Stranded Assets: How Policy Uncertainty affects Capital, Growth, and the Environment

The paper considers stochastic environmental policy and its effects on the environment, portfolio composition, and economic growth. Capital accumulation causes pollution which is reduced by private green services and public abatement. The government subsidizes green services and taxes dirty capital albeit at a rate which may become random, causing unexpected capital write-offs. Tax jumps depend on natural degradation and environmental activism. We derive how uncertainty and political activism affect the risk premia for investors. We analyze the incentives for firms to increase the greenness of production in order to reduce political uncertainty. Stochastic taxation is shown to act as a substitute for green subsidies when uncertainty decreases in the ratio of green services to capital and agents use their green activities strategically. Tax uncertainty may trigger precautionary savings, causing additional growth and enhanced environmental deterioration.

EFEK MEDIASI FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL, GROWTH OPPORTUNITY, DAN FIRM VALUE

Peningkatan kualitas kerja perusahaan akan memberikan dampak pada kemajuan perusahaan. Untuk itu perusahaan dituntut mengelola kinerja perusahaan serta modalnya dengan baik. Artikel ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji efek mediasi Financial Performance: Intellectual Capital, Growth Opportunity, Dan Firm Value. Intellectual capital merupakan tolak ukur total saham berdasarkan kolektif ilmu pengetahuan. Growth opportunity menunjukkan prediksi kemampuan perusahaan menempati posisi ekonomi pada industri sejenis. Data yang digunakan ialah data sekunder berasal dari laporan keuangan juga didukung dengan penelitian kepustakaan dan dokumentasi lalu diolah dengan cara statistik. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian pada pengujian pertama intellectual capital tidak berpengaruh terhadap firm value. Namun growth opportunity dapat memberikan pengaruh signifikan terhadap firm value. Hasil uji sobel financial performance tidak dapat memediasi pengaruh intellectual capital dan growth opprtunity terhadap firm value.

Capital Inflows and Economic Growth in Selected COMESA Member Countries

This study examines the impact of capital inflows (FDI, ODA and Remittances) on economic growth in COMESA member countries. Applying System GMM estimation, the study finds a positive and significant relationship between capital inflows (except remittances) and GDP per capita growth, supporting the positive role capital inflows play in bridging the savings and investment gap, by providing finance for investment. However, remittances do not significantly influence GDP per capital growth. Remittances contribute positively to GDP per capita growth only when interacted with a variable for domestic financial depth. Examining whether capital inflows adversely affect economic growth, the study finds that except for the remittances whose effect is not significant, capital inflows (FDI, ODA and total inflows) leads to an appreciation of the REER, that may be detrimental to growth. The parameter for remittances does not significantly effect REER, implying that remittances are in most cases used to smoothen households’ consumptions during macroeconomic shocks and hence are counter-cyclical in nature. The study recommends, among others, financial sector reforms that will ensure increased depth of the domestic financial sector, capable of harnessing and providing efficient vehicles that can direct remittances for investment. JEL classification numbers: F15, F21, F24, F35, F43, F45. Keywords: Capital inflows, Economic Growth, COMESA.

The Estimation of the Potential Human Capital Accumulation Rate of China in the Future

From the perspective that the change in population age structure could affect human capital accumulation, this paper introduces a concept of “the potential growth speed in human capital stock” and discusses the future of China’s human capital growth from different aspects. This paper uses the perpetual inventory method and China’s sixth national population census data to predict the maximum potential space for China’s human capital stock growth in the future. Firstly, we use the average years of schooling of the working-age population as an index to measure the human capital stock. Though decomposing the differences in human capital stock, we introduce the concept of potential growth speed in human capital stock. Secondly, by decomposing accumulation rate of human capital stock in China, differences of human capital stock between China and South Korea, and differences of human capital stock between China and Japan, this paper finds that the age structure change will have a negative factor on China’s accumulation of human capital in the next 20 years. To conclude, China will probably accumulate human capital at a much faster rate until 2040, but the human capital growth potential is fully exploited on the condition of that.

Education and Economic Growth

Economic growth determines the future well-being of society, but finding ways to influence it has eluded many nations. Empirical analysis of differences in growth rates reaches a simple conclusion: long-run growth in gross domestic product (GDP) is largely determined by the skills of a nation’s population. Moreover, the relevant skills can be readily gauged by standardized tests of cognitive achievement. Over the period 1960–2000, three-quarters of the variation in growth of GDP per capita across countries can be accounted for by international measures of math and science skills. The relationship between aggregate cognitive skills, called the knowledge capital of a nation, and the long-run growth rate is extraordinarily strong. There are natural questions about whether the knowledge capital–growth relationship is causal. While it is impossible to provide conclusive proof of causality, the existing evidence makes a strong prima facie case that changing the skills of the population will lead to higher growth rates. If future GDP is projected based on the historical growth relationship, the results indicate that modest efforts to bring all students to minimal levels will produce huge economic gains. Improvements in the quality of schools have strong long-term benefits. The best way to improve the quality of schools is unclear from existing research. On the other hand, a number of developed and developing countries have shown that improvement is possible.

An investigation into the investment potential of purpose-built student accommodation in Sydney

Purpose Higher education is now one of the biggest export sectors in the Australian economy. Purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) has emerged as a new asset class in Australia, as demanded by international and domestic students. As of 25 October 2020, there were still approximately 400,000 onshore international students and 135,000 offshore students despite the COVID pandemic. Various universities remain optimistic about their returns to Australia. Active PBSA investors remain focussed on the longer-term fundamentals and return of the Australian student market. This study aims to examine the investment potential of the PBSA sector in Sydney. Design/methodology/approach The triangulation method was used to confirm whether the literature findings on the high potential of PBSA investment apply to the context of the Sydney market. Qualitative expert interviews with two directors of major international real estate consulting firms, one private family trust investor and one director of a development company, were conducted in tandem with a qualitative multiple-case study of three major PBSAs via interviews with their building managers. These selected participants broadly covered the stakeholder settings across the industry. Findings A positive and solid trend of demand and rental growth was confirmed by the expert interviews and the performance of PBSA cases in Sydney, as supported by the growing number of international students in the longer term. To enhance the rental growth, and hence total returns, self-contained studio-type accommodation with quality facilities and social support should be provided, and operators should consistently track the needs of students and provide them with a better living experience. Research limitations/implications PBSA is a new asset class and there have been limited supply and sale transactions to enable detailed examination of the capital growth, so this research has focussed on rental growth. When the PBSA market becomes more mature, further research should be conducted to analyse the strength of this emerging investment’s capital growth and total returns. Practical implications In the longer term, PBSA is a low-risk property investment with potentially high returns in Sydney. Institutional investors and real estate consultants can make informed decisions to build up the property portfolio. PBSA is capital-intensive and has low liquidity, so this type of investment is particularly suitable for institutional investors. Social implications Universities should provide more suitable PBSA accommodations by themselves or partnerships with private developers. Planning authorities should include more PBSA residential uses in the land zoning plan. This is to provide more affordable accommodations to meet the demand of cost-sensitive students. Originality/value This research confirms PBSA is a low-risk investment with potentially high returns within the context of the Sydney market. The findings will benefit the major stakeholders of PBSA in their investment decisions, including investors, developers and universities.

Model Pembangunan Inkubator Wirausaha Syariah Perguruan Tinggi di Palembang

Entrepreneurship has existed since ancient times, and the Prophet Muhammad ﷺ exemplified business, buying and selling, and expanding business opportunities. Economic development has as one of its objectives the provision of employment opportunities to anticipate labor force growth that exceeds job opportunities and creates new job opportunities. Some factors determine this. To begin, population growth is typically greater than capital growth. Second, the demographic profile is younger, which means that a more significant number of people are entering the workforce. Thirdly, the industrial structure, which is characterized by a lack of economic diversification and an insufficient level of population skills. Additionally, entrepreneurial activity is still low, and new young businesses have not been particularly active in starting a business opportunity that can be created and run after they graduate from college, which has an effect on a country's level of entrepreneurial growth among youth.

Performance of Foreign Direct Investment in Commercial Real Estate in Nigeria from 2006-2017

Performance of FDI in commercial real estate in Nigeria when compared to international benchmark figures is yet to be established and documented in literature. The aim of the study was to appraise the performance of FDI in commercial real estate in Nigeria from 2006 to 2017 in a bid to empirically assist foreign direct investors’ decisions on investing in the Nigerian commercial real estate sector. The objectives were to; ascertain and compare returns from foreign direct investments in commercial real estate in Nigeria with international benchmark; and to examine how FDI tax responsibilities in Nigeria compare with the global benchmark rate. The study adopted ex post facto research design, and the unit of analysis was selected foreign controlled commercial real estate investments in Lagos and Abuja. The study adopted the Jones Lang LaSalle benchmark settings for commercial real estate performance indicator due to its empiricism from an international perspective where yield is 5.7%, capital growth is 7% and rental growth is 5.5%. Data were collected on rental values, capital values, tax responsibilities, and was analyzed using T-test. The study showed a yield of 4%, (t = 6.364; p < 0.05) and a capital growth rate of 21%, (t = 1.592; p > 0.05), while there was no negative variation in FDI tax responsibilities in Nigeria and international benchmark rate cap of 30% (t = .8666; p > 0.05). The study recommended that property managers should practice tenant mix and flexible leases and spaces.