scholarly journals Decision Analytics for Initial Public Offerings: How Filing Sentiment Influences Stock Market Returns

2021 ◽  
pp. 45-67
Author(s):  
Jonas Krinitz ◽  
Dirk Neumann
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Relevant Information ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Decision Analytics ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Public Offering

AbstractCompanies issuing stocks through an initial public offering (IPO) are obligated to publish relevant information as part of a prospectus. Besides quantitative figures from accounting, this document also contains qualitative information in the form of text. In this chapter, we analyze how sentiment in the prospectus influences future stock returns. In addition, we investigate the impact of pre-IPO sentiment in financial announcements on first-day returns. The results of our empirical analyses using 572 IPOs from US companies suggest a negative link between words linked to uncertainty and future stock market returns for up to 10 trading days. Conversely, we find that uncertainty expressed in pre-IPO announcements is positively linked to first-day stock returns. These insights have implications for research on IPOs by demonstrating that future stock returns are also driven by textual information from the prospectus and assist investors in placing their orders.

Initial Public Offerings in Germany between 1997 and 2015

2018 ◽  
pp. 558-572
Author(s):  
Andreas Oehler ◽  
Tim Herberger ◽  
Matthias Horn
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Subprime Crisis ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
German Stock ◽  
German Stock Market ◽  
Dot Com

This chapter focuses on the German IPO market from 1997 to 2015. More specifically, it provides a descriptive overview of the IPO activities in Germany in the last two decades, and analyzes the IPO market’s dependence on the yearly return and turnover of the German stock market. It shows that most IPOs and highest volumes were observed during the dot-com bubble phase (1997–2000) and that the German IPO market’s liquidity shows a stable development in the last years after the subprime crisis. The results of the regression analyses show that the IPO market activity strongly depends on the overall stock market turnover. But the stock market returns play a subordinated role for the IPO market liquidity in Germany.

Do Revenues Matter More Than Earnings for Initial Public Offerings?

2021 ◽  
pp. 0148558X2110465
Author(s):  
Norman Massel ◽  
Jung Eun “JP” Park ◽  
Ken Reichelt
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Securities And Exchange Commission ◽  
Additional Analysis ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Revenue Recognition ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Regulatory Scrutiny ◽  
Public Offering

We demonstrate that investors in initial public offering (IPO) firms value revenues and that the number of U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) revenue recognition comment letters issued on the S-1 registration statement are positively associated with reported revenues. We also find that IPO managers report revenues opportunistically in the fiscal year just prior to the offer. In additional analysis, we find that discretionary revenues are associated with significantly higher first day IPO stock returns but significantly lower 1 year stock returns. Our results are consistent with the incentives of managers to report revenues opportunistically outweighing the higher monitoring and regulatory scrutiny pre-IPO.

scholarly journals IPO Waves: How Market Performances Influence The Market Timing Of IPO?

2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 1679
Author(s):  
Firas Batnini ◽  
Moez Hammami
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Autocorrelation Analysis ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
One Year ◽  
The Impact

The goal of this paper is to study the impact of stock markets on Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). Several studies have shown that the need for financing is not the main trigger for an IPOfavorable market conditions may play a more important part. This work prove the existence of a significate relationship between past stock market returns and the number of IPOs. Before setting the date for an IPO, managers analyze long term financial market yields, a bullish stock market over a six month/ one year period encourages IPOs activities. In the other hand, even a negative performance but over a two-year period may have the same effect. They expect a stock market inversion. These results were obtained by autocorrelation analysis and count regression.

scholarly journals CHALLENGES TO CHINA'S NEW STOCK MARKET FOR SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZE ENTERPRISES: TRADING PRICE FALLS BELOW THE IPO PRICE

2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S409-S424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haifeng Guo ◽  
Tienan Wang ◽  
Yijun Li ◽  
Hung-Gay Fung
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Medium Size ◽  
Probability Models ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
Non Linear

This study discusses the development of the Growth Enterprise Board (GEB), a part of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE), which allows small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) to raise capital on favourable terms by issuing shares in China. We use all initial public offerings (IPOs) in the GEB market to model the probability of the trading price for new issues that will fall below their IPO price from October 2009 to December 31, 2011. Three probability models (logit, probit and scobit models) are used. The results show that four important factors explain the probability of trading price falling below their IPO price. A high first-day turnover ratio, a small price update, an optimistic stock market, and high average initial returns of other firms prior to an IPO issue all reduce the risk that the trading price will fall below the IPO price. The stock market returns have a non-linear significant effect on that probability. Our results are useful for regulators, underwriters, and issuers in the development of the GEB market.

A quantile regression approach to evaluate the relative impact of global and local factors on the MENA stock markets

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Slah Bahloul ◽  
Nawel Ben Amor
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis paper investigates the relative importance of local macroeconomic and global factors in the explanation of twelve MENA (Middle East and North Africa) stock market returns across the different quantiles in order to determine their degree of international financial integration.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use both ordinary least squares and quantile regressions from January 2007 to January 2018. Quantile regression permits to know how the effects of explanatory variables vary across the different states of the market.FindingsThe results of this paper indicate that the impact of local macroeconomic and global factors differs across the quantiles and markets. Generally, there are wide ranges in degree of international integration and most of MENA stock markets appear to be weakly integrated. This reveals that the portfolio diversification within the stock markets in this region is still beneficial.Originality/valueThis paper is original for two reasons. First, it emphasizes, over a fairly long period, the impact of a large number of macroeconomic and global variables on the MENA stock market returns. Second, it examines if the relative effects of these factors on MENA stock returns vary or not across the market states and MENA countries.

Weather, investor psychology and stock returns: evidence from Fiji's stock market

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Janesh Sami
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Asset Pricing Models ◽  
Weather Changes ◽  
Practical Implications

PurposeThis paper investigates whether weather affects stock market returns in Fiji's stock market.Design/methodology/approachThe author employed an exponential general autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (EGARCH) modeling framework to examine the effect of weather changes on stock market returns over the sample period 9/02/2000–31/12/2020.FindingsThe results show that weather (temperature, rain, humidity and sunshine duration) have robust but heterogenous effects on stock market returns in Fiji.Research limitations/implicationsIt is useful for scholars to modify asset pricing models to include weather-related variables (temperature, rain, humidity and sunshine duration) to better understand Fiji's stock market dynamics (even though they are often viewed as economically neutral variables).Practical implicationsInvestors and traders should consider their mood while making stock market decisions to lessen mood-induced errors.Originality/valueThis is the first attempt to examine the effect of weather (temperature, rain, humidity and sunshine duration) on stock market returns in Fiji's stock market.

scholarly journals An empirical study of IPO underpricing: Evidence from Chinese stock market

2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 139-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianxiang Xu ◽  
Yujie Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Study ◽  
Information Asymmetry ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Public Offering ◽  
Different Characteristics

Initial public offerings, as one of the most important activities for firms, have raising massive amount of researches. Regarding China, the stock markets are experiencing a massive level of IPO underpricing, which leads to trillions of dollars leaved on the table. This study is conducted for the question why Chinese IPO are so heavily underpriced and the determinants of IPO underpricing, also the possibility of IPO be underpriced in China. We confirm again that Chinese IPOs are heavily underpriced and the average underpricing level is about 110%. Further, Chinese IPO will experience a negative short term return starting from 10 days after listing, and there are significantly different characteristics for state owned IPOs and private IPOs. This study finds that information asymmetry, proportion of state owned share and risk are the mainly determinants of IPO underpricing in China. Additionally, one of the biggest reason that Chinese initial public offering is underpriced so much is because of government participation, since we find that firms with larger proportion of government state owned shares will be more underpriced.

Survival of Initial Public Offerings on Europe’s New Stock Markets

2018 ◽  
pp. 533-558 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Jiao ◽  
Peter Roosenboom ◽  
Giancarlo Giudici
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
High Growth ◽  
Barriers To Entry ◽  
Main Hypothesis ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Similar Survival ◽  
Public Offering

Nearly 20 competing new stock markets opened their doors in 12 Western European countries during 1995–2005. These stock markets copied the NASDAQ model, with low barriers to entry and tight disclosure rules, and had one common aim—to attract untested, early stage, innovative, and high-growth small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The main hypothesis of this chapter is that by setting the entry barriers too low, these new markets risked attracting too many low-quality firms, creating a “lemons problem” that negatively impacted the survival prospects of all firms listed on that market. The key finding is that the initial public offering (IPO) firm failure on six of these new stock markets is almost double the IPO firm failure on long-established official stock markets with more stringent listing requirements. The exception is the unregulated Alternative Investments Market, where firms have similar survival prospects compared to companies listing on London’s Official List.

The Relationship between Boards of Directors and Initial Public Offerings in the Biotechnology Industry

1998 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 5-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Todd A. Finkle
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Boards Of Directors ◽  
Biotechnology Industry ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Biotechnology Firms ◽  
The Board Of Directors ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Public Offering ◽  
Performance Results

Utilizing the entire population of public biotechnology firms from 1980-1994, three models were tested to determine If a relationship exists between the size and composition of the board of directors and performance. Results indicate significant positive relationships between director expertise and the size of a firm's initial public offering. Going public during hot markets and larger firms were also related to larger Initial public offerings. These findings will benefit practitioners in the formation of boards within the biotechnology Industry. Managers of firms within the biotechnology industry who are contemplating a public offering will be able to proactively address the composition of their boards.

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