Incidence and Predictors of Suicide Attempts in Bipolar I and II Disorders: A Five-year Follow-up

2017 ◽  
Vol 41 (S1) ◽  
pp. S87-S87
Author(s):  
S. Pallaskorpi ◽  
K. Suominen ◽  
M. Ketokivi ◽  
H. Valtonen ◽  
P. Arvilommi ◽  
...  

IntroductionAlthough suicidal behavior is very common in bipolar disorder (BD), few long-term studies have investigated incidence and risk factors of suicide attempts (SAs) specifically related to illness phases of BD.ObjectivesWe examined incidence of SAs during different phases of BD in a long-term prospective cohort of bipolar I (BD-I) and II (BD-II) patients and risk factors specifically for SAs during major depressive episodes (MDEs).MethodsIn the Jorvi bipolar study (JoBS), 191 BD-I and BD-II patients were followed using life-chart methodology. Prospective information on SAs of 177 patients (92.7%) during different illness phases was available up to five years. Incidence of SAs and their predictors were investigated using logistic and Poisson regression models. Analyses of risk factors for SAs occurring during MDEs were conducted using two-level random-intercept logistic regression models.ResultsDuring the five-year follow-up, 90 SAs per 718 patient-years occurred. Compared with euthymia the incidence was highest, over 120-fold, during mixed states (765/1000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 461–1269]) and also very high in MDEs, almost 60-fold (354/1000 [95%CI 277–451]). For risk of SAs during MDEs, the duration of MDEs, severity of depression and cluster C personality disorders were significant predictors.ConclusionsIn this long-term study, the highest incidences of SAs occurred in mixed phases and MDEs. The variations in incidence rates between euthymia and illness phases were remarkably large, suggesting that the question “when” rather than “who” may be more relevant for suicide risk in BD. However, risk during MDEs is likely also influenced by personality factors.Disclosure of interestThe authors have not supplied their declaration of competing interest.

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (suppl_1) ◽  
pp. S37-S38 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Bakal ◽  
Lara Coelho ◽  
Paula M Luz ◽  
Jesse L Clark ◽  
Raquel De Boni ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Weight gain commonly occurs among HIV-infected (HIV+) adults initiating modern ART regimens, and obesity is increasingly reported in this population. However, data regarding specific risk factors for obesity development after ART initiation are conflicting. Methods We retrospectively analyzed data from a cohort of HIV+ adults who initiated ART between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2015 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Body mass index (BMI) was assessed at ART initiation. Participants who were non-obese (BMI < 30kg/m2) at baseline and had ≥90 days of ART exposure were followed for development of obesity. Participants were censored at the time of obesity diagnosis or at end of follow-up (defined as death, loss to follow-up, end of study period or 2 years after their last weight measurement). Incidence rates were estimated using Poisson regression models and risk factor assessment was calculated using Cox regression models accounting for death and loss to follow-up as competing risks. Results Participants (n = 1,794) were 61.3% male, 48.3% white and had a median age of 36.3 years. At ART initiation, participants had a median BMI of 22.6kg/m2 and BMI category distribution was: underweight 14%, normal weight 56%, overweight 22% and obese 8%. Of the 1,567 non-obese participants followed after ART initiation, 76% gained weight, 44% increased their BMI category and 18% developed obesity. Median BMI at the end of follow-up was 24.7kg/m2 (0.4kg/m2 median annual change), the obesity incidence rate was 37.4 per 1000 person-years and the median time to obesity diagnosis was 1.9 years (vs. 4.7 years of follow-up for participants remaining non-obese). Factors associated with obesity after ART initiation included younger age at ART initiation, female sex, higher baseline BMI, lower baseline CD4+ T lymphocyte count, higher baseline HIV-1 RNA, having an integrase inhibitor as the most-used ART core drug and having diagnoses of hypertension and diabetes mellitus (Figure). Conclusion Obesity following ART initiation is frequent among HIV+ adults, with rates increasing in recent years. Both traditional (female sex) and HIV-specific (more advanced HIV disease, integrase inhibitor use) risk factors contribute importantly to obesity incidence following ART initiation. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 63 (5) ◽  
pp. 823-831 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juha A. Hernesniemi ◽  
Reza Dashti ◽  
Seppo Juvela ◽  
Kristjan Väärt ◽  
Mika Niemelä ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVE Long-term follow-up studies in patients with brain arteriovenous malformations (AVM) have yielded contradictory results regarding both risk factors for rupture and annual rupture rate. We performed a long-term follow-up study in an unselected, consecutive patient population with AVMs admitted to the Department of Neurosurgery at Helsinki University Central Hospital between 1942 and 2005. METHODS Patients with untreated AVMs were followed from admission until death, occurrence of AVM rupture, initiation of treatment, or until the end of 2005. Patients with at least 1 month of follow-up were included in further analysis. Annual and cumulative incidence rates of AVM rupture as well as several potential risk factors for rupture were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier life table analyses and Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS We identified 238 patients with a mean follow-up period of 13.5 years (range, 1 month–53.1 years). The average annual risk of hemorrhage from AVMs was 2.4%. The risk was highest during the first 5 years after diagnosis, decreasing thereafter. Risk factors predicting subsequent AVM hemorrhage in univariate analysis were young age, previous rupture, deep and infratentorial locations, and exclusively deep venous drainage. Previous rupture, large AVM size, and infratentorial and deep locations were independent risk factors according to multivariate models. CONCLUSION According to this long-term follow-up study, AVMs with previous rupture and large size, as well as with infratentorial and deep locations have the highest risk of subsequent hemorrhage. This risk is highest during the first few years after diagnosis but remains significant for decades.


2005 ◽  
Vol 186 (4) ◽  
pp. 314-318 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Petteri Sokero ◽  
Tarja K. Melartin ◽  
Heikki J. Rytsälä ◽  
Ulla S. Leskelä ◽  
Paula S. Lestelä-Mielonen ◽  
...  

BackgroundThere are few prospective studies on risk factors for attempted suicide among psychiatric out- and in-patients with major depressive disorder.AimsTo investigate risk factors for attempted suicide among psychiatric out- and in-patients with major depressive disorder inthe city of Vantaa, Finland.MethodThe Vantaa Depression Study included 269 patients with DSM–IV major depressive disorder diagnosed using semi-structured interviews and followed up at 6- and 18-month interviews with a life chart.ResultsDuring the 18-month follow-up, 8% of the patients attempted suicide. The relative risk of an attempt was 2.50 during partial remission and 7.54 during a major depressive episode, compared with full remission (P<0.001). Numerous factors were associated with this risk, but lacking a partner, previous suicide attempts and total time spent in major depressive episodes were the most robust predictors.ConclusionsSuicide attempts among patients with major depressive disorder are strongly associated with the presence and severity of depressive symptoms and predicted by lack of partner, previous suicide attempts and time spent in depression. Reducing the time spent depressed is a credible preventive measure.


Vaccines ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 493
Author(s):  
Ingmar Fortmann ◽  
Marie-Theres Dammann ◽  
Alexander Humberg ◽  
Bastian Siller ◽  
Guido Stichtenoth ◽  
...  

This study is aimed at detecting the rate of untimely immunization in a large cohort of extremely low gestational age neonates (ELGANs) of the German Neonatal Network (GNN) and at addressing risk factors for delayed vaccination and associated long-term consequences. We performed an observational study of the GNN between 1st January 2010 and 31st December 2019. The immunization status for the hexavalent and pneumococcal immunization was evaluated in n = 8401 preterm infants <29 weeks of gestation. Univariate analysis and logistic/linear regression models were used to identify risk factors for vaccination delay and outcomes at a 5-year follow-up. In our cohort n = 824 (9.8%) ELGANs did not receive a timely first immunization with the hexavalent and pneumococcal vaccine. Risk factors for delayed vaccination were SGA status (18.1% vs. 13.5%; OR 1.3; 95% CI: 1.1–1.7), impaired growth and surrogates for complicated clinical courses (i.e., need for inotropes, necrotizing enterocolitis). At 5 years of age, timely immunized children had a lower risk of bronchitis (episodes within last year: 27.3% vs. 37.7%; OR 0.60, 95% CI: 0.42–0.86) but spirometry measures were unaffected. In conclusion, a significant proportion of ELGANs are untimely immunized, specifically those with increased vulnerability, even though they might particularly benefit from the immune-promoting effects of a timely vaccination.


2017 ◽  
Vol 126 (3) ◽  
pp. 819-824 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mason A. Brown ◽  
Jonathan Parish ◽  
Cristian F. Guandique ◽  
Troy D. Payner ◽  
Terry Horner ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVE With the recent evolution of endovascular therapies, objective evaluation of the efficacy of clip ligation for cerebral aneurysms should be performed. This study was undertaken to evaluate the durability of microsurgical clip ligation, identify risk factors for recurrence, and assess the need for long-term follow-up imaging. METHODS A retrospective review of medical records identified 616 consecutive patients (156 male and 460 female patients; mean age 48.4 ± 12.4 years; range 6–90 years) who underwent microsurgical clip ligation and follow-up imaging at least 1 year after discharge between 1990 and 2010 at our institution. Of a total of 926 aneurysms in 616 patients, 758 aneurysms were microsurgically clip-ligated. At presentation, 431 of these aneurysms were ruptured and 327 aneurysms were unruptured. All patients underwent postoperative baseline imaging within the 1st month of their operation. A logistic regression analysis was performed to identify which variables are more likely to predict recurrence. RESULTS Late follow-up angiographic imaging was obtained at a mean of 7.2 ± 4.7 years postdischarge (median 5.7 years; range 1–23 years). Of the 699 clipped aneurysms without residua, late follow-up angiography revealed only 1 (0.14%) recurrent aneurysm. Of the 59 residual aneurysms that remained after initial clip ligation on early postoperative imaging, 8 (13.6%) demonstrated growth. All of these aneurysms required treatment. None of the recurrences were due to broken or delayed displacement of clips. A total of 111 patients presented with multiple aneurysms. De novo aneurysm formation occurred in 8 (0.97%) patients, all of whom initially presented with multiple aneurysms. CONCLUSIONS This study provides additional evidence to support the long-term efficacy of aneurysm clip ligation. The chance of aneurysm recurrence after complete clip ligation is very small. However, there is a regrowth risk of 1.83% per year for aneurysm remnants after incomplete clip ligation. These findings support the necessity for continued followup, late angiographic imaging, and the potential need for further intervention of incompletely ligated aneurysms. Furthermore, completely clip-ligated aneurysms may not require additional surveillance imaging unless multiple aneurysms were evident at presentation.


2011 ◽  
Vol 56 (11) ◽  
pp. 658-666 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott B Patten ◽  
Jeanne VA Williams ◽  
Dina Lavorato ◽  
Jian Li Wang ◽  
Salma Khaled ◽  
...  

Objective: Prior studies have reported that major depressive episodes (MDEs) are associated with elevated mortality. However, the association has not always persisted after adjustment for other mortality risk factors. In our study, we examine this issue using data from a longitudinal Canadian study (the National Population Health Survey [NPHS]). The NPHS included a more comprehensive set of mortality determinants than prior studies, allowing a more comprehensive assessment of the effect of MDEs on mortality. Methods: The NPHS began data collection in 1994 and follow-up data were available to 2006 at the time of this analysis. The NPHS assessed depression using a short-form version of the Composite International Diagnostic Interview. Mortality was assessed as part of the cohort's follow-up, including linkage to vital statistics data. Results: During follow-up, 2019 deaths occurred in the eligible part of the NPHS cohort. Consistent with prior studies, MDEs were strongly predictive of mortality when basic adjustments were made for age and sex (hazard ratio [HR] 2.0, 95% Cl 1.4 to 2.9). The association disappeared with adjustment for other variables that predict mortality risk (HR 1.1, 95% Cl 0.7 to 1.7). Conclusions: MDE is a strong predictor of mortality in the general population. This analysis failed to identify an independent effect of MDE when adjustments were made for other risk factors. However, the lack of a strong independent effect on mortality does not preclude an etiologic impact of MDE. MDE itself is intertwined with health-related changes that predict mortality and its impact may be mediated by these variables.


2017 ◽  
Vol 227 ◽  
pp. 826-832 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Eslami ◽  
Amirhossein Mozaffary ◽  
Arash Derakhshan ◽  
Fereidoun Azizi ◽  
Davood Khalili ◽  
...  

2002 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 229-241 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kurt A. Heller ◽  
Ralph Reimann

Summary In this paper, conceptual and methodological problems of school program evaluation are discussed. The data were collected in conjunction with a 10 year cross-sectional/longitudinal investigation with partial inclusion of control groups. The experiences and conclusions resulting from this long-term study are revealing not only from the vantage point of the scientific evaluation of new scholastic models, but are also valuable for program evaluation studies in general, particularly in the field of gifted education.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 775.2-776
Author(s):  
C. W. S. Chan ◽  
P. H. LI ◽  
C. S. Lau ◽  
H. Y. Chung

Background:Cardiovascular (CVS) diseases are the leading cause of death worldwide and patients with rheumatic diseases have an increased CVS risk including stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) (1-3). CVS risk factors and CVS events are common in SpA (4). Delineating the CVS risk and the association with medications in patients with SpA would be useful.Objectives:The objective of this study was to delineate the CVS risk and the association with medications in patients with SpA.Methods:Patients with SpA and patients with non-specific back pain (NSBP) were identified in rheumatology and orthopedics clinics respectively. Clinical information and CVS events were retrieved. Incidence rates were calculated. Association analysis was performed to determine the CVS risk of SpA and other modifiable risk factors.Results:A total of 5046 patients (SpA 2616 and NSBP 2430) were included from eight centers. Over 56 484 person-years of follow-up, 160 strokes, 84 MI and 262 major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were identified. Hypercholesterolemia was more prevalent in SpA (SpA 34.2%, NSBP 28.7%, P<0.01). Crude incidence rates of stroke and MI were higher in SpA patients. SpA was associated with a higher risk of MACE (HR 1.66, 95%CI 1.22-2.27, P<0.01) and cerebrovascular events (HR 1.42, 95%CI 1.01-2.00, p=0.04). The use of anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) drugs was associated with a reduced risk of MACE (HR 0.37, 95%CI 0.17-0.80, P=0.01) and cerebrovascular events (HR 0.21, 95%CI 0.06-0.78, P=0.02).Conclusion:SpA is an independent CVS risk factor. Anti-TNF drugs were associated with a reduced CVS risk in these patients.References:[1]Crowson CS, Liao KP, Davis JM, 3rd, Solomon DH, Matteson EL, Knutson KL, et al. Rheumatoid arthritis and cardiovascular disease. Am Heart J. 2013;166(4):622-8 e1.[2]Verhoeven F, Prati C, Demougeot C, Wendling D. Cardiovascular risk in psoriatic arthritis, a narrative review. Joint Bone Spine. 2020;87(5):413-8.[3]Liew JW, Ramiro S, Gensler LS. Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in ankylosing spondylitis and psoriatic arthritis. Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol. 2018;32(3):369-89.[4]Molto A, Etcheto A, van der Heijde D, Landewe R, van den Bosch F, Bautista Molano W, et al. Prevalence of comorbidities and evaluation of their screening in spondyloarthritis: results of the international cross-sectional ASAS-COMOSPA study. Ann Rheum Dis. 2016;75(6):1016-23.Disclosure of Interests:None declared.


Angiology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 000331972110280
Author(s):  
Sukru Arslan ◽  
Ahmet Yildiz ◽  
Okay Abaci ◽  
Urfan Jafarov ◽  
Servet Batit ◽  
...  

The data with respect to stable coronary artery disease (SCAD) are mainly confined to main vessel disease. However, there is a lack of information and long-term outcomes regarding isolated side branch disease. This study aimed to evaluate long-term major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) in patients with isolated side branch coronary artery disease (CAD). A total of 437 patients with isolated side branch SCAD were included. After a median follow-up of 38 months, the overall MACCE and all-cause mortality rates were 14.6% and 5.9%, respectively. Among angiographic features, 68.2% of patients had diagonal artery and 82.2% had ostial lesions. In 28.8% of patients, the vessel diameter was ≥2.75 mm. According to the American College of Cardiology lesion classification, 84.2% of patients had either class B or C lesions. Age, ostial lesions, glycated hemoglobin A1c, and neutrophil levels were independent predictors of MACCE. On the other hand, side branch location, vessel diameter, and lesion complexity did not affect outcomes. Clinical risk factors seem to have a greater impact on MACCE rather than lesion morphology. Therefore, the treatment of clinical risk factors is of paramount importance in these patients.


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