patients with poor prognosis
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Author(s):  
Mohamed Mohamed Hefeda ◽  
Dalia Ezzat Elsharawy ◽  
Tamer Mahmoud Dawoud

Abstract Background The recent pandemic of COVID‐19 has thrown the world into chaos due to its high rate of transmissions. This study aimed to highlight the encountered CT findings in 910 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in Egypt including the mean severity score and also correlation between the initial CT finding and the short-term prognosis in 320 patients. Results All patients had confirmed COVID-19 infection. Non-contrast CT chest was performed for all cases; in addition, the correlation between each CT finding and disease severity or the short-term prognosis was reported. The mean age was higher for patients with unfavorable prognosis (P < 0.01). The patchy pattern was the most common, found in 532/910 patients (58.4%), the nodular pattern was the least common 123/910 (13.5%). The diffuse pattern was reported in 124 (13.6%). The ground glass density was the most common reported density in the study 512/910 (56.2%). The crazy pavement sign was reported more frequently in patients required hospitalization or ICU and was reported in 53 (56.9%) of patients required hospitalization and in 29 (40.2%) patients needed ICU, and it was reported in 11 (39.2%) deceased patients. Air bronchogram was reported more frequently in patients with poor prognosis than patients with good prognosis (16/100; 26% Vs 12/220; 5.4%). The mean CT severity score for patients with poor prognosis was 15.2. The mean CT severity score for patients with good prognosis 8.7., with statistically significant difference (P = 0.001). Conclusion Our results confirm the important role of the initial CT findings in the prediction of clinical outcome and short-term prognosis. Some signs like subpleural lines, halo sign, reversed halo sign and nodular shape of the lesions predict mild disease and favorable prognosis. The crazy paving sign, dense vessel sign, consolidation, diffuse shape and high severity score predict more severe disease and probably warrant early hospitalization. The high severity score is most important in prediction of unfavorable prognosis. The nodular shape of the lesions is the most important predictor of good prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 45-51
Author(s):  
S. A. Yargunin ◽  
Ya. N. Shoikhet ◽  
A. F. Lazarev

The aim of the study was to develop, implement and evaluate a method for predicting the aggressiveness of primary melanoma after surgical removal.It was established that the method for predicting tumor aggressiveness allows to determine the degree of aggressiveness, life expectancy, and to identify patients with poor prognosis in order to individualize treatment. The survival rate of patients was found to depend on the degree of aggressiveness of the tumor. A group of patients with stages 0-IIa (16,4 %) and tumor aggressiveness Grade II was identified as having a potentially high risk of progression, which can help individualize treatment for this category of patients. Using the method for predicting disease progression may potentially expand the scope of indications for further personalized treatment.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Grocutt ◽  
Claire Paterson ◽  
Ronan M Valentine

Abstract Background: A significant proportion of patients with poor prognosis squamous cell cancer of the oropharynx relapse loco-regionally despite radical (chemo)radiotherapy. If a predictive biomarker for disease control can be identified during treatment then individualised and adaptive treatment strategies may be employed. The aim of this study is to assess the feasibility of adaptive and dose-escalated RT to the gross tumour volume without increasing surrounding planning target volume doses and maintaining clinically acceptable organs at risk doses.Materials and methods: Twenty representative patients with poor prognosis locally advanced OPSCC who were known to have relapsed post RT, were re-planned retrospectively using Eclipse TPS v15.5, RapidPlanTM and multi-criteria optimisation. In our centre, areas of gross disease (PTV65) are treated with 65Gy in 30# while areas at risk of containing microscopic disease (PTV54) are treated synchronously to 54Gy in 30#. The original clinical plans were re-optimised to act as controls (Group I). These plans were split into two plans of 15# each, with the latter 15# used to escalate the dose to the GTV to 73Gy (Group II) and 82Gy (Group III). Plan sums were created for the total 30# to record plan evaluation parameters along with assessments of plan deliverability.Results: For all groups, the dose coverage at D98% and D50% for the PTVs were comparable. As expected, the D2% dose levels for PTV65 increased. All dose levels associated with PTV54 remained largely unaffected by the dose escalation regimens. Conformity indices for PTV65 and PTVAll reveal comparable conformity across all three groups. Despite the GTV being escalated by 12.3% and 26.2% in groups II and III, the volume of GTV receiving > 84 Gy was considerably less than 1.75 cc. While OAR doses increased for the escalated groups, these increases were not clinically significant. Conclusion: This planning feasibility study exploring RapidPlanTM combined with multi-criteria optimisation has demonstrated that doses to the GTV may be escalated without increasing PTV or OAR doses considerably, suggesting an interventional clinical trial using this approach would be feasible. Given loco-regional control remains an unmet need, response-adaptive dose-escalated RT has the potential to improve outcomes for poor-prognosis patients.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1432-1432
Author(s):  
Yurou Chu ◽  
Xiangxiang Zhou ◽  
Yingyue Liu ◽  
Linquan Zhan ◽  
Xiaosheng Fang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) is a novel inflammatory hallmark that is proposed as an adverse prognosticator in a variety of malignancies. Nevertheless, the correlation between SIRI and primary gastrointestinal diffuse large B cell lymphoma (PGI-DLBCL) remains unknown. Our study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of SIRI in PGI-DLBCL patients treated with CHOP-based therapies and establishing a highly discriminating risk prediction model compared with the National Comprehensive Cancer Network-International Prognostic Index (NCCN-IPI) score. Methods: This retrospective analysis incorporated 102 PGI-DCBCL patients (57 patients with gastric DLBCL and 45 patients with intestinal DLBCL) newly diagnosed between January 2011 and June 2020. The SIRI was calculated by utilizing the peripheral blood neutrophil (N), monocyte (M), and lymphocyte (L) counts collected in the last ≤3 days before the initiation of the immunochemotherapy: SIRI= N × M/L. Pretreatment SIRI cutoff that may distinguish the study population into two gatherings with distinctive overall survival (OS) results which was calculated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The prognostic factors associated with OS, the primary endpoint, were screened by multivariate Cox regression analyses and log-rank test as well as progression-free survival (PFS), the secondary endpoint. Performances of the novel model were compared using the area under the curve (AUC) and C-index in the cohort. Results: Among the 102 patients analyzed, there were 64 (62.7%) males and 38 (37.3%) females. The median follow-up time was 39.5 months (95% CI: 30.7-48.2), ranging from 2 to 102 months. A total of 33 patients (32.4%) presented B symptoms at the initial assessment, 74 (72.5%) of patients revealed stage III or IV disease, and 24 (23.5%) of patients had more than one extranodal involvement. Twenty-seven patients (26.5%) showed ECOG PS&gt;2. The optimal SIRI cutoff was identified as 1.34 value by OS outcome, which divided patients into two groups. There were not significant differences in clinical characteristics between two groups (Table 1). Based on the cut-off value of SIRI, the outcomes of patients were distinct within two groups, which was shown in Figure 1. At a median follow-up of 39.5 (95% CI: 30.7-48.2) months, 86 (84.3%) patients were still alive (98.4% for SIRI &lt;1.34 vs 62.5% for SIRI ≥1.34; p &lt; 0.001). Cox regression analysis found three negative prognostic factors on OS: SIRI≥ 1.34 (P=0.001), B symptom (P=0.001), LDH&gt;ULN (P=0.005). Accordingly, SIRI≥ 1.34 (P=0.002), age&gt;60 (P=0.011) and LDH&gt;ULN (P=0.002) emerged to be the indicators in relation to considerably inferior PFS times. Consequences of the multivariate analyses revealed that the prognostic significance of the SIRI on OS and PFS outcomes was independent of other confounders. SIRI could be used to combine with NCCN-IPI and develop a risk score to improve the NCCN-IPI score and identify PGI-DLBCL patients with poor prognosis. Patients with SIRI≥1.34 were allocated 2 points as a risk factor which was calculated in terms of the β coefficients compared with the effect of LDH level (&gt;ULN) in the multivariate analysis of OS. This established an integrated scoring model with a maximum of 10 points when we combined NCCN-IPI with SIRI. Patients were divided into four risk groups and identified as low-risk group (0−3 points), low-intermediate-risk group (4−5 points), high-intermediate-risk group (6−7 points), and high-risk group (≥8 points). As a result, the prognostic and discriminatory capability of the NCCN-IPI plus SIRI was superior to NCCN-IPI alone (AUC: 0.858 vs. 0.814 and C-index: 0.826 vs. 0.801) based on OS in this patient population (Figure 2). Regarding the PFS, SIRI-PI also surpassed the NCCN-IPI with superior AUC (0.766 vs 0.709) and C-index (0.736 vs. 0.709) in discrimination. Conclusion: The results of this retrospective analysis suggested that the pretreatment SIRI was a potent and independent prognostic indicator that may be a potential candidate for identifying patients with poor prognosis in the future clinical practice of PGI-DLBCL. Keywords: Aggressive lymphoma, Clinically relevant, Systemic inflammation response index Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eleousa Oikonomou ◽  
Themistoklis Paraskevas ◽  
Dimitrios Velissaris

Abstract Reliable biomarkers are necessary for the risk stratification of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2. This novel coronavirus is now established to affect several organs in addition to the lungs, most prominently the heart. This is achieved through direct damage to the myocardium and indirect immune-associated effects during the cytokine storm. We performed a literature review aiming to identify the prognostic value of alterations of cardiac biomarkers in SARS-CoV-2 infection. Cardiac biomarkers are significantly elevated in patients with severe COVID-19 and are independent predictors of mortality. High-sensitivity troponin I and T are correlated with multiple inflammatory indexes and poor outcomes. Although cut-off values have been established for most of cardiac biomarkers, lower limits for troponins may have better prognostic values and longitudinal monitoring of cardiac biomarkers can help the clinician assess the patient’s course. Additional measurements of NT-proBNP, can detect the subgroup of patients with poor prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (s1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Martina Giambra ◽  
Eleonora Messuti ◽  
Serena Redaelli ◽  
Andrea Di Cristofori ◽  
Angela Bentivegna

The study of glioblastoma genomic profiles permits the use of CNAs load to identify patients with poor prognosis and the understanding of the genomic signatures essential for the disease maintenance and the identification of new potential biomarkers.


2021 ◽  
Vol 116 (3) ◽  
pp. e135
Author(s):  
Ye Yuan ◽  
Laura Reed ◽  
Michael J. Abeyta ◽  
Rebecca Holmes ◽  
Jason E. Swain ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. e68-e70
Author(s):  
Cristina Borzi ◽  
Elisa Caiola ◽  
Monica Ganzinelli ◽  
Giovanni Centonze ◽  
Mattia Boeri ◽  
...  

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