To address the challenge of predicting tomato yields in the field, we used whole-plant functional phenotyping to evaluate water relations under well-irrigated and drought conditions. The genotypes tested are known to exhibit variability in their yields in wet and dry fields. The examined lines included two lines with recessive mutations that affect carotenoid biosynthesis, zeta z2083 and tangerine t3406, both isogenic to the processing tomato variety M82. The two mutant lines were reciprocally grafted onto M82 and multiple physiological characteristics were measured continuously, as well as before, during and after drought treatment in the greenhouse. A comparative analysis of greenhouse and field yields showed that the whole-canopy stomatal conductance (gsc) in the morning and cumulative transpiration (CT) were strongly correlated with field measurements of total yield (TY: r2 = 0.9 and 0.77, respectively) and plant vegetative weight (PW: r2 = 0.6 and 0.94, respectively). Furthermore, the minimum CT during drought and the rate of recovery when irrigation was resumed were both found to predict resilience. Keywords: drought tolerance, functional genomic mapping, functional phenotyping, physiological trait, time-series measurements, tomato, yield prediction, yield-prediction models
The Effect of Antecedence on Empirical Model Forecasts of Crop Yield from Observations of Canopy Properties