Predicting climate change impacts on native and invasive tree species using radial growth and twenty-first century climate scenarios

2014 ◽  
Vol 133 (6) ◽  
pp. 1073-1086 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. González-Muñoz ◽  
J. C. Linares ◽  
P. Castro-Díez ◽  
U. Sass-Klaassen
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Tree Species ◽  
Radial Growth ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
First Century ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Invasive Tree ◽  
Twenty First Century ◽  
Invasive Tree Species

Assessing the climate change impacts on the rainfall erosivity throughout the twenty-first century in the Grande River Basin (GRB) headwaters, Southeastern Brazil

2015 ◽  
Vol 73 (12) ◽  
pp. 8683-8698 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Rogério de Mello ◽  
Léo Fernandes Ávila ◽  
Marcelo Ribeiro Viola ◽  
Nilton Curi ◽  
Lloyd Darrell Norton
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
First Century ◽  
Southeastern Brazil ◽  
Rainfall Erosivity ◽  
Twenty First Century

CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR THE U.S. NATIONAL ASSESSMENT

2003 ◽  
Vol 84 (12) ◽  
pp. 1711-1724 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael C. MacCracken ◽  
Eric J. Barron ◽  
David R. Easterling ◽  
Benjamin S. Felzer ◽  
Thomas R. Karl
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
First Century ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
National Assessment ◽  
Twenty First Century ◽  
The U.S

In support of the U.S. National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change, climate scenarios were prepared to serve as the basis for evaluating the vulnerability of environmental and societal systems to changes projected for the twenty-first century. Since publication of the results of the assessment at the end of 2000, the National Research Council's report Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions, and the U.S. government's U.S. Climate Action Report—2002 have both relied on the assessment's findings. Because of the importance of these findings, it is important to directly address questions regarding the representativeness and usefulness of the model-based projections on which the findings were based. In particular, criticisms have focused on whether the climate models that were relied upon adequately represented twentieth-century conditions and whether their projections of conditions for the twenty-first century were outliers. Reexamination of the approach used in developing and evaluating the climate scenarios indicates that the results from the two primary climate modeling groups that were relied upon allowed the generation of climate scenarios that span much of the range of possible future climatic conditions projected by the larger set of model simulations, which was compiled for the IPCCs Third Assessment Report. With the set of models showing increasing agreement in their simulations of twentieth-century trends in climate and of projected changes in climate on subcontinental to continental scales, the climate scenarios that were generated seem likely to provide a plausible representation of the types of climatic conditions that could be experienced during the twenty-first century. Warming, reduced snow cover, and more intense heavy precipitation events were projected by all models, suggesting such changes are quite likely. However, significant differences remain in the projection of changes in precipitation and of the regional departures in climate from the larger-scale patterns. For this reason, evaluating potential impacts using climate scenarios based on models exhibiting different regional responses is a necessary step to ensuring a representative analysis. Utilizing an even more encompassing set of scenarios in the future could help move from mainly qualitative toward more certain and quantitative conclusions.

scholarly journals Climate change impacts on discharges of the Rhone River in Lyon by the end of the twenty-first century: model results and implications

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 505-515 ◽  
Author(s):  
Virginia Ruiz-Villanueva ◽  
Markus Stoffel ◽  
Gianbattista Bussi ◽  
Félix Francés ◽  
Christian Bréthaut
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
First Century ◽  
Century Model ◽  
Rhône River ◽  
Rhone River ◽  
Twenty First Century

scholarly journals Twenty‐first‐century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 459-472 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz ◽  
Derek P. Tittensor ◽  
Julia L. Blanchard ◽  
William W. L. Cheung ◽  
Marta Coll ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
First Century ◽  
Marine Animal ◽  
Ecosystem Structure ◽  
Twenty First Century

Simulating erosion hazard maps under climate change and land use change for the early twenty-first century in northern Iran

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (15) ◽  
Author(s):  
Niloofar Rasoolzadeh-Darzi ◽  
Hassan Ahmad ◽  
Abolfazl Moeini ◽  
Baharak Motamedvaziri
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
First Century ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Northern Iran ◽  
Erosion Hazard ◽  
Early Twenty ◽  
Twenty First Century

scholarly journals Climate Change Projection in the Twenty-First Century Simulated by NIMS-KMA CMIP6 Model Based on New GHGs Concentration Pathways

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun Min Sung ◽  
Jisun Kim ◽  
Sungbo Shim ◽  
Jeong-byn Seo ◽  
Sang-Hoon Kwon ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Scientific Information ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
First Century ◽  
System Model ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Twenty First Century

AbstractThe National Institute of Meteorological Sciences-Korea Meteorological Administration (NIMS-KMA) has participated in the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP) and provided long-term simulations using the coupled climate model. The NIMS-KMA produces new future projections using the ensemble mean of KMA Advanced Community Earth system model (K-ACE) and UK Earth System Model version1 (UKESM1) simulations to provide scientific information of future climate changes. In this study, we analyze four experiments those conducted following the new shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) based scenarios to examine projected climate change in the twenty-first century. Present day (PD) simulations show high performance skill in both climate mean and variability, which provide a reliability of the climate models and reduces the uncertainty in response to future forcing. In future projections, global temperature increases from 1.92 °C to 5.20 °C relative to the PD level (1995–2014). Global mean precipitation increases from 5.1% to 10.1% and sea ice extent decreases from 19% to 62% in the Arctic and from 18% to 54% in the Antarctic. In addition, climate changes are accelerating toward the late twenty-first century. Our CMIP6 simulations are released to the public through the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) international data sharing portal and are used to support the establishment of the national adaptation plan for climate change in South Korea.

scholarly journals Elucidating the native sources of an invasive tree species, Acacia pycnantha, reveals unexpected native range diversity and structure

2013 ◽  
Vol 111 (5) ◽  
pp. 895-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joice Ndlovu ◽  
David M. Richardson ◽  
John R. U. Wilson ◽  
Martin O'Leary ◽  
Johannes J. Le Roux
Keyword(s):  
Tree Species ◽  
Native Range ◽  
Invasive Tree ◽  
Invasive Tree Species

Leaf litter of invasive Chinese tallow (Triadica sebifera) negatively affects hatching success of an aquatic breeding anuran, the Southern Leopard Frog (Lithobates sphenocephalus)

2012 ◽  
Vol 90 (8) ◽  
pp. 991-998 ◽  
Author(s):  
C.K. Adams ◽  
D. Saenz
Keyword(s):  
Dissolved Oxygen ◽  
Leaf Litter ◽  
Tree Species ◽  
Quality Parameters ◽  
Leopard Frog ◽  
Stages Of Development ◽  
Triadica Sebifera ◽  
Chinese Tallow ◽  
Invasive Tree ◽  
Invasive Tree Species

Chinese tallow (Triadica sebifera (L.) Small) is an aggressive invasive tree species that can be abundant in parts of its non-native range. This tree species has the capability of producing monocultures, by outcompeting native trees, which can be in or near wetlands that are utilized by breeding amphibians. Existing research suggests that leaf litter from invasive Chinese tallow reduces survival in larval anurans. The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of Chinese tallow leaf litter on anuran eggs. We exposed eggs of the Southern Leopard Frog ( Lithobates sphenocephalus (Cope, 1886)) at various stages of development to different concentrations of Chinese tallow leaf litter to determine survival. Eggs in the earliest stages of development that we exposed to tallow leaf litter died, regardless of concentration; however, some more-developed eggs exposed to tallow leaf litter did hatch. We determined that the greater the concentration of tallow leaf litter, the lower the dissolved oxygen and pH levels we observed. We suggest that changes in these water-quality parameters are the cause of the observed mortality of anuran eggs in our experiments. Eggs exposed to water containing tallow leaf litter with dissolved oxygen <1.59 mg/L and a pH <5.29 did not survive to hatching.

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