scholarly journals The Impact of Business Cycles, Stock Market Phases and Crisis on the Value Premium: The Indian Experience

2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (03) ◽  
pp. 08-31
Author(s):  
Priti Aggarwal ◽  
◽  
Vanita Tripathi ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Value Premium ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Value Stocks ◽  
Stock Portfolios ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

Purpose :This paper is an attempt to explore the relationship between the value premium and expected stock returns in the Indian stock market and evaluates whether the value premium disappears or not when the different economic conditions (Boom & Recession), market conditions (Bull & Bear) and 2008 Global financial crisis are considered. Methodology: The annual data of 500 companies belonging to BSE-500 from 1999- 2017 was collected and ten portfolios were constructed and sorted using six valuation proxies (P/B, P/E, D/P/, CF/P, S/P and EV/PBDITA). Standard CAPM and Dual beta market model were employed. Findings: The empirical results confirm that irrespective of market conditions, value stock portfolios surpass growth stock portfolios in the Indian stock market by delivering significant abnormal returns. Practical implications: The paper holds important implications for asset pricing literature and investors. The higher returns generated by value stocks during the crisis and recession period imply that investors can put faith in the value stocks during times of adversity. The future value of an investment is a function of its present price. The lower the price, the higher the returns will be. Therefore, value stocks are good investments whether it is boom or recession, bull or bear, crisis or non-crisis periods. Originality: The paper is first of its kind to study the impact of business cycles, stock market phases and crisis on the value premium in the Indian stock market. The paper contributes to portfolio management and asset pricing literature for an emerging market.

Insider Trading: A White-Collar Crime and its Impact on Share Market

Think India ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 22-24
Author(s):  
Sreekumar Ray
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Insider Trading ◽  
White Collar Crime ◽  
White Collar ◽  
Adverse Impact ◽  
High Ranking ◽  
Internal Information ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

Since inception, the growth of the Indian stock market has been constrained through unethical, illegal and self-actualized activities of swanky persons involved in different capacities in the market. The stock market was trying to retrieve itself from the devastating effect of Harshad Mehta share market scam, when within a gap of ten years it was once again pushed into the darkness of the dungeon by another demon-child of the country- Ketan Parekh. Corporations have been looted by the insider traders, diversifying internal information to an external in lieu of cash. Investigations in the majority cases have proved the involvement of the high ranking officers of the companies in the crime, sophistically referred to as white-collar crime. It has an adverse impact on the growth and sustainability of the share market. Under the light of the above issue, this paper endeavors to study the impact of such crime on the share market. It focuses on the mechanism behind the insider-trading, its impact on the share market and the regulators supervision on the issue. Finally, suggestions have been provided which will contribute towards the dream of every Indian-a fraud-free share market focusing towards the overall development of the country.

Does time-varying illiquidity matter for the Indian stock market? Evidence from high-frequency data

2021 ◽  
pp. 031289622110102
Author(s):  
Mousumi Bhattacharya ◽  
Sharad Nath Bhattacharya ◽  
Sumit Kumar Jha
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Exogenous Shock ◽  
Intraday Data ◽  
Day Of The Week ◽  
Holiday Effects ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

This article examines variations in illiquidity in the Indian stock market, using intraday data. Panel regression reveals prevalent day-of-the-week, month, and holiday effects in illiquidity across industries, especially during exogenous shock periods. Illiquidity fluctuations are higher during the second and third quarters. The ranking of most illiquid stocks varies, depending on whether illiquidity is measured using an adjusted or unadjusted Amihud measure. Using pooled quantile regression, we note that illiquidity plays an important asymmetric role in explaining stock returns under up- and down-market conditions in the presence of open interest and volatility. The impact of illiquidity is more severe during periods of extreme high and low returns. JEL Classification: G10, G12

Do Indian stock market sentiments impact contemporaneous returns?

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346
Author(s):  
Divya Aggarwal ◽  
Pitabas Mohanty
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of Indian investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns of Bombay Stock Exchange, National Stock Exchange and various sectoral indices in India by developing a sentiment index. Design/methodology/approach The study uses principal component analysis to develop a sentiment index as a proxy for Indian stock market sentiments over a time frame from April 1996 to January 2017. It uses an exploratory approach to identify relevant proxies in building a sentiment index using indirect market measures and macro variables of Indian and US markets. Findings The study finds that there is a significant positive correlation between the sentiment index and stock index returns. Sectors which are more dependent on institutional fund flows show a significant impact of the change in sentiments on their respective sectoral indices. Research limitations/implications The study has used data at a monthly frequency. Analysing higher frequency data can explain short-term temporal dynamics between sentiments and returns better. Further studies can be done to explore whether sentiments can be used to predict stock returns. Practical implications The results imply that one can develop profitable trading strategies by investing in sectors like metals and capital goods, which are more susceptible to generate positive returns when the sentiment index is high. Originality/value The study supplements the existing literature on the impact of investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns in the context of a developing market. It identifies relevant proxies of investor sentiments for the Indian stock market.

scholarly journals Transactions Volume, Exchange Direction and Asymmetry of Volatility in Emerging Market: Evidence From Tunisian Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 318
Author(s):  
Jaber Yasmina
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Trading Activity ◽  
Auto Correlation ◽  
The Asymmetry ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This study is an attempt to explain the relationship between intraday return and volume in Tunisian Stock Market. Indeed, former researches avow that the trading activity have the main explanatory power for volatility. However, most theories measure the activity of transactions through the size of exchange or the number of transactions. Nevertheless, these components are not aware enough of the importance of the direction of exchange when explaining the phenomenon of asymmetry of volatility. In the most of studies, the technique “Augmented Tick Test” (ATT) is employed so as to identify the direction of exchange. Such technique is adapted for the markets directed by orders like the Tunisian financial market. Again, this paper shows that the impact of the direction of exchange differs according to the market trend. In other words, if the returns are positive, the transactions of sale (of purchase) generate a decrease (increase) of volatility; whereas, they induce an increase (drop) of volatility if returns are negative. This result stresses the significance of exchange direction in explaning the asymmetry of volatility. Moreover, throughout this study, one may affirm that “Herding trades” are at the origin of the increase of volatility, while the “Contrarian trades” reduce volatility. Similarly, the identification of the direction of exchange enables us to affirm that the transactions of the initiates are characterized by the absence of returns auto- correlation; whereas, the transactions carried out by uninformed investors present an auto- correlation of the returns. In fact, the sign of this correlation varies according to transaction direction.

scholarly journals Relations and Emotions beyond the Boundaries in the Post Crisis Era – An Analysis of the Impact of Selected Variables on the Indian Stock Market

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (8) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Pooja Yadav ◽  
Nitin Huria
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Current Scenario ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

From a decade or so Indian continent has become the centre of attraction in the global economies. This changed outlook is due to the fact that India embraces vast availability of resources and opportunities which makes it the most vibrant global economy in the current scenario of worldwide sluggishness. On this path of growth and prosperity India is showing stiff commitments and competitive edges with developed as well as emerging countries. To be more specific, during this voyage in the Asia pacific region recently on one side India has seen stronger bonding with some of its old mates like Japan but on the other part it has faced strain like situation from its stronger competitor contender china on the same time. Hence, in this context the main aim of this paper is to examine the long run and short run equilibrium impacts of Japan and Chinese stock index as well as macroeconomic variables impact on Indian stock market. This paper finds the presence of both long and short run equilibrium impacts from China and Japan to India. In case of Japanese financial market (Nikki 225) has a trivial negative but significant long run impact whereas, the Chinese stock index (SSE composite) is operating at the short run with the same mild negative but significant impact on the Indian stock market. The results of the impact of macroeconomic variables find the existence of long run as well as short run equilibrium from some of the selected variables on Indian stock market.

Is value premium sector-specific? Evidence from India

2020 ◽  
Vol 46 (12) ◽  
pp. 1605-1628
Author(s):  
Vanita Tripathi ◽  
Priti Aggarwal
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Portfolio Management ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Value Premium ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Top Down ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThis paper is an attempt to explore the fact that whether the literature-promised value premium has any sector orientation. The paper tests the relationship between the value premium and Indian sectors: fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), financials, healthcare, information technology (IT), manufacturing and miscellaneous.Design/methodology/approachThe paper analyses around 210–480 companies listed on BSE-500 for the period of the recent 18 years ranging from March 1999 to March 2017. The paper employed Welch's ANOVA to examine whether the price-to-book market ratio is significantly different across sectors. Two prominent asset pricing models – single factor market model and Fama–French three-factor model – were used to examine the existence of value premium within sectors for full period and two sub-periods.FindingsThe empirical results of the paper suggest that the difference in the P/B ratio both between sectors and within sectors is statistically significant. The results further suggest that the value premium exists within the sectors irrespective of their value-growth orientation.Research limitations/implicationsThe paper is not free from certain limitations. Firstly, due to the non-availability of data in the public domain, the time period before 1999 could not be considered. Secondly, the study has used data pertaining to the Indian stock market only. To add to it, our study has concentrated on BSE-500 companies only; however, the future researchers can include both NSE and BSE companies.Practical implicationsThe paper has important implications for portfolio managers and retail investors following a top-down approach of investing. The portfolio manager can strategically build up the portfolios to concentrate more on the companies belonging to sectors like healthcare, manufacturing and FMCG. Investors following the top-down approach should avoid the underperforming growth stocks belonging to the growth sectors and allocate their funds to value stocks in the growth sector.Originality/valueThe paper is first of its kind to study the relationship between the value premium and Indian sectors. The paper contributes to portfolio management and asset pricing literature for an emerging market.

Friday the 13th effect on Indian stock market

2020 ◽  
Vol 07 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050010
Author(s):  
Tarika Singh Sikarwar ◽  
Karuna Shrivastava ◽  
Pratibha Jadon
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Indian Market ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Developed Nations ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
Work Done ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose: This paper attempts to investigate the presence of Friday the 13th Effect in the Indian stock market. Design/methodology/approach: This paper tests the presence of the Friday the 13th Effect using different sets of hypotheses for 7 days, 15 days and normal versus Friday the 13th by using statistical methods. Findings: The findings of the study do not support the presence of Friday the 13th Effect for all cases. There are few months for certain specific years where the effect was seen. Research limitations/implications: The Friday the 13th effect has been examined for two major indices of the Indian market, i.e., the Bombay Stock Exchange Index SENSEX and the National Stock Exchange Nifty Fifty Index. However, there are other major and sectoral indices as well where in the effect may be checked. Practical implications: The study results indicate that Indian stock market shows phased anomaly. The effect of Friday the 13th is seen only in some cases during certain years only. Originality/value: Friday the 13th effect has been mostly checked for developed nations and again there has been less work done with respect to this particular market anomaly. The present research is an original work done for emerging market naming India.

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