scholarly journals Dynamic Analysis for Measuring the Impact of Remittance Inflows on Inflation: Evidence From Georgia

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 339
Author(s):  
Azer Dilanchiev ◽  
Aligul Aghayev ◽  
Md. Hasanur Rahman ◽  
Jannatul Ferdaus ◽  
Araz Baghirli
Keyword(s):  
Policy Making ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Explanatory Variable ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Remittance plays a critical role for small economies like Georgia as an unusual means of financing. In policy-making decisions, an understanding of the essence of the relationship between the amount of money exchanged and inflation is important. The paper studies the impact of remittance inflows, using quarterly data spanning a period (2000-2018), on the inflation rate in Georgia. The paper revealed that all independent variables have an effect on the long-run inflation rate; long-run inflation is positively associated with the leading explanatory variable remittance, and no relation is found in the short-run between remittance and inflation. The paper found that inflation's adjustment level to its equilibrium is 12% annually.

scholarly journals Impact of Exchange Rate Management on the Nigerian Economic Growth: Empirical Validation

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 28-35
Author(s):  
Friday Osaru Ovenseri Ogbomo ◽  
Precious Imuwahen Ajoonu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Exchange Rate Management ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper examined the impact of Exchange Rate Management on economic growth in Nigeria between 1980 and 2015. The study was set to gauge how the management of exchange rate in Nigeria has impacted the economy. The study employed the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method in its analysis. Co-integration and Error Correction Techniques were used to establish the Short-run and Long-run relationships between economic growth and other relevant economic indicators. The result revealed that exchange rate management proxy by various exchange rates regimes in Nigeria was not germane to economic growth. Rather, government expenditure, inflation rate, money supply and foreign direct investment significantly impact on economic growth in Nigeria. It is against this backdrop that the Nigerian economy must diversify her export base to create room for more inflow of foreign exchange.  

The Impact of Economic Sentiment, Consumer, Producer and Investor's Confidence Indices on Stock Returns of the Listed Companies in FTSE-20 in Greece

2018 ◽  
pp. 162-209
Author(s):  
Constantine Cantzos ◽  
Petros Kalantonis ◽  
Aristidis Papagrigoriou ◽  
Stefanos Theotokas
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Production Index ◽  
Behavioral Indicators ◽  
Portfolio Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This chapter examines the relationship between stock returns of companies listed in the FTSE-20 on the Athens Exchange and behavioral indicators. The research is based on the behavioral APT model, which examines stock returns' risk factors through the involvement of macroeconomic variables and behavioral indicators. The data is the closing price of 17 shares listed in the FTSE-20 index, a number of macroeconomic variables, and a series of behavioral indicators for the period of January 2001-December 2014. Regressions were conducted with dependent variable stock returns of a portfolio invested equally in these 17 stocks. In addition, the research tests the existence of long-run and short-run equilibrium and causality. The change in the industrial production index along with the risk premium have a positive and significant impact on the portfolio returns. Johansen's test showed that there is a long-run equilibrium between stock returns, macroeconomic variables, and behavioral indicators. The VECM and VAR models showed that there is not long and short-run causality, not even Granger causality. No similar research has been conducted in Greece, thus it fills a literature gap.

scholarly journals Do Macroeconomic Variables Predict Deposit Money Banks’ Performance in Nigeria?

2020 ◽  
pp. 14-33
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Bank Performance ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Empirical Examination ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

This study investigated the relationship between macroeconomic variables and the performance of deposit money banks in Nigeria, analyzed with suitable finametric tools. The results of the empirical examination found that all the macroeconomic variables employed (economic growth rate, interest rate, inflation rate, money supply and exchange rate in this study have no significant relationship with bank performance. It was also observed that each and jointly, the macroeconomic variables do not cause bank performance both in the short run and long run. Again, that bank performance responds insignificantly to the shocks of all the macroeconomic variables. Consequently the researchers advocate that deposit money banks in Nigeria with inherent discretionary policy be proactive to the monetary and fiscal policies of regulatory authorities in order to enhance their performance.

scholarly journals Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on the Yuan-SDR Exchange Rate

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 59-71
Author(s):  
Debesh Bhowmik
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Cyclical Fluctuations ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Macroeconomic Impact ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The paper endeavours to explore the macroeconomic impact on the Yuan SDR exchange rate of China during 2017m1-2021m6 to justify the internationalization of RMB which had entered into the SDR basket of IMF in October 2016.To evaluate the impact ,the paper used the methodology of Johansen (1988) cointegration and vector error correction model considering monthly Yuan per SDR as dependent variable and monthly GDP, inflation rate, foreign exchange reserves, export and import as the independent macro-economic variables. The pattern of trendline of Yuan per SDR is found nonlinear having cyclical fluctuations and seasonal variations according to Hamilton (2018). The paper also found that Yuan per SDR has significant long run causalities with export, import, inflation rate, GDP and foreign exchange rate of China during the specified period. Even, Yuan per SDR has significant short run causality with export only. The cointegrating equation converged towards the equilibrium with the speed of adjustment 11.83% per month significantly. The impulse response function of import to Yuan per SDR showed significantly convergent. The VECM contains autocorrelation problem and unit root for which it is non-stationary.

scholarly journals Money Supply, Inflation and Economic Growth: Co-Integration and Causality Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 29-45
Author(s):  
Ayad Hicham
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Natural Series

AbstractThe aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between money supply, inflation rate, and economic growth in the context of Algeria, using various econometric procedures as co-integration without and with structural breaks in addition to three different ways of causality test for the period 1970-2018, the results confirm the long-run relationship between the variables with more than three structural breaks, but with the absence of the effects of money supply and inflation rate on economic growth both in short run and long run terms, on the other hand, the causality results confirmed the existence of hidden causalities among the variables running from the cumulative components not from the natural series, and all the results support the Monetarist view of inflation though the absence of any effect of money supply on economic growth.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Volatility and Import Trade Flow Evidence From India-U.S. at Industry Level

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Mohini Gupta ◽  
Sakshi Varshney
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Trade Flow ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Import Trade ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

The centre interest of the study is to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility on the India-U.S. trade flow of Import on 6 industries spanned from September 2002 to June 2019. We investigate the relationship at disaggregate level by industry-wise data with monthly frequency. We employ exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (E-GARCH) model to gauge volatility and thereafter ARDL bound testing approach to unveil the short and long-run association of real exchange rate volatility and import. The empirical analysis implies the existence of both short-run and long-run effect in 5 importing industries except manufactured (engineering) goods. While real exchange volatility appears to have statistically significant effect in short-run, but also estimated short-run lasts onto long-run effect in only three industries. The results confirm the information of import in time-series analysis. The finding of the study helps to undertake the view of invariability and considering the industry before policy making.

scholarly journals The Impact of Inflation on Financial Sector Development: Evidence from Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 56
Author(s):  
Afangideh U. J. ◽  
Garbobiya T. S. ◽  
Umar F. B. ◽  
Usman N.
Keyword(s):  
Financial Development ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Threshold Effects ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the Impact of inflation on financial sector development in Nigeria using quarterly data from 2002-2017. Financial sector development is proxied using money supply as a share of GDP (M2/GDP).The Auto-Regressive Distributive lag (ARDL) model is employed to carry out the estimation given the weakness of the Engle-Granger residual-based cointegration technique to test the long-run and short-run effects of the impacts of inflation on financial sector development. The results of the estimation reveal that there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between inflation and financial sector development in Nigeria. There is need to test for threshold effects of inflation on financial development in Nigeria.

Pengujian Resiko Redenominasi terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah

Owner ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 620-630
Author(s):  
Abdul Holik
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

The redenomination is a breakthrough policy to induce stabilization because making transactions easier among the economic agents. This quantitative research aims to find the properness of the redenomination policy in Indonesia. The focus of this research is to analyze the impact of redenomination risk on rupiah exchange rate performance. It is conducted from April 1st, 2015 until May 9th, 2016. The method of analysis used here is VECM (Vector Error Correction Model) to find relation reciprocally among the three variables: CDS (Credit Default Swap) as a proxy for redenomination risk, exchange rate, and sovereign yields. Based on the result, we find that there are negative impacts in the long-run and short-run from redenomination risk on the rupiah exchange rate. Meanwhile, the sovereign yield has a positive impact on the rupiah exchange rate in the long run. In the short run, the exchange rate has a positive impact on redenomination, as well as on sovereign yield. The sovereign yield also has a positive effect on the exchange rate, as well as on the redenomination risk. But there is no impact of redenomination risk on the sovereign yield. From this finding, we should suggest that redenomination is a not proper decision yet. It is because the weakness of rupiah after its implementation due to sentiment of over-confidence among the economic agents sometimes triggers uncontrollable and high inflation rate. For the successful policy, previously the government should take action to reduce the inflation rate.

Do Macroeconomic Variables Predict Deposit Money Banks’ Performance in Nigeria?

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-33
Author(s):  
Chukwu Agwu Ejem ◽  
Udochukwu Godfrey Ogbonna ◽  
Onyemachi Maxwell Ogbulu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Bank Performance ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Empirical Examination ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

This study investigated the relationship between macroeconomic variables and the performance of deposit money banks in Nigeria, analyzed with suitable finametric tools. The results of the empirical examination found that all the macroeconomic variables employed (economic growth rate, interest rate, inflation rate, money supply and exchange rate in this study have no significant relationship with bank performance. It was also observed that each and jointly, the macroeconomic variables do not cause bank performance both in the short run and long run. Again, that bank performance responds insignificantly to the shocks of all the macroeconomic variables. Consequently the researchers advocate that deposit money banks in Nigeria with inherent discretionary policy be proactive to the monetary and fiscal policies of regulatory authorities in order to enhance their performance.

Trade Liberalization and Poverty: The Evidence So Far

2004 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 72-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Alan Winters ◽  
Neil McCulloch ◽  
Andrew McKay
Keyword(s):  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Convincing Evidence ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
Current State ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Key Questions

This paper assesses the current state of evidence on the impact of trade policy reform on poverty in developing countries. There is little empirical evidence addressing this question directly, but a lot of related evidence on specific aspects. We summarize this evidence using an analytic framework addressing four key areas: economic growth and stability; households and markets; wages and employment and government revenue. Twelve key questions are identified and empirical studies and results are discussed. We argue that there is no simple generalizable conclusion about the relationship between trade liberalization and poverty, and the picture is much less negative than is often suggested. In the long run and on average, trade liberalization is likely to be strongly poverty alleviating, and there is no convincing evidence that it will generally increase overall poverty or vulnerability. But there is evidence that the poor may be less well placed in the short run to protect themselves against adverse effects and take advantage of favorable opportunities.

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