scholarly journals The Relationship between Gold Prices and Exchange Value of US Dollar in India

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Girish Karunakaran Nair ◽  
Nidhi Choudhary ◽  
Harsh Purohit
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Currency Markets ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Exchange Value ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Recession Analysis ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The inverse relationship between the value of U.S. dollar and that of gold is one of the most talked about relationships in currency markets. The present study is an attempt to understand the impact of recession of 2008 on relationship between exchange rate of US dollar in INR and gold prices in India. The study uses Johansen Co- Integration test to check the long term association between exchange rate of US dollar in INR and gold prices in India and it further uses the Granger Causality Test to check the lead lag relationship between the variables. A separate pre, during and post recession analysis of the variables is done to understand the impact of recession on this relationship. The study highlights how this relationship has changed since the global turmoil.

scholarly journals Meta-Analysis of Gold Price and Major ASEAN Currency (Malaysian Ringgit, Singapore Dollar, Thai Baht) Against US Dollar

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Tinggi ◽  
Shaharudin Jakpar ◽  
Amy Chin Ee Ling ◽  
Akmal Hisham Tak ◽  
Daw Tin Hla
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Bretton Woods ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Us ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Relationship

With the exit of Bretton Woods System and Gold Standard, the floating rate was adopted by most countries among ASEAN region. Floating exchange rate has been a major debacle issue for the volatility of world gold price in relation to national currency value including that of the ASEAN region. The motivation behind this empirical study is to examine the relationship between gold price and exchange rate of ASEAN major currencies such as Malaysian Ringgit (MYR/USD), Singapore Dollar (SGD/USD), and Thai Bath (THB/USB) against the US dollar. Gold price is primarily dominated in US dollar, and any variation in US dollar may influence the value of other currencies. The monthly meta-analysis involves the study of a span of 30-year data, effective from 1981 to 2010. While the findings report no short term relationship, a Johansen Co-integration test finds evidence of a long term relationship between gold price vis-a-vis the exchange rate of major ASEAN currencies, such as MYR/USD, SGD/USD and THB/USD. Further evidence from OLS shows that gold price has a positive relationship with MYR/USD but reports perverse relationship against SGD/USD and THB/USD.

scholarly journals COINTEGRATING RELATION BETWEEN EXCHANGE RATE AND GOLD PRICE

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
pp. 263-269
Author(s):  
Ranjusha ◽  
Devasia ◽  
Nandakumar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Relationship

The very purpose of this paper is to analyse the relationship between gold price and Rupee – Dollar exchange rate in India. The study utilises the annual data of exchange Rate (ER) and Gold Price (GP) from 1970 to 2015 to determine the relationship. Different econometric tools like Unit root test, Johansen co integration test, Vector error correction model, Granger causality test are used for detecting the long run relation, if any between the mentioned variables. The result shows that there exists a long run cointegrating relation between the variables. That is we can stabilise the Gold Price movement by controlling the exchange rate fluctuations. Likewise it also shows that Exchange rate doesn’t Granger cause to Gold price and vice versa. It means that the time series data of one vasriable cannot be used to predict another.

scholarly journals INDIKATOR MAKROEKONOMI DAN RETURN SAHAM SYARIAH DI INDONESIA

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Utami Baroroh
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Discount Rate ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Us Dollar

The objectives of this study are to examine empirical test the long term equilibrium and simulteneous relationship between macroeconomics variables to stock return in Indonesia and to observe stock return response because shock/innovation of inflation, SBI discount rate and exchange rate Rupiah to US dollar. The data sample used in this study are monthly time series data from 2003.1 – 2010.6. Those data are SBI discount rate, inflation (CPI), exchange rate Rupiah to US dollar, money supply and stock return (IHSG). A method of analysis in this study are Granger Causality Test and Cointegration test. The empirical results shows that SBI discount rate, inflation (CPI), and exchange rate Rupiah to US dollar have causality relationship to stock return.. The cointegration test indicates that among research variables there is long term equilibrium and simultaneous relationshipDOI: 10.15408/sjie.v2i2.2421

An Empirical Analysis of FII Movement and Currency Value in India

2015 ◽  
pp. 207-217
Author(s):  
Saurabh Sen ◽  
Ruchi L. Sen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Institutional Investment ◽  
Currency Futures ◽  
Overall Performance ◽  
Foreign Institutional Investors ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

India opened its stock market to foreign investors in September 1992 and has received portfolio investment from foreigners in the form of foreign institutional investment in equities and other markets including derivatives. It has emerged as one of the most influential groups to play a critical role in the overall performance of the Indian economy. The liberalization of FII flows into the Indian capital market since 1993 has had a significant impact on the economy. With increased volatility in exchange rate and to mitigate the risk arising out of excess volatility, currency futures were introduced in India in 2008, which is considered a second important structural change. This chapter examines the impact of the Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) on the exchange rate and analyzes the relationship between FII and Indian Rupee-US Dollar exchange rates.

scholarly journals Determining a Dynamic Relationship Between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: An Empirical Study on Eurasia

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bekir Elmas ◽  
Ömer Esen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Traditional Approach ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Relationship

The stock price has a close relationship with some macroeconomic variables. As examples of the main macroeconomic variables can be shown that exchange rates, inflation, interest rate, growth rates. This paper empirically examined the relationship between the local stock market indexes and exchange rate (USD) in six Eurasian countries namely Turkey, Germany, France, Netherlands, Russia, France and India. The paper set out by testing existence of a long-term relationship between considered two variables using the Engle-Granger (1987), Johansen (1988, 1995) and Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration methods. Results of Engle- Granger cointegration test showed that there is no cointegration linkage between two variables under consideration. Furthermore, The Johansen cointegration test found that there is a long-term relationship between two variables (variables in the two countries). Under the VAR (Vector Autoregressive) and VEC (Vector Error Correction) models appllied the Granger causality test, revealed an unidirectional casual relationship between two variables in each of the six countries. In addition as regards the relationship While there is a unidirectional causal relationship running from exchange rate to stock market for four countries. However this relation is casual running from stock market to exchange rate for other two countries. According to the direction of the relationship these results that relationship between stock prices and exchange rate in four countries supports for the “Traditional Approach”. Furthermore, this relation also supports for the “Portfolio Approach” for other two countries.

scholarly journals Tax revenue, expenditure, and economic growth: An analysis of long-run relationships

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (03) ◽  
pp. 04-26
Author(s):  
Lien Nguyen Phuong ◽  
Thanh Su Dinh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Method Of Moments ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

Focusing on the investigation of “long-term” relationship between tax revenue, expenditure, and economic growth, this paper employs the Granger causality test and finds that the linkage between tax revenue and spending is a bi-directional causal correlation. Furthermore, applying Persyn and Westerlund’s (2008) co-integration test allows for corroboration of existence of long-run cointegration linkages among outcome of economy and the three variables. In addition, by adopting two-step system generalized method of moments (SGMM) for a dynamic panel of 82 developed and developing countries during 16-year period (2000–2015), this research demonstrates that the impact of tax revenue and spending is substantial and ambiguous, depending on different groups of economies.

Impact of Stock Market Volatility on Gold prices during the Covid-19 pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Garishma Gulyani ◽  
Priyanka Gupta ◽  
Ramanpreet Singh
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Selection Strategy ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The present research study examines the impact of Stock marketson Gold prices using daily data for pre and during COVID-19 period (January-October 2020). This study uses Unit root test, Granger causality test, GARCH method and Johansen’s co-integration test to evaluate difference in the Volatility as well as the relationship between them. The findings show that no causal relationship exists between Gold Prices and Stock market prices in the short run. The result of the Johansen Co-integration test for the long-run relationship between theGold price and Nifty Indices showno co-integration at all, but low co-integration inshort-run cannot be ruled out. With this study, an attempt has been made to reveal the relationship that exists between Gold and stock markets with empirical findings using the time series analysis which reveals the original side of work during the pandemic. The ARCH and GARCH coefficient explain significantly the persistence of information on stock return volatility. The present study recommends that the integration between Gold and Stock market price entails the need for investors globally to follow a portfolio stock selection strategy to add value from the investments in India.These findings have important implication for the investors seeking portfolio diversification.

scholarly journals Toda and Yamamoto Causality Test between US $ Exchange Rates and Stock Market Prices in Sri Lanka

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Mohamed Ismail Mohamed Riyath
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Toda And Yamamoto

 co‑integration test, and the short‑run dynamic causal relationship is tested using Granger’s causality and Toda and Yamamoto [1] causality test. Place and Duration of Study: The study use daily data from the 02nd of October 1998 to 07th of September 2018.  Results: The results show that there is no long-term equilibrium relationship between All Share Price Index and US Dollar-Sri Lankan Rupees exchange rate. According to Granger’s causality and Toda-Yamamoto causality tests, the results indicate that there is a unidirectional causality running from All Share Price Index and US Dollar-Sri Lankan Rupees exchange rate in the short run. Conclusion: The study concludes that stock market causes on Exchange rate in Sri Lankan economy in the short run, but not vice versa. Contribution: This study is useful for macroeconomic policymakers and financial managers to have a better understanding of the movements between among the variables. The better understanding of short-term movements of these two variables helps to make the more informed investment and financing decisions.

Empirical Research of the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Beijing

2014 ◽  
Vol 962-965 ◽  
pp. 2220-2224
Author(s):  
Jie Yang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Relationship

This paper investigates the dynamic causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Beijing over the period 1980-2012. The Johansen co-integration test, Granger causality test and the vector error correction model (VECM) are used to calculate the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth. The conclusion is that there exists a co-integration relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, and this relationship is a one way relationship from economic growth to energy consumption. Further, using VECM, the long-term and short-term elasticity from economy to energy consumption are 0.43 and 0.14 separately. Statistical analysis shows that, from 1980 to 2011, every 1% growth in GDP annually would drive energy consumption increasing rate by 0.43% correspondently.

The influence of inflation targeting on the pass-through effect of the exchange rate

2018 ◽  
pp. 70-84
Author(s):  
Ph. S. Kartaev ◽  
Yu. I. Yakimova
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Impact

The paper studies the impact of the transition to the inflation targeting regime on the magnitude of the pass-through effect of the exchange rate to prices. We analyze cross-country panel data on developed and developing countries. It is shown that the transition to this regime of monetary policy contributes to a significant reduction in both the short- and long-term pass-through effects. This decline is stronger in developing countries. We identify the main channels that ensure the influence of the monetary policy regime on the pass-through effect, and examine their performance. In addition, we analyze the data of time series for Russia. It was concluded that even there the transition to inflation targeting led to a decrease in the dependence of the level of inflation on fluctuations in the ruble exchange rate.

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