Vegetation responses to past volcanic disturbances at the Araucaria araucana forest-steppe ecotone in northern Patagonia

Aims Volcanic eruptions play an important role in vegetation dynamics and its historical range of variability. However, large events are infrequent and eruptions with significant imprint in today vegetation occurred far in the past, limiting our understanding of ecological process. Volcanoes in southern Andes have been active during the last 10 ka, and support unique ecosystems such as the Araucaria-Nothofagus forest as part of the Valdivian Temperate Rainforest Hotspot. Araucaria is an endangered species, strongly fragmented and well adapted to disturbances. Yet it was suggested that volcanism might have increased the fragmentation of its populations. To provide an insight into the vegetation responses to past volcanic disturbances, a paleoecological study was conducted to assess the role of volcanic disturbance on the vegetation dynamics and if the current fragmentation has been caused by volcanism. Location Araucaria forest-steppe ecotone in northern Patagonia. Methods Pollen and tephra analysis from a sedimentary record. Results During the last 9 kyr, 39 tephrafall buried the vegetation around Lake Relem, more frequently between 4-2 ka. The vegetation was sensitive to small tephrafall but seldom caused significant changes. However, the large eruption of Sollipulli-Alpehue (~3 ka) might change the environmental conditions affecting severely the forest and grassland, as suggested by the pollen record. Ephedra dominated early successional stage, perhaps facilitating Nothofagus regeneration recovering original condition after ~500 years. Slight increase of pollen percentage from Araucaria and Nothofagus obliqua-type could be indicative of sparse biological legacies distributed in the landscape. The analysis showed that vegetation resisted without permanent changes, recovering relatively fast after the large eruption. Conclusion The relative stability of Araucaria pollen in the study area after several tephrafall suggests no change in its past geographical distribution at the current forest-steppe ecotone, thus I found no evidence that volcanic eruptions would have affected its current conservation status.

Drought onset and propagation into soil moisture and grassland vegetation responses during the 2012–2019 major drought in Southern California

Despite clear signals of regional impacts of the recent severe drought in California, e.g., within Californian Central Valley groundwater storage and Sierra Nevada forests, our understanding of how this drought affected soil moisture and vegetation responses in lowland grasslands is limited. In order to better understand the resulting vulnerability of these landscapes to fire and ecosystem degradation, we aimed to generalize drought-induced changes in subsurface soil moisture and to explore its effects within grassland ecosystems of Southern California. We used a high-resolution in situ dataset of climate and soil moisture from two grassland sites (coastal and inland), alongside greenness (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) data from Landsat imagery, to explore drought dynamics in environments with similar precipitation but contrasting evaporative demand over the period 2008–2019. We show that negative impacts of prolonged precipitation deficits on vegetation at the coastal site were buffered by fog and moderate temperatures. During the drought, the Santa Barbara region experienced an early onset of the dry season in mid-March instead of April, resulting in premature senescence of grasses by mid-April. We developed a parsimonious soil moisture balance model that captures dynamic vegetation–evapotranspiration feedbacks and analyzed the links between climate, soil moisture, and vegetation greenness over several years of simulated drought conditions, exploring the impacts of plausible climate change scenarios that reflect changes to precipitation amounts, their seasonal distribution, and evaporative demand. The redistribution of precipitation over a shortened rainy season highlighted a strong coupling of evapotranspiration to incoming precipitation at the coastal site, while the lower water-holding capacity of soils at the inland site resulted in additional drainage occurring under this scenario. The loss of spring rains due to a shortening of the rainy season also revealed a greater impact on the inland site, suggesting less resilience to low moisture at a time when plant development is about to start. The results also suggest that the coastal site would suffer disproportionally from extended dry periods, effectively driving these areas into more extreme drought than previously seen. These sensitivities suggest potential future increases in the risk of wildfires under climate change, as well as increased grassland ecosystem vulnerability.

Increased vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019

In 2018 and 2019, central Europe was stricken by two consecutive extreme dry and hot summers (DH2018 and DH2019). The DH2018 had severe impacts on ecosystems and likely affected vegetation activity in the subsequent year, for example though depletion of carbon reserves or damage from drought. Such legacies from drought and heat stress can further increase vegetation susceptibility to additional hazards. Temporally compound extremes such as DH2018 and DH2019 can, therefore, result in an amplification of impacts by preconditioning effects of past disturbance legacies.Here, we evaluate how these two consecutive extreme summers impacted ecosystems in central Europe and how the vegetation responses to the first compound event (DH2018) modulated the impacts of the second (DH2019). To quantify the modulating role of vegetation responses to the impacts of each compound event, we first train a set of statistical models for the period 2001–2017 to predict the impacts of DH2018 and DH2019 on Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) anomalies from MODIS. These estimates can be seen as the expected EVI anomalies, had the impacts of DH2018 and DH2019 been consistent with past sensitivity to climate. These can then be used to identify modulating effects by vegetation activity and composition or other environmental factors such as elevated CO2 or warming trends.We find two regions in which the impacts of the two DH events were significantly stronger than those expected based on previous climate–vegetation relationships. One region, largely dominated by grasslands and crops, showed much stronger impacts than expected in both DH events due to an amplification of their sensitivity to heat and drought, possibly linked to changing background CO2 and temperature conditions. A second region, dominated by forests, showed browning from DH2018 to DH2019, even though dry and hot conditions were partly alleviated in 2019. This browning trajectory was mainly explained by the preconditioning role of DH2018 to the observed response to DH2019 through legacy effects, and possibly by increased susceptibility to biotic disturbances, which are also promoted by warm conditions.Dry and hot summers are expected to become more frequent in the coming decades posing a major threat to the stability of European forests. We show that state-of-the-art process based models miss these legacy effects. These gaps may result in an overestimation of the resilience and stability of temperate ecosystems in future model projections.