Risk Assessment for Key Socio-Economic and Ecological Species in a Sub-Arctic Marine Ecosystem Under Combined Ocean Acidification and Warming

The Arctic may be particularly vulnerable to the consequences of both ocean acidification (OA) and global warming, given the faster pace of these processes in comparison with global average speeds. Here, we use the Atlantis ecosystem model to assess how the trophic network of marine fishes and invertebrates in the Icelandic waters is responding to the combined pressures of OA and warming. We develop an approach where we first identify species by their economic (catch value), social (number of participants in fisheries), or ecological (keystone species) importance. We then use literature-determined ranges of sensitivity to OA and warming for different species and functional groups in the Icelandic waters to parametrize model runs for different scenarios of warming and OA. We found divergent species responses to warming and acidification levels; (mainly) planktonic groups and forage fish benefited while (mainly) benthic groups and predatory fish decreased under warming and acidification scenarios. Assuming conservative harvest rates for the largest catch-value species, Atlantic cod, we see that the population is projected to remain stable under even the harshest acidification and warming scenario. Further, for the scenarios where the model projects reductions in biomass of Atlantic cod, other species in the ecosystem increase, likely due to a reduction in competition and predation. These results highlight the interdependencies of multiple global change drivers and their cascading effects on trophic organization, and the continued high abundance of an important species from a socio-economic perspective in the Icelandic fisheries.

New insight into trophic niche partitioning and diet of mackerel (Scomber scombrus) and herring (Clupea harengus) in Icelandic waters

Understanding the competitive interactions of ecological similar species is essential to determine their role and niche in the ecosystem. Using both conventional dietary methods and stable isotope analysis, we examined the feeding ecology, trophic position and possible niche partitioning of Northeast Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus), Icelandic summer spawning (ISS) herring (Clupea harengus), and Norwegian spring spawning (NSS) herring from Icelandic waters during the spring and summer 2012 and 2014. The stomach analysis showed differences in prey preferences among the species during summer, where mackerel diets were almost exclusively calanoid copepods, while herring ate larger zooplankton, i.e. euphausiids and amphipods. Analysis of isotopic diet contribution of mackerel and herring using Bayesian mixing models, representing mainly the spring consumption, revealed that euphausiids were the main dietary contributor of both mackerel and herring. Fish prey were also an important dietary source for ISS herring, and amphipods were important to the diet of NSS herring. In addition, mackerel encompassed a broad isotopic niche, whereas the two herring stocks had narrower and separated niches from each other. The results from this analysis reveal new and holistic information into the diet of these species, which have various ecological implications.

Species richness and the level of knowledge of the bryozoan fauna of the Arctic region

The publication presents the results of the analysis of retrospective data and samples of bryozoans collected in different seas and areas of the Arctic region during recent 30 years. To date, 518 species of bryozoans have been recorded in the Arctic, which is on 26.4% more than previously registered. The level of increase in species numbers in the species lists of the regional faunas was different in different areas. In the waters of Greenland, the found species diversity of bryozoans was on 12% higher; in the Barents and Kara Seas – on 18 and 19%, respectively; in the Laptev and East Siberian seas – on 30%; in the Faroe Islands waters on 30% than it was previously marked. In the Icelandic waters and the Chukchi Sea, the number of bryozoan species is richer by five and two times respectively than it was considered earlier. Our assessment of the modern knowledge of the fauna of this group using the method of rarefaction showed that the bryozoan fauna is still underexplored. The Chao metric calculations also indicate that expected species richness would increase by 10–30% in different areas of the Arctic in case of additional sampling efforts. At the same time, a measure of taxonomic distinguish of the fauna allows to conclude that the species composition of bryozoans has already been sufficiently studied in most of the considered areas of the Arctic zone except in the waters of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago.

Distribution and Abundance of Cetaceans in Icelandic Waters over 30 Years of Aerial Surveys

Beginning in 1986, 7 aerial surveys covering the coastal waters of Iceland have been conducted up to 2016. In addition, several partial surveys covering portions of the same area and at different times of the year have been flown in the same 30 year time span. We present previously unpublished abundance estimates, corrected to the extent feasible for known biases, for common minke whales (Balaenoptera acutorostrata), humpback whales (Megaptera novaeangliae), white-beaked dolphins (Lagenorhynchus albirostris) and harbour porpoises (Phocoena phocoena) from some or all of the 2007, 2009 and 2016 surveys. The relative abundance of most species was comparatively low in the spring and fall, and peaked June and July when all of the main surveys have been carried out. An analysis of changes in line transect density as an index of relative abundance from all surveys indicates that common minke whale abundance decreased by 75% after 2001 and has remained at a relatively low level since then. Relative abundance of humpback whales and white-beaked dolphins has increased over the period 1986-2016. We place these observed changes in context with oceanographic and ecosystem changes documented over the same period.

Population dynamics of three brachyuran crab species (Decapoda) in Icelandic waters: impact of recent colonization of the Atlantic rock crab (Cancer irroratus)

The Atlantic rock crab (Cancer irroratus) was first found in Icelandic waters in 2006. Since then, the species has dispersed rapidly and is currently found clockwise from the southwest coast of Iceland to the east, corresponding to >70% of the coastline. Here, we present a monitoring study on this non-indigenous crab species in Iceland from 2007 to 2019. The study shows that the rock crab is now the most abundant brachyuran crab species on soft substrate bottoms in Southwest Iceland, both as adults and planktonic larvae, indicating that it is outcompeting its rival native species, the European green crab (Carcinus maenas) and the spider crab (Hyas araneus). The average size of the rock crab was similar over time (2007–2019), although it fluctuated between years in a pattern similar to that for the green crab, while significant reduction in size was observed for male spider crabs. The rock crab population is still in a growth phase in Icelandic waters, as seen in increasing distributional range, and can be found in densities comparable to the highest reported for the species in its native range in North America.

Approaching the Arctic: the occurrence of Parin’s spinyfin Diretmichthys parini (Beryciformes: Diretmidae) in the Nordic Seas

Two adult specimens of the tropical to subtropical fish species Diretmichthys parini are reported from the North Sea and the northern Norwegian Sea, respectively. Both were accidentally caught as bycatch by commercial trawlers. Although not uncommon in Icelandic waters, it has not been documented from the Nordic Seas previously. In light of the major currents and water temperatures in the area, this is puzzling. Whether this pattern reflects a true distributional change or increased awareness and reporting from fishermen is not known.