The global distribution of sources of atmospheric decadal variability and mechanisms over the tropical Pacific and southern North America

1999 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 751-772 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. P. Rowell ◽  
F. W. Zwiers
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Global Distribution ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

scholarly journals A Link between the Hiatus in Global Warming and North American Drought

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (9) ◽  
pp. 3834-3845 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas L. Delworth ◽  
Fanrong Zeng ◽  
Anthony Rosati ◽  
Gabriel A. Vecchi ◽  
Andrew T. Wittenberg
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
North America ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
North American ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Global Warming Hiatus ◽  
Warming Hiatus ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract Portions of western North America have experienced prolonged drought over the last decade. This drought has occurred at the same time as the global warming hiatus—a decadal period with little increase in global mean surface temperature. Climate models and observational analyses are used to clarify the dual role of recent tropical Pacific changes in driving both the global warming hiatus and North American drought. When observed tropical Pacific wind stress anomalies are inserted into coupled models, the simulations produce persistent negative sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific, a hiatus in global warming, and drought over North America driven by SST-induced atmospheric circulation anomalies. In the simulations herein the tropical wind anomalies account for 92% of the simulated North American drought during the recent decade, with 8% from anthropogenic radiative forcing changes. This suggests that anthropogenic radiative forcing is not the dominant driver of the current drought, unless the wind changes themselves are driven by anthropogenic radiative forcing. The anomalous tropical winds could also originate from coupled interactions in the tropical Pacific or from forcing outside the tropical Pacific. The model experiments suggest that if the tropical winds were to return to climatological conditions, then the recent tendency toward North American drought would diminish. Alternatively, if the anomalous tropical winds were to persist, then the impact on North American drought would continue; however, the impact of the enhanced Pacific easterlies on global temperature diminishes after a decade or two due to a surface reemergence of warmer water that was initially subducted into the ocean interior.

Complex networks approach for detecting tropical basin interactions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Belen Rodríguez de Fonseca ◽  
Veronica Martín-Gómez ◽  
Jose María Aliganga
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Equatorial Atlantic ◽  
Tropical Oceans ◽  
Collective Interaction ◽  
Tropical North Atlantic ◽  
Key Factor ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

<p>Interaction between the tropical Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Ocean basins is increasingly recognized as a key factor in understanding climate variability on interannual to decadal timescales. Most of the studies deal with the connection between pair of basins and less attention has been paid to analyze the degree of collective interaction among the three tropical oceans and its variability along time.In this study, we consider a complex network perspective to analyze the collective connectivity among the three tropical basins. To do so, we first construct a climate network considering as network’ nodes the indices that represent the variability of the SST over the tropical Pacific, the tropical north Atlantic, the equatorial Atlantic and the tropical Indian Ocean. Then, we focus on detecting periods of maximum degree of collective connectivity (synchronization periods) using the mean network distance definition.Results show that the degree of collective connectivity among the three tropical oceans present a large muti-decadal variability and that during the observed period there were two synchronization periods: one developed over the period (1900-1935) and the other from 1975 to present. A period center in the 1950’s is characterized by being the three basins uncoupled .Using this information, an analysis of background conditions in the ocean and the atmosphere has been conducted in order to elucidate causes for this change in connectivity.</p>

scholarly journals Distorted Pacific–North American teleconnection at the Last Glacial Maximum

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 199-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongyun Hu ◽  
Yan Xia ◽  
Zhengyu Liu ◽  
Yuchen Wang ◽  
Zhengyao Lu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
North American ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Glacial Maximum ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
The Tropical Pacific ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. The Pacific–North American (PNA) teleconnection is one of the most important climate modes in the present climate condition, and it enables climate variations in the tropical Pacific to exert a significant influence on North America. Here, we show climate simulations in which the PNA teleconnection was largely distorted or broken at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). The distorted PNA is caused by a split in the westerly jet stream, which is ultimately forced by the large, thick Laurentide ice sheet that was present at the LGM. Changes in the jet stream greatly alter the extratropical waveguide, distorting wave propagation from the North Pacific to North America. The distorted PNA suggests that climate variability in the tropical Pacific, notably El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), would have little direct impact on North American climate at the LGM.

scholarly journals Solar forcing of the tropical Pacific climate and impacts over North America for the last millennium

PAGES news ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 12-14
Author(s):  
Amy C Clement ◽  
Julien Emile-Geay ◽  
Richard Seager ◽  
Mark Cane ◽  
Michael N Evans
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Solar Forcing ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Pacific Decadal Variability: The Tropical Pacific Mode and the North Pacific Mode*

2003 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. 1101-1120 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Wu ◽  
Z. Liu ◽  
R. Gallimore ◽  
R. Jacob ◽  
D. Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
The North ◽  
Pacific Decadal Variability ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

scholarly journals Tropical Pacific–Driven Decadel Energy Transport Variability

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 2037-2051 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilco Hazeleger ◽  
Camiel Severijns ◽  
Richard Seager ◽  
Franco Molteni
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
Energy Transport ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Atmospheric Energy ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Atmospheric Energy Transport ◽  
Hadley Cells ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract The atmospheric energy transport variability associated with decadal sea surface temperature variability in the tropical Pacific is studied using an atmospheric primitive equation model coupled to a slab mixed layer. The decadal variability is prescribed as an anomalous surface heat flux that represents the reduced ocean heat transport in the tropical Pacific when it is anomalously warm. The atmospheric energy transport increases and compensates for the reduced ocean heat transport. Increased transport by the mean meridional overturning (i.e., the strengthening of the Hadley cells) causes increased poleward energy transport. The subtropical jets increase in strength and shift equatorward, and in the midlatitudes the transients are affected. NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data show that the warming of the tropical Pacific in the 1980s compared to the early 1970s seems to have caused very similar changes in atmospheric energy transport indicating that these atmospheric transport variations were driven from the tropical Pacific. To study the implication of these changes for the coupled climate system an ocean model is driven with winds obtained from the atmosphere model. The poleward ocean heat transport increased when simulated wind anomalies associated with decadal tropical Pacific variability were used, showing a negative feedback between decadal variations in the mean meridional circulation in the atmosphere and in the Pacific Ocean. The Hadley cells and subtropical cells act to stabilize each other on the decadal time scale.

Interannual and Decadal Variability in the Tropical Pacific

1999 ◽  
pp. 171-195
Author(s):  
Simon F. B. Tett ◽  
Michael K. Davey ◽  
Sarah Ineson
Keyword(s):  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Interannual And Decadal Variability ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

scholarly journals North American Droughts of the Last Millennium from a Gridded Network of Tree-Ring Data

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (7) ◽  
pp. 1353-1376 ◽  
Author(s):  
Celine Herweijer ◽  
Richard Seager ◽  
Edward R. Cook ◽  
Julien Emile-Geay
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Tree Ring ◽  
North American ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Spatial Mode ◽  
Drought Variability ◽  
La Nina ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract Drought is the most economically expensive recurring natural disaster to strike North America in modern times. Recently available gridded drought reconstructions have been developed for most of North America from a network of drought-sensitive tree-ring chronologies, many of which span the last 1000 yr. These reconstructions enable the authors to put the famous droughts of the instrumental record (i.e., the 1930s Dust Bowl and the 1950s Southwest droughts) into the context of 1000 yr of natural drought variability on the continent. We can now, with this remarkable new record, examine the severity, persistence, spatial signatures, and frequencies of drought variability over the past milllennium, and how these have changed with time. The gridded drought reconstructions reveal the existence of successive “megadroughts,” unprecedented in persistence (20–40 yr), yet similar in year-to-year severity and spatial distribution to the major droughts experienced in today’s North America. These megadroughts occurred during a 400-yr-long period in the early to middle second millennium a.d., with a climate varying as today’s, but around a drier mean. The implication is that the mechanism forcing persistent drought in the West and the Plains in the instrumental era is analagous to that underlying the megadroughts of the medieval period. The leading spatial mode of drought variability in the recontructions resembles the North American ENSO pattern: widespread drought across the United States, centered on the Southwest, with a hint of the opposite phase in the Pacific Northwest. Recently, climate models forced by the observed history of tropical Pacific SSTs have been able to successfully simulate all of the major North American droughts of the last 150 yr. In each case, cool “La Niña–like” conditions in the tropical Pacific are consistent with North American drought. With ENSO showing a pronounced signal in the gridded drought recontructions of the last millennium, both in terms of its link to the leading spatial mode, and the leading time scales of drought variability (revealed by multitaper spectral analysis and wavelet analysis), it is postulated that, as for the modern day, the medieval megadroughts were forced by protracted La Niña–like tropical Pacific SSTs. Further evidence for this comes from the global hydroclimatic “footprint” of the medieval era revealed by existing paleoclimatic archives from the tropical Pacific and ENSO-sensitive tropical and extratropical land regions. In general, this global pattern matches that observed for modern-day persistent North American drought, whereby a La Niña–like tropical Pacific is accompanied by hemispheric, and in the midlatitudes, zonal, symmetry of hydroclimatic anomalies.

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