scholarly journals The Impact of Inflation on Financial Sector Development: Evidence from Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 56
Author(s):  
Afangideh U. J. ◽  
Garbobiya T. S. ◽  
Umar F. B. ◽  
Usman N.
Keyword(s):  
Financial Development ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Threshold Effects ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the Impact of inflation on financial sector development in Nigeria using quarterly data from 2002-2017. Financial sector development is proxied using money supply as a share of GDP (M2/GDP).The Auto-Regressive Distributive lag (ARDL) model is employed to carry out the estimation given the weakness of the Engle-Granger residual-based cointegration technique to test the long-run and short-run effects of the impacts of inflation on financial sector development. The results of the estimation reveal that there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between inflation and financial sector development in Nigeria. There is need to test for threshold effects of inflation on financial development in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Impact Of Inflation On Financial Sector Development: Experience From Zambia

2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
pp. 1497 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Financial Development ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of inflation on financial development in Zambia during the period between 1980 and 2011. The study attempts to answer two critical questions: 1) Is there a long-run relationship between inflation and financial sector development in Zambia? 2) Does inflation in Zambia have any negative effect on financial sector development? The study uses the recently developed ARDL-bounds testing approach to examine this linkage. In order to address the problem of omission of variable bias, the study incorporates other variables, such as government expenditure, trade volume and GDP per capita in the financial development model, alongside inflation thereby, creating a simple multivariate model. Using the domestic credit to the private sector as a proxy for financial development, the study finds that there is a long-run relationship between inflation and financial development in Zambia. The study also finds that there is a distinctively negative relationship between inflation and financial development. The results apply, irrespective of whether the model is estimated in the short run or in the long run.

scholarly journals Institutional Quality and Financial Sector Development: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fisayo Fagbemi ◽  
John Oluwasegun Ajibike
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

In view of the indispensable role of financial sector in both emerging and developing economies, there has been a notable spotlight on the financial sector development over the years in most African countries. Nonetheless, there are only a few studies on this topical issue, particularly for Nigeria. Hence, this study examines the long – run and short – run dynamic relationship between institutional quality and financial development in Nigeria over the period of 1984 – 2015 using Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test approach to cointegration. Using two different indicators (Private credit and M2) of financial development, the results consistently show that institutional factors do not have significant effect on financial development in the long – run as well as in the short – run. Furthermore, the empirical evidence indicates that regulatory quality and governance system (institutions) do not necessarily contribute to financial development in a feeble institutional environment, specifically in Nigeria. Thus, our findings suggest that whilst weak institutions could increase the risk of limiting the functioning of financial system, good governance and strong institutions are the essential ingredient of financial development in Nigeria. As a consequence, policies aimed at strengthening the quality of institutions and governance should form the major policy thrust of government (policy makers). These could help improving financial sector development in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Inflation and Financial Sector Performance: The Case of Nigeria

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Santos Alimi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Macroeconomic Performance ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
Definition Of

Abstract The paper examines the long run and short run relationships between inflation and the financial sector development in Nigeria over the period between 1970 and 2012. Three variables, namely; broad definition of money as ratio of GDP, quasi money as share of GDP and credit to private sector as share of GDP, were used to proxy financial sector development. Our findings suggest that inflation presented deleterious effects on financial development over the study period. The main implication of the results is that poor macroeconomic performance has deleterious effects to financial development - a variable that is important for affecting economic growth and income inequality. Moreover, we observed a negative effect of the measures of financial development on growth, suggesting that impact of inflation on the economic growth passes through financial sector. Therefore, low and stable prices, is a necessary first step to achieving a deeper and more active financial sector that will enhance growth as predicted by Schumpeter.

Financial development and poverty reduction in India: an empirical investigation

2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Madhu Sehrawat ◽  
A K Giri
Keyword(s):  
Financial Development ◽  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between financial sector development and poverty reduction in India using annual data from 1970 to 2012. The paper attempts to answer the critical question: does financial sector development lead to poverty reduction? Design/methodology/approach – Stationarity properties of the series are checked by using Ng-Perron unit root test. The paper uses the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach to co-integration to examine the existence of long-run relationship; error-correction mechanism for the short-run dynamics and Granger non-causality test to test the direction of causality. Findings – The co-integration test confirms a long-run relationship between financial development and poverty reduction for India. The ARDL test results suggest that financial development and economic growth reduces poverty in both long run and short run. The causality test confirms that there is a positive and unidirectional causality running from financial development to poverty reduction. Research limitations/implications – This study implies that poverty in India can be reduced by financial inclusion and financial accessibility to the poor. For a fast growing economy with respect to financial sector development this may have far-reaching implication toward inclusive growth. Originality/value – This paper is the first of its kind to empirically examine the causal relationship between financial sector development and poverty reduction in India using modern econometric techniques.

scholarly journals The Asymmetric Influence of Financial Development on Economic Growth in Kenya: Evidence From NARDL

SAGE Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 215824401989407 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Chen ◽  
Duncan O. Hongo ◽  
Max William Ssali ◽  
Maurice Simiyu Nyaranga ◽  
Consolata Wairimu Nderitu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Model Specification ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

This study analyzed the asymmetric effects of financial development on economic growth using a model augmented with inflation and government expenditure asymmetries to inform model specification. The research question used entails, Do their asymmetry changes significantly influence growth? Using the nonlinear auto-regressive distributive lag (NARDL), the most significant results posit that positive shocks in financial development in the short run and its negative shocks in the long run increase and decrease economic growth, respectively. Regarding inflation, its positive (negative) shocks in both runs, respectively, reduce (increase) economic growth. In comparison, positive shocks in financial development that spur growth in the short run and negative shocks in financial development (government expenditure) that increase (reduce) growth are the most domineering effects as the rest of the shocks insignificantly affect growth. Results clearly demonstrate to an environment steered by stable and sustainable inflation that regulated government expenditure and comprehensive financial system deepening would positively cause economic growth. Therefore, appropriate policies that favor low inflation and reduced government spending, expansion of feasibly reformed financial institutions, capital accumulation, and increased resource mobilization should be instituted if real growth is to positively happen.

scholarly journals Information asymmetry and conditional financial sector development

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 372-392
Author(s):  
Simplice Asongu ◽  
Jacinta Nwachukwu
Keyword(s):  
Information Asymmetry ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Mean Values ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this study is to examine the role of reducing information asymmetry (IA) on conditional financial sector development in 53 African countries for the period 2004-2011. Design/methodology/approach The empirical evidence is based on contemporary and non-contemporary quantile regressions. Instruments for reducing IA include public credit registries (PCRs) and private credit bureaus (PCBs). Hitherto unexplored dimensions of financial sector development are used, namely, financial sector dynamics of formalization, informalization, semi-formalization and non-formalization. Findings The following findings are established. First, the positive (negative) effect of information sharing offices (ISO) on formal (informal) financial development is consistent with theory. Second, ISOs consistently increase formal financial development, with the incidence of PCRs higher in terms of magnitude, and financial sector formalization, with the impact of PCBs higher for the most part. Third, only PCBs significantly decrease informal financial development and both ISOs decrease financial sector informalization. Policy implications are discussed. Originality/value The study assesses the effect of reducing IA on financial development when existing levels of it matter because current studies based on mean values of financial development provide blanket policy implications which are unlikely to be effective unless they are contingent on prevailing levels of financial development and tailored differently across countries with high, intermediate and low initial levels of financial development.

scholarly journals Dynamic Analysis for Measuring the Impact of Remittance Inflows on Inflation: Evidence From Georgia

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 339
Author(s):  
Azer Dilanchiev ◽  
Aligul Aghayev ◽  
Md. Hasanur Rahman ◽  
Jannatul Ferdaus ◽  
Araz Baghirli
Keyword(s):  
Policy Making ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Explanatory Variable ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Remittance plays a critical role for small economies like Georgia as an unusual means of financing. In policy-making decisions, an understanding of the essence of the relationship between the amount of money exchanged and inflation is important. The paper studies the impact of remittance inflows, using quarterly data spanning a period (2000-2018), on the inflation rate in Georgia. The paper revealed that all independent variables have an effect on the long-run inflation rate; long-run inflation is positively associated with the leading explanatory variable remittance, and no relation is found in the short-run between remittance and inflation. The paper found that inflation's adjustment level to its equilibrium is 12% annually.

scholarly journals Examining the impact of Exports and Exchange rate on Economic Growth of Turkey

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iftikhar Muhammad ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Purpose This study intends to analyze the long-run and short-run relationships along with the identification of causal links between exports, economic growth, and exchange rate in Turkey. Data/Design: This study uses auto-regressive distributed lags (ARDL) and Granger causality over time series monthly data from the year 2010–2018. The results indicate that exports are significantly positively related to economic growth while the exchange rate is found to be negatively related to economic growth. Findings: Moreover, findings from the test of Granger causality indicate that a unidirectional causal association is found from exports to foreign direct investment and economic growth and from economic growth to foreign direct investment. The Granger causality results indicate that an increase in exports accelerates the economic growth of Turkey and a change in growth rate and exchange rate leads to a change in foreign direct investment. Originality of work: The overall findings suggest that exports should be promoted along with the liberal-investment economic policies to boost the overall economic growth in Turkey.

scholarly journals Effects of Remittances on Financial Development: A Time Series Analysis for Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol IV (IV) ◽  
pp. 381-387
Author(s):  
Muhammad Awais ◽  
Nazima Ellahi ◽  
Ahmed Sher
Keyword(s):  
Financial Sector ◽  
Data Set ◽  
External Finance ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Annual Frequency ◽  
Econometric Methodology ◽  
Migrant Remittances

International migrant remittances are possibly the largest source of external finance in developing countries and this inflow have has considerable importance in the development of the financial sector. The present study aimed to analyze the link between workers remittances and development of the financial sector in the context of Pakistan. To carry out this empirical analysis, the study utilized a data set of annual frequency ranging from 1980 to 2015 (post-liberalization period). The econometric methodology of Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) has been used to get the short-run and long-run elasticities of the model. Overall findings suggested that there is a strong positive link between the inflow of remittances and the development of the financial sector in the context of Pakistan.

Foreign Direct Investment, Financial Development, and Economic Growth Nexus in Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
pp. 056943452093867
Author(s):  
Md. Noman Siddikee ◽  
Mohammad Mafizur Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This article aims to explore the short- and long-run impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), financial development (FD), capital formation, and the labor forces on the economic growth of Bangladesh. We applied the Granger causality test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for this study. The World Bank data for the period of 1990–2018 are taken into account for the analysis. Our findings suggest, in the long run, capital formation has a positive impact, and in the short run, it has a negative impact on gross domestic product (GDP) implying a lack of higher efficiency is persisting in capital management. Similarly, labor forces have an insignificant impact in the short run and a negative impact in the long run on GDP, which confirms the presence of a huge number of unskilled laborers in the economy with inefficient allocation. The impact of FD is found tiny positive in the short run but large negative in the long run on GDP indicating vulnerability of banking sector. These also confirm fraudulence and inefficient use of the domestic credit supplied to the private sector. The impact of FDI is approximately null both in the short and long run, indicating Bangladesh fails to achieve the long-term benefits of FDI. Finally, this study suggests using FDI more in the capital intensive project of the public–private partnership venture than infrastructural development only and also improving the credit management policy of the banking sector. JEL Classifications: F21, F43, J21

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