scholarly journals Correlation between the initial CT chest findings and short-term prognosis in Egyptian patients with COVID-19 pneumonia

Author(s):  
Mohamed Mohamed Hefeda ◽  
Dalia Ezzat Elsharawy ◽  
Tamer Mahmoud Dawoud

Abstract Background The recent pandemic of COVID‐19 has thrown the world into chaos due to its high rate of transmissions. This study aimed to highlight the encountered CT findings in 910 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in Egypt including the mean severity score and also correlation between the initial CT finding and the short-term prognosis in 320 patients. Results All patients had confirmed COVID-19 infection. Non-contrast CT chest was performed for all cases; in addition, the correlation between each CT finding and disease severity or the short-term prognosis was reported. The mean age was higher for patients with unfavorable prognosis (P < 0.01). The patchy pattern was the most common, found in 532/910 patients (58.4%), the nodular pattern was the least common 123/910 (13.5%). The diffuse pattern was reported in 124 (13.6%). The ground glass density was the most common reported density in the study 512/910 (56.2%). The crazy pavement sign was reported more frequently in patients required hospitalization or ICU and was reported in 53 (56.9%) of patients required hospitalization and in 29 (40.2%) patients needed ICU, and it was reported in 11 (39.2%) deceased patients. Air bronchogram was reported more frequently in patients with poor prognosis than patients with good prognosis (16/100; 26% Vs 12/220; 5.4%). The mean CT severity score for patients with poor prognosis was 15.2. The mean CT severity score for patients with good prognosis 8.7., with statistically significant difference (P = 0.001). Conclusion Our results confirm the important role of the initial CT findings in the prediction of clinical outcome and short-term prognosis. Some signs like subpleural lines, halo sign, reversed halo sign and nodular shape of the lesions predict mild disease and favorable prognosis. The crazy paving sign, dense vessel sign, consolidation, diffuse shape and high severity score predict more severe disease and probably warrant early hospitalization. The high severity score is most important in prediction of unfavorable prognosis. The nodular shape of the lesions is the most important predictor of good prognosis.

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16049-e16049
Author(s):  
J. Mardiak ◽  
K. Rejlekova ◽  
M. Mego ◽  
J. Rajec ◽  
Z. Sycova-Mila ◽  
...  

e16049 Background: The efficacy of TIP appears to be suitable salvage therapy for patients with relapsed germ cell tumors (GCTs) with good prognostic features.The aim of our study was to determine the efficacy of TIP as first salvage therapy for patients with relapsed GCTs with poor prognostic features. Methods: Thirty seven patients with relapsed GCTs were treated with TIP as first salvage therapy. Sixteen (43%) patients had favorable prognostic features for response (testis primary tumor site and prior complete response to induction chemotherapy regimen) and 21 (57%) patients had poor prognostic features (either extragonadal site or incomplete response to induction chemotherapy regimen). Four cycles of paclitaxel (175 to 250 mg/m2), ifosfamide 6 g/m2, and cisplatin 100 mg/m2 were given 21 days apart with GC-SF support, followed by resection of resectable radiographic residua. Results: Ten (69%) out of 16 patients with good prognostic features achieved a favorable response to TIP, and all 10 (100%) patients achieved complete response (CR). Six (60%) of the favorable responses remain durable at a median follow-up of 50,6 months. 9 (43%) of 21 patients with poor prognosis achieved a favorable response to chemotherapy, from whom only 1 (10%) patient achieved CR, but 5 patients achieved durable response at a median follow-up duration of 60,6 months. Estimated 2-year overall survival rate (OS) for patients with good prognosis was 56% (95 % CI 54–100%) and 33% (95% CI 21–68%) for patients with poor prognosis. Despite this results, estimated 5-year OS was even more positive for patients with poor prognosis 19% (95% CI 15–61%) comparing to 13% (95% CI 23–80%) for patients with good prognosis. Conclusions: Demonstrated long-term survival of patients with poor prognosis in our nonrandomised study with limited number of patients refers to the TIP being suitable therapy also for patients with relapsed GCTs with poor prognosis. These results warrant the need to continue investigation of real effectiveness of TIP as a first salvage therapy even for patients with poor prognostic features. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 3691-3691 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricette Michallet ◽  
Mohamad Sobh ◽  
Mohamed Elhamri ◽  
Jeremy Monfray ◽  
Helene Labussiere-Wallet ◽  
...  

Abstract We evaluated in this study the therapeutic management of all newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients followed in our center between July 2007 and September 2013, after stratification on age, prognostic factors, whether they were candidate to allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), transplanted or not with the evaluation of each therapeutic strategy and its impact on overall survival. A total of 572 consecutive newly diagnosed AML patients were included; there were 311 (54%) males and 261 females with a median age of 63 years (range: 20-92), 406 (71%) were de novo AML and 166 (29%) secondary AML. Complete cytogenetic and molecular biology data were collected for all patients and prognosis was differentiated according to the European LeukemiaNet classification (Dohner et al. Blood 2010). Accordingly, 335 (59%) patients were unfavorable, 83 (15%) favorable, 48 (8%) intermediate I and 106 (18%) were in intermediate II category. Following the Acute Leukemia French Association (ALFA) guidelines for allo-HSCT in AML, patients with intermediate II and unfavorable prognosis ≤ 65 years should receive intensive chemotherapy followed by allo-HSCT in the presence of related or unrelated HSCT donors. We divided the population into two sub-populations, the first was considered as “young” with age ≤ 65 years (N=318, 56%) and the second considered as “old” with age > 65 years (N=254, 44%). In the young population, there was 4 groups, group 1: patients with good prognosis (favorable/intermediate1) who received intensive chemotherapy within or according to ALFA protocols (N=105, median age= 47 years); group 2: patients with poor prognosis (intermediate2 /unfavorable) who received intensive chemotherapy within or according to ALFA protocols followed by allo-HSCT (N=126, median age= 50 years), group 3: patients with poor prognosis who received only intensive chemotherapy without allo-HSCT (N=69, median age= 57 years), and group 4: patients with poor prognosis who could not be treated due to early death (N=18). In the old population we distinguished, group 1: patients with good prognosis who received moderate intensity chemotherapy within or according to ALFA protocols (N=25, median age=73 years); group 2: patients with poor prognosis who received azacitidine (N=25, median age=76 years), group 3: patients with poor prognosis who received moderate intensity chemotherapy (N=89, median age=76 years), group 4: patients with poor prognosis who received low dose Ara-C (N=28, median age=76 years), group 5: patients with poor prognosis who received other treatment (N=38, median age=77 years) and finally group 6: patients with poor prognosis considered as palliative or who did not receive any treatment (N=49, median age=77 years). After a median follow-up of 34 months (range: 4-77) for surviving patients, the 2-years probability of overall survival (OS) in the “young” population for groups 1,2,3 and 4 was 84%, 56%, 31% and 0% respectively; and in the “old” group it was 71%, 37%, 31%, 5%, 21% and 0% for groups 1,2,3,4,5 and 6 respectively (figure). We showed that newly diagnosed AML patients with good prognosis all ages included could achieve very good survival rates after intensive chemotherapy; allo-HSCT after induction chemotherapy remains the best therapeutic option for fit patients with poor prognosis while the same fit patients with no donor have significantly lower survival (p<0.001) and for whom allo-HSCT could be proposed by using haploidentical donors in case of cord blood or unrelated donors absence. Interestingly, in the “old” population, we showed that poor prognosis patients receiving azacytidine had a significantly better survival compared to those receiving low dose Ara-C (p=0.015), with a comparable outcome to those receiving induction chemotherapy. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Woo Hyung Lee ◽  
Min Hyuk Lim ◽  
Han Gil Seo ◽  
Byung-Mo Oh ◽  
Sungwan Kim

AbstractIdentification of prognostic factors for swallowing recovery in patients with post-stroke dysphagia is crucial for determining therapeutic strategies. We aimed at exploring hyoid kinematic features of poor swallowing prognosis in patients with post-stroke dysphagia. Of 122 patients who experienced dysphagia following ischemic stroke, 18 with poor prognosis, and 18 age- and sex-matched patients with good prognosis were selected and retrospectively reviewed. Positional data of the hyoid bone during swallowing were obtained from the initial videofluoroscopic swallowing study after stroke onset. Normalized hyoid profiles of displacement/velocity and direction angle were analyzed using functional regression analysis, and maximal or mean values were compared between the good and poor prognosis patient groups. Kinematic analysis showed that maximal horizontal displacement (P = 0.031) and velocity (P = 0.034) in forward hyoid motions were significantly reduced in patients with poor prognosis compared to those with good prognosis. Mean direction angle for the initial swallowing phase was significantly lower in patients with poor prognosis than in those with good prognosis (P = 0.0498). Our study revealed that reduced horizontal forward and altered initial backward motions of the hyoid bone during swallowing can be novel kinematic features indicating poor swallowing prognosis in patients with post-stroke dysphagia.


Open Medicine ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 714-722
Author(s):  
Wenhan Fan ◽  
Wei Liao ◽  
Yiping Luo ◽  
Benming You ◽  
Jiao Yu ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectiveThe acute-on-chronic liver failure associated with hepatitis B virus (HBV-ACLF) was a type of clinical syndrome with rapid deterioration of liver function. It was characterized by short-term elevated bilirubin, ascites, prolonged clotting time, hepatic encephalopathy, organ failures, and high short-term mortality. It was important to predict and evaluate the disease early. This study intended to comprehensively analyze the prognostic factors of patients with ACLF associated with HBV DNA infection through clinical manifestations and laboratory tests, and to establish a corresponding prediction and evaluation model for further clinical guidance.MethodsA total of 220 patients were first diagnosed with HBV-ACLF and admitted to and treated at the Department of Infectious Diseases of the First Affiliated Changhai Hospital of the Second Military Medical University from 2009 to 2018. These patients’ records were collected and divided into two groups: (1) 120 patients who were improved and discharged were classified as good prognosis group and (2) 100 patients who died or underwent liver transplantation were classified as poor prognosis group. By analyzing baseline characteristics and clinical indicators of the two groups, the main potential factors affecting prognosis were identified and the corresponding prognostic evaluation model was established. This model’s advantages and disadvantages were compared with classic prognostic scoring systems.ResultsThe proportion of ascites and the proportion of hepatic encephalopathy of poor prognosis group were significantly higher than those of good prognosis group. The total bilirubin, creatinine, white blood cell count, and NEU (%) levels of poor prognosis group were significantly higher than those of good prognosis group, and the international normalized ratio, albumin (ALB), alanine aminotransferase, Na, Cl, RBC, and PLT levels of poor prognosis group were significantly lower than those of good prognosis group. A new prediction model LR(p) = 1/(1 + e−Z) was established, where z = 10.0127 + 0.3687 × NEUT (%) − 0.0082 × PLT + 1.8157 × hepatic encephalopathy. The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.89, specificity was 80.83%, and sensitivity was 81%. The newly established prognostic model was compared with other three scoring systems including model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, and ALBI scores. The results showed that the specificity, sensitivity, and area under the ROC curve of the newly established model were significantly higher than the other three scoring systems.ConclusionHepatic encephalopathy, NEU (%), and PLT levels were independent risk factors for predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. The new prediction model LR(p) had better prediction accuracy than the other three scoring models of MELD, MELD-Na, and ALBI and could more accurately assess the prognosis of HBV-ACLF, but in the later stage, it was still necessary to expand the sample size for verification.


Author(s):  
Hubert Hymczak ◽  
Paweł Podsiadło ◽  
Sylweriusz Kosiński ◽  
Mathieu Pasquier ◽  
Konrad Mendrala ◽  
...  

Background: While ECLS is a highly invasive procedure, the identification of patients with a potentially good prognosis is of high importance. The aim of this study was to analyse changes in the acid-base balance parameters and lactate kinetics during the early stages of ECLS rewarming to determine predictors of clinical outcome. Methods: This single-centre retrospective study was conducted at the Severe Hypothermia Treatment Centre at John Paul II Hospital in Krakow, Poland. Patients ≥18 years old who had a core temperature (Tc) < 30 °C and were rewarmed with ECLS between December 2013 and August 2018 were included. Acid-base balance parameters were measured at ECLS implantation, at Tc 30 °C, and at 2 and 4 h after Tc 30 °C. The alteration in blood lactate kinetics was calculated as the percent change in serum lactate concentration relative to the baseline. Results: We included 50 patients, of which 36 (72%) were in cardiac arrest. The mean age was 56 ± 15 years old, and the mean Tc was 24.5 ± 12.6 °C. Twenty-one patients (42%) died. Lactate concentrations in the survivors group were significantly lower than in the non-survivors at all time points. In the survivors group, the mean lactate concentration decreased −2.42 ± 4.49 mmol/L from time of ECLS implantation until 4 h after reaching Tc 30 °C, while in the non-survivors’ group (p = 0.024), it increased 1.44 ± 6.41 mmol/L. Conclusions: Our results indicate that high lactate concentration is associated with a poor prognosis for hypothermic patients undergoing ECLS rewarming. A decreased value of lactate kinetics at 4 h after reaching 30 °C is also associated with a poor prognosis.


2012 ◽  
Vol 70 (10) ◽  
pp. 817-822 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Machado ◽  
Amélia Nogueira Pinto ◽  
Sarosh R. Irani

Autoimmune encephalitis is an inflammatory disorder characterized by a subacute impairment of short-term memory, psychiatric features and seizures. It is often associated with a variety of other neurological symptoms, and its differential diagnosis is wide, leading to challenges in its recognition. It used to be regarded as a rare disease, usually paraneoplastic and with poor prognosis. However, with the recent recognition of membrane-surface directed antibodies, it is now known that in a substantial proportion of cases there is no association with any malignancy and there is a good prognosis if treated. Hence, early recognition and prompt initiation of immunotherapies are of great importance.


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 719-719
Author(s):  
Ashima Shukla ◽  
Karan Rai ◽  
Gregory Bociek ◽  
Samuel J Pirruccello ◽  
Runqing Lu ◽  
...  

Abstract INTRODUCTION: Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (CLL) is the most common leukemia in adults representing about 35% of all adult leukemias in the United States. CLL is a B-cell neoplasm which is characterized by accumulation of long lived mature B-cells in peripheral blood (PB), bone marrow (BM) and lymph nodes (LN). We and others have reported that CLL cells in tissue microenvironments have constitutively activated MAPK-Erk and AKT signaling pathways, which promotes their proliferation and survival. However, the molecular mechanisms and the gene(s) responsible for the activation of these pathways in CLL are not clearly understood. We performed gene expression profiling of CLL cells from PB, BM and LN and transcriptome analyses of CLL cells from PB from good and poor prognosis patients. Our studies identified Sprouty 2 (Spry2), a negative feedback regulator as one of the key genes involved in the regulation of MAPK-Erk and Akt pathways in CLL. We observed that Spry2 levels were down-regulated in poor prognosis CLL cells. Interestingly, Spry2 is epigenetically silenced in most human and mouse lymphomas and ectopic expression of Spry2 induces apoptosis in mouse B cells. We categorized CLL patients into good and poor prognosis to further evaluate Spry2 in CLL biology. Poor prognosis patients were defined by unmutated immunoglobulin variable heavy chain (IgVH), 11q22 deletion, 17p deletion, trisomy 12 or high CD38 and Zap70 expression. Good prognosis patients were defined as having mutated IgVH, 13q14 deletions or low CD38 and Zap70 expression. RESULTS: We found that Spry2 expression was significantly decreased by 3.2 log2-fold, (p=0.0001) at transcript and protein levels, respectively, in CLL cells from patients with poor prognosis compared to patients with good prognosis. Spry2 is a negative feedback regulator which attenuates cell proliferation, migration and survival. To determine the effect of Spry2 on CLL cells we transfected Mec-1 cells (stable human CLL cell line) and primary human CLL cells with a Spry2 cDNA containing vector. Ectopic expression of Spry2 induced spontaneous apoptosis in Mec-1 cells and primary CLL cells from poor prognosis patients. These results indicate that Spry2 negatively regulates the survival of human CLL cells. CLL cells have been shown to have active B-cell receptor (BCR) signaling promoting proliferation in vivo. To study the effect of BCR stimulation on Spry2 we stimulated BCR on Mec-1 and primary CLL cells by BCR cross-linking. Unexpectedly, the rate of proliferation of Mec-1 cells decreased upon BCR stimulation. We were able to demonstrate a transient increase in Spry2 levels that peaked at 12 hours post BCR stimulation, which we suspected was mediating the decrease in proliferation observed. We therefore repeated the BCR stimulation experiment using siRNA to inhibit the transient increase in Spry2 in primary CLL cells from seven good prognosis patients and in the Mec-1 cells. As predicted, we observed a significant increase in proliferation in all primary CLL samples and in the Mec-1 cells upon Spry2 knock down following BCR stimulation. Spry2 attenuates ligand induced MAPK-Erk and AKT signaling leading to suppression of proliferation and survival. We also examined the effect of Spry2 on MAPK-Erk and Akt signaling in CLL cells. Upon induction of exogenous Spry2 expression in Mec-1 cells there was a significant decrease in p-Akt and p-Erk levels. Conversely, Spry2 knock down resulted in an increase in p-Erk and p-Akt and enhanced cell proliferation. CONCLUSIONS: Spry2 is significantly down-regulated in the B-cells from patients with poor prognosis CLL. Down-regulation of Spry2 in CLL cells leads to hyperactivation of MAPK-Erk and Akt signaling and exogenous and endogenous expression of Spry2 leads to spontaneous apoptosis in human CLL cells. These results identify Spry2 as a negative regulator of CLL cell survival and proliferation and provide a potential molecular target for therapeutic intervention. Disclosures Bociek: Seattle Genetics, Inc.: Research Funding.


Thorax ◽  
2001 ◽  
Vol 56 (8) ◽  
pp. 596-601
Author(s):  
T P Ng ◽  
C S R Seet ◽  
W C Tan ◽  
S C Foo

BACKGROUNDPrevious studies have not found a consistent association between exposure to domestic cooking using gas appliances and exacerbation of asthma. We investigated the immediate airflow response to acute exposure from single episodes of gas cooking, and peak airflow variability from continued exposure to repeated episodes of gas cooking in a group of non-smoking asthmatic women.METHODSSixteen adult non-smoking women with mild to severe persistent asthma were studied. The acute short term level of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) during gas cooking episodes and the mean exposure to NO2 from repeated gas cooking episodes were measured over a 2 week period, as well as proxy measures of frequency of cooking on each day and the length of time spent cooking each day. Their asthma status was monitored using peak expiratory flow rates (PEFR) before and after cooking, 2 week self-recorded serial readings of PEFR, respiratory symptom severity score, and use of rescue bronchodilators for acute asthma attacks.RESULTSCooking was significantly associated with an immediate mean fall in PEFR of 3.4% (p=0.015, paired t test). The acute short term NO2 level during cooking was significantly correlated with the fall in PEFR (r=–0.579; p=0.019). The frequency of cooking over a 2 week period was positively correlated with the mean exposure to NO2(r=0.529; p=0.042). Continued exposure to NO2 over a 2 week period was associated significantly with increased frequency of rescue bronchodilator usage for asthma attacks (r=0.597; p=0.031). However, it was negatively associated with PEFR variability (r=–0.512; p=0.051) and respiratory symptom severity score (r= –0.567; p=0.043), probably due to the masking effects of bronchodilator treatment.CONCLUSIONSAcute short term exposure to NO2 from single episodes of gas cooking is associated with immediate airflow limitation. Continued exposure from repeated episodes of gas cooking in asthmatic women is associated with greater use of rescue bronchodilators.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 276
Author(s):  
M. Deepak Phanindra ◽  
P. V. V. Satyanarayana ◽  
Anand Acharya

Background: Organophosphorus compounds are anticholinesterases by inhibiting cholinesterase it protects acetyl chorine from hydrolysis. So, acetylcholine accumulates at the synapses, and all the clinical manifestation are due to that. So, this study has been designed to establish the reactive between level of serum and prognosis of op poisoning patients.Methods: Patient with history of organophosphorus poisoning admitted into the emergency department with following exclusion and inclusion criteria were included in this study. All patients were managed as per standard treatment protocol of op poisoning. Various parameters like demography of the patients, sign and symptoms, severity of intoxication, clinical and lab parameter manoring, Serum cholinesterase was measured every alternate day.Results: 22(47.84%) patients have mild symptom out of that 20 patient’s serum cholinesterase was more than 2000 IU/L, and 2(4.3%) patients serum cholinesterase was between 1000-2000 IU/L. In eighteen patient’s severity as per POP scale was moderate, out of that 2(4.3%) patients have serum cholinesterase was below 1000 IU/L, 8 having serum cholinesterase between 1000 to 2000 IU/L, and remaining eight having serum cholinesterase above 2000 IU/L.Conclusions: Serum cholinesterase was less in patient with high severity score or low serum concentration of cholinesterase was associated with high severity score. Serum cholinesterase was improved as days passes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Dou ◽  
Chao Ma ◽  
Ketao Wang ◽  
Shaohua Liu ◽  
Jintang Sun ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Microbiota has been found associated with the incidence of head and neck cancers (HNCs), however, the association of microbiota with the prognosis of HNCs remains unknown. In the present study, the relationship between tumoral microbiata and survival was examined. The prognosis predictive value of tumoral microbiota to complement classic TNM staging and Human Papillomavirus (HPV) status was also investigated.Results: We conducted a retrospective study including 158 primary tumors using 16S rRNA sequencing. The tumoral microbiota in the HNC patients with poor prognosis were significantly different from that of the patients with good prognosis. A greater abundance of Schlegelella or Methyloversatilis was characterized in HNC patients with poor prognosis and a greater abundance of Lactobacillus or Bacillus was characterized in HNC patients with good prognosis. Strikingly, the microbial dysbiosis index (MDI), the ratio of above poor and good prognosis associated genera, was strongly associated with overall survival [hazard ratio (HR) 3.24; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.88 to 5.59; P < 0.001] and disease free survival (HR 2.11; 95% CI, 1.34 to 3.34; P = 0.001), independently of age, TNM staging, differentiation and HPV status. Intriguingly, the combination of the MDI and HPV status significantly improved the prognostic performance of HPV status (AUC of 0.719 and 0.581 respectively, P = 0.024). Moreover, the MDI showed higher risk for overall survival in the late stage patients (HR 3.35; 95% CI, 1.73 to 6.49; P < 0.001) compared with the early stage patients (HR 2.41; 95% CI, 1.00 to 5.84; P = 0.051). Conclusion: Together, the MDI could serve as an applicable indicator of the prognosis of HNCs, and complements the predictive values of TNM staging and HPV status. Moreover, the findings of the higher risk of the MDI in the late stage patients supply directions for future studies that microbial modulation might be valuable in survival improvement of HNCs, especially for the late stage patients.


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