scholarly journals Evaluation of the Ventral Hernia Working Group classification for long-term outcome using English Hospital Episode Statistics: a population study

Hernia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. D. Hodgkinson ◽  
G. Worley ◽  
J. Warusavitarne ◽  
G. B. Hanna ◽  
C. J. Vaizey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ventral Hernia ◽  
Working Group ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Hospital Episode Statistics ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Hernia Surgery ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Hospital Episode ◽  
Ventral Incisional Hernia

Abstract Purpose The Ventral Hernia Working Group (VHWG) classification of ventral/incisional hernia (IH) was developed by expert consensus in 2010. Subsequently, Kanters et al. have demonstrated the validity of a modified version of the system for predicting short-term outcomes. This study aims to evaluate the modified system for predicting hernia recurrence. Methods Patients undergoing IH surgery (defined by OPCS codes) in the England Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) database, from 1997 to 2012, were identified. Baseline demographics at index hernia operation and episodes of further hernia surgery (FHS) were recorded. Risk factors for FHS were identified using cox regression and evaluated against the modified-VHWG grade using receiver-operating characteristics (ROC). Results The final analysis included 214,082 index IH operations. Of these, 52.6% were female and mean age was 56.59 (SD15.9). An admission for FHS was found in 8.3% cases (17,714 patients). Multi-variate cox regression revealed contaminated hernia (p < 0.0001), pre-existing IBD (p < 0.0001) and hernia comorbidity (p = 0.05) to be significantly related to long-term FHS. Classifying patients using these factors, according to the modified-VHWG classification, revealed that compared to Grade 1, the hazard ratio (HR) of FHS increased in Grade 2 (HR 1.19; p < 0.0001) and further increased in Grade 3 (HR 1.79; p < 0.0001). ROC analysis revealed the area under the curve to be 0.73 (95% CI 0.73–0.74). Conclusion This analysis demonstrates the broad validity of the modified-VHWG classification in discriminating risk for FHS. Inclusion of pre-existing IBD as a factor defining Grade 2 patients would be recommended. This analysis is limited by the absence of certain factors within the HES database, such as BMI.

Long-term success of flexible endoscopic septal division with the stag beetle knife for Zenker’s diverticulum: a tertiary center study

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sauid Ishaq ◽  
Keith Siau ◽  
Minhong Lee ◽  
Haleema Sultan ◽  
Shalmani H Mohaghegh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Zenker’S Diverticulum ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Zenker's Diverticulum ◽  
Tertiary Center ◽  
Symptom Remission ◽  
Treatment Naïve ◽  
Symptom Recurrence

Summary Objectives Flexible endoscopic septum division is an established treatment for Zenker’s diverticulum (ZD); however, long-term outcome data are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the long-term efficacy of flexible endoscopic septal division (FESD) using the stag beetle knife for ZD and identify predictors of symptom recurrence. Methods Patients undergoing the procedure between 2013 and 2018 were prospectively enrolled. Procedures were performed by a single operator. Symptom severity pre- and postprocedure was recorded using the dysphagia, regurgitation, and complications scale. Symptom recurrence was defined as a total score &gt; 1 after the index procedure. Time-to-event analyses were performed using Kaplan–Meier plots, with multivariable analyses performed using Cox regression models. Results Altogether, 65 patients (mean age 74.0 years, 60% male) were included. Previous stapling had been performed in 44.6% of patients. Over the mean posttreatment follow-up period of 19 months, 5.6% of the treatment naïve group and 34.5% of the recurrent group underwent repeated FESD (P = 0.003), with rates of symptom remission and improvement of 75.4% and 92.7%, respectively. Recurrence at 48 months was higher in patients with recurrent ZD (84.7%) than in treatment-naïve patients (10.7%). On multivariable analysis, recurrent disease (hazard ratio [HR] 20.8, P = 0.005) and younger age (HR 0.96/year, P = 0.047) were associated with symptom recurrence. Conclusions In patients with treatment-naïve ZD, flexible endoscopic septal division is safe and provides durable symptom remission. However, in patients with poststapling recurrence, the risk of recurrence is high and time-dependent.

Clinicopathological Features of Remnant Gastric Cancer After Gastrectomy

2021 ◽  
pp. 000313482110562
Author(s):  
Kenichi Iwasaki ◽  
Edward Barroga ◽  
Yota Shimoda ◽  
Masaya Enomoto ◽  
Erika Yamada ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Medical Records ◽  
Tumor Invasion ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Remnant Stomach ◽  
Invasion Depth ◽  
Term Outcome ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Tumor Invasion Depth

Background Remnant gastric cancer (RGC) encompasses all cancers arising from the remnant stomach. Various studies have reported on RGC and its prognosis, but no consensus on its surgical treatment and postoperative management has been reached. Moreover, the correlation between the clinicopathological characteristics and long-term outcomes of RGC remains unclear. This study investigated the clinicopathological factors associated with the long-term survival of RGC patients. Methods The medical records (March 1993-September 2020) of 104 RGC patients from Tokyo Medical University Hospital database were analyzed. Of these 104 patients, the medical records of 63 patients who underwent surgical curative resection were analyzed using R. Kaplan-Meier plots of cumulative incidence of RGC were made. Differences in survival rates were compared using the log-rank test. Prognostic factors were analyzed using multivariate Cox regression analysis ( P < .05). Results Of the 104 RGC patients, 63 underwent total remnant stomach excision. The median time from the first surgery to the total excision was 10 years. The 5-year survival rate of the 63 RGC patients was .55 ((95% CI); .417-.671). The clinicopathological factors that were significantly associated with the long-term outcome of the RGC patients were tumor diameter (≥3.5 cm), presence or absence of combined resection of multiple organs, tumor invasion (deeper than T2), TNM stage, and postoperative morbidity. The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that tumor invasion depth was the only independent prognostic factor for RGC patients [HR (95% CI): 5.49 (2.629-11.5), P ≤ .005]. Conclusions Among prognostic factors, tumor invasion depth was the only independent factor affecting RGC’s long-term outcome.

Long-term outcome of absorbable synthetic mesh in clean ventral hernia repairs

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jay F. Yu ◽  
Hannah E. Goldblatt ◽  
Katie Alter-Troilo ◽  
Emily Hetzel ◽  
Matthew I. Goldblatt
Keyword(s):  
Ventral Hernia ◽  
Synthetic Mesh ◽  
Term Outcome ◽  
Long Term Outcome

scholarly journals Functional Inflammatory Genotypes in Ischemic Stroke: Could We Use Them to Predict Age of Onset and Long-Term Outcome?

2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stella Marousi ◽  
Anna Antonacopoulou ◽  
Haralambos Kalofonos ◽  
Panagiotis Papathanasopoulos ◽  
Marina Karakantza ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Age Of Onset ◽  
Adverse Outcome ◽  
Nucleotide Polymorphisms ◽  
Term Outcome ◽  
Single Nucleotide ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Tnf Α

Functional single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of inflammatory cytokines have been previously related to the occurrence of an ischemic stroke (IS). We investigated whether five functional SNPs (i.e., TNF-α-308G>A, IL6-174G>C, IL12B 1188A>C, IL4-589C>T, and IL10-1082G>A) might be associated with the age of onset and 6-month outcome of an acute IS. A probe-free real-time PCR methodology was used to genotype 145 consecutively admitted cases with a first-ever IS. Simple Kaplan-Mayer and adjusted Cox regression analyses showed no association between inflammatory genotypes and the age of IS onset. IL6-174G>C, IL12B 1188A>C, IL4-589C>T, and IL10-1082G>A were not found to significantly contribute to the long-term outcome of the disease. However, carriage of the TNF-α-308 GG genotype was significantly associated with reduced odds for an adverse outcome. Larger studies are needed to confirm our results.

The Prognostic Prediction Role of Preoperative Serum Albumin Level in Patients with Intahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Following Hepatectomy

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 306-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junyi Shen ◽  
Tianfu Wen ◽  
Chuan Li ◽  
Lvnan Yan ◽  
Bo Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Serum Albumin ◽  
Youden Index ◽  
Positive Surgical Margin ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Preoperative Serum

Background: There is little information regarding the role of preoperative serum albumin (ALB) in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients who underwent liver resection. Methods: Clinicopathological characteristics and survival rate of 91 ICC patients who underwent surgery between 2009 and 2013 were included in this study. The optimal cut-off for ALB were determined by plotting the receiver operating characteristics curves of ALB in predicting overall survival (OS) and utilizing the Youden index. Long-term outcome was calculated by Kaplan-meire method. Results: The pathological characteristics were similar in both groups. The 1- and 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rates between the high ALB group and the lower ALB group were 62.7 vs. 25.5% and 27.0 vs. 11.1% respectively (p < 0.001). The 1- and 3-year OS rates between the high ALB group and the lower ALB group were 78.4 vs. 57.5% and 42.6 vs. 6.7% respectively (p < 0.001). The ALB level as continuous variable in multivariate analysis remained a favorable factor for DFS and OS (p < 0.05). Furthermore, ALB could distinguish the prognoses in non-cirrhotic patients. Multivariate analysis showed other pathological risk factors like lymph node involvement, positive surgical margin, satellite lesions, and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 were associated with DFS and OS (p < 0.05 for all). Conclusions: A higher preoperative serum ALB level is associated with better long-term survival in ICC patients.

scholarly journals Comparison among Different Scoring Systems in Predicting Procedural Success and Long-Term Outcomes after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients with Chronic Total Coronary Artery Occlusions

Medicina ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (8) ◽  
pp. 494
Author(s):  
Kalnins ◽  
Strele ◽  
Lejnieks
Keyword(s):  
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Scoring Systems ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Percutaneous Coronary ◽  
Procedural Success

Background and objectives: Different scoring systems are used to stratify patients with chronic total coronary artery occlusions (CTO) according to disease complexity to predict the success of the percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Comparison among different CTO scoring systems and long-term outcome for patients with CTO after PCI has not been well established. The objectives of the study were to assess the ability of different disease severity scoring systems to predict, first, procedural success and, second, overall survival in patients with a successful procedure. Materials and Methods: A total of 551 patients who underwent elective CTO PCI in Riga East University hospital from January 2007 to December 2016 were included in the study. Four scoring systems (J CTO, PROGRESS CTO, CL, and CASTLE) were calculated. ROC curves were used to assess the association between scores and procedural success, and the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression were used to estimate the association with death from any cause after a successful procedure, Results: 454 of 551cases were successful. With increasing disease complexity, the procedural success rate was significantly reduced in all scoring systems (p < 0.001): Area under the curve was 0.714 for J CTO score, 0.605 for PROGRESS CTO, 0.624 for CL and 0.641 for CASTLE scores. During the median 6.8 years of follow-up time, survival was better in the successful procedure group (p = 0.041). Among patients with procedural success, only PROGRESS and CASTLE scores showed an association with all-cause risk of death. After adjustment for baseline characteristics, patients having high PROGRESS score had almost twice higher risk of death (HR 1.81(95% CI 1.19–2.75)), and those with high and intermediate CASTLE score experienced almost four (HR 3.68(95% CI 1.50–9.05)) and two (HR 2.15, (95% CI 1.42–3.23)) times higher risk of death than the low score patients, respectively. Conclusions: All four CTO scoring systems had moderate ability to predict procedural success. More complex CTO PCI patients, assessed by PROGRESS and CASTLE scores, has worse all-cause survival in six to seven years after a successful procedure; whereas J CTO and CL scores had no association with survival.

Long‐term outcome of re‐irradiation for recurrent or second primary head and neck cancer: A multi‐institutional study of AIRO—Head and Neck working group

Head & Neck ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 41 (10) ◽  
pp. 3684-3692 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ester Orlandi ◽  
Pierluigi Bonomo ◽  
Letizia Ferella ◽  
Elisa D'Angelo ◽  
Marta Maddalo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Head And Neck Cancer ◽  
Head And Neck ◽  
Neck Cancer ◽  
Working Group ◽  
Second Primary ◽  
Term Outcome ◽  
Long Term Outcome

Prognostic factors in the persistence of posttraumatic epilepsy after penetrating head injuries sustained in war

2009 ◽  
Vol 110 (2) ◽  
pp. 319-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Behzad Eftekhar ◽  
Mohammad Ali Sahraian ◽  
Banafsheh Nouralishahi ◽  
Ali Khaji ◽  
Zahra Vahabi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Head Injuries ◽  
Clinical Findings ◽  
Term Outcome ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Posttraumatic Epilepsy ◽  
Kaplan Meier

Object The goal of this paper was to investigate the long-term outcome and the possible prognostic factors that might have influenced the persistence of posttraumatic epilepsy after penetrating head injuries sustained during the Iraq–Iran war (1980–1988). Methods In this retrospective study, the authors evaluated 189 patients who sustained penetrating head injury and suffered posttraumatic epilepsy during the Iraq–Iran war (mean 18.6 ± 4.7 years after injury). The probabilities of persistent seizures (seizure occurrence in the past 2 years) in different periods after injury were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The possible prognostic factors (patients and injury characteristics, clinical findings, and seizure characteristics) were studied using log-rank and Cox regression analysis. Results The probability of persistent seizures was 86.4% after 16 years and 74.7% after 21 years. In patients with < 3 pieces of shrapnel or no sphincter disturbances during seizure attacks, the probability of being seizure free after these 16 and 21 years was significantly higher. Conclusions Early seizures, prophylactic antiepileptics drugs, and surgical intervention did not significantly affect long-term outcome in regard to persistence of seizures.

Long-term outcome of extratemporal epilepsy surgery among 154 adult patients

2008 ◽  
Vol 108 (4) ◽  
pp. 676-686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alaa Eldin Elsharkawy ◽  
Friedrich Behne ◽  
Falk Oppel ◽  
Heinz Pannek ◽  
Reinhard Schulz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Epilepsy Surgery ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Adult Patients ◽  
Class I ◽  
Seizure Outcome ◽  
Term Outcome ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Factors Associated

Object The goal of this study was to evaluate the long-term outcome of patients who underwent extratemporal epilepsy surgery and to assess preoperative prognostic factors associated with seizure outcome. Methods This retrospective study included 154 consecutive adult patients who underwent epilepsy surgery at Bethel Epilepsy Centre, Bielefeld, Germany between 1991 and 2001. Seizure outcome was categorized based on the modified Engel classification. Survival statistics were calculated using Kaplan–Meier curves, life tables, and Cox regression models to evaluate the risk factors associated with outcomes. Results Sixty-one patients (39.6%) underwent frontal resections, 68 (44.1%) had posterior cortex resections, 15 (9.7%) multilobar resections, 6 (3.9%) parietal resections, and 4 (2.6%) occipital resections. The probability of an Engel Class I outcome for the overall patient group was 55.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 52–58% at 0.5 years), 54.5% (95% CI 50–58%) at 1 year, and 51.1% (95% CI 48–54%) at 14 years. If a patient was in Class I at 2 years postoperatively, the probability of remaining in Class I for 14 years postoperatively was 88% (95% CI 78–98%). Factors predictive of poor long-term outcome after surgery were previous surgery (p = 0.04), tonic–clonic seizures (p = 0.02), and the presence of an auditory aura (p = 0.03). Factors predictive of good long-term outcome were surgery within 5 years after onset (p = 0.015) and preoperative invasive monitoring (p = 0.002). Conclusions Extratemporal epilepsy surgery is effective according to findings on long-term follow-up. The outcome at the first 2-year follow-up visit is a reliable predictor of long-term Engel Class I postoperative outcome.

scholarly journals Sleep-related hypermotor epilepsy

Neurology ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 88 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Licchetta ◽  
Francesca Bisulli ◽  
Luca Vignatelli ◽  
Corrado Zenesini ◽  
Lidia Di Vito ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Age At Onset ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Seizure Freedom ◽  
Brain Disorder ◽  
Long Term Outcome

Objective:To assess the long-term outcome of sleep-related hypermotor epilepsy (SHE).Methods:We retrospectively reconstructed a representative cohort of patients diagnosed with SHE according to international diagnostic criteria, sleep-related seizures ≥75% and follow-up ≥5 years. Terminal remission (TR) was defined as a period of ≥5 consecutive years of seizure freedom at the last follow-up. We used Kaplan-Meier estimates to calculate the cumulative time-dependent probability of TR and to generate survival curves. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed.Results:We included 139 patients with a 16-year median follow-up (2,414 person-years). The mean age at onset was 13 ± 10 years. SHE was sporadic in 86% of cases and familial in 14%; 16% of patients had underlying brain abnormalities. Forty-five percent of patients had at least 1 seizure in wakefulness lifetime and 55% had seizures only in sleep (typical SHE). At the last assessment, 31 patients achieved TR (TR group, 22.3%), while 108 (NTR group, 77.7%) still had seizures or had been in remission for <5 years. The cumulative TR rate was 20.4%, 23.5%, and 28.4% by 10, 20, and 30 years from inclusion. At univariate analysis, any underlying brain disorder (any combination of intellectual disability, perinatal insult, pathologic neurologic examination, and brain structural abnormalities) and seizures in wakefulness were more frequent among the NTR group (p = 0.028; p = 0.043). Absence of any underlying brain disorder (hazard ratio 4.21, 95% confidence interval 1.26–14.05, p = 0.020) and typical SHE (hazard ratio 2.76, 95% confidence interval 1.31–5.85, p = 0.008) were associated with TR.Conclusions:Our data show a poor prognosis of SHE after a long-term follow-up. Its outcome is primarily a function of the underlying etiology.

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