Quantile regression-based Bayesian joint modeling analysis of longitudinal–survival data, with application to an AIDS cohort study

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 339-368 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanze Zhang ◽  
Yangxin Huang
2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (10-11) ◽  
pp. 3392-3403 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jue Wang ◽  
Sheng Luo

Impairment caused by Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is multidimensional (e.g. bulbar, fine motor, gross motor) and progressive. Its multidimensional nature precludes a single outcome to measure disease progression. Clinical trials of ALS use multiple longitudinal outcomes to assess the treatment effects on overall improvement. A terminal event such as death or dropout can stop the follow-up process. Moreover, the time to the terminal event may be dependent on the multivariate longitudinal measurements. In this article, we develop a joint model consisting of a multidimensional latent trait linear mixed model (MLTLMM) for the multiple longitudinal outcomes, and a proportional hazards model with piecewise constant baseline hazard for the event time data. Shared random effects are used to link together two models. The model inference is conducted using a Bayesian framework via Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation implemented in Stan language. Our proposed model is evaluated by simulation studies and is applied to the Ceftriaxone study, a motivating clinical trial assessing the effect of ceftriaxone on ALS patients.


2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (6) ◽  
pp. 573-578 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mansour Farahani ◽  
Vladimir Novitsky ◽  
Rui Wang ◽  
Hermann Bussmann ◽  
Sikhulile Moyo ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 112 (520) ◽  
pp. 1571-1586 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gongjun Xu ◽  
Tony Sit ◽  
Lan Wang ◽  
Chiung-Yu Huang

2018 ◽  
Vol 74 (2) ◽  
pp. 226-232 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa Y Wei ◽  
Mohammed U Kabeto ◽  
Andrzej T Galecki ◽  
Kenneth M Langa

Abstract Background Multimorbidity is common among older adults and strongly associated with physical functioning decline and increased mortality. However, the full spectrum of direct and indirect effects of multimorbidity on physical functioning and survival has not been quantified. We aimed to determine the longitudinal relationship of multimorbidity on physical functioning and quantify the impact of multimorbidity and multimorbidity-attributed changes in physical functioning on mortality risk. Methods The Health and Retirement Study (HRS) is a nationally representative population-based prospective cohort of adults aged 51 or older. In 2000, participants were interviewed about physician-diagnosed chronic conditions, from which their multimorbidity-weighted index (MWI) was computed. Between 2000 and 2011, participants reported their current physical functioning using a modified Short Form-36. With MWI as a time-varying exposure, we jointly modeled its associations with physical functioning and survival. Results The final sample included 74,037 observations from 18,174 participants. At baseline, participants had a weighted mean MWI of 4.6 ± 4.2 (range 0–36.8). During follow-up, physical functioning declined: −1.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] −1.77, −1.67, p < .001) HRS physical functioning units per point MWI in adjusted models. Over follow-up, 6,362 (34%) participants died. Mortality risk increased 8% (hazard ratio 1.08, 95% CI 1.07–1.08, p < .001) per point MWI in adjusted models. Across all population subgroups, MWI was associated with greater physical functioning decline and mortality risk. Conclusions Multimorbidity and its associated decline in physical functioning were significantly associated with increased mortality. These associations can be predicted with an easily interpreted and applied multimorbidity index that can better identify and target adults at increased risk for disability and death.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e14658-e14658
Author(s):  
Xuezhong Yang ◽  
Benjamin Weinberg ◽  
Jimmy J. Hwang ◽  
Christina Sing-Ying Wu ◽  
Madeeha Akram ◽  
...  

e14658 Background: The 5-year survival of PAC with surgery alone is below 10%, and with adjuvant chemotherapy increases to about 20%. The original GITSG adjuvant study demonstrating a survival benefit compared to surgery could be attributed to the use of 2-years of weekly IV bolus 5FU, and not only chemoradiation. In theory, the prolonged exposure to therapy could maintain pressure on dormant cancer cells that may remain in G0 arrest, by attacking them as they infrequently enter G1/S phase. To evaluate this hypothesis, we retrospectively evaluated our pts who were treated with or without maintenance Cape. Methods: Pts in the Georgetown/Lombardi Cancer Center EMR since Oct 2007 were sought for PAC that was resected with curative intent, received standard adjuvant chemotherapy with or without chemoradiation. The study group received maintenance cape for at least 2 months, and the control group was monitored until disease recurrence. Only pts with complete follow-up survival data were analyzed. Results: 20 pts met the criteria as study group, and 58 pts as the control group. In the study group, cape was usually given 1000mg orally twice a day, Monday through Friday following adjuvant therapy, for an indefinite period, up to 2 years. Pts received cape for median duration of 12.5 months (2 to 24 months), and the median follow-up duration was 33 months (16 to 78 months). The median overall survival (OS) for the study group was 48 months. The 2 year OS was 94%, and 5 year OS was 40%. The median recurrence free survival (RFS) was 39 months. The 2 year RFS was 67%, and the 5 year RFS was 25%. Common toxicities were mild hand-and-foot syndrome and fatigue. 4 pts discontinued cape due to toxicities: febrile neutropenia, severe fatigue, weight loss and diarrhea. The control group was of comparable staging, and the median OS was 22 months, 5 year OS rate was 16%, median RFS was 13 months, 2 year RFS was 19%. Conclusions: In this single institute retrospective controlled cohort study, Cape maintenance therapy following adjuvant therapy in resected PAC is associated with a significantly (p<0.05) higher OS and PFS compared to the control group. This approach should be studied in a RCT.


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