Interannual to Interdecadal Variability of the Southern Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass and Establishment of “Forcing Mechanism Bridge”

The Yellow Sea cold water mass (YSCWM) occupies a wide region below the Yellow Sea (YS) thermocline in summer which is the most conservative water and may contain clearer climate signals than any other water masses in the YS. This study investigated the low-frequency variability of the southern YSCWM (SYSCWM) and established the “forcing mechanism bridge” using correlation analysis and singular value decomposition. On the interannual timescale, the southern oscillation can affect the SYSCWM through both the local winter monsoon (WM) and the sea surface net heat flux. On the decadal timescale, the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) can affect the SYSCWM via two “bridges”. First, the PDO affects the SYSCWM intensity by Aleutian low (AL), WM, and surface air temperature (SAT). Second, the PDO affects the SYSCWM by AL, WM, Kuroshio heat transport, and Yellow Sea warm current. The Arctic oscillation (AO) affects the SYSCWM by the Mongolian high, WM, and SAT. Before and after the 1980s, the consistent phase change of the PDO and the AO contributed to the significant decadal variability of the SYSCWM. Finally, one simple formula for predicting the decadal variability of SYSCWM intensity was established using key influencing factors.

Air-sea heat flux during warming season determines the interannual variation of bottom cold water mass in a semi-enclosed bay

A bottom cold water mass (BCWM) is a widespread physical oceanographic phenomenon in coastal seas, and its temperature variability has an important effect on the marine ecological environment. In this study, the interannual variation of the BCWM in Iyo-Nada (INCWM), a semi-enclosed bay in the Seto Inland Sea, Japan, from 1994 to 2015 and its influencing factors were investigated using monthly observational data and a hydrodynamic model. The interannual variation in water temperature inside the INCWM showed a negative correlation with the area of the INCWM, and positive correlations with the local water temperature from April to July and with remote water temperature below 10 m in an adjacent strait in July. Differing from previously studied BCWMs, which had interannual variations depending closely on the water temperature before the warming season, the interannual variation of INCWM depends strongly on the air-sea heat flux during the warming season via local vertical heat transport and lateral heat advection. Further, by comparing several BCWMs, we found that the BCWM size is a key factor in understanding the mechanisms responsible for the interannual variation of BCWMs in coastal seas. These findings will help to predict bottom water temperatures and improve the current understanding of ecosystem changes in shelf seas under global climate change.

The Effect of Low Temperature on the Early Life Stages of the Walleye Pollock, Gadus chalcogrammus—A Laboratory Study

The walleye pollock Gadus chalcogrammus is an important commercial species in Japan whose larvae and eggs may be negatively affected by the cold water mass from the coastal Oyashio current that is present in the spawning ground of the Japanese Pacific stock of this species. Therefore, we investigated egg and larval specific density, larval mortality, and behavioral response to temperature change during the ontogenetic development of the walleye pollock to understand the effect of this cold surface water mass (<1.5 °C). Egg and larval specific density varied during development but were lower than the corresponding values from the coastal Oyashio waters. Within our study temperature range (0.3 °C–10.0 °C), the number of days to 50% mortality (D50) was high at 3.1 °C. Below and above this temperature, the D50 showed a decreasing trend. Regarding larval response, at 1.5°C and 5.0°C, newly hatched larvae occurred abundantly in the surface layer, irrespective of the surface and rearing temperatures. When these larvae were released into a thermally stratified water column (surface: 1.5 °C, bottom: 5.0 °C), larvae reared at 5.0 °C with the mouth open and yolk sac completely absorbed moved to the lower layers. However, larvae reared at 1.5 °C remained in the surface layer. These results suggest that the cold water mass could negatively affect larval survival and may limit the escape ability of larvae from unfavorable cold conditions.