Incidence of dementia in a population cohort of older people from São Paulo, Brazil Incidence of dementia in São Paulo, Brazil

Author(s):  
Marcos Antonio Lopes ◽  
Silvia Modesto Nassar ◽  
Ricardo Barcelos‐Ferreira ◽  
Jefferson Cunha Folquitto ◽  
Júlio Litvoc
2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (S10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcos A Lopes ◽  
Silvia M Nassar ◽  
Julio Litvoc ◽  
Jefferson C Folquitto ◽  
Ricardo Barcelos‐Ferreira ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Tarcísio M. Rocha Filho ◽  
Fabiana Sherine Ganem dos Santos ◽  
Victor Bertollo Gomes ◽  
Thiago Augusto Hernandes Rocha ◽  
Julio Henrique Rosa Croda ◽  
...  

AbstractIn January 2020 China reported to the World Health Organization an outbreak of pneumonia of undetermined origin in the city of Wuhan, Hubei. In January 30, 2020, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak of COVID-19 as a Public Health Emergency of International Interest (PHEI).ObjectivesThe aim of this study is to assess the impact of a COVID-19 epidemic in the metropolitan region of São Paulo, Brazil.MethodsWe used a generalized SEIR (Susceptibles, Exposed, Infectious, Recovered) model, with additional Hospitalized variables (SEIHR model) and age-stratified structure to analyze the expected time evolution during the onset of the epidemic in the metropolitan area of São Paulo. The model allows to determine the evolution of the number of cases, the number of patients admitted to hospitals and deaths caused by COVID-19. In order to investigate the sensibility of our results with respect to parameter estimation errors we performed Monte Carlo analysis with 100 000 simulations by sampling parameter values from an uniform distribution in the confidence interval.ResultsWe estimate 1 368 (IQR: 880, 2 407) cases, 301 (22%) in older people (≥60 years), 81 (50, 143) hospitalizations, and 14 (9, 26) deaths in the first 30 days, and 38 583 (IQR: 16 698, 113, 163) cases, 8 427 (21.8%) in older people (≥60 years), 2181 (914, 6392) hospitalizations, and 397(166, 1205) deaths in the first 60 days.LimitationsWe supposed a constant transmission probability Pc among different age-groups, and that every severe and critic case will be hospitalized, as well as that the detection capacity in all the primary healthcare services does not change during the outbreak.ConclusionSupposing the reported parameters in the literature apply in the city of São Paulo, our study shows that it is expected that the impact of a COVID-19 outbreak will be important, requiring special planning from the authorities. This is the first study for a major metropolitan center in the south hemisphere, and we believe it can provide policy makers with a prognosis of the burden of the pandemic not only in Brazil, but also in other tropical zones, allowing to estimate total cases, hospitalization and deaths, in support to the management of the public health emergence caused by COVID-19.


2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 204-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Itamar S Santos ◽  
Márcia Scazufca ◽  
Paulo A Lotufo ◽  
Paulo R Menezes ◽  
Isabela M Benseñor

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 123-129
Author(s):  
Beatriz Berioni Rodrigues Da Silveira ◽  
Sônia Maria Garcia Vigeta ◽  
Ana Lucia de Moraes Horta

Os grupos de convivência para pessoa idosa têm se tornando cada vez mais uma alternativa para a manutenção da vida social destes indivíduos. O objetivo deste estudo foi conhecer o significado do evento Sarau Literário para a pessoa idosa. Foram incluídos idosos que frequentavam o projeto de extensão Envelhecer com Arte em uma universidade na cidade de São Paulo. Trata-se de pesquisa qualitativa, que empregou a estratégia metodológica do Discurso do Sujeito Coletivo, fundamentado nos preceitos teóricos da Representação Social. Após transcrição e análise das entrevistas coletadas, os achados foram separados em dois eixos temáticos. O primeiro eixo era sobre os motivos pelos quais as mulheres idosas participavam de um Sarau Literário vinculado a um projeto de extensão universitária. Dentre estes motivos, estava o reconhecimento da importância do grupo de convivência como estratégia para enfrentar o isolamento social nessa etapa da vida. O segundo eixo foi constituído pela importância das relações intergeracionais e pelo vínculo afetivo estabelecido, em uma perspectiva de educação permanente, para uma melhor qualidade de vida aos idosos. Manter o idoso na vida social é de extrema importância para um envelhecimento ativo. Palavras-chave: Relações Comunidade-Instituição; Saúde; Idoso; Envelhecimento Saudável   Content shared under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Licence CC-BY       Literary Soiree: the experience of an extension project Abstract: Support groups for elderly persons are increasingly becoming an alternative for maintaining the social life of these individuals. This study aimed to learn the meaning of the Literary Soiree experience for older people. It included older people attending the “Aging with Art” extension project at a university in the city of São Paulo. Qualitative research was carried out using the Collective Subject Discourse method, based on the theoretical precepts of Social Representation. After transcription and analysis of the interviews, the findings were separated into two thematic axes. The first axis was about why older women participated in a Literary Soiree linked to a university extension project. The recognition of support group importance as a strategy to face social isolation at this stage of life was among the reason. The second axis was about the importance of intergenerational relations and the affective bonds established in a perspective of permanent education for a better quality of life for the aged. Promoting the elderlies’ social life is of absolute importance for active aging. Keywords: Community-Institution Relations; Health; Aged People; Healthy Aging Velada literaria: la experiencia de un proyecto de extensión Resumen: Los grupos de convivencia para ancianos se están convirtiendo cada vez más en una alternativa para mantener la vida social de estos individuos. El objetivo de esto estudio fue conocer el significado del evento Velada Literaria para los ancianos. Se incluyeron mujeres ancianas participantes del proyecto de extensión “Envejecimiento con arte” en una universidad de la ciudad de São Paulo. Esta investigación cualitativa utilizó el abordaje metodológico del Discurso del Sujeto Colectivo basado en los preceptos teóricos de la representación social. Después de la transcripción y el análisis de las entrevistas, los resultados fueron separados en dos ejes temáticos. El primer eje fue sobre por qué las ancianas participaron en el Velada Literaria vinculado a un proyecto de extensión universitaria. Entre las razones estaba el reconocimiento de la importancia del grupo social como estrategia para enfrentar el aislamiento social en esta etapa de la vida. El segundo eje fue sobre la importancia de las relaciones intergeneracionales y el vínculo afectivo establecido en una perspectiva de educación permanente, para una mejor calidad de vida de los ancianos. Mantener a los ancianos en la vida social es de suma importancia para el envejecimiento activo. Palabras-clave: Relaciones Comunidad-Institución; Salud; Anciano; Envejecimiento Saludable


Crisis ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Hideki Bando ◽  
Fernando Madalena Volpe

Background: In light of the few reports from intertropical latitudes and their conflicting results, we aimed to replicate and update the investigation of seasonal patterns of suicide occurrences in the city of São Paulo, Brazil. Methods: Data relating to male and female suicides were extracted from the Mortality Information Enhancement Program (PRO-AIM), the official health statistics of the municipality of São Paulo. Seasonality was assessed by studying distribution of suicides over time using cosinor analyses. Results: There were 6,916 registered suicides (76.7% men), with an average of 39.0 ± 7.0 observed suicides per month. For the total sample and for both sexes, cosinor analysis estimated a significant seasonal pattern. For the total sample and for males suicide peaked in November (late spring) with a trough in May–June (late autumn). For females, the estimated peak occurred in January, and the trough in June–July. Conclusions: A seasonal pattern of suicides was found for both males and females, peaking in spring/summer and dipping in fall/winter. The scarcity of reports from intertropical latitudes warrants promoting more studies in this area.


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