Research on the SCS-CN initial abstraction ratio using rainfall-runoff event analysis in the Three Gorges Area, China

The SCS-CN method is a globally known procedure used primarily for direct-runoff estimates. It also is integrated in many modelling applications. However, the method was developed in specific geographical conditions, often making its universal applicability problematic. This study aims to determine appropriate values of initial abstraction coefficients λ and curve numbers (CNs), based on measured data in five experimental catchments in the Czech Republic, well representing the physiographic conditions in Central Europe, to improve direct-runoff estimates. Captured rainfall-runoff events were split into calibration and validation datasets. The calibration dataset was analysed by applying three approaches: (1) Modifying λ, both discrete and interpolated, using the tabulated CN values; (2) event analysis based on accumulated rainfall depth at the moment runoff starts to form; and (3) model fitting, an iterative procedure, to search for a pair of λ, S (CN, respectively). To assess individual rainfall characteristics’ possible influence, a principal component analysis and cluster analysis were conducted. The results indicate that the CN method in its traditional arrangement is not very applicable in the five experimental catchments and demands corresponding modifications to determine λ and CN (or S, respectively). Both λ and CN should be viewed as flexible, catchment-dependent (regional) parameters, rather than fixed values. The acquired findings show the need for a systematic yet site-specific revision of the traditional CN method, which may help to improve the accuracy of CN-based rainfall-runoff modelling.

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The Effects of Rainfall Intensities and Duration on SCS-CN Model Parameters under Simulated Rainfall

Water ◽

10.3390/w12061595 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (6) ◽

pp. 1595

Author(s):

Xiaoxian Wang ◽

Huaxing Bi

Keyword(s):

Rainfall Intensity ◽

Model Fitting ◽

Curve Number ◽

Model Parameters ◽

Event Analysis ◽

Simulated Rainfall ◽

Rainfall Runoff ◽

Analysis Method ◽

Initial Abstraction ◽

Scs Cn

The Soil Conservation Service curve number (SCS-CN) method has been widely used in rainfall-runoff modelling; however, the direct effects of rainfall intensities and duration, which are major factors in hydrological engineering design, on its parameters (initial abstraction ratio (λ) and potential maximum storage (S), the latter is transformed into curve number (CN)) have seldom been studied. In this study, we chose simulated rainfall experiments on runoff plots (30 mm/h, 180 min; 60 mm/h, 90 min; 90 mm/h, 60 min) to obtain synchronized rainfall-runoff data and calculated the parameters using general model fitting and event analysis methods every ten minutes throughout the duration. The results indicate that the parameters changed with rainfall intensities and duration. S decreased as the rainfall intensities increased. Under the same rainfall intensity, the S increased with the duration overall. The corresponding λ changed with rainfall intensities and duration, and has no obvious relationship under different rainfall intensities. Initial abstraction in the event analysis method is the same as the actual situation and we chose these parameters obtained with the event analysis method as our selected parameters. These selected parameters and the parameters obtained using Fu et al.’s method which was based on the standardized procedure in NEH-630 were evaluated by the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), the percentage deviation coefficient (PBIAS), and the ratio of the root mean square error to the standard deviation of measured data (RSR). The results show that the statistics for the selected parameters satisfied the evaluating standard, and have a better value, while the statistics for the parameters obtained by Fu et al.’s method declined as the rainfall intensity increased, and PBAIS was out of the standard range under 90 mm/h rainfall intensity condition. This indicates that the rainfall intensities and duration have important effects on the parameters of the model, and the parameters vary dynamically with the rainfall intensity and duration. These results could be useful for hydrological design in which engineers consider the return period (i.e., rainfall intensities and duration).

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