MACROPRUDENTIAL SUPERVISION AND AGENTS’ INFORMATION: WHAT STRESS TESTS REALLY TELL THE MARKETS

Central bank’s macroprudential supervisory activities have to fulfill three distinct tasks: (i) assessing the banking system’s vulnerability to exogenous adverse turbulence, (ii) evaluating the risk of systemic crisis originating from idiosyncratic shocks, and (iii) measuring financial market’s sensitivity to policy stimuli. Given that macroprudential stress tests are the centerpiece of this policy approach, it is important to establish whether they are up to the task. We study how the 2011–2018 European Banking Authority stress tests affected market risk perception and show that they provided agents with valuable information on the policy stances and the vulnerabilities of the banking system, carrying out the above tasks successfully, especially the second and third tasks.

THE STRATEGIC ROLE OF PRIVATE EQUITY IN THE INTERNATIONALIZATION OF ITALIAN SMEs

The internationalization of the portfolio company is a key strategy used by private equity (PE) investors to create value and produce returns. In recent years, the focus on the strategies for value-creation through operational improvement has become essential to achieve the exponential growth required to the portfolio company, given the low multiples and the market risk of leverage. In this paper, we define the key types of contribution that a PE investor can provide in order to support the internationalization process and their effects on the portfolio company’s performance. The research is based on a survey administered to 47 PE fund managers, which covers 156 deals involving Italian companies. The results offer insight into the contribution to the corporate governance, strategy and management that PE provides in addition to the monetary support. The findings show that the non-financial support given to the portfolio companies has a positive impact on the performance and that the most impactful contribution the PE can give is the support to the relational network when the company strategy involves a foreign direct investment.

DOES CORRUPTION SAND THE WHEELS OF FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT? EVIDENCE FROM GLOBAL PANEL DATA

This study examines the effects of corruption and political instability and violence on the financial sector development. We estimate the impact for a panel of countries classified by income groups and regulatory quality. The study considers the period from 1996 to 2015 for analysis. The empirical models of this study test the linear as well as nonlinear relationships between corruption and financial sector development. Our analysis utilizes a dynamic panel data model and takes care of the potential endogeneity problem in estimation. The results show that corruption has a negative effect on financial sector development for all as well as different income-group countries. Our results further show that the effects of corruption are nonlinear in nature and indicate that corruption is more financial development-reducing when its level is very high. We also test the joint effect of corruption and political instability and violence on financial development. It largely shows that their combined effect is positive, implying that widespread corruption can positively affect financial development if a country is suffering from an unstable political institution.

THE DIVERGENCE OF ESG RATINGS: AN ANALYSIS OF ITALIAN LISTED COMPANIES

The increasing attention to sustainability issues in finance has brought a proliferation of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) metrics and rating providers that results in divergences among the ESG ratings. Based on a sample of Italian listed firms, this paper investigates these divergences through a framework that decomposes ESG ratings into a value and a weight component at the pillar (i.e. E, S, and G) and category (i.e. sub-pillar) levels. We find that weights divergence and social and governance indicators are the main drivers of rating divergences. The research contributes to develop a new tool for analyzing ESG divergences and provides a number of recommendations for researchers and practitioners, stressing the need to understand what is really measured by the ESG rating agencies and the need for standardization and transparency of ESG measurement to favor a more homogeneous set of indicators.

CREDIT QUALITY AND SUBSTITUTION IN SME FINANCE

We investigate whether and how SMEs’ credit quality influences their substitution of bank credit for trade credit. Using data from the five largest European countries, we find that substitution of bank credit for trade credit decreases during the financial crisis, but it decreases significantly less for ex ante low credit quality firms. We control for pre-crisis or lagged firm characteristics including size and external finance dependence, industry effects, sample selection effects and cross-country heterogeneity. We also find that low credit quality firms increase their absolute and relative trade credit usage significantly more than high credit quality firms during the financial crisis. The effects are consistent across countries and stronger for net trade credit borrowers and financially constrained firms. The evidence highlights how credit quality influences demand-side driven substitution in SME finance.

THE VALUE OF PERSONAL CREDIT HISTORY IN RISK SCREENING OF ENTREPRENEURS: EVIDENCE FROM MARKETPLACE LENDING

We explore the quality of risk assessment for entrepreneurs/small business borrowers as compared to consumers, when the same information on previous credit history is used for both segments in marketplace lending. By building several cross-sectional logistic regression and machine-learning models and applying them separately to small business loans (SBL) and consumers we can measure models’ predictive accuracy for different segments, and thus, make observations about the value of the information used for screening. We find the differences in profiles between SBL and consumers, hence they should be assessed by separate models. Yet separate SBL models do not perform well when applied to a future time period. We attribute this to the relatively low predictive value of personal credit history for entrepreneurs as compared to the consumers. We advocate the use of additional information for risk assessment of entrepreneurs, in order to improve the quality of credit screening. This should lead to improved access of small business borrowers to credit in situations when they have to compete with consumers for funding.

IMPLICATIONS OF LOW INTEREST RATES ON BANK PROFITABILITY AND RISK-TAKING

This paper investigates the effect of low interest rates on bank profitability and risk-taking. A comprehensive depiction of the current state of research was developed based on systematic literature review and qualitative content analysis. A low interest rate environment, as present in many economies, has various implications on bank profitability and risk-taking. A positive relationship is found between interest rates and net interest income, while the relationship with non-interest income is negative. Also, banks increase risk-taking in search for yield. The influence on bank profitability is highly dependent on several factors, but in most papers a negative influence is found. Throughout the world banks have managed to limit the impact through mitigation strategies, such as diversification, which are presented as guidance.

THE PERSONALITY AND MOTIVATION OF “QUANTS”: THE MATH GENIUSES OF WALL STREET

A relatively small sample of experts ([Formula: see text]) working within the quantitative financial area completed two questionnaires measuring their personality and values. This study set out to determine how personality and motivation/work values predict subjective work success and organizational fit using the High Potential Traits Inventory (HPTI) and the Work Value Questionnaire (WVQ). Compared to the population norms, the “Quants” were higher on Curiosity and Conscientiousness but lower on Tolerance of Ambiguity and Risk-Taking Approach. The “Quants” scored higher than population norms on one facet of intrinsic motivation and all three of the extrinsic motivation. The results demonstrated that Conscientiousness and Intrinsic Motivation were both significant predictors of subjective work success. The results are discussed in terms of how to select, manage and promote “Quants”. Implications and limitations are discussed.