Long-term reactions to large stock price declines and increases in the European stock market: a note on market efficiency

2010 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 400-423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Achim Himmelmann ◽  
Dirk Schiereck ◽  
Marc W. Simpson ◽  
Moritz Zschoche
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Stock Price

Macroeconomic Factors and Pakistani Equity Market”

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (4II) ◽  
pp. 619-637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nishat ◽  
Rozina Shaheen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Reverse Causality ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Equilibrium Relationships

This paper analyzes long-term equilibrium relationships between a group of macroeconomic variables and the Karachi Stock Exchange Index. The macroeconomic variables are represented by the industrial production index, the consumer price index, M1, and the value of an investment earning the money market rate. We employ a vector error correction model to explore such relationships during 1973:1 to 2004:4. We found that these five variables are cointegrated and two long-term equilibrium relationships exist among these variables. Our results indicated a "causal" relationship between the stock market and the economy. Analysis of our results indicates that industrial production is the largest positive determinant of Pakistani stock prices, while inflation is the largest negative determinant of stock prices in Pakistan. We found that while macroeconomic variables Granger-caused stock price movements, the reverse causality was observed in case of industrial production and stock prices. Furthermore, we found that statistically significant lag lengths between fluctuations in the stock market and changes in the real economy are relatively short.

scholarly journals The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables On the Saudi Stock Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 126-152
Author(s):  
Amani Mohammed Aldukhail
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Performance Indicators ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Time Deposits

This study aimed at exploring the effect of macroeconomic variables on the activity of the Saudi stock market for the period 1997-2017. Macroeconomic variables were: GDP, interest rate on time deposits, inflation rate. The variables of the Saudi stock market activity were: stock price index, market value of shares, value of traded shares. To achieve this objective, the researcher used the ARDL model for the self-regression of the lagged distributed time gaps. The most important results of the research are: The effect of macroeconomic variables on the performance indicators in the Saudi stock market is not important in the short term and is statistically significant in the long term according to the proposed models, so investors in this market can rely on macroeconomic variables in Predict the movement of the stock market and predict long-term profits and losses.

Cointegration between stock market indices: the case of the slovak and czech stock price indices

1999 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dawit Alemu Bemerew
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Slovak Republic ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Policy Coordination ◽  
Unit Root Tests ◽  
Cointegration Test

This paper provides an empirical investigation of long-term relationship between the stock market indices of the Czech and Slovak Republic. The empirical work applies log of weekly average data on the Czech PX - 50 and the Slovak SAX from September 1995 to December 1997. Empirical investigation is conducted by means of unit root tests and the EngleGranger methodology of cointegration test. The result from the unit root tests shows that individual stock indices are nonstationary - I(1). The result from the cointegration test shows that there is no long-term relationship between the two indices, even though, the strong economic ties and policy coordination between the two republics seem to be in favor of some cointegration.

scholarly journals The relationship between macroeconomic factors and stock market volatility: empirical evidence from the Vietnam stock market

2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-100
Author(s):  
Kieu Minh Nguyen ◽  
Diep Van Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Price Index ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

The main target of this study is to measure the relationship of macroeconomic factors to the volatility of the stock market in Vietnam (through stock price VN-index). There are four factors including the consumer price index (measure of inflation), the exchange rate of USD/VND and money supply M2. Research shows that the stock price VN-Index has a positive relationship with the money supply M2 and the domestic gold price in long term. On the contrary, it has a negative relationship with the inflation while it does not have any connection to the exchange rate and stock price index. In short term, the current stock price index has proportional to the stock price index last month and inversely proportional to the exchange rate. The estimated speed of adjustment indicates that the Vietnam stock market converges to the equilibrium about 8 months (adjusted approximately 13.04% per month) to reach equilibrium in the long term.

scholarly journals The Economics of the Name Change: Long-term Adjustments towards EU/NATO or Short-term Resolution of Political Uncertainty?

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 86-105
Author(s):  
Bojan Srbinoski ◽  
Klime Poposki ◽  
Ksenija Dencic-Mihajlov ◽  
Milica Pavlovic
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Eu Enlargement ◽  
Political Uncertainty ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Name Change ◽  
Stock Market Reactions ◽  
The Eu

North Macedonia and Greece resolved the 27-year country name dispute and removed the main hurdle for North Macedonia to start the accession processes towards the EU and NATO. The paper analyzes the stock market movements around several events related to the name issue resolution to uncover whether Macedonian companies experienced stock price adjustments according to the long-term benefits/costs of joining the EU/NATO. The dynamics of the market reactions suggest that the investors reacted systematically to the short-term political uncertainty created around the referendum rather than to the long-term perspectives of the EU/NATO integration. We integrate the knowledge from the literature which explores stock market reactions to EU enlargement/exit and political elections and provide contributions for researchers and policymakers.

scholarly journals Do Higher-Rated or Enhancing ESG of Firms Enhance Their Long–Term Sustainability? Evidence from Market Returns in Korea

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 2664 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yeonwoo Do ◽  
Sunghwan Kim
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Listed Firms ◽  
The Third

In this study, we investigate the effects of the level and changes in environmental, social and corporate governance (ESG) rating, an index developed to represent a firm’s long-term sustainability, on the stock market returns of Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) listed firms over the period 2011–2018. We find that the changes in ESG ratings have statistically significant short-term effects on their abnormal returns. However, their impacts on short-term abnormal returns decrease some days after the disclosure and become negative in the third year. The results imply that investors in the Korean stock market do not view corporate social responsibility activities as a means of supporting their long-term sustainability, judging from the firm value for a long period after their rating. Rather, based on the effects of the changes on coefficient signs over the period—positive in the year and the year after, no effects in the following year, and negative in the third year and later—we can infer that the short-term oriented market sentiments of investors might worsen their long-term stock performances, thus deteriorating their sustainability and growth opportunities.

Investigating Long-Term Behavior of Milan Stock Exchange (Italy)

2019 ◽  
pp. 304-312
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Long Term Behavior

The main purpose of this chapter is to highlight the long-term behavior of Milan Stock Exchange (Italy) based on the FTSE MIB major stock market index. The empirical analysis covers a long period of time from January 1999 to December 2013 and describes the daily stock price movements in order to identify both financial expansion and contraction cycles. However, Milan Stock Exchange is a developed stock market that exhibits a more stable behavior than emerging stock markets, even stylized facts are much lower in this case. The econometric analysis provides an exhaustive perspective, because selected stock market behavior has changed completely due to the negative influence of the global financial crisis.

scholarly journals MACROECONOMIC FACTORS AND STOCK MARKET BEHAVIOUR: AN ANALYSIS OF THE 2008 CRISIS

2021 ◽  
pp. 357
Author(s):  
Ifuero Osad Osamwonyi ◽  
Godfrey Ayegbeni Audu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Testing Procedure ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Economic Trends ◽  
Market Behaviour

This study investigates the long term relationship between the behaviour of stock markets during the 2008 crisis and some selected international macroeconomic variables using information from January 2005 to December 2015. The procedures of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag modeling techniques (ARDL) are employed for the analysis. The bounds testing procedure in the ARDL framework is used to test for the existence of long term relationships between stock market behaviour and global economic factors (interest rate, exchange rate, index of industrial production and oil price) as well as the direction of effects, while estimated coefficients are used to test the pattern of long term relationships among the variables. The study revealed that a significant long term relationship exists between stock price movements and these global economic trends while the stock market crash significantly impacted the efficiency of the markets under review. Thus, it is recommended that market fundamentals should remain the capstone of stock market analysis, and policies should encourage the delinking of stock markets from the international commodity market factors.

scholarly journals INTEREST RATE ADJUSTMENT AND STOCK MARKET – THE CASE STUDY OF CHINA

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ning Zeng ◽  
◽  
Xixi Li ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Rate Adjustment ◽  
Stock Price Index ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the impact of interest rate adjustment on the stock market in China. We collect the interest rate adjustment periods from April 21, 1991 to October 24, 2015 since the estab¬lishment of the stock market. Through an Error Correction model together with Granger causality, we investigate responses of the stock index to interest rate adjustment. Our findings suggest that there is existing a long-term reverse relationship between interest rate adjustment and stock index. The impact of interest rate adjustment on stock index returns could not be long-term disequilibria, which will be corrected in short-time. Also, the interest rate is the granger cause of the stock price index, while the stock price index is not the granger cause of interest rate.

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