A rough set data prediction method based on neural network evaluation and least squares fusion

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (S5) ◽  
pp. 11641-11646
Author(s):  
Xi Fei ◽  
Sun Youfu ◽  
Ruan Xuejun
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Rough Set ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Data Prediction ◽  
Network Evaluation

Long-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Rough Set

2013 ◽  
Vol 329 ◽  
pp. 411-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuang Gao ◽  
Lei Dong ◽  
Xiao Zhong Liao ◽  
Yang Gao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Rough Set ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Rough Set Theory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction

In long-term wind power prediction, dealing with the relevant factors correctly is the key point to improve the prediction accuracy. This paper presents a prediction method with rough set analysis. The key factors that affect the wind power prediction are identified by rough set theory. The chaotic characteristics of wind speed time series are analyzed. The rough set neural network prediction model is built by adding the key factors as the additional inputs to the chaotic neural network model. Data of Fujin wind farm are used for this paper to verify the new method of long-term wind power prediction. The results show that rough set method is a useful tool in long-term prediction of wind power.

A Prediction Method of Power Energy Saving Potential Based on Rough Set Neural Network

2010 ◽  
Vol 44-47 ◽  
pp. 3795-3799
Author(s):  
Jin Ying Li ◽  
Ya Jun Wei ◽  
Jin Chao Li ◽  
Yu Zhi Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Energy Saving ◽  
Rough Set ◽  
Reduction Method ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Pollutant Emission ◽  
Resource Saving ◽  
Environment Friendly ◽  
Knowledge Reduction ◽  
Energy Saving Potential

Power industry is the key field of implementing energy saving and pollutant emission reduction in china, strengthen power energy saving is helpful to establish a resource-saving and environment-friendly society and promote a sustainable development of economic society. This paper synchronizes respective advantages of rough set and neural network, puts forward a prediction model-RSBPNN which uses rough set knowledge reduction method to prune the redundant and neural network to build a forecasting model.

Oil Saturation Log Prediction Using Neural Network in New Steamflood Area

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Syahputra
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Water Saturation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Neural Model ◽  
Training Model ◽  
Acquisition Time ◽  
Oil Saturation ◽  
Full Field ◽  
Remaining Oil ◽  
Observation Wells

Surveillance is very important in managing a steamflood project. On the current surveillance plan, Temperature and steam ID logs are acquired on observation wells at least every year while CO log (oil saturation log or SO log) every 3 years. Based on those surveillance logs, a dynamic full field reservoir model is updated quarterly. Typically, a high depletion rate happens in a new steamflood area as a function of drainage activities and steamflood injection. Due to different acquisition time, there is a possibility of misalignment or information gaps between remaining oil maps (ie: net pay, average oil saturation or hydrocarbon pore thickness map) with steam chest map, for example a case of high remaining oil on high steam saturation interval. The methodology that is used to predict oil saturation log is neural network. In this neural network method, open hole observation wells logs (static reservoir log) such as vshale, porosity, water saturation effective, and pay non pay interval), dynamic reservoir logs as temperature, steam saturation, oil saturation, and acquisition time are used as input. A study case of a new steamflood area with 16 patterns of single reservoir target used 6 active observation wells and 15 complete logs sets (temperature, steam ID, and CO log), 19 incomplete logs sets (only temperature and steam ID) since 2014 to 2019. Those data were divided as follows ~80% of completed log set data for neural network training model and ~20% of completed log set data for testing the model. As the result of neural model testing, R2 is score 0.86 with RMS 5% oil saturation. In this testing step, oil saturation log prediction is compared to actual data. Only minor data that shows different oil saturation value and overall shape of oil saturation logs are match. This neural network model is then used for oil saturation log prediction in 19 incomplete log set. The oil saturation log prediction method can fill the gap of data to better describe the depletion process in a new steamflood area. This method also helps to align steam map and remaining oil to support reservoir management in a steamflood project.

scholarly journals Rolling Bearing Fault Prediction Method Based on QPSO-BP Neural Network and Dempster–Shafer Evidence Theory

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1094 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lanjun Wan ◽  
Hongyang Li ◽  
Yiwei Chen ◽  
Changyun Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Working Conditions ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Evidence Theory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Rolling Bearing ◽  
Fault Prediction ◽  
Fault Classification ◽  
Bearing Fault ◽  
Hidden Layer

To effectively predict the rolling bearing fault under different working conditions, a rolling bearing fault prediction method based on quantum particle swarm optimization (QPSO) backpropagation (BP) neural network and Dempster–Shafer evidence theory is proposed. First, the original vibration signals of rolling bearing are decomposed by three-layer wavelet packet, and the eigenvectors of different states of rolling bearing are constructed as input data of BP neural network. Second, the optimal number of hidden-layer nodes of BP neural network is automatically found by the dichotomy method to improve the efficiency of selecting the number of hidden-layer nodes. Third, the initial weights and thresholds of BP neural network are optimized by QPSO algorithm, which can improve the convergence speed and classification accuracy of BP neural network. Finally, the fault classification results of multiple QPSO-BP neural networks are fused by Dempster–Shafer evidence theory, and the final rolling bearing fault prediction model is obtained. The experiments demonstrate that different types of rolling bearing fault can be effectively and efficiently predicted under various working conditions.

scholarly journals Research on Substation Project Prediction Method in Power Transmission and Transformation by Improved Neural Network Intelligent Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 1952 (3) ◽  
pp. 032052
Author(s):  
Li Ma ◽  
Lanfei He ◽  
Xuefei Zhang ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Liping Sun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power Transmission ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Intelligent Model
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