The Long Shadow of Patent Expiration

Author(s):  
Ernst R. Berndt ◽  
Margaret K. Kyle ◽  
Davina C. Ling
Keyword(s):  
2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anupam B Jena ◽  
John E. Calfee ◽  
Edward C Mansley ◽  
Tomas J Philipson

Critics of me-too innovation often argue that follow-on drugs offer little incremental clinical value over existing pioneer products, while at the same time increasing health care costs. We examine whether consumers view follow-on and pioneer drugs as close substitutes or distinct clinical therapies. For five major classes of drugs, we find that large reductions in the price of pioneer molecules after patent expiration—which would typically lead to decreased consumption of strong substitutes—have no effect on the trend in demand for follow-on drugs. Our findings are likely unaffected by health insurance, competitive pricing of me-toos, marketing, and switching costs.


2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (S1) ◽  
pp. 69-69
Author(s):  
Mikel Berdud ◽  
Niklas Wallin-Bernhardsson ◽  
Bernarda Zamora ◽  
Peter Lindgren ◽  
Adrian Towse

IntroductionWe estimate the life-cycle value of risperidone – Second-Generation Antipsychotics (SGA) – to balance the view that cost per Quality-Adjusted Life Year (QALY) estimates at launch are enough to guide access decisions. Study results will also drive discussion on access and price to recognize the dynamic nature of pharmaceutical pricing over the long-run.MethodsWe estimated number of patients treated for schizophrenia with risperidone in Sweden and the United Kingdom (UK) between 1994-2017 based on usage data form national statistics and volume sales data from IQVIA. We collected data from literature on the effectiveness (QALYs) and costs (EUR 2017) of risperidone (SGA) and haloperidol – First-Generation antipsychotic (FGA). We estimate the life-cycle value added by risperidone versus haloperidol, and the life-cycle distribution of the social surplus between the payer (consumer surplus) and the innovator (producer surplus).ResultsWe estimated the consumer surplus, the producer surplus, the Net Monetary Benefit (NMB) and Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) at each year and in aggregate terms (1993-2017). For the UK the producer surplus was ~28 percent out of the total surplus before patent expiration and five percent after patent expiration. In Sweden, producer surplus was around 6 percent out of the total surplus before patent expiration and one percent thereafter. In both countries, during the life-cycle of risperidone, the NMB per patient increased and the ICER decreased as a response to: (i) the launch of Risperidone Long-Acting Injectable (RLAI); and (ii) the generic entry.ConclusionsThe value added by risperidone increased during the life-cycle due to the launch of RLAI and the generic competition. This suggests that, considering the entire life-cycle, the value added by SGAs to the system is higher than the expected value estimated using cost-effectiveness analysis at launch. Pricing and reimbursement decisions should take into account the dynamic nature of pharmaceutical markets and the value added by innovative medicines over the long-run.


1991 ◽  
Vol 1991 ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard E. Caves ◽  
Michael D. Whinston ◽  
Mark A. Hurwitz ◽  
Ariel Pakes ◽  
Peter Temin

2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (3S) ◽  
pp. e18s-e23s ◽  
Author(s):  
Rena M. Conti ◽  
Meredith B. Rosenthal ◽  
Blase N. Polite ◽  
Peter B. Bach ◽  
Ya-Chen Tina Shih

As calls for improving the quality and cost efficiency of oncology increase, future empirical work is needed to examine the responsiveness of oncologists' treatment decision making to incentives among patients of all ages and insurance types.


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