IMPACT OF MOISTURE ON REGIONAL-SCALE NUMERICAL MODEL SIMULATIONS

1980 ◽  
pp. 513-526 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald J. Perkey
2019 ◽  
Vol 220 ◽  
pp. 30-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Gottschalk ◽  
Gianna Battaglia ◽  
Hubertus Fischer ◽  
Thomas L. Frölicher ◽  
Samuel L. Jaccard ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 2237-2252 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Hessler ◽  
S. P. Harrison ◽  
M. Kucera ◽  
C. Waelbroeck ◽  
M.-T. Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract. We present and examine a multi-sensor global compilation of mid-Holocene (MH) sea surface temperatures (SST), based on Mg/Ca and alkenone palaeothermometry and reconstructions obtained using planktonic foraminifera and organic-walled dinoflagellate cyst census counts. We assess the uncertainties originating from using different methodologies and evaluate the potential of MH SST reconstructions as a benchmark for climate-model simulations. The comparison between different analytical approaches (time frame, baseline climate) shows the choice of time window for the MH has a negligible effect on the reconstructed SST pattern, but the choice of baseline climate affects both the magnitude and spatial pattern of the reconstructed SSTs. Comparison of the SST reconstructions made using different sensors shows significant discrepancies at a regional scale, with uncertainties often exceeding the reconstructed SST anomaly. Apparent patterns in SST may largely be a reflection of the use of different sensors in different regions. Overall, the uncertainties associated with the SST reconstructions are generally larger than the MH anomalies. Thus, the SST data currently available cannot serve as a target for benchmarking model simulations. Further evaluations of potential subsurface and/or seasonal artifacts that may contribute to obscure the MH SST reconstructions are urgently needed to provide reliable benchmarks for model evaluations.


2015 ◽  
Vol 109 ◽  
pp. 150-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Schiller ◽  
Mike Herzfeld ◽  
Richard Brinkman ◽  
Farhan Rizwi ◽  
John Andrewartha

1999 ◽  
Vol 89 (6) ◽  
pp. 557-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Turner ◽  
Y.-H. Song ◽  
K.-B. Uhm

AbstractThis paper reports on the performance of an atmospheric numerical model called BLAYER which has been adapted to forecast the movement of migrant brown planthopper Nilaparvata lugens (Stål) and white-backed planthopper Sogatella furcifera (Horvarth) populations from China to Korea. Comparison of model forecasts with trapping data for the 1987 and 1988 migration seasons indicated: (i) that the model is capable of successfully simulating the movement of planthoppers to Korea; (ii) that the model has sufficient detail to simulate insect movement into different regions of Korea; (iii) the source region for early season migrants is most likely to be south-eastern China (i.e. south of 25°N and east of 115°E); (iv) later season migrants may not necessarily always originate from an expanded northward region (south of 30°N); (v) the flight level of migrants may vary from about 500 to 2000 m altitude from one migration episode to another; and (vi) flight times ranging between 24 and 45 h are required to explain the migratory influxes. The results reported here have led to BLAYER forecasts of planthopper migration being produced on an operational basis within Korea.


2003 ◽  
Vol 16 (14) ◽  
pp. 2419-2423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fanglin Yang ◽  
Arun Kumar ◽  
Michael E. Schlesinger ◽  
Wanqiu Wang

Abstract The fact that the surface and tropospheric temperatures increase with increasing CO2 has been well documented by numerical model simulations; however, less agreement is found for the changes in the intensity of precipitation and the hydrological cycle. Here, it is demonstrated that while both the radiative heating by increasing CO2 and the resulting higher sea surface temperatures contribute to warm the atmosphere, they act against each other in changing the hydrological cycle. As a consequence, in a warmer climate forced by increasing CO2 the intensity of the hydrological cycle can be either more or less intense depending upon the degree of surface warming.


2013 ◽  
Vol 42 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 1819-1836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina Anagnostopoulou ◽  
Prodromos Zanis ◽  
Eleni Katragkou ◽  
Ioannis Tegoulias ◽  
Konstantia Tolika

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sho Ohata ◽  
Makoto Koike ◽  
Atsushi Yoshida ◽  
Nobuhiro Moteki ◽  
Kouji Adachi ◽  
...  

Abstract. Vertical profiles of the mass concentration of black carbon (BC) were measured at altitudes up to 5 km during the PAMARCMiP aircraft-based field experiment conducted around the Northern Greenland Sea (Fram Strait) during March and April 2018, with operation base Station Nord (81.6° N, 16.7° W). Median BC mass concentrations in individual altitude ranges were 7–18 ng m–3 at standard temperature and pressure at altitudes below 4.5 km. These concentrations were systematically lower than previous observations in the Arctic in spring conducted by ARCTAS-A in 2008 and NETCARE in 2015 and similar to those observed during HIPPO3 in 2010. Column amounts of BC for altitudes below 5 km in the Arctic (> 66.5° N, COLBC), observed during the ARCTAS-A and NETCARE experiments were higher by factors of 4.2 and 2.7, respectively, than those of the PAMARCMiP experiment. These differences could not be explained solely by the different locations of the experiments. The year-to-year variation of COLBC values generally corresponded to that of biomass burning activities in northern high latitudes over western and eastern Eurasia. Furthermore, numerical model simulations estimated the year-to-year variation of contributions from anthropogenic sources to be smaller than 30–40 %. These results suggest that the year-to-year variation of biomass burning activities likely affected BC amounts in the Arctic troposphere in spring, at least in the years examined in this study. The year-to-year variations in BC mass concentrations were also observed at the surface at high Arctic sites Ny-Ålesund and Barrow, although their magnitudes were slightly lower than those in COLBC. Numerical model simulations in general successfully reproduced the observed COLBC values for PAMARCMiP and HIPPO3 (within a factor of 2), whereas they markedly underestimated the values for ARCTAS-A and NETCARE by factors of 3.7–5.8 and 3.3–5.0, respectively. Because anthropogenic contributions account for nearly all of the COLBC (82–98 %) in PAMARCMiP and HIPPO3, the good agreements between the observations and calculations for these two experiments suggest that anthropogenic contributions were generally well reproduced. However, the significant underestimations of COLBC for ARCTAS-A and NETCARE suggest that biomass burning contributions were underestimated. In this study, we also investigated plumes with enhanced BC mass concentrations, which were affected by biomass burning emissions, observed at 5 km altitude. Interestingly, the mass-averaged diameter of BC (core) and the shell-to-core diameter ratio of BC-containing particles in the plumes were generally not very different from those in other air sampled, which were considered to be mostly aged anthropogenic BC. These observations provide useful bases to evaluate numerical model simulations of the BC radiative effect in the Arctic region in spring.


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