scholarly journals Accounting for the Competing Risk of Death to Predict Kidney Failure in Adults With Stage 4 Chronic Kidney Disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. e219225
Author(s):  
Huda Al-Wahsh ◽  
Navdeep Tangri ◽  
Rob Quinn ◽  
Ping Liu ◽  
Thomas Ferguson, MS ◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Vol 103-B (4) ◽  
pp. 689-695
Author(s):  
Pyry Jämsä ◽  
Aleksi Reito ◽  
Niku Oksala ◽  
Antti Eskelinen ◽  
Esa Jämsen

Aims To investigate whether chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with the risk of all-cause revision or revision due to a periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) after primary hip or knee arthroplasty. Methods This retrospective cohort study comprised 18,979 consecutive hip and knee arthroplasties from a single high-volume academic hospital. At a median of 5.6 years (interquartile range (IQR) 3.5 to 8.1), all deaths and revisions were counted. To overcome the competing risk of death, competing risk analysis using the cumulative incidence function (CIF) was applied to analyze the association between different stages of CKD and revisions. Confounding factors such as diabetes and BMI were considered using either a stratified CIF or the Fine and Gray model. Results There were 2,111 deaths (11.1%) and 677 revisions (3.6%) during the follow-up period. PJI was the reason for revision in 162 cases (0.9%). For hip arthroplasty, 3.5% of patients with CKD stage 1 (i.e. normal kidney function, NKF), 3.8% with CKD stage 2, 4.2% with CKD stage 3, and 0% with CKD stage 4 to 5 had undergone revision within eight years. For knee arthroplasty, 4.7% with NKF, 2.7% with CKD stage 2, 2.4% with CKD stage 3, and 7% of CKD stage 4 to 5 had had undergone revision. With the exception of knee arthroplasty patients in whom normal kidney function was associated with a greater probability of all-cause revision, there were no major differences in the rates of all-cause revisions or revisions due to PJIs between different CKD stages. The results remained unchanged when diabetes and BMI were considered. Conclusion We found no strong evidence that CKD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause or PJI-related revision. Selection bias probably explains the increased amount of all-cause revision operations in knee arthroplasty patients with normal kidney function. The effect of stage 4 to 5 CKD was difficult to evaluate because of the small number of patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(4):689–695.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuo-Chun Weng ◽  
Chyong-Mei Chen ◽  
Yu-Chi Chen ◽  
Ming-Ju Wu ◽  
Der-Cherng Tarng

Objective: The trajectory patterns of estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) older adults with malnourishment and their association with subsequent patient outcomes have not been elucidated. We aimed to assess the eGFR trajectory patterns for predicting patient survival and kidney failure in the elderly without or with malnourishment.Materials and Methods: Based on a prospective longitudinal cohort, CKD patients aged 65 years or older were enrolled from 2001 to 2013. Among the 3,948 patients whose eGFR trajectory patterns were analyzed, 1,872 patients were stratified by the absence or presence of malnourishment, and 765 patients were identified and categorized as having malnourishment. Four eGFR trajectory patterns [gradual decline (T0), early non-decline and then persistent decline (T1), persistent increase (T2), and low baseline and then progressive increase (T3)] were classified by utilizing a linear mixed-effect model with a quadratic term in time. The malnourishment was defined as body mass index < 22 kg/m2, serum albumin < 3.0 mg/dL, or Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) < 98. This study assessed the effectiveness of eGFR trajectory patterns in a median follow-up of 2.27 years for predicting all-cause mortality and kidney failure.Results: The mean age was 76.9 ± 6.7 years, and a total of 82 (10.7%) patients with malnourishment and 57 (5.1%) patients without malnourishment died at the end of the study. Compared with the reference trajectory T0, the overall mortality of T1 was markedly reduced [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.32–0.83]. In patients with trajectory, T3 was associated with a high risk for kidney failure (aHR = 5.68, 95% CI 3.12–10.4) compared with the reference, especially higher risk in the presence of malnourishment. Patients with high GNRI values were significantly associated with a lower risk of death and kidney failure, but patients with malnourishment and concomitant alcohol consumption had a higher risk of kidney failure.Conclusions: Low baseline eGFR and progressively increasing eGFR trajectory were high risks for kidney failure in CKD patients. These findings may be attributed to multimorbidity, malnourishment, and decompensation of renal function.


Author(s):  
Ping Liu ◽  
Robert R. Quinn ◽  
Giuliana Cortese ◽  
Mohamed Mahsin ◽  
Matthew T. James ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Bao ◽  
Biao Xu ◽  
Yan Borné ◽  
Marju Orho-Melander ◽  
Olle Melander ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The relationship between growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) and the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is still unclear. We sought to examine whether plasma GDF-15 was related to incident CKD and kidney function decline using a large prospective cohort study. Methods 4,318 participants of the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study-Cardiovascular Cohort were examined in 1991–1994 and followed prospectively until 2013 for incidence of CKD, as detected from national registers. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was available for all participants at baseline, and was re-measured in a subgroup of 2,744 subjects after 16.6 ± 1.49 years. Incidence of CKD was examined in relation to GDF-15 using Cox regression analysis. Logistic regression was used to examine the association of GDF-15 with eGFR change and eGFR-based CKD. Models were carefully corrected for potential confounders including baseline eGFR, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and competing risk from death. Results 165 patients developed CKD after 19.2 ± 4.04 years of follow-up. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval, CI) for CKD in 4th versus 1st quartile of GDF-15 was 2.37 (1.33, 4.24) (p for trend < 0.01). Each per 1 standard deviation increase in GDF-15 was associated with a decline in eGFR of -0.97 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI, -1.49~-0.45; p < 0.001). GDF-15 was also significantly associated eGFR-based CKD in 2,713 subjects with baseline eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Conclusions GDF-15 predicted incidence of CKD and eGFR decline in the general population, independent of a wide range of potential risk factors and competing risk of death.


2019 ◽  
pp. 2-3

Impaired phosphate excretion by the kidney leads to Hyperphosphatemia. It is an independent predictor of cardiovascular disease and mortality in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (stage 4 and 5) particularly in case of dialysis. Phosphate retention develops early in chronic kidney disease (CKD) due to the reduction in the filtered phosphate load. Overt hyperphosphatemia develops when the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) falls below 25 to 40 mL/min/1.73 m2. Hyperphosphatemia is typically managed with oral phosphate binders in conjunction with dietary phosphate restriction. These drugs aim to decrease serum phosphate by binding ingested phosphorus in the gastrointestinal tract and its transformation to non-absorbable complexes [1].


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Basma Sultan ◽  
Hamdy Omar ◽  
Housseini Ahmed ◽  
Mahmoud Elprince ◽  
Osama Anter adly ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Vascular calcification (VC) plays a major role in cardiovascular disease (CVD), which is one of the main causes of mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The study aims at early detection of breast arterial calcification (BAC) in different stages of CKD (stage 2, 3& 4) patients as an indicator of systemic VC. Method A case control study was conducted targeting CKD women, aged 18- 60 years old. The sample was divided into 3 groups; A,B,C (representing stage 2, 3 & 4 of CKD) from women who attended nephrology and Internal medicine clinics and admitted in inpatient ward in Suez Canal University Hospital. A 4th group (D) was formed as a control group and included women with normal kidney functions (each group (A, B, C, D) include 22 women). The selected participants were subjected to history taking, mammogram to detect BAC and biochemical assessment of lipid profile, Serum creatinine (Cr), Mg, P, Ca, PTH and FGF23. Results Our study detected presence of BAC in about 81.8% of hypertensive stage 4 CKD patients compared with 50% in stage 3 CKD, also in the majority of stage 4 CKD patients who had abnormal lipid profile parameters and electrolyte disturbance. Most of the variables had statistical significance regarding the presence of BAC. Conclusion Although it is difficult to determine the definite stage at which the risk of VC begins but in our study, it began late in stage 2 CKD, gradually increased prevalence through stage 3 and became significantly higher in stage 4. These results suggest that preventive strategies may need to begin as early as stage 2 CKD.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document