isotope mixing models
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2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Toso ◽  
Ellen Hallingstad ◽  
Krista McGrath ◽  
Thiago Fossile ◽  
Christine Conlan ◽  
...  

AbstractThe emergence of plant-based economies have dominated evolutionary models of Middle and Late Holocene pre-Columbian societies in South America. Comparatively, the use of aquatic resources and the circumstances for intensifying their exploitation have received little attention. Here we reviewed the stable carbon and nitrogen isotope composition of 390 human individuals from Middle and Late Holocene coastal sambaquis, a long-lasting shell mound culture that flourished for nearly 7000 years along the Atlantic Forest coast of Brazil. Using a newly generated faunal isotopic baseline and Bayesian Isotope Mixing Models we quantified the relative contribution of marine resources to the diet of some of these groups. Through the analysis of more than 400 radiocarbon dates we show that fishing sustained large and resilient populations during most of the Late Holocene. A sharp decline was observed in the frequency of sambaqui sites and radiocarbon dates from ca. 2200 years ago, possibly reflecting the dissolution of several nucleated groups into smaller social units, coinciding with substantial changes in coastal environments. The spread of ceramics from ca. 1200 years ago is marked by innovation and intensification of fishing practices, in a context of increasing social and ecological instability in the Late Holocene.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (10) ◽  
pp. e0257818
Author(s):  
Yutaka Osada ◽  
Jun Matsubayashi ◽  
Ichiro Tayasu

Stable isotope mixing models (SIMMs) provide a powerful methodology for quantifying relative contributions of several sources to a mixture. They are widely used in the fields of ecology, geology, and archaeology. Although SIMMs have been rapidly evolved in the Bayesian framework, the underdetermination of mixing space remains problematic, i.e., the estimated relative contributions are incompletely identifiable. Here we propose a statistical method to quantitatively diagnose underdetermination in Bayesian SIMMs, and demonstrate the applications of our method (named β-dependent SIMM) using two motivated examples. Using a simulation example, we showed that the proposed method can rigorously quantify the expected underdetermination (i.e., intervals of β-dependent posterior) of relative contributions. Moreover, the application to the published field data highlighted two problematic aspects of the underdetermination: 1) ordinary SIMMs was difficult to quantify underdetermination of each source, and 2) the marginal posterior median was not necessarily consistent with the joint posterior peak in the case of underdetermination. Our study theoretically and numerically confirmed that β-dependent SIMMs provide a useful diagnostic tool for the underdetermined mixing problem. In addition to ordinary SIMMs, we recommend reporting the results of β-dependent SIMMs to obtain a biologically feasible and sound interpretation from stable isotope data.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Toso ◽  
Ellen Hallingstad ◽  
Krista McGrath ◽  
Thiago Fossile ◽  
Christine Conlan ◽  
...  

Abstract The emergence of plant-based economies have dominated evolutionary models of Middle and Late Holocene pre-Columbian societies. Comparatively, the use of aquatic resources and the circumstances for intensifying their exploitation, have received little attention. Here we reviewed the stable carbon and nitrogen isotope composition of 390 human individuals from Middle and Late Holocene coastal sambaquis, a long-lasting shell mound culture that flourished for nearly 7000 years along the Atlantic Forest coast of Brazil. Using a newly generated faunal isotopic baseline and Bayesian Isotope Mixing Models we quantified the relative contribution of marine resources to the diet of some of these groups. Through the analysis of more than 400 radiocarbon dates we show that fishing sustained large and resilient populations during most of the Late Holocene. A sharp decline was observed in the chronology of non-ceramic sites from ca. 2200 years ago, possibly reflecting the dissolution of several nucleated groups into smaller social units, coinciding with substantial changes in coastal environments. The adoption of ceramics from ca. 1200 years ago is marked by innovation and intensification of fishing practices, in a context of increasing social and ecological instability in the Late Holocene.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (16) ◽  
pp. 4717-4732
Author(s):  
Melissa A. Ward ◽  
Tessa M. Hill ◽  
Chelsey Souza ◽  
Tessa Filipczyk ◽  
Aurora M. Ricart ◽  
...  

Abstract. Salt marshes and seagrass meadows can sequester and store high quantities of organic carbon (OC) in their sediments relative to other marine and terrestrial habitats. Assessing carbon stocks, carbon sources, and the transfer of carbon between habitats within coastal seascapes are each integral in identifying the role of blue carbon habitats in coastal carbon cycling. Here, we quantified carbon stocks, sources, and exchanges in seagrass meadows, salt marshes, and unvegetated sediments in six bays along the California coast. In the top 20 cm of sediment, the salt marshes contained approximately twice as much OC as seagrass meadows did, 4.92 ± 0.36 kg OC m−2 compared to 2.20 ± 0.24 kg OC m−2, respectively. Both salt marsh and seagrass sediment carbon stocks were higher than previous estimates from this region but lower than global and US-wide averages, respectively. Seagrass-derived carbon was deposited annually into adjacent marshes during fall seagrass senescence. However, isotope mixing models estimate that negligible amounts of this seagrass material were ultimately buried in underlying sediment. Rather, the vast majority of OC in sediment across sites was likely derived from planktonic/benthic diatoms and/or C3 salt marsh plants.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa A. Ward ◽  
Tessa M. Hill ◽  
Chelsey Souza ◽  
Tessa Filipczyk ◽  
Aurora M. Ricart ◽  
...  

Abstract. Salt marshes and seagrass meadows can sequester and store high quantities of organic carbon (OC) in their sediments relative to other marine and terrestrial habitats. Assessing carbon stocks, carbon sources, and the transfer of carbon between habitats within coastal seascapes are each integral in identifying the role of blue carbon habitats in coastal carbon cycling. Here, we quantified carbon stocks, sources, and exchanges in seagrass meadows, salt marshes, and unvegetated sediments in six bays along the Pacific coast of California. The salt marshes studied here contained approximately twice as much OC as did seagrass meadows, 23.51 ± 1.77 kg OC m−3 compared to 11.01 ± 1.18 kg OC m−3, respectively. Both seagrass and salt marsh sediment carbon stocks were higher than previous estimates from this region but lower than global and U.S.-wide averages, respectively. Seagrass-derived carbon was deposited annually into adjacent marshes during fall seagrass senescence. However, isotope mixing models estimate that negligible amounts of this seagrass material were ultimately buried in underlying sediment. Rather, the vast majority of OC in sediment across sites was likely derived from planktonic/benthic diatoms and C3 salt marsh plants.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc J. Silberberger ◽  
Katarzyna Koziorowska-Makuch ◽  
Karol Kuliński ◽  
Monika Kędra

Stable isotope analysis has become one of the most widely used techniques in ecological studies. However, there are still uncertainties about the effects of sample preservation and pre-treatment on the ecological interpretation of stable isotope data and especially on Bayesian stable isotope mixing models. Here, Bayesian mixing models were used to study how three different preservation methods (drying, freezing, formalin) and two pre-treatments (acidification, lipid removal) affect the estimation of the utilized organic matter sources for two benthic invertebrate species (Limecola balthica, Crangon crangon) collected in the Baltic Sea. Furthermore, commonly used mathematical lipid normalization and formalin correction were applied to check if they were able to adjust the model results correctly. Preservation effects were strong on model outcomes for frozen as well as formalin preserved L. balthica samples, but not for C. crangon. Pre-treatment effects varied with species and preservation method and neither lipid normalization nor mathematical formalin correction consistently resulted in the desired model outcomes. Our analysis highlights that particularly small, not significant changes in stable isotope ratios introduced by different preservation and pre-treatments display a so far unrecognized source of error in stable isotope mixing models. We conclude that mathematical correction of benthic invertebrate stable isotopes data should be avoided for Bayesian mixing models and that previously unaddressed effects of sample preservation (especially those arising from preservation by freezing) have potentially biased our understanding of the utilization of organic matter in aquatic food webs.


2020 ◽  
Vol 89 (12) ◽  
pp. 2972-2985
Author(s):  
Devin L. Johnson ◽  
Michael T. Henderson ◽  
David L. Anderson ◽  
Travis L. Booms ◽  
Cory T. Williams

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