Quality Checks on Continuous Rainfall Records: A Case Study

In recent years, precipitation patterns in Korea have shifted to be characterized as short and intense rainfalls. In consideration of shallow landslide initiations primarily governed by heavy rainfalls at short-time scales that diminish drainage effects, the concept of critical continuous rainfall is proposed as a single-rainfall-variable threshold for shallow landslide forecasting. To generate a critical continuous rainfall map for hillslope areas in a city of Korea (Busan), this study designed and applied a systematic modeling process. As a preparatory stage, input datasets of geo-hydraulic properties and geotechnical properties were assembled using estimation techniques based on experiment data of field samples. The inherent and fixed critical continuous rainfall values for hillslope areas in Busan were derived through one-dimensional infiltration analysis coupled with infinite slope stability calculations. As a result of a detailed analysis of historical rainfall records in a case study area over a period of 11 years, three false forecasting cases were recorded, whereas all landslide-triggering rainfall events were correctly captured with no missed forecasting cases. The results of the case study indicate that the proposed critical continuous rainfall may be useful as an effective and straightforward indicator for forecasting the initiation of shallow landslides.

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Mesoscale Assimilation of Radial Velocities from Doppler Radars in a Preoperational Framework

Monthly Weather Review ◽

10.1175/2008mwr2725.1 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 137 (6) ◽

pp. 1939-1953 ◽

Cited By ~ 63

Author(s):

Thibaut Montmerle ◽

Claudia Faccani

Keyword(s):

Three Dimensional ◽

Radial Velocities ◽

Horizontal Wind ◽

Low Level ◽

Convective Systems ◽

Daily Monitoring ◽

The Status ◽

Quality Checks

Abstract This paper presents the results of a preoperational assimilation of radial velocities from Doppler radars of the French Application Radar la Météorologie InfraSynoptique (ARAMIS) network in the nonhydrostatic model, the Application of Research to Operations at Mesoscale (AROME). For this purpose, an observation operator, which allows the simulation of radial winds from the model variables, is included in the three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) system. Several data preprocessing procedures are applied to avoid as much as possible erroneous measurements (e.g., due to dealiasing failures) from entering the minimization process. Quality checks and other screening procedures are discussed. Daily monitoring diagnostics are developed to check the status and the quality of the observations against their simulated counterparts. Innovation biases in amplitude and in direction are studied by comparing observed and simulated velocity–azimuth display (VAD) profiles. Experiments over 1 month are performed. Positive impacts on the analyses and on precipitation forecasts are found. Scores against conventional data show mostly neutral results because of the much-localized impact of radial velocities in space and in time. Significant improvements of low-level divergence analysis and on the resulting forecast are found when specific sampling conditions are met: the closeness of convective systems to radars and the orientation of the low-level horizontal wind gradient with respect to the radar beam. Focus on a frontal rainband case study is performed to illustrate this point.

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The Genesis and Internal Dynamics of El Salvador's People's Revolutionary Army, 1970–1976

Behavioral and Brain Sciences ◽

10.1017/s0140525x13009850 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 38 (01) ◽

pp. 102-129

Author(s):

ALBERTO MARTÍN ÁLVAREZ ◽

EUDALD CORTINA ORERO

Keyword(s):

Latin America ◽

El Salvador ◽

Early Years ◽

Left Wing ◽

Internal Dynamics ◽

Internal Coherence ◽

The 1960S

AbstractUsing interviews with former militants and previously unpublished documents, this article traces the genesis and internal dynamics of the Ejército Revolucionario del Pueblo (People's Revolutionary Army, ERP) in El Salvador during the early years of its existence (1970–6). This period was marked by the inability of the ERP to maintain internal coherence or any consensus on revolutionary strategy, which led to a series of splits and internal fights over control of the organisation. The evidence marshalled in this case study sheds new light on the origins of the armed Salvadorean Left and thus contributes to a wider understanding of the processes of formation and internal dynamics of armed left-wing groups that emerged from the 1960s onwards in Latin America.

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Culture and the plasticity of perception

Behavioral and Brain Sciences ◽

10.1017/s0140525x19002887 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 43 ◽

Author(s):

Michael Lifshitz ◽

T. M. Luhrmann

Keyword(s):

Cultural Context ◽

Sensory Experience ◽

Cultural Learning ◽

The World

Abstract Culture shapes our basic sensory experience of the world. This is particularly striking in the study of religion and psychosis, where we and others have shown that cultural context determines both the structure and content of hallucination-like events. The cultural shaping of hallucinations may provide a rich case-study for linking cultural learning with emerging prediction-based models of perception.

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Dual systems for all: Higher-order, role-based relational reasoning as a uniquely derived feature of human cognition

Behavioral and Brain Sciences ◽

10.1017/s0140525x19000451 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 42 ◽

Author(s):

Daniel J. Povinelli ◽

Gabrielle C. Glorioso ◽

Shannon L. Kuznar ◽

Mateja Pavlic

Keyword(s):

Temporal Reasoning ◽

Higher Order ◽

Important Case ◽

Human Cognition ◽

Relational Reasoning ◽

Dual Systems ◽

First Order ◽

Reasoning System ◽

Role Based

Abstract Hoerl and McCormack demonstrate that although animals possess a sophisticated temporal updating system, there is no evidence that they also possess a temporal reasoning system. This important case study is directly related to the broader claim that although animals are manifestly capable of first-order (perceptually-based) relational reasoning, they lack the capacity for higher-order, role-based relational reasoning. We argue this distinction applies to all domains of cognition.

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Sociocultural memory development research drives new directions in gadgetry science

Behavioral and Brain Sciences ◽

10.1017/s0140525x19000979 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 42 ◽

Author(s):

Penny Van Bergen ◽

John Sutton

Keyword(s):

Episodic Memory ◽

Autobiographical Memory ◽

Developmental Psychology ◽

Cross Cultural ◽

Memory Development ◽

Development Research ◽

Cultural Research ◽

New Directions ◽

Cross Cultural Research

Abstract Sociocultural developmental psychology can drive new directions in gadgetry science. We use autobiographical memory, a compound capacity incorporating episodic memory, as a case study. Autobiographical memory emerges late in development, supported by interactions with parents. Intervention research highlights the causal influence of these interactions, whereas cross-cultural research demonstrates culturally determined diversity. Different patterns of inheritance are discussed.

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Construction of plastic contact deformation maps on ceramics: a case study on aluminum nitride

Proceedings, annual meeting, Electron Microscopy Society of America ◽

10.1017/s0424820100165641 ◽

1996 ◽

Vol 54 ◽

pp. 636-637

Author(s):

D. L. Callahan

Keyword(s):

Plastic Deformation ◽

Aluminum Nitride ◽

Mechanical Response ◽

Three Dimensional ◽

Bright Field Image ◽

Perfectly Plastic ◽

Contrast Analysis ◽

Deformation Patterns

Modern polishing, precision machining and microindentation techniques allow the processing and mechanical characterization of ceramics at nanometric scales and within entirely plastic deformation regimes. The mechanical response of most ceramics to such highly constrained contact is not predictable from macroscopic properties and the microstructural deformation patterns have proven difficult to characterize by the application of any individual technique. In this study, TEM techniques of contrast analysis and CBED are combined with stereographic analysis to construct a three-dimensional microstructure deformation map of the surface of a perfectly plastic microindentation on macroscopically brittle aluminum nitride.The bright field image in Figure 1 shows a lg Vickers microindentation contained within a single AlN grain far from any boundaries. High densities of dislocations are evident, particularly near facet edges but are not individually resolvable. The prominent bend contours also indicate the severity of plastic deformation. Figure 2 is a selected area diffraction pattern covering the entire indentation area.

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