siliceous Eastern Central Alps. The study employs a chronosequence approach, which assumes a temporal sequence in vegetation development by spatially different sites regarding time since deglaciation. The chronosequences cover the area between Little Ice Age (LIA) maximum glacier extent around 1850, and the current glacier terminus. Despite some shortcomings, chronosequences allow the identification of general patterns of primary succession of plants as a function of site age and local environmental conditions, e.g., changes in species richness, ground cover, plant functional traits, and community structure. While there is no shortage of chronosequence studies in glacier forelands of the Alps, a straightforward comparison aimed at the deduction of general successional trajectories is tricky, due to different procedures of vegetation sampling and data analyses. The comparative examination by a standardized sampling and analyzing protocol of four glacier forelands in the Eastern Central Alps presented here proves the existence of several common patterns in primary succession, but also diverging successional trajectories from West to East. While the pioneer stage in all glacier forelands is similar both floristically and structurally, from the early successional stage onwards, differences increase, leading to different phases in the late successional stage, which is shrub dominated throughout in the westernmost study site, herb–grass–dwarfshrub dominated throughout in the easternmost study site, and divided into an earlier herb–grass–dwarfshrub phase and a later shrub phase in the two study sites in between.

scholarly journals Prediction of possible changes in glacio-hydrological characteristics under global warming: southeastern Alaska, U.S.A.

1996 ◽  
Vol 42 (142) ◽  
pp. 407-412 ◽  
Author(s):  
N.V. Davidovich ◽  
M.D. Ananicheva
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Temperature Fields ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Mountain Glacier ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
Statistical Relationships

Abstract We use the Wetherald and Manabe climate model to predict the response of mountain glaciers to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide. The response is measured in terms of a change in the equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) and the glacier terminus altitude (GTA), net accumulation–ablation on these altitudes and the melt runoff for 12 mountain-glacier regions in southeastern Alaska, U.S.A. The methods we use involve extrapolating climate-model temperature fields to a glacier’s location, and empirical–statistical relationships between air temperature and percentage of solid precipitation, and between summer air temperature and ablation and melt runoff. Our study shows that, under global warming, glaciation in southeastern Alaska will not disappear, but mass exchange of glaciers will be more intensive and the ELA value will increase by 300–760 m, depending on the glacier’s distance from the ocean.

scholarly journals Glacier response to Holocene warmth inferred from in situ <sup>10</sup>Be and <sup>14</sup>C bedrock analyses in Steingletscher's forefield (central Swiss Alps)

2022 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-44
Author(s):  
Irene Schimmelpfennig ◽  
Joerg M. Schaefer ◽  
Jennifer Lamp ◽  
Vincent Godard ◽  
Roseanne Schwartz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
European Alps ◽  
The Holocene ◽  
Holocene Thermal Maximum ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Driving Mechanisms ◽  
Summer Temperatures ◽  
The Alps

Abstract. Mid-latitude mountain glaciers are sensitive to local summer temperature changes. Chronologies of past glacier fluctuations based on the investigation of glacial landforms therefore allow for a better understanding of natural climate variability at local scale, which is relevant for the assessment of the ongoing anthropogenic climate warming. In this study, we focus on the Holocene, the current interglacial of the last 11 700 years, which remains a matter of dispute regarding its temperature evolution and underlying driving mechanisms. In particular, the nature and significance of the transition from the early to mid-Holocene and of the Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM) are still debated. Here, we apply an emerging approach by combining in situ cosmogenic 10Be moraine and 10Be–14C bedrock dating from the same site, the forefield of Steingletscher (European Alps), and reconstruct the glacier's millennial recession and advance periods. The results suggest that, subsequent to the final deglaciation at ∼10 ka, the glacier was similar to or smaller than its 2000 CE extent for ∼7 kyr. At ∼3 ka, Steingletscher advanced to an extent slightly outside the maximum Little Ice Age (LIA) position and until the 19th century experienced sizes that were mainly confined between the LIA and 2000 CE extents. These findings agree with existing Holocene glacier chronologies and proxy records of summer temperatures in the Alps, suggesting that glaciers throughout the region were similar to or even smaller than their 2000 CE extent for most of the early and mid-Holocene. Although glaciers in the Alps are currently far from equilibrium with the accelerating anthropogenic warming, thus hindering a simple comparison of summer temperatures associated with modern and paleo-glacier sizes, our findings imply that the summer temperatures during most of the Holocene, including the HTM, were similar to those at the end of the 20th century. Further investigations are necessary to refine the magnitude of warming and the potential HTM seasonality.

scholarly journals Application of a minimal glacier model to Hansbreen, Spitsbergen

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 949-979
Author(s):  
J. Oerlemans ◽  
J. Jania ◽  
L. Kolondra
Keyword(s):  
Ice Age ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Main Stream ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Climate History ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
Holocene Climatic Optimum ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Climatic Optimum

Abstract. Hansbreen is a well studied tidewater glacier in the southwestern part of Spitsbergen, currently about 16 km long. Since the end of the 19th century it has been retreating over a distance of 2.7 km. In this paper the global dynamics of Hansbreen are studied with a minimal glacier model, in which the ice mechanics are strongly parameterised and a simple law for iceberg calving is used. The model is calibrated by reconstructing a climate history in such a way that observed and simulated glacier length match. In addition, the calving law is tuned to reproduce the observed mean calving flux for the period 2000–2008. Equilibrium states are studied for a wide range of values of the equilibrium line altitude. The dynamics of the glacier are strongly nonlinear. The height-mass balance feedback and the water depth – calving flux feedback give rise to cusp catastrophes in the system. For the present climatic conditions Hansbreen cannot survive. Depending on the imposed climate change scenario, in AD 2100 Hansbreen is predicted to have a length between 10 and 12 km. The corresponding decrease in ice volume (relative to the volume in AD 2000) is 45 to 65%. Finally the late-Holocene history of Hansbreen is considered. We quote evidence from dated peat samples that Hansbreen did not exist during the Holocene Climatic Optimum. We speculate that at the end of the mid-Holocene Climatic Optimum Hansbreen could advance because the glacier bed was at least 50 m higher than today, and because the tributary glaciers on the western side may have supplied a significant amount of mass to the main stream. The excavation of the overdeepening and the formation of the shoal at the glacier terminus probably took place during the Little Ice Age.

scholarly journals Application of a minimal glacier model to Hansbreen, Svalbard

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Oerlemans ◽  
J. Jania ◽  
L. Kolondra
Keyword(s):  
Ice Age ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Main Stream ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Climate History ◽  
Glacier Terminus ◽  
Holocene Climatic Optimum ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Climatic Optimum

Abstract. Hansbreen is a well studied tidewater glacier in the southwestern part of Svalbard, currently about 16 km long. Since the end of the 19th century it has been retreating over a distance of 2.7 km. In this paper the global dynamics of Hansbreen are studied with a minimal glacier model, in which the ice mechanics are strongly parameterised and a simple law for iceberg calving is used. The model is calibrated by reconstructing a climate history in such a way that observed and simulated glacier length match. In addition, the calving law is tuned to reproduce the observed mean calving flux for the period 2000–2008. Equilibrium states are studied for a wide range of values of the equilibrium line altitude. The dynamics of the glacier are strongly nonlinear. The height-mass balance feedback and the water depth-calving flux feedback give rise to cusp catastrophes in the system. For the present climatic conditions Hansbreen cannot survive. Depending on the imposed climate change scenario, in AD 2100 Hansbreen is predicted to have a length between 10 and 12 km. The corresponding decrease in ice volume (relative to the volume in AD 2000) is 45 to 65%. Finally the late-Holocene history of Hansbreen is considered. We quote evidence from dated peat samples that Hansbreen did not exist during the Holocene Climatic Optimum. We speculate that at the end of the mid-Holocene Climatic Optimum Hansbreen could advance because the glacier bed was at least 50 m higher than today, and because the tributary glaciers on the western side may have supplied a significant amount of mass to the main stream. The excavation of the overdeepening and the formation of the shoal at the glacier terminus probably took place during the Little Ice Age.

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