scholarly journals Performance of GRACE score to predict three-year mortality in the era of contemporary NSTE-ACS patients management

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 17
Author(s):  
F. Boukerche ◽  
N. Laredj
Keyword(s):  
Grace Score

An invasive strategy is associated with improved short- and long-term outcomes in acute myocardial infarction independently of frailty status and GRACE score: a nationwide analysis of 12144 episodes

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Pessoa Amorim ◽  
D Santos-Ferreira ◽  
A Azul Freitas ◽  
H Santos ◽  
A Belo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Wald Test ◽  
Invasive Procedures ◽  
Frailty Status ◽  
Frail Patients ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
St Elevation ◽  
Grace Score

Abstract Introduction Frailty is common among patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction (MI), who have conflicting risks regarding benefits and harms of invasive procedures. Purpose To assess the clinical management and prognostic impact of invasive procedures in frail MI patients in a real-world scenario. Methods We analysed 5422 episodes of ST-elevation MI (STEMI) and 6692 of Non-ST-elevation MI (NSTEMI) recorded from 2010–2019 in a nationwide registry. A validated deficit-accumulation model was used to create a frailty index (FI), comprising 22 features [BMI >25kg/m2, myocardial infarction, angina, heart failure, percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG), valvular disease, bleeding, pacemaker/implantable cardioverter defibrillator, chronic kidney disease (creatinine >2.0mg/dL), dialysis/renal transplant, stroke/transient ischaemic attack, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, smoking, peripheral vascular disease, dementia, chronic lung disease, malignancy, polymedication (>3 cardiovascular drugs), admission haemoglobin <10g/dL; not including age]. Episodes with missing data on any FI parameter were not included. Frailty was initially defined as FI>0.25 (i.e. ≥6 features). Results Overall, 511 (9.4%) STEMI and 1763 (26.4%) NSTEMI patients were considered frail. Angiography, PCI and CABG were less frequently performed in frail patients (p<0.001). Delayed angiography (>72h) was more common among NSTEMI frail patients (p<0.001), and radial access was less commonly used overall (p<0.001). Guideline-recommended in-hospital medical therapy, including aspirin (NSTEMI), dual-antiplatelet therapy (STEMI/NSTEMI), heparin/heparin-related agents (NSTEMI), beta-blockers (STEMI) and ACEIs/ARBs (STEMI), was less commonly used in frail patients; discharge medical therapy exhibited similar patterns. Frail patients had longer hospital stay and increased in-hospital all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality, as well as 1-year all-cause and CV hospitalization and all-cause mortality (p<0.001). Using receiver-operator-characteristics curve analysis, FI cutoffs of 0.11 (STEMI) and 0.20 (NSTEMI) yielded the best accuracy to predict 1-year all-cause mortality (area under the curve: 0.629 and 0.702 respectively, p<0.001) – these cutoffs were subsequently used to define frailty. Although frailty attenuated in-hospital risk reductions from angiography (STEMI/NSTEMI) and PCI (NSTEMI only) (Wald test p<0.05), their 1-year prognostic benefit remained unaffected (Wald test p>0.05). Angiography and PCI were associated with improved in-hospital and 1-year outcomes, independently of frailty status or GRACE score (p<0.001). Conclusion Frail MI patients are less commonly offered standard therapy; however, angiography and PCI were associated with short- and long-term prognostic benefits regardless of frailty status or GRACE score. Increased adherence to current recommendations might improve post-MI outcomes in frail patients. Invasive strategy and 1-year outcomes Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): Portuguese Society of Cardiology

scholarly journals Analysis of risk scores and duration of hospital stay in prognosis of STEMI patients after pPCI

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
SR Thangasami ◽  
JS Prajapati ◽  
GL Dubey ◽  
VR Pandey ◽  
PM Shaniswara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Length Of Stay ◽  
Hospital Stay ◽  
Early Discharge ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Timi Score ◽  
Study Population ◽  
Event Rates ◽  
Grace Score

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Advances in the immediate management of ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) have led to a dramatic decline in mortality and reduction in hospital length of stay (LOS). We analysed the prognostic value of selected risk models in STEMI treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) and to identify additional parameters to strengthen risk scores in categorizing patients for safe early discharge and to identify parameters prolonging hospital stay. Purpose To assess parameters and risk scores to categorize patients for safe early discharge following STEMI and to assess the composite of death, MI, unstable angina (UA), stroke, unplanned hospitalization at the end of 30 days, 6 months and at 1year follow up. Methods The study included 222 patients, who were diagnosed as STEMI, treated with successful pPCI. The risk scores like TIMI score, GRACE score, ZWOLLE score, CADILLAC score were calculated for all patients from the baseline clinical data collected on admission. Routine blood investigations along with Brain natri-uretic peptide (BNP) were done for all patients. The entire cohort was divided into three groups on the basis of length of stay: ≤3 days (n = 150), 4–5 days (n = 47), and >5 days (n = 25). All-cause mortality and major cardiovascular events (MACEs) were assessed up to 1 year. Results The mean age group (yrs) of the study population was 53.92 ± 12.9. Patients in LOS <3 days had a mean age (yrs) of 52.41 ± 11.74, patients in LOS 4-5 days group had 54.19 ±13.59 and patient with LOS >5 days had 62.52 ± 15.32. The most important parameters that predicted hospital stay in our study are BNP levels OR: 1.003, 95% CI: 1.002-1.004, P < 0.001, GRACE score OR: 1.02 ,95% CI: 1.01-1.03, P < 0.001, TIMI score OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.18-1.55, P = 0.007, ZWOLLE score OR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.16-1.37, P < 0.001, CADILLAC score OR: 1.24, 95% CI; 1.15-1.3: P < 0.001. 32 (14.4%) patients expired in the study population. 36% patients of LOS >5 days expired in 1year follow up with maximum mortality in the first 6 months. 56% of the patients in LOS > 5 days had an adverse cardiac event in 1 year follow up. Patients in LOS >5 days had increased event rates in 30 days,6 months and in 1 year follow up. Patients with LOS 4-5 days (30%) had increased event rates than patients in LOS < 3 days (19%).Unadjusted Kaplan Meir survival curves for 1 year mortality among hospital survivors showed a significant increase in mortality at 6 months in length of stay> 5 days group. (P value < 0.001). CONCLUSION Long hospital stay after PCI among patients with STEMI was associated with increased long-term all-cause mortality. Addition of BNP to this risk scores can better predict the course of hospital stay and adverse clinical outcomes in follow up. Long hospital stay may be used as a marker to identify patients at higher risk for long-term mortality. Abstract Figure. Kaplan meir survival curve

scholarly journals Usefulness of the PRECISE DAPT score as a predictor of ischaemic stroke after an acute coronary syndrome

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Gonzalez Ferrero ◽  
B.A.A Alvarez Alvarez ◽  
C.C.A Cacho Antonio ◽  
M.P.D Perez Dominguez ◽  
P.A.M Antunez Muinos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Ischaemic Stroke ◽  
Independent Predictor ◽  
Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Independent Factor ◽  
Prediction Ability ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Grace Score

Abstract Introduction Ischaemic stroke (IS) risk after acute coronary syndrome is increasing. The aim of our study was to evaluate the stroke rate in a multicentre study and to determine the prediction ability of the PRECISE DAPT score, added to the prediction power of the GRACE score, already demonstrated. Methods This was a retrospective study, carried out in two centres with 5916 patients, with ACS discharged between 2011 and 2017 (median 66±13 years, 27.7% women). The primary endpoint was the occurrence of ischaemic stroke and its risk during follow up (median 5.5, IQR 2.6–7.0). Results A multivariable logistic regression analysis was made, where GRACE (HR 1.01, IC 95% 1.00–1.02) and PRECISE DAPT score (HR 1.03, IC 95% 1.01–1.05) were both an independent predictor of ischaemic stroke after ACS, in a model adjusted by age and AF, which was found to be the independent factor with highest risk (HR 1.67, IC 95% 1.09–2.55). Conclusions GRACE and PRECISE DAPT scores are ischaemic stroke predictors used during follow-up for patients after acute coronary syndrome. We should use both of them not only trying to predict ischaemic/haemorrhagic risk respectively but also as ischaemic stroke predictors. Figure 1. AUC Curves Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

scholarly journals Validation of the Zwolle score for selection of very low-risk STEMI patients treated with primary angioplasty

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Cordero ◽  
B Cid ◽  
P Monteiro ◽  
J.M Garcia-Acuna ◽  
M Rodriguez-Manero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Mortality Risk ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Care Organization ◽  
Grace Score ◽  
Selection Of

Abstract Background The Zwolle risk score was designed to stratify the actual in-hospital mortality risk of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (p-PCI) but, also, for decision-making related to patients location in an intensive care unit or not. Since the GRACE score continues being the gold-standard for individual risk assessment in STEMI in most institutions we assessed the specificity of both scores for in-hospital mortality. Methods We assessed the accuracy of Zwolle risk score for in-hospital mortality estimation as compared to the GRACE score in all patients admitted for STEMI in 3 tertitary hospitals. Patients with Zwolle risk score <3 would qualify as “low risk”, 3–5 as “intermediate risk” and ≥6 as “high risk”. Patients with GRACE score <140 were classified as low-risk. Specificity, sensitivity and classification were assessed by ROC curves and the area under the curve (AUC). Results We included 4,446 patients, mean age 64.7 (13.6) years, 24% women and 39% with diabetes. Mean GRACE score was 157.3 (4.9) and Zwolle was 2.8 (3.3). In-hospital mortality was 10.6% (471 patients). Patients who died had higher GRACE score (218.4±4.9 vs. 149.6±37.5; p<0.001) and Zwolle score (7.6±4.3 vs. 2.3±2.18; p<0.001); a statistically significant increase of in-hospital mortality risk, adjusted adjusted by age, gender and revascularization, was observed with both scores (figure). A total of 1,629 patients (40.0%) were classified as low risk by the GRACE score and 2,962 (66.6%) by the Zwolle score; in-hospital mortality was 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively. Moreover, the was a significant increase of in-hospital mortality rate according to Zwolle categories (2.7%; 13.0%; 41.6%)The AUC of both score was the same (p=0.49) but the specificity of GRACE score <140 was 43.1% as compared to 72.6% obtained by Zwolle score <3; patients accurately classified was also lower with the GRACE score threshold (48.8% vs. 73.7%). Conclusions Selection of low-risk STEMI patients treated with p-PCI based on the Zwolle risk score has higher specificity than the GRACE score and might be useful for the care organization in clinical practice. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Credibility of Risk scores in predicting coronary artery disease severity in non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome patients

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Elhusseini
Keyword(s):  
Clinical History ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Syntax Score ◽  
St Segment Elevation ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Early Risk ◽  
Timi Score ◽  
St Segment ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Grace Score

Abstract Objectives We aimed to assess the value of Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk scores (RSs) for predicting coronary artery disease (CAD) severity and prognosis in patients with non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Background Patients with NSTE-ACS are at varying risks of death and recurrent cardiac events, early risk stratification plays a central role, different scores are now available based on initial clinical history, ECG, and laboratory tests that enable early risk stratification on admission. Methods A prospective study was conducted including 100 patients (age, 45–68 years) with NSTE-ACS who were admitted at our hospital from January 2018 to January 2019. The two RSs (TIMI& GRACE) were calculated from the initial clinical history, electrocardiogram, and laboratory values collected and recorded on admission. All patients were subjected to conventional coronary angiography during admission, Patients were divided into two groups: 1) patients with syntax score ≤32 (test group, 80 patients) and 2) patients with syntax score >32 (comparative group, 20 patients). Median follow-up duration was 6 (4–9) days. Results Regarding correlation between coronary angiographic severity based on syntax score and the clinical profile based on the two RSs (TIMI&GRACE) in NSTE-ACS patients, statistically significant correlation were found between GRACE score and syntax score (r=0.789; P=0.001) with GRACE score accuracy: 94% and negative predictive value (NPV): 98.7%, whereas no statistically significant correlation were found between TIMI score and syntax score (r=0.087; P=0.388) with TIMI score accuracy: 32% and NPV: 73.1%. Conclusions In conclusion the GRACE score provides a quick and reliable prediction of CAD severity in NSTE-ACS patients, It allows accurate risk estimation, categorizes patients and consequently can help in making accurate therapeutic decisions either with the use of invasive strategies in high risk selected patients or the use of conservative strategies in low risk patients in presence of limited resources. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

scholarly journals P3665Low accuracy of the grace score for anatomic stratification of patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes

2018 ◽  
Vol 39 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Falcon Lacerda ◽  
G O Bagano ◽  
V C A Correia ◽  
F O A Lopes ◽  
T M B Souza ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Acute Coronary Syndromes ◽  
Coronary Syndromes ◽  
St Elevation ◽  
Grace Score

scholarly journals Association of GRACE Risk Score with Coronary Artery Disease Complexity in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 2210
Author(s):  
Georgios Sofidis ◽  
Nikolaos Otountzidis ◽  
Nikolaos Stalikas ◽  
Efstratios Karagiannidis ◽  
Andreas S. Papazoglou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Syntax Score ◽  
Heart Team ◽  
Characteristic Analysis ◽  
Positive Correlation ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Grace Score

The GRACE score constitutes a useful tool for risk stratification in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), while the SYNTAX score determines the complexity of coronary artery disease (CAD). This study sought to correlate these scores and assess the accuracy of the GRACE score in predicting the extent of CAD. A total of 539 patients with ACS undergoing coronary angiography were included in this analysis. The patients were classified into those with a SYNTAX score < 33 and a SYNTAX score ≥ 33. Spearman’s correlation and receiver operator characteristic analysis were conducted to investigate the role of the GRACE score as a predictor of the SYNTAX score. There was a significantly positive correlation between the SYNTAX and the GRACE scores (r = 0.32, p < 0.001). The GRACE score predicted severe CAD (SYNTAX ≥ 33) moderately well (the area under the curve was 0.595 (0.522–0.667)). A GRACE score of 126 was documented as the optimal cut-off for the prediction of a SYNTAX score ≥ 33 (sensitivity = 53.5% and specificity = 66%). Therefore, our study reports a significantly positive correlation between the GRACE and the SYNTAX score in patients with ACS. Notably, NSTEMI patients with a high-risk coronary anatomy have higher calculated GRACE scores. A multidisciplinary approach by a heart team could possibly alter the therapeutic approach and management in patients presenting with ACS and a high calculated GRACE score.

Comparison of the GRACE and TIMI Risk Scores in Predicting the Angiographic Severity of Coronary Artery Disease in Patients with non STelevation Myocardial Infarction

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-51
Author(s):  
Sharadindu Shekhar Roy ◽  
STM Abu Azam ◽  
Md Khalequzzaman ◽  
Mohammad Ullah ◽  
Samir Kumar Kundu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Timi Score ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Vessel Score ◽  
Grace Score

Background: The superiority of the GRACE and TIMI risk scores in predicting the angiographic severity of coronary artery disease in patients with non ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) has not yet been established. This study was done to compare the GRACE and TIMI risk scores in predicting the angiographic severity of coronary artery disease in this group of patients.Method: The cross sectional study done in the Department of Cardiology, NICVD, Dhaka. The patients admitted with NSTEMI were evaluated to calculate the GRACE and TIMI risk score from April, 2015 to April, 2016.Coronary angiogram was done during index hospitalization and the severity of the coronary artery disease was assessed by vessel score and Gensini score.Results: Of 115 patients assessed, a positive correlation of the vessel score and Gensini score was observed with both the GRACE and TIMI risk scores (p=<0.001) and the GRACE score (r=0.59) correlated better than the TIMI score (r=0.52). The GRACE score presented area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.844(95% CI = 0.774 – 0.914) significantly superior to the area under the ROC curve of 0.752(95% CI =0.658– 0.846) of the TIMI score for the difference between the two scores.Conclusion: Both the GRACE and TIMI scores had good predictive value in predicting the severity of coronary artery disease in the patients with NSTEMI but when both the scores were compared, the GRACE score was found to be superior and correlated better with the severity of coronary artery disease.Cardiovasc. j. 2017; 10(1): 45-51

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