By Using Logarithmic Regression and Artificial Neural Network to Improve Prediction Model of Dead Number Resulted from Road Traffic Accidents in Turkey

2018 ◽  
pp. 446-453
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Damage Prediction ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Traffic accidents occurred on highway in Turkey cause materially and morally damage. To decrease the damage, prediction model developed. In this study, demographic and traffic data which from 1970 to 2007 are used. These data are consist of dependent and independent variables. Dependent variable is formed Number of Dead (ND). As for independent variables are comprised Population (P), Registered Number of Vehicle (VN), Vehicle-km (VK), Number of Drivers (DN). Models are developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Logarithmic Regression (LR) enhanced by Smeed. PVNVKDN model developed taking real values logarithm is the best performance of models in LR technique. VKDN created by using historical data sets is the best model in ANN technique. As for models created by randomly selected data, the best model is VKDN. When performances of best models are compared, VKDN is the best model because of lowest error rate.

scholarly journals Predicting the liquefaction potential of soil layers in Tabriz city via artificial neural network analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Alizadeh Mansouri ◽  
Rouzbeh Dabiri
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Soil Liquefaction ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Liquefaction Potential ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Prediction Approach ◽  
Empirical Approaches

AbstractSoil liquefaction is a phenomenon through which saturated soil completely loses its strength and hardness and behaves the same as a liquid due to the severe stress it entails. This stress can be caused by earthquakes or sudden changes in soil stress conditions. Many empirical approaches have been proposed for predicting the potential of liquefaction, each of which includes advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, a novel prediction approach is proposed based on an artificial neural network (ANN) to adequately predict the potential of liquefaction in a specific range of soil properties. To this end, a whole set of 100 soil data is collected to calculate the potential of liquefaction via empirical approaches in Tabriz, Iran. Then, the results of the empirical approaches are utilized for data training in an ANN, which is considered as an option to predict liquefaction for the first time in Tabriz. The achieved configuration of the ANN is utilized to predict the liquefaction of 10 other data sets for validation purposes. According to the obtained results, a well-trained ANN is capable of predicting the liquefaction potential through error values of less than 5%, which represents the reliability of the proposed approach.

scholarly journals Applicability of Fuzzy Logic and Artificial Neural Network for Unpaved Airfield Surface Bearing Strength Prediction

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 3373
Author(s):  
Ludek Cicmanec
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Regression Function ◽  
Large Data ◽  
Soil Strength ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Bearing Strength ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The main objective of this paper is to describe a building process of a model predicting the soil strength at unpaved airport surfaces (unpaved runways, safety areas in runway proximity, runway strips, and runway end safety areas). The reason for building this model is to partially substitute frequent and meticulous inspections of an airport movement area comprising the bearing strength evaluation and provide an efficient tool to organize surface maintenance. Since the process of building such a model is complex for a physical model, it is anticipated that it might be addressed by a statistical model instead. Therefore, fuzzy logic (FL) and artificial neural network (ANN) capabilities are investigated and compared with linear regression function (LRF). Large data sets comprising the bearing strength and meteorological characteristics are applied to train the likely model variations to be subsequently compared with the application of standard statistical quantitative parameters. All the models prove that the inclusion of antecedent soil strength as an additional model input has an immense impact on the increase in model accuracy. Although the M7 model out of the ANN group displays the best performance, the M3 model is considered for practical implications being less complicated and having fewer inputs. In general, both the ANN and FL models outperform the LRF models well in all the categories. The FL models perform almost equally as well as the ANN but with slightly decreased accuracy.

A Prediction Model of Deflection of Fixing Thin Parts

2012 ◽  
Vol 217-219 ◽  
pp. 1526-1529
Author(s):  
Yu Mei Liu ◽  
Wen Ping Liu ◽  
Zhao Liang Jiang ◽  
Zhi Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Experimental Data ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Abaqus Software

A prediction model of deflection is presented. The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is adopted, and ANN establishes the mapping relation between the clamping forces and the position of fixing and the value of deflection. The results of simulation of Abaqus software is used for Training and querying an ANN. The predicted values are in agreement with simulated data and experimental data.

Predicting Fatigue Life of Pre-Corroded LC4 Aluminum Alloy by Artificial Neural Network

2010 ◽  
Vol 118-120 ◽  
pp. 221-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Long Xu ◽  
Sheng Li Lv ◽  
Zhen Guo Wang ◽  
Wei Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Aluminum Alloy ◽  
Fatigue Life ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Fatigue Tests ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Absolute Relative Error ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The purpose of this work was to predict the fatigue life of pre-corroded LC4 aluminum alloy by applying artificial neural network (ANN). Specimens were exposed to the same corrosive environment for 24h, 48h, and 72h. Fatigue tests were conducted under different stress levels. The existing experimental data sets were used for training and testing the construction of proposed network. A suitable network architecture (2-15-1) was proposed with good performance in this study. For evaluating the method efficiency, the experimental results have been compared to values predicted by ANN. The maximum absolute relative error for predicted values does not exceed 5%. Therefore it can be concluded that using neural networks to predict the fatigue life of LC4 is feasible and reliable.

scholarly journals LANL* V2.0: global modeling and validation

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 575-594
Author(s):  
J. Koller ◽  
S. Zaharia
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Space Weather ◽  
Radiation Belt ◽  
Geosynchronous Orbit ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Magnetic Field Model ◽  
Integration Techniques ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Abstract. We describe in this paper the new version of LANL*. Just like the previous version, this new version V2.0 of LANL* is an artificial neural network (ANN) for calculating the magnetic drift invariant, L*, that is used for modeling radiation belt dynamics and for other space weather applications. We have implemented the following enhancements in the new version: (1) we have removed the limitation to geosynchronous orbit and the model can now be used for any type of orbit. (2) The new version is based on the improved magnetic field model by Tsyganenko and Sitnov (2005) (TS05) instead of the older model by Tsyganenko et al. (2003). We have validated the model and compared our results to L* calculations with the TS05 model based on ephemerides for CRRES, Polar, GPS, a LANL geosynchronous satellite, and a virtual RBSP type orbit. We find that the neural network performs very well for all these orbits with an error typically Δ L* < 0.2 which corresponds to an error of 3% at geosynchronous orbit. This new LANL-V2.0 artificial neural network is orders of magnitudes faster than traditional numerical field line integration techniques with the TS05 model. It has applications to real-time radiation belt forecasting, analysis of data sets involving decades of satellite of observations, and other problems in space weather.

scholarly journals A Comparison of Emotional Neural Network (ENN) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Approach for Rainfall-Runoff Modelling

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
pp. 2120-2130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suraj Kumar ◽  
Thendiyath Roshni ◽  
Dar Himayoun
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Discharge Data ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Emotional Neural Network ◽  
Selection Of

Reliable method of rainfall-runoff modeling is a prerequisite for proper management and mitigation of extreme events such as floods. The objective of this paper is to contrasts the hydrological execution of Emotional Neural Network (ENN) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for modelling rainfall-runoff in the Sone Command, Bihar as this area experiences flood due to heavy rainfall. ENN is a modified version of ANN as it includes neural parameters which enhance the network learning process. Selection of inputs is a crucial task for rainfall-runoff model. This paper utilizes cross correlation analysis for the selection of potential predictors. Three sets of input data: Set 1, Set 2 and Set 3 have been prepared using weather and discharge data of 2 raingauge stations and 1 discharge station located in the command for the period 1986-2014.  Principal Component Analysis (PCA) has then been performed on the selected data sets for selection of data sets showing principal tendencies.  The data sets obtained after PCA have then been used in the model development of ENN and ANN models. Performance indices were performed for the developed model for three data sets. The results obtained from Set 2 showed that ENN with R= 0.933, R2 = 0.870, Nash Sutcliffe = 0.8689, RMSE = 276.1359 and Relative Peak Error = 0.00879 outperforms ANN in simulating the discharge. Therefore, ENN model is suggested as a better model for rainfall-runoff discharge in the Sone command, Bihar.

scholarly journals Development of Artificial Neural Network Model for Estimation of Salt Fields Productivity

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 152
Author(s):  
Indra Cahyadi ◽  
Heri Awalul Ilhamsah ◽  
Ika Deefi Anna
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Factorial Design ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Model ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

In recent years, Indonesia needs import million tons of salt to satisfy domestic industries demand. The production of salt in Indonesia is highly dependent on the weather. Therefore, this article aims to develop a prediction model by examining rainfall, humidity and wind speed data to estimate salt production. In this research, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method is used to develop a model based on data collected from Kaliumenet Sumenep Madura.  The model analysis uses the full experimental factorial design to determine the effect of the ANN parameter differences. Then, the selected model performance compared with the estimate predictor of Holt-Winters. The results present that ANN-based models are more accurate and efficient for predicting salt field productivity.

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