Pancreatic cancer survival prediction via inflammatory serum markers

Background For prognostic evaluation of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), the only well-established serum marker is carbohydrate antigen CA19-9. To improve the accuracy of survival prediction, we tested the efficacy of inflammatory serum markers. Methods A preoperative serum panel comprising 48 cytokines plus high-sensitivity CRP (hs-CRP) was analyzed in 173 stage I–III PDAC patients. Analysis of the effect of serum markers on survival utilized the Cox regression model, with the most promising cytokines chosen with the aid of the lasso method. We formed a reference model comprising age, gender, tumor stage, adjuvant chemotherapy status, and CA19-9 level. Our prognostic study model incorporated these data plus hs-CRP and the cytokines. We constructed time-dependent ROC curves and calculated an integrated time-averaged area under the curve (iAUC) for both models from 1 to 10 years after surgery. Results Hs-CRP and the cytokines CTACK, MIF, IL-1β, IL-3, GRO-α, M-CSF, and SCF, were our choices for the prognostic study model, in which the iAUC was 0.837 (95% CI 0.796–0.902), compared to the reference model’s 0.759 (95% CI 0.691–0.836, NS). These models divided the patients into two groups based on the maximum value of Youden’s index at 7.5 years. In our study model, 60th percentile survival times were 4.5 (95% CI 3.7–NA) years (predicted high-survival group, n = 34) and 1.3 (95% CI 1.0–1.7) years (predicted low-survival group, n = 128), log rank p < 0.001. By the reference model, the 60th percentile survival times were 2.8 (95% CI 2.1–4.4) years (predicted high-survival group, n = 44) and 1.3 (95% CI 1.0–1.7) years (predicted low-survival group, n = 118), log rank p < 0.001. Conclusion Hs-CRP and the seven cytokines added to the reference model including CA19-9 are potential prognostic factors for improved survival prediction for PDAC patients.

Elevated Glucose-Potassium Ratio Predicts Preoperative Rebleeding in Patients With Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Introduction: Recent reports revealed that higher serum glucose-potassium ratio (GPR) levels at admission were significantly associated with poor outcomes at 3 months following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This study aimed to investigate the association between GPR and the risk of rebleeding following aSAH.Methods: This single-center retrospective study of patients with aSAH was conducted in our hospital between January 2008 and December 2020. Patients meeting the inclusion criteria were divided into the rebleed group and the non-rebleed group. Univariate and multivariate analyses were implemented to assess the association between risk factors of rebleeding and outcomes.Results: A total of 1,367 patients experiencing aSAH, 744 patients who met the entry criteria in the study [mean age (54.89 ± 11.30) years; 60.50% female patients], of whom 45 (6.05%) developed rebleeding. The patients in the rebleed group had significantly higher GPR levels than those of patients without rebleeding [2.13 (1.56–3.20) vs. 1.49 (1.23–1.87); p &lt; 0.001]. Multivariable analysis revealed that higher mFisher grade and GPR were associated with rebleeding [mFisher grade, odds ratios (OR) 0.361, 95% CI 0.166–0.783, p = 0.01; GPR, OR 0.254, 95% CI 0.13–0.495, p &lt; 0.001]. The receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) analysis described that the suitable cut-off value for GPR as a predictor for rebleeding in patients with aSAH was determined as 2.09 (the area under the curve [AUC] was 0.729, 95% CI 0.696–0.761, p &lt; 0.0001; the sensitivity was 53.33%, and the specificity was 83.98%). Pearson correlation analysis showed a significant positive correlation between GPR and mFisher grade, between GPR and Hunt–Hess grade (mFisher grade r = 0.4271, OR 0.1824, 95% CI 0.3665–0.4842, p &lt; 0.001; Hunt–Hess grade r = 0.4248, OR 0.1836, 95% CI 0.3697–0.4854, p &lt; 0.001). The patients in the poor outcome had significantly higher GPR levels than those of patients in the good outcome [1.87 (1.53–2.42) vs. 1.45 (1.20–1.80); p &lt; 0.001]. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that GPR was an independent predictor for poor prognosis. The AUC of GPR was 0.709 (95% CI 0.675–0.741; p &lt; 0.0001) (sensitivity = 77.70%; specificity = 55.54%) for poor prognosis.Conclusion: Higher preoperative serum GPR level was associated with Hunt–Hess grade, mFisher grade, rebleeding, and unfunctional outcome, and that they predicted preoperative rebleeding and the 90-days outcome of non-diabetic patients with aSAH, who had potentially relevant clinical implications in patients with aSAH.

Preoperative serum C-reactive protein concentration can be used to detect gallbladder rupture in dogs with gallbladder mucocele

OBJECTIVE To determine whether serum C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration could be used to detect gallbladder rupture (GBR) prior to surgery in dogs undergoing cholecystectomy for treatment of gallbladder mucocele (GBM). ANIMALS 45 dogs that underwent cholecystectomy because of GBM at a companion animal referral hospital from 2017 to 2020. PROCEDURES Electronic medical records were reviewed, and dogs were included if serum CRP concentration had been measured within 24 hours prior to cholecystectomy. Dogs were grouped as to whether the gallbladder was found to be ruptured or intact during surgery. Accuracy of using preoperative CRP concentration to predict GBR was compared with accuracy of abdominal ultrasonography and other preoperative blood tests. RESULTS GBR was present in 15 dogs at the time of surgery. Median preoperative CRP concentration was significantly higher in dogs with GBR (15.1 mg/dL; interquartile range, 7.4 to 16.8 mg/dL) than in dogs with an intact gallbladder (2.65 mg/dL; interquartile range, 0.97 to 13.4 mg/dL). Sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of using preoperative CRP concentration to predict GBR were 100%, 67%, and 78%, respectively. CLINICAL RELEVANCE Measurement of preoperative CRP concentration provided excellent sensitivity and moderate specificity for detection of GBR in dogs undergoing cholecystectomy because of GBM. Accuracy of using preoperative CRP concentration for detection of GBR was not superior to the accuracy of preoperative abdominal ultrasonography. However, when CRP concentration was combined with results of ultrasonography, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for detection of GBR were 100%, 93%, and 96%, respectively.

Prognostic Significance of Preoperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Varies with Lymph Node Metastasis Status in Colorectal Cancer

Background. Preoperative serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen (pCEA) is generally recognized as a prognostic factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), but the stage-specific role of pCEA in colorectal cancer remains unclear. Objective. We investigated the prognostic significance of pCEA levels in different tumor stages of nonmetastatic CRC patients. Methods. Six hundred and fifteen CRC patients at stage I–III were retrospectively analyzed. All of them received curative tumor resection. The X-tile program was used to generate stage-specific cutoff values of pCEA for all patients and two subpopulations (lymph node-positive or -negative). The prognostic significance of pCEA was assessed using Kaplan–Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. A nomogram model that combined pCEA score and clinical feature indexes was established and evaluated. Results. Two cutoff values were identified in the study population. At a cutoff value of 4.9 ng/mL, a significantly higher 5-year overall survival (OS) rate (82.16%) was observed in the pCEA-low group (<4.9 ng/mL) compared with 65.52% in the pCEA-high group (≥4.9 ng/mL). Furthermore, at the second cutoff value of 27.2 ng/mL, 5-year OS was found to be only 40.9%. Stratification analysis revealed that preoperative serum level of pCEA was an independent prognostic factor (OR = 1.991, P < 0.01 ) in the subpopulation of lymph node metastasis (stage III) patients, and the relative survival rates in the pCEA-low (≤4.9 ng/mL), pCEA-medium (4.9–27.2 ng/mL), and pCEA-high (≥27.2 ng/mL) groups were 73.4%, 60.5%, and 24.8%, respectively ( P < 0.05 ). However, no such effect was observed in the lymph node nonmetastasis (stage I and II) subgroup. The established nomogram showed acceptable predictive power of the 5-year OS rate (C-index: 0.612) in lymph node-positive CRC patients, with an area under the curve value of 0.772, as assessed by ROC curve analysis. Conclusions. Pretreatment serum CEA levels had different prognostic significance based on the lymph node metastasis status. Among stage III CRC patients, pCEA was an independent prognostic factor. Five-year OS rates could be predicted according to the individual pCEA level at the different cutoff values.

Importance of Normalization of Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 in Patients With Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

BackgroundAlthough carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is an established prognostic marker for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients, the significance of elevated preoperative CA19-9 that normalized after resection remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate whether elevated preoperative CA19-9 that normalized after curative resection had an impact on prognosis among patients with ICC.MethodsPatients who underwent curative resection for stage I to III ICC between 2009 and 2018 were identified. Patients were categorized into three cohorts: normal preoperative CA19-9, elevated preoperative CA19-9 but normalized postoperative CA19-9, and persistently elevated postoperative CA19-9. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and hazard function curves over time were analyzed.ResultsA total of 511 patients (247 [48.3%] male; median age, 58 years) were included. Patients with elevated preoperative CA19-9 (n = 378) were associated with worse RFS and OS than those with normal preoperative CA19-9 (n = 152) (both p &lt; 0.001). Patients with persistently elevated postoperative CA19-9 (n = 254) were correlated with lower RFS and OS than the combined cohorts with normal postoperative CA19-9 (n = 257) (both p &lt; 0.001). The hazard function curves revealed that the risk of recurrence and mortality peaked earlier and higher in the elevated postoperative CA19-9 group than the other 2 groups. Multivariate analyses identified persistently elevated, rather than normalized, postoperative CA19-9 as an independent risk factor for shorter RFS and OS in ICC.ConclusionsElevated preoperative serum CA19-9 that normalizes after curative resection is not an indicator of poor prognosis in ICC. Patients with persistently elevated postoperative CA19-9 are at increased risk of recurrence and death.

Is it possible to reduce the complications and mortality of patients undergoing radical cystectomy? Effectiveness of pre-operative parameters. A prospective study

Objective: To evaluate the relationship between serum albumin, hematocrit (HTC), age-dependent Charlson comorbidity index, body mass index (BMI), and deleted operation time in predicting mortality and complications associated with radical cystectomy. Materials and methods: All patients planned for radical cystectomy owing to bladder cancer were investigated prospectively between 2015 and 2016 in our clinic. A total of 55 cases were included in the study. Patients' characteristics, preoperative serum albumin values, hematocrit level, age-dependent Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), body mass index and deleted operation time, drainage catheter time, gas-stool expulsion time were recorded. The patients were followed up for 90 days. Results: Age of cases, Charlson comorbidity index scores, and HCT were not different in patients with or without complications (overall) or severe complications nor in patients who died or survived after the procedure. The albumin value of the cases with observed mortality and complications was significantly lower than that of the cases with no mortality and complications. In multivariate and univariate analysis, low albumin level was established to be meaningful in predicting mortality and serious complications. The cut-off point for albumin, according to mortality, was found to be 4.1. Mortality within 90 days was 16.3% (n = 9). Conclusions: We have evaluated albumin as a marker that could indicate both mortality and the presence of severe complications after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion.

Serum Sorbitol Dehydrogenase as a Novel Prognostic Factor for Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Surgical Resection

The majority of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing curative resection experience tumor recurrence. To examine the association between preoperative serum sorbitol dehydrogenase (SORD), a liver-derived enzyme that reflects liver damage, and recurrence of HCC after curative resection, 92 patients were randomly selected who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2011 and 2012 from a prospective registry. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was compared based on serum SORD levels. Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate prognostic factors for RFS. During a median follow-up duration of 57.1 months, 43 patients experienced HCC recurrence. Patients with serum SORD ≥15 ng/mL (HR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.76–6.81; p < 0.001) had worse RFS compared with patients with serum SORD <15 ng/mL. Serum AFP and SORD levels were two independent prognostic factors for RFS. When patients were stratified by baseline serum SORD and AFP levels, patients with serum AFP levels ≥400 ng/mL and serum SORD levels ≥15 ng/mL had a distinctly poor prognosis with the lowest RFS rates (HR, 22.08; 95% CI, 6.91–70.50; p < 0.001). Baseline serum SORD is an effective prognostic factor for HCC after resection. It may help guide patient selection for surgery, especially when combined with serum AFP levels.