scholarly journals The Analysis of Automatic Adjustment Mechanism of Balance of Payments-Evidence from Manufactured Goods Exporters

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 51-59
Author(s):  
Jia-Hua Yang ◽  
Grant G. L. Yang

The balance of payments is the most scientific and complete record of international economic exchanges and transaction flows, and will be affected by interest rates, exchange rates, trade, finance, foreign exchange management and foreign investment. Studies related to balance of payment dominate in those increasingly open and developing economies, particularly for the manufactured goods exporters where manufacturing is the backbone, driver and display of modernization. This paper explores time trend analysis to analyze the automatic adjustment mechanism of balance of payments for manufactured goods exporters based on data from United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. The stability, cointegration, and causality tests are performed followed by multiple regression analysis that corporates one-period lagged and log-formed models. The results are found to be consistent with theoretical analysis except for foreign direct investment. Granger causality tests demonstrate consumer price index and export are the causes of foreign direct investment, which might distort the explanation of foreign direct investment to balance of payment for manufactured goods exporters.

2020 ◽  
pp. 843-860
Author(s):  
Rıfat Karakuş

The outward foreign direct investments of developing economies have showed significant increase in recent years. Rising outward foreign direct investment stock of developing economies makes its determinants and consequences crucial. The aim of this study is to determine the home country specific determinants of outward FDI. For this purpose, a panel data analysis is performed with the data of BRICS and Next Eleven countries for the period from 1994 to 2014. The analysis results reveal that inward foreign direct investment, interest rates and technological capability of home country have positive influence and total labor force of home country has negative effect on outward FDI of developing economies.


Author(s):  
Rıfat Karakuş

The outward foreign direct investments of developing economies have showed significant increase in recent years. Rising outward foreign direct investment stock of developing economies makes its determinants and consequences crucial. The aim of this study is to determine the home country specific determinants of outward FDI. For this purpose, a panel data analysis is performed with the data of BRICS and Next Eleven countries for the period from 1994 to 2014. The analysis results reveal that inward foreign direct investment, interest rates and technological capability of home country have positive influence and total labor force of home country has negative effect on outward FDI of developing economies.


Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz

Recent years have also seen increased openness of EDEs to foreign direct investment (FDI) in search for faster growth and greater stability. However, FDI is one of the most ambiguous and least understood concepts in international economics. Common debate is confounded by several myths regarding its nature and impact. It is often portrayed as a stable, cross-border flow of capital that adds to productive capacity and meets foreign exchange shortfalls. However, the reality is far more complex. FDI does not always involve inflows of financial or real capital. Greenfield investment, unlike mergers and acquisitions, makes a direct contribution to productive capacity, but can crowd out domestic investors. FDI can induce significant instability in currency and financial markets. Its immediate contribution to balance-of-payments may be positive, but its longer-term impact is often negative because of high-profit remittances and import contents.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 442-447
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Innocents Edoun ◽  
Alexandre Essome Dipita ◽  
Dikgang Motsepe

Africa is facing a number of challenges that are negatively affecting socio-economic development at all levels of governments and local governments are expected to play a leading role for Africa’s development. One of these challenges are illicit financial flows that are perceived by many as a crime against Africa’s transformation. The continent is losing billions of dollars every year because of tax evasion, corruption and inappropriate transfer pricing and maladministration. With tax being one of Africa’s main sources of revenue, current and past researches revealed that, illicit financial flows (IFFs) cripple African Governments tax base as a results of capital outflows and lack of good governance. This situation obviously is a challenge for Africa’s development as governments struggle to finance structuring projects and this in turn compels these governments to seek funds from international organisations at very high interest rates. It is also important to reveal that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) rapidly grew after the Second World War with the intention to maximize profit on investment in less developed countries and specifically in the African continent. In competing in Africa, most multinationals main objective is to pay less tax, make extensive profits and transfer the proceeds to their country of origin. This subsequently gave rise to illicit financial flows in Africa where the continent is losing billions of dollars. Past studies equally revealed that, Africa’s revenue could increase between 55 and 65%, if appropriate mechanisms of monitoring the flows were in place. This study therefore is based on the premise that, tax evasion, illicit financial flows, corruption and abusive transfers pricing are all factors that affect Africa’s development. Using appropriate method of inquiry, this study wants to demonstrate the presence of FDI’s in Africa as a modus operandi behind tax evasion. It also using the “Appropriability Theory” to explain the rationale for FDI in Africa.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Preslav Dimitrov ◽  
Ivan Todorov ◽  
Stoyan Tanchev ◽  
Petar Yurukov

The specific design of the Bulgarian currency board arrangement (CBA), which provides an opportunity for the Bulgarian government to conduct discretionary monetary policy by changes in the fiscal reserve, was analyzed. The impact of government deposit fluctuations on the dynamics of reserve money and interbank interest rates was investigated. The hypotheses of an automatic adjustment mechanism and a liquidity effect under the Bulgarian currency board arrangement were tested. The methodology employed was a vector autoregression, which included the following variables: MB – monetary base; BP – the balance of payments; GD – government deposit on the balance sheet of the Issue Department of the Bulgarian National Bank; MRR – minimum required reserve ratio of commercial banks. The target variable was MB. Monthly data for the period of January 1998 - December 2018 were used. The study results did not provide evidence of a statistically significant impact of changes in government deposit on reserve money and interbank interest rates. The hypotheses for the existence of an automatic adjustment mechanism and a liquidity effect did not find an empirical confirmation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-55
Author(s):  
Fisit Suharti ◽  
M. Zidny Nafi' Hasbi

Southeast Asian countries are looking forward to capital market integration. The presence of this momentum requires stable economic conditions in each country and an attractive capital market. This momentum is also an opportunity for the Islamic capital market to be further developed in this region. This study aims to examine the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and macroeconomic variables, namely economic growth, inflation, reference interest rates and exchange rates on the return of the Islamic stock index in four ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore. The research period since four quarter of 2006 until the first quarter of 2020. The method used in empirical evidence in this study is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Testing Approach (ARDL). This study found a long-term co-integration relationship in all research object countries. In terms of long-term relationships and short-term dynamics, this study finds variations in yield and direction coefficients in 4 ASEAN countries. The speed of readjustment of balance in case of shocks, respectively, is 44.7%, 65.4%, 43.5% and 50.0% per month.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (150) ◽  
Author(s):  

Ethiopia is facing a pronounced economic slowdown and an urgent balance of payments need owing to the COVID-19 pandemic. The economy was growing robustly prior to the pandemic, and progress under the ECF-EFF arrangements was encouraging. The shock is expected to significantly reduce growth this fiscal year and next. It has already materially weakened external accounts as services exports, remittances, and foreign direct investment declined. The authorities are taking measures to combat the spread of the virus, mitigate its fallout, and support vulnerable groups. The fiscal deficit will have to expand temporarily to accommodate the additional spending.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadine McCloud ◽  
Michael S. Delgado ◽  
Subal C. Kumbhakar

AbstractWe characterize the types of interactions between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth, and analyze the effect of institutional quality on such interactions. To do this analysis, we develop a class of instrument-based semiparametric system of simultaneous equations estimators for panel data and prove that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. Our new methodological tool suggests that across developed and developing economies, causal, heterogeneous symbiosis and commensalism are the most dominant types of interactions between FDI and economic growth. Higher institutional quality facilitates, impedes or has no effect on the interactions between FDI and economic growth.


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