Clustering of Fast Coronal Mass Ejections during Solar Cycles 23 and 24 and Implications for CME–CME Interactions

<p>Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) and their interplanetary counterparts (ICMEs) are the major sources for strong space weather disturbances. We present a study of statistical properties of fast CMEs (v≥1000 km/s) that occurred during solar cycles 23 and 24. We apply the Max Spectrum and the declustering threshold time methods. The Max Spectrum can detect the predominant clusters, and the declustering threshold time method provides details on the typical clustering properties and timescales. Our analysis shows that during the different phases of solar cycles 23 and 24, fast CMEs preferentially occur as isolated events and in clusters with, on average, two members. However, clusters with more members appear, particularly during the maximum phases of the solar cycles. During different solar cycle phases, the typical declustering timescales of fast CMEs are τ<sub>c</sub> =28-32 hrs, irrespective of the very different occurrence frequencies of CMEs during a solar minimum and maximum. These findings suggest that  τ<sub>c</sub>   for extreme events may reflect the characteristic energy build-up time for large flare and CME-prolific active regions. Statistically associating the clustering properties of fast CMEs with the disturbance storm time index at Earth suggests that fast CMEs occurring in clusters tend to produce larger geomagnetic storms than isolated fast CMEs. Our results highlight the importance of CME-CME interaction and their impact on Space Weather.</p>

Geomagnetic solar flare effects: a review

Solar flare effects (Sfe) are rapid variations in the Earth’s magnetic field and are related to the enhancement of the amount of radiation produced during Solar flare events. They mainly appear in the Earth’s sunlit hemisphere at the same time as the flare observation and have a crochet-like shape. Much progress has been made since Carrington’s first observations in 1859 which are considered to represent the first direct evidence of the connection between the Sun and the Earth’s environment but there is still much to discover. In this paper, we review state-of-the-art developments and the advances made in the knowledge concerning Sfe phenomena while also looking at the challenges that lie ahead. First, we offer a historical approach with a comprehensive description that allows for a better understanding of the main characteristics of Sfe. This frames specific topics like the puzzling reversed-Sfe or the nighttime Sfe. The role played by the Service of Rapid Magnetic variations (SRMV) is also assessed, followed by a discussion of the main current limiting factors in the process of detection and proposed ways to overcome challenges such as by creating an automatic detection method. The paper clarifies some aspects related to the geo-effectiveness of the solar flares producing magnetic disturbances. The importance of the global modelling studies covering critical aspects needed to understand this Sun–Earth system is assessed. Also, we provide an overview of the temporal evolution of the electric currents producing Sfe. The importance of key subjects such as the dynamic aspects of Sfe is developed in another section. Finally, estimations of the size of large flares using ionospheric and magnetic data are reviewed as well as the prospects of these large flare events putting technological systems in danger.

Understanding Space Weather: Part II: The Violent Sun

The Sun is often racked by short-term violent events such as flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) but these two phenomena are often confused. Both are caused by the release of energy due to the reconnection of stressed and unstable magnetic fields. Flares bathe the solar system in electromagnetic radiation from gamma rays to radio emissions. CMEs throw billions of tons of solar plasma into interplanetary space at velocities of over 1,000 km s−1. Flares can occur without significant ejecta being spewed out from the Sun into the solar system. CMEs can occur without a significant flare being detected. The most violent and dangerous events occur when a large flare is accompanied by a major eruption. These violent events are much more common near solar maximum but can occur at any time during the solar cycle, so we are rarely completely immune to their effects. Various types of solar activity can lead to problems with electrical grids, navigation systems, and communications, and can present a hazard to astronauts, as will be discussed in future papers in this series.

Characterization of X-ray flare properties of AB Dor

The strong similarities between the flares observed on the Sun and in low mass stars has raised question regarding dynamo in these stars. Using the Sun as a prototype, one may be able to address this. In this paper, we present an analysis of 30 intense X-ray flares observed from AB Dor. These flares detected in XMM-Newton data show a rapid rise (500-3000 s) and a slow decay (1000-6000 s). Our studies suggest that the scaling law between the flare peak emission measure and the flare peak temperature for all the flares observed on AB Dor is very similar to the relationship followed by solar flares. Furthermore, we obtain the frequency distribution of flare energies which is a crucial diagnostic to calculate the overall energy residing in a flare. Our results of this study indicate that the large flare (1033 ≤ E ≤ 1034 erg) may not contribute to the heating of the corona.

Ultraviolet spectrophotometry of flares on “quiescent” M and K dwarf exoplanet hosts

We present an analysis of a sample of flares on “quiescent” (i.e. non-flare) M and K stars using temporally resolved UV spectroscopy from the growing body of MUSCLES Treasury Survey data. Specifically, our analysis quantified the response of the far-UV C II, Si III, Si IV, and N V emission lines and the far-UV continuum during the flares. Using these tracers, we examined one representative event on GJ 832. In concordance with flares recorded on the Sun and AD Leo, the MUSCLES flares are well fit by a power law relationship of similar slope in frequency versus energy. Flares can strip atmospheric mass from orbiting planets, adversely affecting their long-term habitability. To gauge the amplitude of this effect, we computed an energy-balance upper-limit on the amount of atmosphere a large flare might remove from an orbiting Earth due purely to elevated EUV flux and found this limit to be modest relative to Earth's atmospheric mass.

Daily monitor of Sagittarius A* at 22 GHz with the Japanese VLBI Network

We have been monitoring the flux density of Sagittarius A* (Sgr A*) at 22 GHz since DOY=42 (11 Feb. 2013) with a sub-array of the Japanese VLBI Network in order to search the increase of 22-GHz emission from Sgr A* induced by the interaction of the G2 cloud with the accretion disk. The flux densities observed until DOY=322 (18 Nov. 2013) are consistent with the previously observed values before the approaching of the cloud. We have detected no large flare during this period.

Infrared AKARI observations of magnetars 4U 0142+61 and 1E 2259+586

We observed two magnetars, 4U 0142+61 and 1E2259+568, with the Japanese infrared satellite AKARI to search for the time variability at wavelengths between 2-4 μm. We significantly detected 4U0142+61 in the 4μm band, and determined flux upper limits in the other two bands. We did not detect 1E 2259+586 in any of the bands, and determined upper limits. Comparing the detection of 4U 0142+61 in the 4μm band with the Spitzer observation from 2005, we found the flux was reduced to be 64%. We interpret this time variability in the infrared band as an increase of the inner radius of the dust disk around the neutron star, where the increase is due to the sublimation of the dust by the large flare of neutron star itself.

The variability of cosmic methanol masers in massive star-forming regions

The methanol masers associated with G35.20-1.74 were monitored at 12178 MHz for four years and 6668 MHz for five years using the 26m Hartebeesthoek telescope. This source showed irregular variability and a single large flare event during the monitoring window.