scholarly journals A New Prediction Model for Power Consumption with Local Weather Information

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. 488-498
Author(s):  
Haesung Tak ◽  
Taeyong Kim ◽  
Hwan-Gue Cho ◽  
Heeje Kim
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Guorong Zhu ◽  
Sha Peng ◽  
Yongchang Lao ◽  
Qichao Su ◽  
Qiujie Sun

Short-term electricity consumption data reflects the operating efficiency of grid companies, and accurate forecasting of electricity consumption helps to achieve refined electricity consumption planning and improve transmission and distribution transportation efficiency. In view of the fact that the power consumption data is nonstationary, nonlinear, and greatly influenced by the season, holidays, and other factors, this paper adopts a time-series prediction model based on the EMD-Fbprophet-LSTM method to make short-term power consumption prediction for an enterprise's daily power consumption data. The EMD model was used to decompose the time series into a multisong intrinsic mode function (IMF) and a residual component, and then the Fbprophet method was used to predict the IMF component. The LSTM model is used to predict the short-term electricity consumption, and finally the prediction value of the combined model is measured based on the weights of the single Fbprophet and LSTM models. Compared with the single time-series prediction model, the time-series prediction model based on the EMD-Fbprophet-LSTM method has higher prediction accuracy and can effectively improve the accuracy of short-term regional electricity consumption prediction.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 477-492
Author(s):  
Gregory Burris ◽  
Jane Washburn ◽  
Omar Lasheen ◽  
Sophia Dorribo ◽  
James B. Elsner ◽  
...  

Abstract. The authors introduce a method for extracting weather and climate data from a historical plantation document. They demonstrate the method on a document from Shirley Plantation in Virginia (USA) covering the period 1816–1842. They show how the resulting data are organized into a spreadsheet that includes direct weather observations and information on various cultivars. They then give three examples showing how the data can be used for climate studies. The first example is a comparison of spring onset between the plantation era and the modern era. A modern median final spring freeze event (for the years 1943–2017) occurs a week earlier than the historical median (for the years 1822–1839). The second analysis involves developing an index for midsummer temperatures from the timing of the first malaria-like symptoms in the plantation population each year. The median day when these symptoms would begin occurring in the modern period is a month and a half earlier than the median day they occurred in the historical period. The final example is a three-point temperature index generated from ordinal weather descriptions in the document. The authors suggest that this type of local weather information from historical archives, either direct from observations or indirect from phenophase timing, can be useful toward a more complete understanding of climates of the past.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 997 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenquan Jin ◽  
Israr Ullah ◽  
Shabir Ahmad ◽  
Dohyeun Kim

Occupant comfort management is an important feature of a smart home, which requires achieving a high occupant comfort level as well as minimum energy consumption. Based on a large amount of data, learning models enable us to predict factors of a mathematical model for deriving the optimal result without expensive experiments. Comfort management supports high-level comfort to the occupant in the individual indoor environment, using the optimal power consumption to run home appliances. In this paper, we propose occupant comfort management based on energy optimization, using an environment prediction model. The proposed energy optimization model provides optimal power consumption based on the proposed objective function, which requires temperature and comfort index data as the input parameters. For the input requirement, temperature prediction model and humidity prediction model are presented based on a recurrent neural network with a pre-collected dataset, including indoor and outdoor temperature and humidity sensing data. Using the predicted temperature and humidity data, the comfort index model derives the predicted mean vote value to be used in the energy optimization model with the predicted temperature data. The experimental results present an 8.43% reduction of the optimized power consumption compared to the actual power consumption using mean absolute percentage error to calculate. Moreover, the emulation of an indoor environment using optimal energy consumption presents as approximately similar to the actual data.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 105-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soo-Jin Lee ◽  
◽  
Kwang-Jin Kim ◽  
Yeong-Ho Kim ◽  
Ji-Won Kim ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 3670-3675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sung-Won Park ◽  
Sung-Yong Son ◽  
Jong-Bae Park ◽  
Kwang Y. Lee ◽  
Hyemi Hwang

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 208-215 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dunnan Liu ◽  
Long Zeng ◽  
Canbing Li ◽  
Kunlong Ma ◽  
Yujiao Chen ◽  
...  

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