scholarly journals The implications of warming climate for the management of North Sea demersal fisheries

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (7) ◽  
pp. 1322-1326 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.M. Cook ◽  
M.R. Heath
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
The North ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
Stock Recruitment ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
State Of The Environment ◽  
Negative Relationships ◽  
Positive Effect

Abstract Since the 1950s, records from the North Sea show a gradual increase in temperature. Using temperature as a proxy indexing the state of the environment, relationships between recruitment, spawning-stock biomass, and temperature are investigated for major North Sea stocks. Cod, plaice, and sole exhibit significant negative relationships between temperature and recruitment, while there is evidence of a positive effect for saithe and whiting. Stock-recruitment models that incorporate temperature are developed and used to examine implications for the management of these stocks with small increases in mean winter sea surface temperature. These suggest that for cod, minimum safe biomass reference points are unlikely to be achieved even at fishing mortality rates that are considered safe. The same analysis suggests that sustainable fishing for cod is still possible with higher yields than have been experienced in recent years.

Decadal changes in the North Sea food web between 1981 and 1991 — implications for fish stock assessment

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (11) ◽  
pp. 2586-2602 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Kempf ◽  
Jens Floeter ◽  
Axel Temming
Keyword(s):  
Food Web ◽  
North Sea ◽  
Fish Stock ◽  
Fish Diet ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The North ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
The Impact

The North Sea ecosystem of the early 1980s differed substantially from that of the early 1990s. The current North Sea multispecies fisheries assessment models are parameterized by fish diet data sets that reflect both ecosystem states, as the stomachs were sampled in 1981 and 1991. In this study, multispecies virtual population analysis (MSVPA) was parameterized with either diet data set, leading to different model food webs, each representing the predator's diet selection behavior and spatiotemporal overlap with their prey in the two respective ecosystem states. The impact of these changes in predator preferences and spatiotemporal overlap on recruitment success and on stock developments could be demonstrated by using either stomach data set to estimate historic and future spawning stock biomass and recruitment trajectories. The observed changes in the food web mainly impacted the hindcasted recruitment trajectories, whereas spawning stock biomass estimates were quite robust. In the prediction runs, the differences in the survival rate of the recruits decided whether fish stocks of commercially important species (e.g., Gadus morhua, Merlangius merlangus) would recover or collapse in the near future.

Recent Changes in the Central and Southern North Sea Herring Stocks

1985 ◽  
Vol 42 (S1) ◽  
pp. s192-s206 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. C. Burd
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Maximum Yield ◽  
Total Allowable Catch ◽  
Underlying Assumption ◽  
Southern North Sea ◽  
The North ◽  
Management Procedure ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
The North Sea

Since 1980 there has been a sudden recovery of recruitment to the central and southern North Sea herring stocks (Bank and Downs, respectively). In contrast, recruitment to the northern North Sea has continued at a low level and spawning stock biomass has even declined since 1979. These events underline the independence of the substocks in the North Sea, each of which has reacted differently to the cessation of the directed herring fishery in the North Sea since 1977. A precondition to the reopening of a herring fishery in the North Sea was that the severely depleted spawning stock biomass should have recovered to 800 000 t, the underlying assumption being that all components would respond in a similar manner and that a reopening of the whole North Sea would be possible. This has not happened and it may well be that management of the North Sea as a single unit is not a viable management procedure. The paper examines the historic changes in sizes of the Bank and Downs stocks, with particular emphasis on the most recent period. Evidence of density-dependent growth change is considered together with the recent data on fecundity and larval herring production. It is concluded that if the separate stocks are to be managed individually for maximum yield, then global North Sea regulations such as a total allowable catch and size regulation are inappropriate. Regulations must also take into consideration the seasonal distributions of the stocks. Indeed, this would lead, in particular, to more restrictive and specific regulation of the industrial fisheries.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the quality of the North Sea herring assessment

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (8) ◽  
pp. 1814-1822 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. John Simmonds
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Management Strategy ◽  
Fishing Mortality ◽  
The North ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Acoustic Surveys ◽  
One Year

Abstract Simmonds, E. J. 2009. Evaluation of the quality of the North Sea herring assessment. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 1814–1822. The assessment of North Sea herring has been used to give advice on catch quota for more than 20 years. The data sources comprise acoustic surveys, International Bottom Trawl Surveys, Methot Isaacs–Kidd net post-larval surveys, larval surveys, and catch-at-age data. These sources and their uses are briefly reviewed, and the changes in the weighting attached to each index in the assessment over time are discussed. The performance of the assessment is examined both in historical and analytical retrospectives of spawning–stock biomass and fishing mortality, and in retrospective assessments of numbers by cohort. Increased length of the time-series, the use of a statistical model with appropriate weighting, and a more consistent management strategy have all contributed to the assessment becoming highly stable from one year to the next. The results presented lead to the conclusion that the assessments provide an excellent basis for the management of this stock.

scholarly journals Evidence for substock dynamics within whiting (Merlangius merlangus) management regions

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. 1118-1127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos de Castro ◽  
Peter J. Wright ◽  
Colin P. Millar ◽  
Steven J. Holmes
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Metapopulation Dynamics ◽  
Current Management ◽  
The North ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Merlangius Merlangus ◽  
Northern North Sea ◽  
Eastern Channel

Abstractde Castro, C., Wright, P. J., Millar, C. P., and Holmes, S. J. 2013. Evidence for substock dynamics within whiting (Merlangius merlangus) management regions. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 1118–1127. Whiting in the North Sea and Eastern Channel is currently assessed as a single management unit. However, several studies suggest that this stock may be comprised of more than one subpopulation within a larger metapopulation. A key characteristic of metapopulations is asynchrony in the dynamics of component subpopulations. In this study, indices of recruitment and spawning–stock biomass (SSB) were developed to test for asynchrony across putative subpopulations in the North Sea and west of Scotland. Differences in SSB and recruitment trends were detected, consistent with expectations from metapopulation dynamics. At least three different subpopulation components (southern and northern North Sea, and west of Scotland) were indicated on the basis of differing trends. Analysis of spatial distribution suggested that the boundary between the northern and southern North Sea subpopulations was associated with the change in bathymetry that extended from the coast of Norfolk in England to the southern tip of Norway. The current management system for whiting in the North Sea assumes a unit stock, which is contrary to current sources of biological evidence and seems inappropriate. Consideration of a north–south split along the boundary detected should be beneficial for both assessment and management of the resource.

scholarly journals Maturity and growth population dynamics of Norway pout (Trisopterus esmarkii) in the North Sea, Skagerrak, and Kattegat

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (9) ◽  
pp. 1899-1914 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gwladys Lambert ◽  
J. Rasmus Nielsen ◽  
Lena I. Larsen ◽  
Henrik Sparholt
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
North Sea ◽  
Stock Assessment ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Commercial Catch ◽  
The North ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Immature Fish

Abstract Lambert, G., Nielsen, J. R., Larsen, L. I., and Sparholt, H. 2009. Maturity and growth population dynamics of Norway pout (Trisopterus esmarkii) in the North Sea, Skagerrak, and Kattegat. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 1899–1914. The population dynamics of the Norway pout stock in the North Sea are investigated by statistical analyses, and GIS of ICES International Bottom Trawl Surveys (IBTS) and Danish commercial catch data from 1983 to 2006. The stock spawns mainly around mid-February along the northeastern English and Scottish coasts and between Shetland and Norway. Sex ratios indicate that males, which mature younger than females (age-at-50%-maturity, respectively, 1.2 and 1.5 years), migrate out of the Skagerrak–Kattegat to the spawning grounds before females. There is a decrease in the 2+-group maturity ratios as well as in weight and female length from before to after spawning. The results indicate spawning mortality. Only some 20% of the 1-group reaches maturity in the first quarter, which is higher than assumed in the stock assessment. Although the maturity ogives are variable over time, this difference should be taken into account when estimating spawning-stock biomass in routine assessments. Growth is also variable, with a tendency for male maximum length to be smaller than that of females, and immature fish to be smaller than mature ones in each age group. The juvenile growth rate is higher when the stock density is low and results in a reduced age-at-50%-maturity. Besides these intraspecific patterns, the growth rates show interspecific links to stock sizes of the important predators: cod, haddock, and whiting.

scholarly journals Gadoid dynamics: differing perceptions when contrasting stock vs. population trends and its implications to management

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 1433-1442 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven J. Holmes ◽  
Colin P. Millar ◽  
Robert J. Fryer ◽  
Peter J. Wright
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Stock Assessment ◽  
Research Vessel ◽  
Vital Rates ◽  
The North ◽  
Depth Contour ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
Population Structures ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Local Pressures

Recent research suggests that ICES stock definitions for cod, haddock, and whiting of “west of Scotland” and “North Sea”, do not reflect underlying population structures. As population responses to different vital rates and local pressures would be expected to lead to asynchrony in dynamics, we examined trends in local spawning-stock biomass (SSB) among putative subpopulations of the three species. Delineation of subpopulation boundaries around spawning time was made based on genetic, tagging, and otolith microchemistry studies together with density distributions of species based on research vessel survey data. Subpopulation specific indices of SSB were derived using numbers-at-age and maturity observations from the same research vessel data and asynchrony was assessed by fitting a smoother to log SSB for each subpopulation and testing whether the smooths were parallel. Results for cod support the hypothesis of distinct inshore and larger offshore subpopulations and for whiting for northern and southern North Sea subpopulations with a boundary associated with the 50 m depth contour. In haddock, no difference in SSB trends between the North Sea and west of Scotland was found. For cod and whiting, subpopulation SSB trends differed substantially within current stock assessment units, implying reported stock-based SSB time-series have masked underlying subpopulation trends.

scholarly journals Inaccuracies in routinely collected Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus) maturity data and correction using a gonadosomatic index model

2011 ◽  
Vol 91 (7) ◽  
pp. 1477-1487 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lindsay R. McPherson ◽  
Konstantinos Ganias ◽  
C. Tara Marshall
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Gonadosomatic Index ◽  
Clupea Harengus ◽  
Implicit Assumption ◽  
Multinomial Regression ◽  
Index Model ◽  
The North ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
The North Sea

Macroscopic maturity staging data are widely used to distinguish between reproductive and non-reproductive individuals. The implicit assumption is that these data are accurate. The accuracy of macroscopic maturity staging of North Sea herring (Clupea harengus) has not been checked since the macroscopic scale was produced in 1961. The aim of this study was to assess the accuracy of macroscopic maturity staging of female North Sea herring by comparison to histological staging and the gonadosomatic index (GSI). Ovary samples were collected during the North Sea Herring Acoustic Survey in 2006 on-board FRV ‘Scotia’ (Scotland) and in 2007 on-board FRV ‘Scotia’ and RV ‘Johan Hjort’ (Norway). Commercial samples were also collected by Marine Scotland, Aberdeen in both years. The maturity staging error was relatively low in 2006 (21% error) but was much higher on-board FRV ‘Scotia’ (57%) and RV ‘Johan Hjort’ (47%) in 2007. There was estimated to be a 27% under-estimation of the spawning stock biomass (SSB) in 2007 due to the differences in the proportion mature but no change in SSB estimates in 2006. GSI cut-off scores, estimated by means of multinomial regression models were successfully able to separate immature females from both mature-active and recovering females; however, there was some overlap between the mature-active and recovering individuals. We conclude that an effective and low-cost means of reducing error in herring maturity studies is the combined use of a four-point macroscopic maturity scale with routinely collected GSI data, the latter acting to validate and fine tune macroscopic staging.

A reanalysis of North Sea plaice spawning-stock biomass using the annual egg production method

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (9) ◽  
pp. 1999-2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cindy J. G. van Damme ◽  
Loes J. Bolle ◽  
Clive J. Fox ◽  
Petter Fossum ◽  
Gerd Kraus ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Egg Production ◽  
Stock Assessment ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Production Method ◽  
Southern Bight ◽  
The North ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock

Abstract van Damme, C. J. G., Bolle, L. J., Fox, C. J., Fossum, P., Kraus, G., Munk, P., Rohlf, N., Witthames, P. R., and Dickey-Collas, M. 2009. A reanalysis of North Sea plaice spawning-stock biomass using the annual egg production method. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 1999–2011. Uncertainty about the quality of current virtual population analysis-based stock assessment for North Sea plaice (Pleuronectes platessa) has led to various abundance indices. We compared biomass estimates from the annual egg production (AEP) method with current stock assessments based on catch-at-age to validate the current and historical perception of exploitation. The AEP method was also used to investigate the dynamics of the spatial components of plaice in the North Sea. We corrected for fecundity down-regulation and changes in sex ratio. Estimates from both methods were similar in trend and absolute biomass. On the Dogger Bank, there was a dramatic decline in biomass from 1948 and 1950 to 2004, and in the Southern Bight, the stock appeared to increase from 1987 and 1988 to 2004, although not reaching the historically high levels of 1948 or 1950. The timing of spawning of North Sea plaice does not appear to have changed throughout the period of high exploitation. We conclude that the AEP method is a useful way to hindcast the spatial dynamics of heavily exploited flatfish stocks.

scholarly journals Predicting the effects of area closures and fishing effort restrictions on the production, biomass, and species richness of benthic invertebrate communities

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (5) ◽  
pp. 822-830 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.G. Hiddink ◽  
T. Hutton ◽  
S. Jennings ◽  
M.J. Kaiser
Keyword(s):  
Species Richness ◽  
North Sea ◽  
Fishery Management ◽  
Benthic Communities ◽  
Fishing Effort ◽  
Management Actions ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Effort Reduction ◽  
Positive Effect

AbstractTo effectively implement an Ecosystem Approach to Fisheries (EAF), managers need to consider the effects of management actions on the fishery and the ecosystem. Methods for assessing the effects on target stocks are generally well developed, but methods for assessing the effects on other components and attributes of the ecosystem are not. Area closures and effort controls are widely used fishery management tools that affect the distribution of fishing effort and may therefore have consequences for a range of species and habitats. An approach is developed to predict the effects of area closures and effort control on the biomass, production, and species richness of benthic communities in the North Sea. The redistribution of beam trawling effort as a result of management action was modelled with a random utility model, assuming that fishers selected fishing grounds on the basis of their knowledge of past catch rates. The effects of trawling on benthic invertebrates were predicted using a size-based model that accounted for differences in habitat among fishing grounds. Our simulations demonstrated that closures of different sizes and in different locations could have positive or negative effects on benthic communities. These predicted effects resulted from the trade-off between recovery in the closed areas and additional trawling effects in the open areas that arose from displaced fishing activity. In the absence of effort controls, closure of lightly fished areas had the strongest positive effect on benthic communities. Effort reduction also had a positive effect. Therefore, area closures in lightly fished areas, coupled with effort reduction, are expected to minimize the effects of fishing on benthic communities. As it was not possible to access full international data for the North Sea beam trawl fleet, the results of the analyses are illustrative rather than complete. Nevertheless, what is demonstrated is an effective approach for assessing the environmental consequences of fishery management action that can be used to inform management decision-making as part of an EAF.

Jellyfish abundance and climatic variation: contrasting responses in oceanographically distinct regions of the North Sea, and possible implications for fisheries

2005 ◽  
Vol 85 (3) ◽  
pp. 435-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher P. Lynam ◽  
Stephen J. Hay ◽  
Andrew S. Brierley
Keyword(s):  
North Sea ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Species Abundance ◽  
Current Strength ◽  
Aurelia Aurita ◽  
North West ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Negative Relationships

Jellyfish medusae prey on zooplankton and may impact fish recruitment both directly (top-down control) and indirectly (through competition). Abundances of Aurelia aurita, Cyanea lamarckii and Cyanea capillata medusae (Scyphozoa) in the North Sea appear to be linked to large-scale inter-annual climatic change, as quantified by the North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAOI), the Barents Sea-Ice Index (BSII) and changes in the latitude of the Gulf Stream North Wall (GSNW). Hydroclimatic forcing may thus be an important factor influencing the abundance of gelatinous zooplankton and may modulate the scale of any ecosystem impact of jellyfish. The population responses are probably also affected by local variability in the environment manifested in intra-annual changes in temperature, salinity, current strength/direction and prey abundance. Aurelia aurita and C. lamarckii in the north-west and south-east North Sea exhibited contrasting relationships to change in the NAOI and BSII: north of Scotland, where the North Sea borders the Atlantic, positive relationships were evident between the abundance of scyphomedusae (data from 1974 to 1986, except 1975) and the indices; whereas west of northern Denmark, a region much less affected by Atlantic inflow, negative relationships were found (data from 1973 to 1983, except 1974). Weaker negative relationships with the NAOI were also found in an intermediate region, east of Scotland, for the abundance of A. aurita and C. capillata medusae (1971 to 1982). East of Shetland, the abundance of jellyfish was not correlated directly with the NAOI but, in contrast to all other regions, the abundances of A. aurita and C. lamarckii (1971 to 1986, not 1984) were found to correlate negatively with changes in the GSNW, which itself was significantly positively correlated to the NAOI with a two year lag. On this evidence, we suggest that, for jellyfish, there exist three regions of the North Sea with distinct environmental processes governing species abundance: one north of Scotland, another east of Shetland, and a more southerly group (i.e. east of Scotland and west of northern Denmark). Impacts by jellyfish are likely to vary regionally, and ecosystem management may benefit from considering this spatial variability.

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