Portfolio optimization under solvency II: a multi-objective approach incorporating market views and real-world constraints

Author(s):  
Marco Di Francesco
OR Spectrum ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kerstin Dächert ◽  
Ria Grindel ◽  
Elisabeth Leoff ◽  
Jonas Mahnkopp ◽  
Florian Schirra ◽  
...  

AbstractIn this paper, we consider the strategic asset allocation of an insurance company. This task can be seen as a special case of portfolio optimization. In the 1950s, Markowitz proposed to formulate portfolio optimization as a bicriteria optimization problem considering risk and return as objectives. However, recent developments in the field of insurance require four and more objectives to be considered, among them the so-called solvency ratio that stems from the Solvency II directive of the European Union issued in 2009. Moreover, the distance to the current portfolio plays an important role. While the literature on portfolio optimization with three objectives is already scarce, applications in the financial context with four and more objectives have not yet been solved so far by multi-objective approaches based on scalarizations. However, recent algorithmic improvements in the field of exact multi-objective methods allow the incorporation of many objectives and the generation of well-spread representations within few iterations. We describe the implementation of such an algorithm for a strategic asset allocation with four objective functions and demonstrate its usefulness for the practitioner. Our approach is in operative use in a German insurance company. Our partners report a significant improvement in their decision-making process since, due to the proper integration of the new objectives, the software proposes portfolios of much better quality than before within short running time.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 4575
Author(s):  
Eduardo Fernández ◽  
Nelson Rangel-Valdez ◽  
Laura Cruz-Reyes ◽  
Claudia Gomez-Santillan

This paper addresses group multi-objective optimization under a new perspective. For each point in the feasible decision set, satisfaction or dissatisfaction from each group member is determined by a multi-criteria ordinal classification approach, based on comparing solutions with a limiting boundary between classes “unsatisfactory” and “satisfactory”. The whole group satisfaction can be maximized, finding solutions as close as possible to the ideal consensus. The group moderator is in charge of making the final decision, finding the best compromise between the collective satisfaction and dissatisfaction. Imperfect information on values of objective functions, required and available resources, and decision model parameters are handled by using interval numbers. Two different kinds of multi-criteria decision models are considered: (i) an interval outranking approach and (ii) an interval weighted-sum value function. The proposal is more general than other approaches to group multi-objective optimization since (a) some (even all) objective values may be not the same for different DMs; (b) each group member may consider their own set of objective functions and constraints; (c) objective values may be imprecise or uncertain; (d) imperfect information on resources availability and requirements may be handled; (e) each group member may have their own perception about the availability of resources and the requirement of resources per activity. An important application of the new approach is collective multi-objective project portfolio optimization. This is illustrated by solving a real size group many-objective project portfolio optimization problem using evolutionary computation tools.


2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Alejandro Estrada-Padilla ◽  
Daniela Lopez-Garcia ◽  
Claudia Gómez-Santillán ◽  
Héctor Joaquín Fraire-Huacuja ◽  
Laura Cruz-Reyes ◽  
...  

A common issue in the Multi-Objective Portfolio Optimization Problem (MOPOP) is the presence of uncertainty that affects individual decisions, e.g., variations on resources or benefits of projects. Fuzzy numbers are successful in dealing with imprecise numerical quantities, and they found numerous applications in optimization. However, so far, they have not been used to tackle uncertainty in MOPOP. Hence, this work proposes to tackle MOPOP’s uncertainty with a new optimization model based on fuzzy trapezoidal parameters. Additionally, it proposes three novel steady-state algorithms as the model’s solution process. One approach integrates the Fuzzy Adaptive Multi-objective Evolutionary (FAME) methodology; the other two apply the Non-Dominated Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) methodology. One steady-state algorithm uses the Spatial Spread Deviation as a density estimator to improve the Pareto fronts’ distribution. This research work’s final contribution is developing a new defuzzification mapping that allows measuring algorithms’ performance using widely known metrics. The results show a significant difference in performance favoring the proposed steady-state algorithm based on the FAME methodology.


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (10) ◽  
pp. 1266
Author(s):  
Weng Siew Lam ◽  
Weng Hoe Lam ◽  
Saiful Hafizah Jaaman

Investors wish to obtain the best trade-off between the return and risk. In portfolio optimization, the mean-absolute deviation model has been used to achieve the target rate of return and minimize the risk. However, the maximization of entropy is not considered in the mean-absolute deviation model according to past studies. In fact, higher entropy values give higher portfolio diversifications, which can reduce portfolio risk. Therefore, this paper aims to propose a multi-objective optimization model, namely a mean-absolute deviation-entropy model for portfolio optimization by incorporating the maximization of entropy. In addition, the proposed model incorporates the optimal value of each objective function using a goal-programming approach. The objective functions of the proposed model are to maximize the mean return, minimize the absolute deviation and maximize the entropy of the portfolio. The proposed model is illustrated using returns of stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average that are listed in the New York Stock Exchange. This study will be of significant impact to investors because the results show that the proposed model outperforms the mean-absolute deviation model and the naive diversification strategy by giving higher a performance ratio. Furthermore, the proposed model generates higher portfolio mean returns than the MAD model and the naive diversification strategy. Investors will be able to generate a well-diversified portfolio in order to minimize unsystematic risk with the proposed model.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (18) ◽  
pp. 2339
Author(s):  
Mahboubeh Farid ◽  
Hampus Hallman ◽  
Mikael Palmblad ◽  
Johannes Vänngård

This paper presents the study of multi-objective optimization of a pharmaceutical portfolio when both cost and return values are uncertain. Decision makers in the pharmaceutical industry encounter several challenges in deciding the optimal selection of drug projects for their portfolio since they have to consider several key aspects such as a long product-development process split into multiple phases, high cost and low probability of success. Additionally, the optimization often involves more than a single objective (goal) with a non-deterministic nature. The aim of the study is to develop a stochastic multi-objective approach in the frame of chance-constrained goal programming. The application of the results of this study allows pharmaceutical decision makers to handle two goals simultaneously, where one objective is to achieve a target return and another is to keep the cost within a finite annual budget. Finally, the numerical results for portfolio optimization are presented and discussed.


Author(s):  
Claudia Guadalupe Gómez-Santillán ◽  
Alejandro Estrada Padilla ◽  
Héctor Fraire-Huacuja ◽  
Laura Cruz-Reyes ◽  
Nelson Rangel-Valdez ◽  
...  

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