scholarly journals Understanding the Effects of Climate Change on Crop and Livestock Productivity in Nigeria

Author(s):  
Opeyemi Gbenga ◽  
H. I. Opaluwa ◽  
Awarun Olabode ◽  
Olowogbayi Jonathan Ayodele

Aim: Agriculture entails majorly crop and animal production. Crop and Livestock production provide the major human caloric and nutrition intake. Assessing the impact of climate change on crop and livestock productivity, is therefore critical to maintaining food supply in the world and particularly in Nigeria. Different studies have yielded different results in other parts of the world, it is therefore, very important to examine the linkage between climate change and agricultural productivity in Nigeria. Study Design: The study utilized secondary data. The study utilize climate data from Nigerian Meteorology Station and Carbon emission, Crop and Livestock production data from FOASTAT. Place and Duration of Study: The study was carried in Nigeria and it covers the period between 1970-2016. Methodology: The data were used to estimate the empirical models. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, trend analysis, stationarity, Co-integration and Fully-Modified Least Squares regression. Results: The result of the research reveals that there is variation in the trend of the climatic factors examined and also variation in crop and livestock production over the period covered by the study in Nigeria. The finding also shows that rainfall, temperature and Carbon emission are the climatic factors that significantly affect crop and livestock production in Nigeria. Long term adverse impact of climate change on crop and livestock production index indicates threat to food availability to the country. Conclusion: The study concluded that climatic variables have significant effect on agricultural productivity in Nigeria. The study recommended the need to put in place measures that will reduce the negative effects of climate on agricultural production.

2021 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 9-13
Author(s):  
A. O. Agbeja ◽  
K. A. Olaifa ◽  
D. R. Akindolu ◽  
H. O. Salau ◽  
M. S. Akinlade

The livestock system is one of the most important characteristics of agrarian economy; livestock sector provides sustainability and stability to the national economy by contributing to farm energy and food security. Climate change is seen as a major threat to the survival of many species, ecosystems and the sustainability of livestock production systems in many parts of the world. Green house gases (GHG) are released in the atmosphere both by natural sources and anthropogenic (human related) activities. The impact of climate change can heighten the vulnerability of livestock systems and exacerbate existing stresses upon them, such as drought. Parasites and diseases are among the most severe factors that impact livestock production and reproduction, impact on livestock health, impact on feed and fodder availability, reduction in livestock population and impact of climate change on livestock genetics resource. However, the climate change especially global warming may highly influence production performance of farm animals throughout the world, this results in decreased animal production and productivity.     Le système de bétail est l'une des caractéristiques les plus importantes de l'économie agraire; Le secteur de l'élevage assure la durabilité et la stabilité de l'économie nationale en contribuant à l'énergie agricole et à la sécurité alimentaire. Le changement climatique est considéré comme une menace majeure pour la survie de nombreuses espèces, écosystèmes et la durabilité des systèmes de production animale dans de nombreuses régions du monde. Les gaz à effet de serre (GES) sont rejetés dans l'atmosphère à la fois par des sources naturelles et par des activités anthropiques (liées à l'homme). L'impact du changement climatique peut accroître la vulnérabilité des systèmes de bétail et exacerber les tensions existantes sur eux, telles que la sécheresse. Les parasites et les maladies sont parmi les facteurs les plus graves qui ont un impact sur la production et la reproduction du bétail, un impact sur la santé du bétail, un impact sur les aliments et la disponibilité du fourrage, la réduction du cheptel et l'impact du changement climatique sur les ressources génétiques du bétail. Cependant, le changement climatique, en particulier le réchauffement climatique, peut fortement influencer les performances de production des animaux d'élevage à travers le monde, ce qui entraîne une baisse de la production et de la productivité animales.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (8) ◽  
pp. 181-187
Author(s):  
Getachew Bekele Fereja

It is true that most proportions of Africans livestock production and productivities are declined when the climate condition is not comfortable. Therefore this review was conducted to show the impacts of climate change on livestock production and productivities. The climate change especially global warming may highly influence production performance of farm animals throughout the world. While there has been occasional mention, in the global discussion on climate change there has generally been a dearth of attention paid to the animal production and productivities impacts of the proposed abatement options and some of the suggested livestock management approaches would have severe and wide-ranging impacts on the animal’s products. This is on the background that the impact of climate change on crops is well known, much less is known about the impact of climate change on livestock. Unfortunately, livestock production and productivities assumes an overriding emphasis as one of the core sectors to solve the current food challenges and bringing future food sustainability in developing countries. Out of all the factors influencing livestock production, climate, and location are undoubtedly the most significant. Climate change will have far-reaching consequences for animal production, especially in vulnerable parts of the world where it is vital for nutrition and livelihoods. The impact of climate change can heighten the vulnerability of livestock systems and exacerbate existing stresses upon them, such as drought. Parasites and diseases are among the most severe factors that impact livestock production and productivity. Animal diseases have great impact on food supplies, trade and commerce, and human health globally. Animal genetic diversity is critical for food security and rural development. It allows farmers to select stocks or develop new breeds in response to changing conditions.


Author(s):  
Ranjana Sinha ◽  
Ashish Ranjan ◽  
Shabir Lone ◽  
Abdul Rahim ◽  
Indu Devi ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Hanna Bolbot ◽  
Vasyl Grebin

A huge number of scientific researches in the world are devoted to the research of global and regional climate change and their impact on water resources. In Ukraine, this issue is receiving insufficient attention. Researches have been done to assess current trends in river runoff, but future estimates of changes in Ukraine’s water flow have been presented in only a few papers. Present studies of this issue are conducted using hydrological modeling. The ensemble approach is widely used to increase the reliability of estimates of possible future changes in water runoff, that is, the use of data from several GCM and RCM models, with subsequent averaging of their results. Unfortunately, this methodological approach was not used in Ukraine. Using the water-balance method, local manifestations of global climate change within individual catchments can be estimated with sufficient quality. To estimate the temporal variability of the components of the water balance, a comparison of the available hydrological and climatic characteristics of the current period with the period of the climatic norm is used, as well as the method of differential integral curves, which reflects characteristic tendencies in the long-term dynamics of individual components of the water balance. Analyzing all available approaches to research on the impact of climate change on water flow, we can conclude that a complex method is the best for this investigation. Given that a large number of methods are used in the world, reliable estimates can be obtained by developing unified and validated methods and techniques. Therefore, the first step in this way should be a comparative analysis of the results obtained by the most commonly used methods. In the field of water, climate change can lead to changes in rainfall, hydrodynamic regime and water balance of rivers, increase of catastrophic floods and excessive drought, shortage of fresh water. Unfortunately, there is insufficient attention paid to the study of this issue in Ukraine. That is why assessing the impact of climate change on water flow and forecasting them is a very necessary task.


Author(s):  
Kenneth Ofori-Boateng ◽  
Baba Insah

Purpose – The study aimed at examining the current and future impact of climate change on cocoa production in West Africa. Design/methodology/approach – A translog production function based on crop yield response framework was used. A panel model was estimated using data drawn from cocoa-producing countries in West Africa. An in-sample simulation was used to determine the predictive power of the model. In addition, an out-sample simulation revealed the effect of future trends of temperature and precipitation on cocoa output. Findings – Temperature and precipitation play a considerable role in cocoa production in West Africa. It was established that extreme temperature adversely affected cocoa output in the sub-region. Furthermore, increasing temperature and declining precipitation trends will reduce cocoa output in the future. Practical implications – An important implication of this study is the recognition that lagging effects are the determinants of cocoa output and not coincident effects. This finds support from the agronomic point of view considering the gestation period of the cocoa crop. Originality/value – Although several studies have been carried out in this area, this study modeled and estimated the interacting effects of factors that influence cocoa production. This is closer to reality, as climatic factors and agricultural inputs combine to yield output.


2021 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 149-164
Author(s):  
I. I. Madziga

Climate change is a long-term shift in the statistics of the weather such as temperature,  radiation, and wind and rainfall characteristics of a particular region. Sustainability in  livestock production system is largely affected by climate change. A disproportion between  metabolic high temperature production inside the animal body and its dissipation to the  surroundings results to heat stress under high air temperature and humid climates. The  foremost reaction of animals under thermal weather is an increase in respiration rate, rectal  temperature and heart rate. The anticipated rise in temperature due to climate change is  likely to aggravate the heat stress in livestock, adversely affecting their productive and  reproductive performance and even death in extreme cases. The predicted negative impact of  climate change on agriculture would also adversely affect livestock production by  aggravating the feed and fodder shortages. The paper mainly reviews the impacts of climate  change on livestock productive performance.  Le changement climatique est un changement à long terme dans les statistiques  météorologiques telles que la température, le rayonnement et les caractéristiques du vent et  des précipitations d'une région particulière. La durabilité du système de production de bétail  est largement affectée par le changement climatique. Une disproportion entre la production  métabolique à haute température à l'intérieur du corps de l'animal et sa dissipation dans  l'environnement entraîne un stress thermique sous des températures élevées de l'air et des  climats humides. La réaction la plus importante des animaux sous temps thermique est une  augmentation de la fréquence respiratoire, de la température rectale et de la fréquence  cardiaque. L'augmentation prévue de la température due au changement climatique est  susceptible d'aggraver le stress thermique du bétail, affectant négativement ses  performances productives et reproductives et même la mort dans les cas extrêmes. L'impact  négatif prévu du changement climatique sur l'agriculture aurait également un effet négatif  sur la production animale en aggravant les pénuries d'aliments et de fourrage. Le document  passe principalement en revue les impacts du changement climatique sur les performances  de production de bétail. 


2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Majahodvwa S. Nkondze ◽  
Micah B. Masuku ◽  
Absalom M. Manyatsi

This study sought to investigate the impact of climate change on livestock production at the Mpolonjeni Area Development Programme in Swaziland. Primary data were collected using an interview schedule from 323 sampled households. Climate data were collected from the Swaziland Meteorology Department and Livestock data were collected from the Ministry of Agriculture. Perceptions of households and climate data were used to establish climate patterns in Mpolonjeni Area Development Programme. The Recardian regression model and descriptive statistics were used to establish the impact of climate change on livestock production. A total of 99.4% of the respondents suggested that temperatures were increasing whilst 98% felt that rainfall patterns were erratic. About 95% of the respondents have experienced drought at some point in time. Results of the Ricardian model showed that goats net revenue was sensitive to winter temperature, winter temperature squared, winter rainfall and winter rainfall squared. The study concludes that climate change impacts negatively on livestock production and thus livestock owners need touseclimate change adaptation strategies, adapt especially when it comes to drinking water sources for the animals. In case of poor rainfall, farmers need to provide their animals with drinking water. Government should assist livestock farmers with reliable water sources such as canals and dams.


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