scholarly journals Cost of an unforced error in tennis: a statistical approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (84) ◽  
pp. 12-14
Author(s):  
Hemant Attray ◽  
Saksham Attray

The objective of this paper is to (1) introduce a scientific way of measuring the cost of an unforced error in tennis during various match situations and (2) to provide a basis for players and coaches to choose the right strategy among extremely cautious and adventurous playing styles based on a statistical approach. To do this, we analyzed a total of 2,490 different match situations. The results of this study show that the cost of an unforced error varies greatly depending on the match situation. Players are better served by playing a high percentage, low-risk game in situations when the cost of an unforced error is higher than the median cost and adapt a high-risk approach when it is lower than the median cost.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pagaporn Pantuwadee Pisarnturakit ◽  
Palinee Detsomboonrat

Abstract Background: Intensified preventive regimen based on a ‘high-risk’ approach has been proposed instead the routine prevention that is generally given to the whole population. The effectiveness of these regimens may still be an issue. Therefore, the aim of this study was to compare two preventive programs carried out in a Public School for kindergarten children. Methods: The data from clinical examinations were used to assess the caries risk for 121 children. Children with at least 2 carious lesions were considered as high risk for dental caries development. These children were randomized into two groups. Half (High risk basic-HRB group) were provided the basic prevention regimen (oral-hygiene instruction and hands-on brushing practice for teachers and caregivers, daytime tooth brushing supervised by teachers at least once a week, newly erupted first permanent molar sealant, provision of toothbrush, fluoride-containing dentifrice, and a guidebook), which was also given to low-risk children (Low risk basic-LRB group). The other half (High risk intensive-HRI group) were additionally given an intensified preventive regimen (F-varnish application, primary molar sealant, and silver diamine fluoride (SDF) application on carious lesions). Clinical examinations were performed semiannually to determine the dmfs caries increment of the three groups. Results: The 89 children completed the 24-month examination were 3- to 5-year-old with 19, 35, and 35 children in the LRB, HRB, and HRI group, respectively. The new caries development at 24 months of the HRB group (75%) was higher than that of the HRI group (65.7%) and the LRB group (21.1%). One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) indicated no significant differences of caries increment between the HRB and HRI groups at the end of our study ( p =0.709). Conclusions: The negligible difference in caries increment between the HRI and HRB groups implies that intensified prevention produced minimal additional benefit. Offering all children only basic prevention could have obtained virtually the same preventive effect with substantially less effort and lower cost. Trial registration: Thai Clinical Trials Registry (TCTR), TCTR20180124001. Registered 24 January 2018 - Retrospectively registered, https://www.clinicaltrials.in.th/TCTR20180124001.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingchao Zhang ◽  
Danhong Wu ◽  
Yue Tao ◽  
Yujia Li ◽  
Shufan Zhang ◽  
...  

Stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) are two leading causes of death around the world. It is of great significance to establish novel and non-invasive approaches for evaluating pathological state of blood vessels, so that early interventions may be carried out to prevent incidence of stroke or MI. Our recent studies have suggested that altered Pattern of Autofluorescence (AF) of skin and fingernails are novel biomarkers of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and MI. In particular, our studies have shown characteristic increases in the green AF intensity of the fingernails and certain regions of the skin of AIS patients and MI patients. By determining the green AF of skin of the Healthy Group, the Low-Risk Group for Developing AIS, and the High-Risk Group for Developing AIS, our current study has indicated that the green AF intensity in the fingernails and certain regions of the skin, including the right and left Dorsal Index Fingers, Ventroforefingers, Dorsal Antebrachium and Index Fingernails as well as right Dorsal Centremetacarpus, is highly correlated with the risk to develop AIS. There is also evidence suggesting that increased oxidative stress may account for the increased AF intensity in the Low-Risk Group for Developing AIS and the High-Risk Group for Developing AIS. These findings have suggested that the green AF intensity of the fingernails and certain regions of the skin is a novel biomarker for non-invasive evaluation of the pathological state of blood vessels and the risk for developing AIS or MI.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bhanu Prasad ◽  
Maryam Jafari ◽  
Lexis Gordon ◽  
Navdeep Tangri ◽  
Joanne Kappel

Abstract Background and Aims: Multidisciplinary clinics (MDC’s) were established in Canada to offer a variety of support systems (diabetes care, social support, easy access to pharmacists, dietitians, specialty trained nurses), to monitor and delay progression through timed lab investigations and visits in conjunction with the Nephrologist. The reasons for better outcomes have been identified as better education, focus on self-care, dietary interventions, timely transplant referrals, modality education, lower hospitalizations and mortality. Treating all patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) as part of a multidisciplinary care team runs the risk of adding unwarranted labs, interventions, polypharmacy and costs. Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) uses routine laboratory and clinical data, to stratify patients into three risk categories (low, medium, and high risk) of progression. KFRE has been shown to accurately estimate progression to kidney failure in adults with CKD. The objectives of the study were to i) validate the KFRE in our CKD patients, ii) evaluate health care utilization of patients based on the risk of progression in our province, Saskatchewan. iii) identify the subgroup of patients that benefit most from follow up in MDC. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study on 1007 patients with CKD stages G3 and G4 in two CKD multidisciplinary clinics in the province of Saskatchewan, Canada (January 2004-December 2012). The predicted risk of kidney failure (low, medium high) for each patient was calculated using the 8-variable KFRE. Patients were followed for five years to validate the KFRE; data on initiation of dialysis or death was collected. Cost of delivery of care per patient per year in the CKD clinic was determined. Health care utilization was evaluated by measuring the number/cost of hospital admissions, cardiovascular and thoracic (CVT) surgery, non-nephrology specialist appointments, and medications. Results: There were more patients in G 3 (n= 533) than in G 4 (n=474). 313 (59%), 150 (28%), and 70 (13%) were in low, medium and high-risk categories for G 3 CKD. 275 (58%), 86 (18%), and 113 (24%) were in similar categories for G 4. The mean age (SD) was 71 (12.8) years. The number of patients > 65 years of age was 75%. 57% were men, mean GFR (mls/min/1.73m2) for G3 was 40 (7.8) and 23 (4) for G4. Of the G3 patients, 4% of low risk, 11% of the medium risk and 26% of the high risk progressed to dialysis by 5 years. In G 4 patients, 7% of low risk, 17% of medium risk and 48% of high risk progressed to dialysis over 2 years. These results validate the KFRE in our population. The cost of care per patient in MDC was $ 3800 (CAD) per year. There was a difference in the cost of medications, number and cost of (inpatient hospitalizations, cardiovascular surgeries, non-Nephrology specialist visits, and day surgeries) between low risk patients vs high risk patients in G4 patients. Conclusion: We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis of our MDC’s and show that very few patients at low-risk of progression advance to ESRD. They are also unlikely to benefit from intensive care management and better managed in primary care with advice from tertiary centres. Individual programs have significant opportunity to improve health care delivery by identifying the sub- groups that benefit the most from MDC based on the risk of progression to allow optimal utilization of resources. At $ 3800 (CAD) per patient, we suggest that MDC’s are best utilized by patients with medium and high risk of progression. Further, we show that patients that the low-risk patients were older, had fewer inpatient visits, had lesser drug costs, underwent fewer cardiovascular surgeries, had fewer day surgery visits, and fewer non-nephrology specialist visits. This is the first study to our knowledge that focuses on health care utilization based on the risk of disease progression rather than the stage of CKD.


1991 ◽  
Vol 75 (538) ◽  
pp. 50-58
Author(s):  
Shayle Uroff ◽  
Brad Greene

2013 ◽  
Vol 368 (1615) ◽  
pp. 20120129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ardesheer Talati ◽  
Myrna M. Weissman ◽  
Steven P. Hamilton

The familial nature of major depressive disorder (MDD) is now well recognized. We followed children and grandchildren of probands with and without MDD to examine transmission of depression over generations, and to identify early vulnerability markers prior to the onset of disease. The study now includes three generations and five completed assessment waves spanning 25 years, with a sixth wave underway. Beginning with the fourth wave, we collected measures of brain structure (magnetic resonance imaging, MRI) and physiology (electroencephalography, EEG) and DNA in order to examine at a biological level why the offspring of depressed parents were at higher risk. In this paper, we provide an overview of the study design, the main findings, including new data, and the role of the high-risk design in translational research. We demonstrate that offspring of depressed parents (‘high-risk’), when compared with those of non-depressed parents (‘low-risk’), were at increased risk for depressive and anxiety disorders, with anxiety appearing earlier and being a predisposing factor for MDD. Offspring with two generations previously affected were at greatest risk. Thinning of the cortical mantle (MRI) and reduced resting-state activity (EEG) within the right parieto-temporal hemisphere differentiated high- from low-risk offspring, regardless of whether the offspring had MDD, suggesting that these measures might serve as familial trait markers for depression and related syndromes. The high- and low-risk offspring also differed by serotonin transporter promoter length polymorphism genotypes, even though the same genotypes were not associated with the presence of MDD. The high-risk epidemiological design appears to be a particularly valuable asset in translational research as it allows targeting of biological processes that emerge prior to the onset of disease, and identifies individuals at high risk for the disorder who may carry the trait or marker but not yet be affected.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pagaporn Pantuwadee Pisarnturakit ◽  
Palinee Detsomboonrat

Abstract Background: Intensified preventive regimen based on a ‘high-risk’ approach has been proposed instead the routine prevention that is generally given to the whole population. The effectiveness of these regimens may still be an issue. Therefore, the aim of this study was to compare two preventive programs carried out in a Public School for kindergarten children. Methods: The data from clinical examinations were used to assess the caries risk for 121 children. Children with at least 2 carious lesions were considered as high risk for dental caries development. These children were randomized into two groups. Half (High risk basic-HRB group) were provided the basic prevention regimen (oral-hygiene instruction and hands-on brushing practice for teachers and caregivers, daytime tooth brushing supervised by teachers at least once a week, newly erupted first permanent molar sealant, provision of toothbrush, fluoride-containing dentifrice, and a guidebook), which was also given to low-risk children (Low risk basic-LRB group). The other half (High risk intensive-HRI group) were additionally given an intensified preventive regimen (F-varnish application, primary molar sealant, and silver diamine fluoride (SDF) application on carious lesions). Clinical examinations were performed semiannually to determine the dmfs caries increment of the three groups. Results: The 89 children completed the 24-month examination were 3- to 5-year-old with 19, 35, and 35 children in the LRB, HRB, and HRI group, respectively. The new caries development at 24 months of the HRB group (75%) was higher than that of the HRI group (65.7%) and the LRB group (21.1%). One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) indicated no significant differences of caries increment between the HRB and HRI groups in caries increment at the end of our study (p=0.709). Conclusions: The negligible difference in caries increment between the HRI and HRB groups implies that intensified prevention produced minimal additional benefit. Offering all children only basic prevention could have obtained virtually the same preventive effect with substantially less effort and lower cost.


Swiss Surgery ◽  
2003 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 63-68
Author(s):  
Schweizer ◽  
Seifert ◽  
Gemsenjäger

Fragestellung: Die Bedeutung von Lymphknotenbefall bei papillärem Schilddrüsenkarzinom und die optimale Lymphknotenchirurgie werden kontrovers beurteilt. Methodik: Retrospektive Langzeitstudie eines Operateurs (n = 159), prospektive Dokumentation, Nachkontrolle 1-27 (x = 8) Jahre, Untersuchung mit Bezug auf Lymphknotenbefall. Resultate: Staging. Bei 42 Patienten wurde wegen makroskopischem Lymphknotenbefall (cN1) eine therapeutische Lymphadenektomie durchgeführt, mit pN1 Status bei 41 (98%) Patienten. Unter 117 Patienten ohne Anhalt für Lymphknotenbefall (cN0) fand sich okkulter Befall bei 5/29 (17%) Patienten mit elektiver (prophylaktischer) Lymphadenektomie, und bei 2/88 (2.3%) Patienten ohne Lymphadenektomie (metachroner Befall) (p < 0.005). Lymphknotenrezidive traten (1-5 Jahre nach kurativer Primärtherapie) bei 5/42 (12%) pN1 und bei 3/114 (2.6%) cN0, pN0 Tumoren auf (p = 0009). Das 20-Jahres-Überleben war bei TNM I + II (low risk) Patienten 100%, d.h. unabhängig vom N Status; pN1 vs. pN0, cN0 beeinflusste das Überleben ungünstig bei high risk (>= 45-jährige) Patienten (50% vs. 86%; p = 0.03). Diskussion: Der makroskopische intraoperative Lymphknotenbefund (cN) hat Bedeutung: - Befall ist meistens richtig positiv (pN1) und erfordert eine ausreichend radikale, d.h. systematische, kompartiment-orientierte Lymphadenektomie (Mikrodissektion) zur Verhütung von - kurablem oder gefährlichem - Rezidiv. - Okkulter Befall bei unauffälligen Lymphknoten führt selten zum klinischen Rezidiv und beeinflusst das Überleben nicht. Wir empfehlen eine weniger radikale (sampling), nur zentrale prophylaktische Lymphadenektomie, ohne Risiko von chirurgischer Morbidität. Ein empfindlicherer Nachweis von okkultem Befund (Immunhistochemie, Schnellschnitt von sampling Gewebe oder sentinel nodes) erscheint nicht rational. Bei pN0, cN0 Befund kommen Verzicht auf 131I Prophylaxe und eine weniger intensive Nachsorge in Frage.


2017 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 382-393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tracy K. Witte ◽  
Jill M. Holm-Denoma ◽  
Kelly L. Zuromski ◽  
Jami M. Gauthier ◽  
John Ruscio
Keyword(s):  

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 43-55
Author(s):  
Ika Yulianti ◽  
Endah Masrunik ◽  
Anam Miftakhul Huda ◽  
Diana Elvianita

This study aims to find a comparison of the calculation of the cost of goods manufactured in the CV. Mitra Setia Blitar uses the company's method and uses the Job Order Costing (JOC) method. The method used in this study is quantitative. The types of data used are quantitative and qualitative. Quantitative data is in the form of map production cost data while qualitative data is in the form of information about map production process. The result of calculating the cost of production of the map between the two methods results in a difference of Rp. 306. Calculation using the company method is more expensive than using the Job Order Costing method. Calculation of cost of goods manufactured using the company method is Rp. 2,205,000, - or Rp. 2,205, - each unit. While using the Job Order Costing (JOC) method is Rp. 1,899,000, - or Rp 1,899, - each unit. So that the right method used in calculating the cost of production is the Job Order Costing (JOC) method


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document