The Delphic forward guidance puzzle in New Keynesian models

Author(s):  
Ippei Fujiwara ◽  
Yuichiro Waki
2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 372-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Burkhard Heer ◽  
Alfred Maußner

Abstract We review the labor market implications of recent real-business cycle and New Keynesian models that successfully replicate the empirical equity premium. We document the fact that all models reviewed in this article that do not feature either sticky wages or immobile labor between two production sectors as in Boldrin et al. (2001) imply a negative correlation of working hours and output that is not observed empirically. Within the class of Neo-Keynesian models, sticky prices alone are demonstrated to be less successful than rigid nominal wages with respect to the modeling of the labor market stylized facts. In addition, monetary shocks in these models are required to be much more volatile than productivity shocks to match statistics from both the asset and labor market.


2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 289-344 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hess Chung ◽  
Edward Herbst ◽  
Michael T. Kiley

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Del Negro ◽  
Marc Giannoni ◽  
Frank Schorfheide

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
V.V. Chari ◽  
Patrick Kehoe ◽  
Ellen McGrattan

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-41
Author(s):  
Adrien Auclert ◽  
Bence Bardóczy ◽  
Matthew Rognlie

Abstract We show that New Keynesian models with frictionless labor supply face a challenge: given standard parameters, they cannot simultaneously match plausible estimates of marginal propensities to consume (MPCs), marginal propensities to earn (MPEs), and fiscal multipliers. A HANK model with sticky wages provides a solution to this trilemma.


2019 ◽  
pp. 1-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal Michaillat ◽  
Emmanuel Saez

At the zero lower bound, the New Keynesian model predicts that output and inflation collapse to implausibly low levels, and that government spending and forward guidance have implausibly large effects. To resolve these anomalies, we introduce wealth into the utility function; the justification is that wealth is a marker of social status, and people value status. Since people partly save to accrue social status, the Euler equation is modified. As a result, when the marginal utility of wealth is sufficiently large, the dynamical system representing the zero-lower-bound equilibrium transforms from a saddle to a source—which resolves all the anomalies.


2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 1371-1400 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adiya Belgibayeva ◽  
Michal Horvath

The paper revisits the literature on real rigidities in New Keynesian models in the context of an economy at the zero lower bound. It identifies strategic interaction among price- and wage-setting agents in the economy as an important determinant of both optimal policy and economic dynamics in deep recessions. In particular, labor market segmentation is shown to have a significant influence on the length of the forward commitment to keep interest rates at zero, the magnitude of the fiscal policy responses as well as inflation volatility in the economy under optimal policy.


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