A Paradox of the Mean Variance Setting for the Long Term Investor

Author(s):  
Abraham Lioui
Keyword(s):  
The Mean ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 50 (03) ◽  
pp. 801-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Du ◽  
Ariel David Neufeld

The goal of this paper is to prove a result conjectured in Föllmer and Schachermayer (2007) in a slightly more general form. Suppose that S is a continuous semimartingale and satisfies a large deviations estimate; this is a particular growth condition on the mean-variance tradeoff process of S. We show that S then allows asymptotic exponential arbitrage with exponentially decaying failure probability, which is a strong and quantitative form of long-term arbitrage. In contrast to Föllmer and Schachermayer (2007), our result does not assume that S is a diffusion, nor does it need any ergodicity assumption.


2013 ◽  
Vol 50 (3) ◽  
pp. 801-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Du ◽  
Ariel David Neufeld

The goal of this paper is to prove a result conjectured in Föllmer and Schachermayer (2007) in a slightly more general form. Suppose that S is a continuous semimartingale and satisfies a large deviations estimate; this is a particular growth condition on the mean-variance tradeoff process of S. We show that S then allows asymptotic exponential arbitrage with exponentially decaying failure probability, which is a strong and quantitative form of long-term arbitrage. In contrast to Föllmer and Schachermayer (2007), our result does not assume that S is a diffusion, nor does it need any ergodicity assumption.


Author(s):  
J. C. Kaimal ◽  
J. J. Finnigan

Much of what we know about the structure of the boundary layer is empirical, the result of painstaking analysis of observational data. As our understanding of the boundary layer evolved, so did our ability to define more clearly the requirements for sensing atmospheric variables and for processing that information. Decisions regarding choice of sampling rates, averaging time, detrending, ways to minimize aliasing, and so on, became easier to make. We find we can even standardize most procedures for real-time processing. The smaller, faster computers, now within the reach of most boundary layer scientists, offer virtually unlimited possibilities for processing and displaying results even as an experiment is progressing. The information we seek, for the most part, falls into two groups: (1) time-averaged statistics such as the mean, variance, covariance, skewness, and kurtosis and (2) spectra and cospectra of velocity components and scalars such as temperature and humidity. We discuss them separately because of different sampling and processing requirements for the two. A proper understanding of these requirements is essential for the successful planning of any experiment. In this chapter we discuss these considerations in some detail with examples of methods used in earlier applications. We will assume that sensors collecting the data have adequate frequency response, precision, and long-term stability and that the sampling is performed digitally at equally spaced intervals. We also assume that the observation heights are chosen with due regard to sensor response and terrain roughness. For calculations of means and higher order moments we need time series that are long enough to include all the relevant low-frequency contributions to the process, sampled at rates fast enough to capture all the high-frequency contributions the sensors are able to measure. Improper choices of averaging times and sampling rates can indeed compromise our statistics. We need to understand how those two factors affect our measurements in order to make sensible decisions on how long and how fast to sample.


1989 ◽  
Vol 256 (4) ◽  
pp. R946-R954
Author(s):  
B. N. Van Vliet ◽  
N. H. West

Toad pulmocutaneous arterial baroreceptors are connected to afferent fibers carried in the recurrent laryngeal nerves (rLNs). Bilateral rLN denervation in conscious toads (Bufo marinus) caused 34 and 78% increases in heart rate (Fh) and systemic arterial blood pressure (Pa) within 10-15 min, respectively. The variance of Pa was significantly increased 2 days after denervation, but Pa and Fh were not. In additional chronic experiments, 5 of 17 baroreceptor-denervated toads died within the 2-wk recovery period. No deaths occurred in sham-operated toads. The mean Pa, Fh, and cardiac interval (Ic), the mean variance of Pa, Fh, and Ic, and Pa and Fh responses to stress, plasma composition, and the dry-to-wet weight ratio of skeletal muscle and lung were not statistically different in denervated and sham-operated toads. However, the sensitivity of Ic to changes in Pa, exposed by intra-arterial injections of phenylephrine and nitroprusside, was attenuated in denervated toads. Postmortem examination revealed occasional pulmonary lesions, the incidence of which appeared correlated with causes of pulmonary hypertension: baroreceptor denervation and phenylephrine injections. We conclude that pulmocutaneous arterial baroreflex is tonically active but is not essential for the long-term maintenance of Pa in conscious undisturbed toads.


2015 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 410-424 ◽  
Author(s):  
David John Bradfield ◽  
Brian Munro

 Regulation 28 of the Pension Funds Act now permits an increased allocation of 25 per cent to foreign investments. The regulation previously only permitted a 20 per cent allocation. Establishing the optimal foreign allocation for South African portfolio managers given the 25 per cent upper bound is an important consideration for strategic portfolio planning. In this paper we consider two methodological approaches to establish a strategic foreign allocation weight. Our first approach considers the strategic role of foreign investment in South African global balanced portfolios by using a mean-variance efficient frontier framework over a long-term period. We also implement a second assessment methodology that utilises a nonparametric procedure. Both the mean-variance and the non-parametric methodology yield compelling evidence for the foreign allocation to be set at the maximum allowable bound of 25 per cent.


1987 ◽  
Vol 57 (01) ◽  
pp. 55-58 ◽  
Author(s):  
J F Martin ◽  
T D Daniel ◽  
E A Trowbridge

SummaryPatients undergoing surgery for coronary artery bypass graft or heart valve replacement had their platelet count and mean volume measured pre-operatively, immediately post-operatively and serially for up to 48 days after the surgical procedure. The mean pre-operative platelet count of 1.95 ± 0.11 × 1011/1 (n = 26) fell significantly to 1.35 ± 0.09 × 1011/1 immediately post-operatively (p <0.001) (n = 22), without a significant alteration in the mean platelet volume. The average platelet count rose to a maximum of 5.07 ± 0.66 × 1011/1 between days 14 and 17 after surgery while the average mean platelet volume fell from preparative and post-operative values of 7.25 ± 0.14 and 7.20 ± 0.14 fl respectively to a minimum of 6.16 ± 0.16 fl by day 20. Seven patients were followed for 32 days or longer after the operation. By this time they had achieved steady state thrombopoiesis and their average platelet count was 2.44 ± 0.33 × 1011/1, significantly higher than the pre-operative value (p <0.05), while their average mean platelet volume was 6.63 ± 0.21 fl, significantly lower than before surgery (p <0.001). The pre-operative values for the platelet volume and counts of these patients were significantly different from a control group of 32 young males, while the chronic post-operative values were not. These long term changes in platelet volume and count may reflect changes in the thrombopoietic control system secondary to the corrective surgery.


1991 ◽  
Vol 65 (03) ◽  
pp. 263-267 ◽  
Author(s):  
A M H P van den Besselaar ◽  
R M Bertina

SummaryIn a collaborative trial of eleven laboratories which was performed mainly within the framework of the European Community Bureau of Reference (BCR), a second reference material for thromboplastin, rabbit, plain, was calibrated against its predecessor RBT/79. This second reference material (coded CRM 149R) has a mean International Sensitivity Index (ISI) of 1.343 with a standard error of the mean of 0.035. The standard error of the ISI was determined by combination of the standard errors of the ISI of RBT/79 and the slope of the calibration line in this trial.The BCR reference material for thromboplastin, human, plain (coded BCT/099) was also included in this trial for assessment of the long-term stability of the relationship with RBT/79. The results indicated that this relationship has not changed over a period of 8 years. The interlaboratory variation of the slope of the relationship between CRM 149R and RBT/79 was significantly lower than the variation of the slope of the relationship between BCT/099 and RBT/79. In addition to the manual technique, a semi-automatic coagulometer according to Schnitger & Gross was used to determine prothrombin times with CRM 149R. The mean ISI of CRM 149R was not affected by replacement of the manual technique by this particular coagulometer.Two lyophilized plasmas were included in this trial. The mean slope of relationship between RBT/79 and CRM 149R based on the two lyophilized plasmas was the same as the corresponding slope based on fresh plasmas. Tlowever, the mean slope of relationship between RBT/79 and BCT/099 based on the two lyophilized plasmas was 4.9% higher than the mean slope based on fresh plasmas. Thus, the use of these lyophilized plasmas induced a small but significant bias in the slope of relationship between these thromboplastins of different species.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 519-522
Author(s):  
Jeyakumar S ◽  
Jagatheesan Alagesan ◽  
T.S. Muthukumar

Background: Frozen shoulder is disorder of the connective tissue that limits the normal Range of motion of the shoulder in diabetes, frozen shoulder is thought to be caused by changes to the collagen in the shoulder joint as a result of long term Hypoglycemia. Mobilization is a therapeutic movement of the joint. The goal is to restore normal joint motion and rhythm. The use of mobilization with movement for peripheral joints was developed by mulligan. This technique combines a sustained application of manual technique “gliding” force to the joint with concurrent physiologic motion of joint, either actively or passively. This study aims to find out the effects of mobilization with movement and end range mobilization in frozen shoulder in Type I diabetics. Materials and Methods: 30 subjects both male and female, suffering with shoulder pain and clinically diagnosed with frozen shoulder was recruited for the study and divided into two groups with 15 patients each based on convenient sampling method. Group A patients received mobilization with movement and Group B patients received end range mobilization for three weeks. The outcome measurements were SPADI, Functional hand to back scale, abduction range of motion using goniometer and VAS. Results: The mean values of all parameters showed significant differences in group A as compared to group B in terms of decreased pain, increased abduction range and other outcome measures. Conclusion: Based on the results it has been concluded that treating the type 1 diabetic patient with frozen shoulder, mobilization with movement exercise shows better results than end range mobilization in reducing pain and increase functional activities and mobility in frozen shoulder.


1966 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. F. Roe ◽  
D. M. Mitchell ◽  
G. W. Pennington

ABSTRACT Adrenocortical function was assessed in 20 patients receiving long-term corticosteroid drugs for a variety of non-endocrine disorders. In all cases plasma 17-hydroxycorticosteroids (17-OHCS) levels were within or above normal limits 48 hours after abruptly stopping their drugs and a further marked rise occurred in 7 patients given metyrapone for 24 h. Urinary 17-OHCS excretion did not show a parallel rise. Taking the group as a whole, a small rise in the mean output occurred 48 hours after stopping therapy, and a further slightly greater rise followed metyrapone. 3 patients had a relapse of their underlying condition during the test in spite of normal plasma and urinary 17-OHCS levels.


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