scholarly journals Modelling Resilience of a Water Supply System under Climate Change and Population Growth Impacts

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (9) ◽  
pp. 2885-2898 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Amarasinghe ◽  
An Liu ◽  
Prasanna Egodawatta ◽  
Paul Barnes ◽  
James McGree ◽  
...  
2011 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 252-262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatrice B. Yung ◽  
Bryan A. Tolson ◽  
Donald H. Burn

A model is developed to assess risk to a municipal water supply system under the influence of population growth and climate variability. To incorporate the uncertainty in water use, a model that combines time series Monte Carlo simulations and a deterministic artificial neural network (ANN) is developed to simulate the daily water demand under climate variation. The model is first applied to assess how climate change alters the risk of a current water supply system and is then used to estimate the effects of demand management programs and system expansion. The model quantifies water supply system risk in terms of reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability (RRV). The model evaluates 11 scenarios defined by combining various population growth forecasts, demand management programs, system expansions, and global climate model (GCM) scenarios. The simulation results suggest that a rise in temperature and a change in precipitation magnitude will negatively impact the performance of the case study system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (22) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanel Buljubašić

Freshwater water resources are not inexhaustible [1]. In recent decades, more and more facts point to this statement from the European Charter for Water. Uncontrolled drinking water interventions, losses in water supply and climate change indicate the problem of sufficient quantities of drinking water [2]. Looking at this problem, it is hard to believe that new quantities of drinking water can be produced. The model of integrated water management has been increasingly used in recent years. The application of new technologies in water supply creates conditions for the controlled management of water intakes and losses in water supply. Each water sapply system needs to develop its own model for integrated water management.


2016 ◽  
Vol 540 ◽  
pp. 1043-1052 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Amarasinghe ◽  
An Liu ◽  
Prasanna Egodawatta ◽  
Paul Barnes ◽  
James McGree ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Ahmed Karmaoui ◽  
Guido Minucci ◽  
Mohammed Messouli ◽  
Mohammed Yacoubi Khebiza ◽  
Issam Ifaadassan ◽  
...  

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2531 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peres ◽  
Modica ◽  
Cancelliere

Climate change induced by greenhouse gas emissions is expected to alter the natural availability of water, affecting domestic, agricultural and industrial uses. This work aims at assessing the possible future impacts of climate change on precipitation, temperature and runoff, and to simulate the effects on reservoir demand–performance curves. To this aim, a modeling chain is set up, based on the combined use of regional climate models (RCMs) and water supply system simulation models. The methodology is applied to the Pozzillo reservoir, located in Sicily (Italy), which has experienced several droughts in the past. We use an RCM model that, based on a previous study, has proved to be the most reliable in the area, among those of the EURO-CORDEX initiative. RCM precipitation and temperature monthly time series are used to generate future reservoir inflow data, according to two representative concentration pathways, RCP4.5 (intermediate emissions scenario) and RCP8.5 (high emissions scenario) and a two-step bias correction procedure. Simulation of the reservoir indicated that, due to reservoir inflow reduction induced by climate change, performances of the Pozzillo reservoir are predicted to decrease significantly in the future, with impacts of RCP8.5 generally higher than RCP4.5.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Ikhwansyah Isranuri ◽  
Nur Asnah Sitohang

Planning for a clean water supply system is a community service program carried out by USU in collaboration with the Dinas Pemberdayaan Masyarakat dan Desa(PMD) of the Pemko Tebing Tinggi. The problem encountered is the unavailability of clean water. This condition can interfere with people's daily activities such as the need for households. The clean water supply system that is implemented is the application of appropriate technology in the sense that it is easy to operate and all components are easy to care for by the public. The purpose of this activity is to provide clean water that meets health requirements, namely colorless, tasteless and odorless. This system is also planned to provide clean water for the next few years. The projection of population growth is also a consideration, which is calculated based on the average population growth data. Based on the Indonesian National Standard (SNI), the need for clean water for a population with a population of 300 households with the household category is 120 liters per person per day, so the water requirement is 1.67 liters/second. The source of water is obtained by digging 15 meters deep by installing 15 concrete rings with a diameter of 80 cm and a height of 100 cm. Then a pump is installed to suck water and then it is pumped into a poly tank (capacity 2100 liters) storage tank which is located at a height of 5-6 meters. Before flowing from the tank  to the pipe, the water is filtered using a filter. For this purpose, a piping installation complete with a valve and a float is designed to automatically close the pipe when the tank is full. The result of water from this system is clean water and suitable for consumption by residents.


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